Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) Rebounds Short-Term as Momentum Shifts Toward Recovery

Crocs shows a short-term shift toward constructive momentum while operating and cash metrics diverge sharply; WMDST values the stock as under-valued. The week-to-week technical picture suggests a bias for price stabilization into a defined trading range over the next several weeks.

Recent News

On August 5, 2025 Crocs launched a limited-edition collaboration with Krispy Kreme featuring glazed doughnut–inspired Classic Clogs and promotional in-store activations.

On August 8, 2025 the company cited tariff headwinds and shifting consumer preferences as material challenges, noting tariff exposure and reduced U.S. traffic that pressured near-term outlook commentary.

Beginning September 18, 2025 Crocs rolled out an NFL-licensed line of team-themed foam clogs and Jibbitz charms under a multi-year agreement to expand seasonal and licensed product sales.

Technical Analysis

ADX registers 18.91, indicating no dominant trend; the absence of a strong directional trend reduces odds of a sustained breakout and favors range-bound activity relative to valuation signals.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 21.35 with a dip & reversal and DI- at 28.18 with a peak & reversal; both signals align bullishly for near-term directional pressure toward price recovery despite the weak ADX.

MACD sits at -2.30 with a dip & reversal and a signal line at -2.82; MACD crossing above its signal line constitutes a bullish momentum shift, supporting a bias for further short-term upside toward moving-average resistance.

MRO reads -26.88 (negative) with an increasing trend, which indicates price sits below the model target and carries upward potential as momentum normalizes toward fair value.

RSI at 44.0 with a dip & reversal signals regained buying interest without overbought conditions, consistent with a controlled short-term recovery rather than extended rally risk.

Price relationships show the close at $83.76 above the 12-day EMA ($80.42) and 20-day average ($79.45) but below the 50-day ($87.87) and 200-day ($99.80), implying short-term support underpins gains while intermediate-term averages pose resistance that must yield for a sustained trend change.

Bollinger bands place the close between the 1x and 2x upper bands (upper1x $81.82, upper2x $84.19), indicating the move sits near the upper short-term volatility envelope and may meet resistance near the upper band region.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth year-over-year registers 22.62% while quarter-over-quarter revenue declined 5.27%, showing strong annual top-line momentum offset by recent sequential softness.

Gross margin holds at 61.67%, effectively in line with the industry peer mean of 61.97% and reflecting durable product-level profitability despite operating fluctuations.

Operating margin equals 27.02% and sits above the industry peer mean of 11.21%, while EBIT registers -$426,084,000 with an EBIT margin of -37.07% (EBIT margin QoQ -2.53%, YoY -2.27%), creating a material contrast between operating profit metrics and reported EBIT outcomes that requires reconciliation in the accounts but does not change gross-margin strength.

EPS came in at $4.23 versus an estimate of $4.02, producing a $0.21 beat and an EPS surprise of 5.22%, demonstrating short-term earnings performance above consensus expectations.

Cash generation shows free cash flow of $269,229,000 and a free cash flow yield of 5.17%, which sits above the industry peer mean of about 1.05% and supports the WMDST valuation assessment. Operating cash flow reached $285,800,000 and ending cash equals $200,611,000, providing liquidity to manage working capital shifts (cash conversion cycle ~67.49 days).

Leverage metrics show total debt $1,773,579,000, debt-to-assets 39.85% (above the industry peer mean of 30.67%) and net debt $1,178,501,000; interest coverage remains negative. Return on equity registers -34.64%, and return on assets -10.35%, reflecting profitability strain at the net-income level despite strong gross and operating margins.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a conclusion supported by strong free cash flow yield and gross-margin parity with peers, offset by negative net income, elevated leverage, and sequential margin weaknesses that create execution risk.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 169.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 285.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -16.57 M
 Change In Working Capital -25.47 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 34.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 204.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.1 B
 Forward Revenue -105.16 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 440.5 M
 Depreciation 19.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.5 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 838.8 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 708.8 M
 EBITDA -406.61 M
 EBIT -426.08 M
 Operating Income 310.6 M
 Interest Income 371.0 K
 Interest Expense 22.5 M
 Net Interest Income -22.15 M
 Income Before Tax -448.61 M
 Tax Provision 43.7 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -492.28 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -492.28 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.02
 EPS Actual 4.23
 EPS Difference 0.21
 EPS Surprise 5.224 %
 Forward EPS 3.29
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -319.02 M
 Total Current Assets 1.1 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 200.6 M
 Cash 200.6 M
 Net Receivables 417.4 M
 Inventory 405.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 38.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 263.3 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 714.8 M
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 3.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.4 B
 Retained Earnings 3.2 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 25.93
 Shares Outstanding 54.800 M
 Revenue Per-Share 20.97
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.2 B
 Enterprise Value 6.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple -16.677
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -156.056 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -169.45 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 101.579
mean: 53.618
median: 52.602
low: -4.983
CROX: -16.677
 EV/R 5.9
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.132
 Asset To Liability 1.469
 Debt To Capital 0.555
 Debt To Assets 0.399
Debt To Assets QoQ 8.385 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1371.059 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.754
CROX: 0.399
mean: 0.307
median: 0.278
low: 0.065
 Debt To Equity 1.248
Debt To Equity QoQ 31.962 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1513.863 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.159
CROX: 1.248
mean: 0.739
median: 0.519
low: 0.085
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.665
Price To Book QoQ 28.215 %
Price To Book YoY -26.825 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.47
median: 6.832
mean: 5.965
CROX: 3.665
low: -3.086
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 24.495
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.827 %
Price To Earnings YoY -29.293 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 141.093
median: 73.062
mean: 67.584
CROX: 24.495
low: -15.652
 PE/G Ratio 0.597
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.531
Price To Sales QoQ -24.555 %
Price To Sales YoY -39.169 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 21.387
mean: 11.602
median: 9.997
CROX: 4.531
low: 0.499
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 31.337
Forward PE/G 0.764
Forward P/S -49.527
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -12.692
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.242
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 27.279 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.394 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.345
median: 0.247
mean: 0.242
CROX: 0.242
low: 0.128
 Receivables Turnover 2.663
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.076 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 8.03 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.57
mean: 2.77
CROX: 2.663
median: 2.151
low: 1.543
 Inventory Turnover 1.106
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.475 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.041 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.219
CROX: 1.106
median: 0.563
mean: 0.555
low: 0.358
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 34.262
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 67.487
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 11.991 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -1.47 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 271.719
mean: 135.176
median: 119.348
CROX: 67.487
low: 61.77
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.97
 CapEx To Revenue -0.014
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.851
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.8 B
 Invested Capital 2.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -319.02 M
 Net Working Capital 387.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.281
 Current Ratio 1.541
Current Ratio QoQ 1.209 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.026 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.023
mean: 2.166
median: 2.095
CROX: 1.541
low: 0.348
 Quick Ratio 0.975
Quick Ratio QoQ 0.676 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.869 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.0
mean: 1.393
median: 1.302
CROX: 0.975
low: 0.192
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -4.362
 Cost Of Debt 0.979 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -18.918
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -289.14 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -269.436 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 30.907
mean: 12.732
median: 10.817
low: -6.883
CROX: -18.918
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.615
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 58.586
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -12.15 %
 Revenue Growth 22.622 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -526.991 %
Revenue Growth YoY 22.832 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 35.478 %
CROX: 22.622 %
mean: 2.229 %
median: 1.284 %
low: -22.995 %
 Earnings Growth 41.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 115.246 %
Earnings Growth YoY 25.072 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.079 %
CROX: 41.0 %
median: -15.672 %
mean: -27.271 %
low: -400.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 61.672 %
Gross Margin QoQ 6.743 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.523 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 72.265 %
mean: 61.971 %
CROX: 61.672 %
median: 61.506 %
low: -0.815 %
 EBIT Margin -37.071 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -252.6 %
EBIT Margin YoY -226.557 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 16.84 %
median: 7.093 %
mean: 5.672 %
low: -5.513 %
CROX: -37.071 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 27.023 %
Return On Sales QoQ 11.238 %
Return On Sales YoY -7.746 %
Return On Sales IPRWA CROX: 27.023 %
high: 17.038 %
median: 12.387 %
mean: 11.213 %
low: -9.193 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 269.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 5.169 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -452.352 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 11.401 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.836 %
CROX: 5.169 %
mean: 1.048 %
median: 0.523 %
low: -13.873 %
 Free Cash Growth -425.904 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 234.767 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -56.838 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 109.595 %
median: -246.473 %
mean: -316.278 %
CROX: -425.904 %
low: -806.565 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.547
 Cash Flow Margin -38.274 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.894
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -10.346 %
Return On Assets QoQ -419.124 %
Return On Assets YoY -315.049 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.542 %
median: 1.902 %
mean: 1.173 %
low: -1.648 %
CROX: -10.346 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -11.406 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.346
Return On Equity QoQ -526.129 %
Return On Equity YoY -350.181 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.088
median: 0.036
mean: 0.032
low: -0.029
CROX: -0.346
 DuPont ROE -29.037 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -12.021 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -333.236 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.092 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.05 %
mean: 3.277 %
median: 2.699 %
low: -3.585 %
CROX: -12.021 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term, expect a constructive but contained price bias: technical momentum indicators (MACD cross, DI+ reversal, improving RSI) favor further stabilization and measured upside toward intermediate resistance, while ADX under 20 warns against a sustained breakout. Watch the short-term support region near the super trend lower at $74.37 and the 20-day/12-day averages for consolidation signals; the 50-day average near $87.87 and the 200-day average near $99.80 act as the main resistance bands that price must clear before higher-range reassertion. Material news on tariffs, licensing rollouts, or cash/debt updates likely represent the principal catalysts that will alter this near-term balance of risks and reward.

About Crocs, Inc.

Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) designs and produces innovative casual footwear known for comfort and distinctive style. Established in 1999 and headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado, Crocs gained recognition for its iconic clogs and has expanded its product line to include sandals, slides, wedges, platforms, and boots. The company also offers customizable charms, allowing customers to personalize their footwear. Crocs operates under its primary brand and the HEYDUDE brand, delivering a range of styles that merge comfort with contemporary fashion. It maintains a robust presence across the United States and international markets, utilizing a multi-channel distribution strategy. This includes partnerships with wholesale distributors, retail outlets, e-commerce platforms, and unique store-in-store concepts. Emphasizing sustainability and innovation, Crocs continually broadens its product offerings while upholding its commitment to comfort and style. The brand aims to make every customer feel at ease in their footwear by using lightweight materials and ergonomic designs, ensuring comfort with every step.



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