Flex Ltd. (NASDAQ:FLEX) Poised To See Near-Term Pullback After Technical Reversal

Solid cash generation and an under-valued WMDST valuation contrast with weakening momentum and directional signals, implying a near-term price test of lower technical support. Mixed operational improvement and elevated leverage frame the next few weeks.

Recent News

None included. No non-earnings headlines on or after 2025-07-02 qualify for this section.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): DI+ at 31.99 with a peak & reversal reads bearish; DI- at 25.31 with a dip & reversal reads bearish. ADX at 21.51 indicates an emerging trend strength, reinforcing the immediate downside bias relative to valuation levels.

MACD: MACD sits at 1.30 with the signal at 1.48 and the MACD trend showing a peak & reversal, a bearish momentum condition that reduces the probability of near-term upside continuation and aligns with the directional indicators.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 23.46 remains positive, indicating price sits above the model target and therefore carries downside potential; the MRO trend shows a peak & reversal, which increases likelihood of price contraction toward the model target.

RSI: RSI at 62.96 with a peak & reversal signals momentum weakening from an elevated level, increasing the chance of a pullback or consolidation before any sustained advance.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Volatility: Last close $57.97 trades above the 20-day average $57.72, the 50-day average $53.51 and the 200-day average $43.52, while the 12-day EMA shows a peak & reversal. Bollinger lower 1x standard deviation sits at $56.75 and the super trend lower at $56.17; these levels provide proximate technical support below the market price while the 52-week high $59.76 acts as nearby resistance. Volume today (2.95M) runs below the 10-day average (3.98M), suggesting reduced participation on the recent move.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & margins: EBIT $297.0M and EBITDA $439.0M produce an EBIT margin of 4.52%. Quarter-over-quarter EBIT margin fell by 12.68%, while year-over-year EBIT margin rose by 14.99%. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 17.32% and the industry peer median of 19.28%, indicating lower operating profitability versus peers.

Earnings and cashflow: Reported adjusted EPS $0.72 versus an estimate $0.64, an EPS surprise of 12.5%. Operating cash flow $399.0M with free cash flow $266.0M yields a free cash flow yield of 1.45%, modestly above the industry peer mean of 1.01% and supporting the current valuation signal.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt $4.264B with net debt $1.442B produces debt-to-equity 0.84 and debt-to-EBITDA 9.71. Interest coverage ratio stands at 5.82, showing the company covers interest expense, while the elevated debt-to-EBITDA ratio signals leverage that could compress flexibility if earnings soften.

Liquidity and working capital: Cash and short-term investments $2.239B and current ratio 1.36 with quick ratio 0.83. Cash conversion cycle about 47.49 days with days payables 85.59 and days inventory 80.37, indicating working-capital intensive operations but an ability to fund operations through receivables and payable timing.

Growth and returns: Total revenue $6.575B with revenue growth 2.77%. Return on equity registers 3.77% and return on assets 1.02%; returns improved year-over-year but remain modest in absolute terms. Earnings growth shows a positive 26.32% figure but quarter-over-quarter metrics reveal pressure in short-term performance.

Valuation context: Price-to-earnings at 63.45 and forward P/E at 59.28 sit above typical low-multiple benchmarks while price-to-book at 3.62 sits below the industry peer mean of 6.14. Forward PEG near 2.25 and free cash flow yield 1.45% provide a mixed signal: earnings multiples look rich relative to absolute earnings, yet cash generation and WMDST’s assessment support a conclusion that the stock appears under-valued. WMDST values the stock as under-valued given current cash flow, modest margin improvement year-over-year, and the balance between multiples and cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-21
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.3 B
 Operating Cash Flow 399.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -133.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 65.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -50.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 2.2 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 6.6 B
 Forward Revenue 2.2 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 6.0 B
 Depreciation 142.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 142.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 6.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 572.0 M
 EBITDA 439.0 M
 EBIT 297.0 M
 Operating Income 318.0 M
 Interest Income 13.0 M
 Interest Expense 51.0 M
 Net Interest Income -38.00 M
 Income Before Tax 246.0 M
 Tax Provision 54.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.0 %
 Net Income 192.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 192.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.64
 EPS Actual 0.72
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 12.5 %
 Forward EPS 0.69
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 19.1 B
 Intangible Assets 1.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.4 B
 Total Current Assets 13.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.2 B
 Cash 2.2 B
 Net Receivables 3.9 B
 Inventory 5.2 B
 Long-Term Investments 375.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 5.8 B
 Short-Term Debt 677.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 9.9 B
 Net Debt 1.4 B
 Total Debt 4.3 B
 Total Liabilities 14.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.1 B
 Retained Earnings 1.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.53
 Shares Outstanding 376.212 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.48
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 18.4 B
 Enterprise Value 20.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 46.556
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 44.757 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 69.495 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 259.951
mean: 68.147
median: 63.645
FLEX: 46.556
low: -219.031
 EV/R 3.108
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.759
 Asset To Liability 1.362
 Debt To Capital 0.456
 Debt To Assets 0.223
Debt To Assets QoQ 238.863 %
Debt To Assets YoY 628.095 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.807
median: 0.296
mean: 0.258
FLEX: 0.223
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.838
Debt To Equity QoQ 246.665 %
Debt To Equity YoY 670.899 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.066
FLEX: 0.838
median: 0.69
mean: 0.631
low: -0.922
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.618
Price To Book QoQ 36.851 %
Price To Book YoY 50.98 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.594
mean: 6.139
median: 4.517
FLEX: 3.618
low: -8.439
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 63.454
Price To Earnings QoQ 32.338 %
Price To Earnings YoY 7.95 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 287.529
mean: 90.605
median: 89.742
FLEX: 63.454
low: -168.539
 PE/G Ratio 2.411
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.8
Price To Sales QoQ 35.484 %
Price To Sales YoY 47.686 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 42.058
mean: 15.7
median: 13.0
FLEX: 2.8
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 59.28
Forward PE/G 2.253
Forward P/S 8.226
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.713
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.351
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.412 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -0.083 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.479
FLEX: 0.351
mean: 0.187
median: 0.187
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.731
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.567 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -17.941 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.906
FLEX: 1.731
mean: 1.496
median: 1.38
low: 0.267
 Inventory Turnover 1.168
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.499 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 20.379 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.529
FLEX: 1.168
median: 1.08
mean: 1.023
low: 0.063
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 52.703
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 47.488
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -39.992 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -33.978 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 272.391
mean: 103.415
median: 88.157
FLEX: 47.488
low: -85.228
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.854
 CapEx To Revenue -0.02
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.937
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 8.8 B
 Invested Capital 8.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.4 B
 Net Working Capital 3.5 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.226
 Current Ratio 1.357
Current Ratio QoQ 4.125 %
Current Ratio YoY -2.975 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.762
mean: 2.21
median: 2.016
FLEX: 1.357
low: 0.034
 Quick Ratio 0.832
Quick Ratio QoQ 5.534 %
Quick Ratio YoY 11.291 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.334
mean: 1.688
median: 1.456
FLEX: 0.832
low: 0.201
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.713
 Cost Of Debt 0.946 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.824
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -8.512 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 31.499 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 52.785
median: 17.0
mean: 14.205
FLEX: 5.824
low: -130.23
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.06
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 85.589
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.086 %
 Revenue Growth 2.766 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -214.772 %
Revenue Growth YoY -93.112 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 79.411 %
mean: 10.312 %
median: 9.582 %
FLEX: 2.766 %
low: -43.951 %
 Earnings Growth 26.316 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -606.564 %
Earnings Growth YoY -350.01 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
FLEX: 26.316 %
median: 25.926 %
mean: 18.681 %
low: -133.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 8.7 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.136 %
Gross Margin YoY 16.622 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 98.998 %
mean: 40.512 %
median: 36.34 %
FLEX: 8.7 %
low: -49.356 %
 EBIT Margin 4.517 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -12.681 %
EBIT Margin YoY 14.995 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 123.871 %
median: 19.277 %
mean: 17.324 %
FLEX: 4.517 %
low: -211.309 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.837 %
Return On Sales QoQ -6.495 %
Return On Sales YoY 23.142 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.501 %
median: 17.436 %
mean: 16.665 %
FLEX: 4.837 %
low: -352.254 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 266.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.445 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -40.461 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -24.464 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.857 %
FLEX: 1.445 %
mean: 1.009 %
median: 0.912 %
low: -16.248 %
 Free Cash Growth -17.134 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -357.848 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -72.233 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 364.739 %
median: 50.564 %
mean: 29.959 %
FLEX: -17.134 %
low: -329.708 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.385
 Cash Flow Margin 9.065 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.104
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.024 %
Return On Assets QoQ -15.442 %
Return On Assets YoY 32.642 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 17.834 %
median: 2.58 %
mean: 1.85 %
FLEX: 1.024 %
low: -36.426 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.224 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.038
Return On Equity QoQ -14.984 %
Return On Equity YoY 35.622 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.433
median: 0.052
mean: 0.05
FLEX: 0.038
low: -0.601
 DuPont ROE 3.805 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.643 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -12.743 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -125.162 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.434 %
median: 3.417 %
mean: 3.196 %
FLEX: 2.643 %
low: -15.502 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term momentum has weakened across multiple indicators while price remains above medium- and long-term averages. Expect a higher probability of a pullback or consolidation toward the immediate technical supports around $56.75–$56.17; failure to hold those supports would broaden range toward the mid-$50s. Conversely, a recovery in momentum readings would need a return above the 20-day average and a MACD re-acceleration to restore upside. Elevated leverage and a mixed margin profile argue for monitoring cash-flow consistency before extending risk exposure.

About Flex Ltd.

Flex Ltd. (NASDAQ:FLEX) designs and delivers comprehensive manufacturing solutions across various industries worldwide. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Flex operates through two main segments: Flex Agility Solutions (FAS) and Flex Reliability Solutions (FRS). The FAS segment provides adaptable manufacturing systems for communications, enterprise, and cloud solutions, as well as lifestyle and consumer devices. The FRS segment focuses on complex production models for automotive, health, and industrial solutions, emphasizing areas like next-generation mobility, medical devices, and renewable energy systems. Flex offers a wide range of services, including design and engineering, supply chain management, and logistics. Their expertise encompasses product development, systems integration, and innovative supply chain solutions. Committed to sustainability, Flex also provides integrated reverse logistics and circular economy services. Since its inception in 1969, Flex has evolved to become a key partner for brands seeking advanced manufacturing capabilities. By leveraging advanced technology and a global presence, Flex enhances efficiency and innovation in the manufacturing sector.



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