Fabrinet, NYSE:FN Accelerates Production Partnerships, Driving Near-Term Revenue Momentum

Fabrinet shows revenue strength and ample liquidity while margin pressure and stretched valuation temper upside. Recent production wins support near-term demand, but mixed momentum indicators imply a measured price response.

Recent News

On July 8, 2025 Fabrinet shipped the first InnovizTwo LiDAR units from its high-volume production line after a production ramp, marking a manufacturing milestone for autonomous-vehicle LiDAR mass production.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a price-biased trend: ADX at 27.08 indicates a strong trend in force while DI+ at 32.89 (dip & reversal) and DI- at 18.29 (peak & reversal) both align with bullish directional pressure; that directional bias supports the revenue-driven narrative.

MACD sits at 13.57 with a signal line at 13.06, representing a recent cross above the signal line (a short-term bullish trigger), but the MACD trend registers a peak & reversal, signaling waning momentum despite the crossover; expect momentum to require confirmation from price action.

MRO at -0.15 indicates price sits just below the model target and therefore carries potential to increase; the MRO trend reads peak & reversal, so the near-term mean-reversion potential exists but lacks strong momentum.

RSI at 60.75 with a peak & reversal suggests the market moved into mildly bullish territory and has since pulled back from a short-term high; that pattern increases odds of consolidation before resumption or deeper correction depending on volume.

Price relationships support a constructive but cautious view: last close $366.66 above the 200-day average $253.41, showing long-term strength, while price sits marginally below the 20-day average $369.48 and the 12-day EMA $368.34 (12-day EMA trend: peak & reversal), implying short-term consolidation near recent highs. Bollinger bands show a 1x lower band at $357.82 and upper band at $381.14; price activity inside those bands suggests contained volatility with upside room if momentum returns.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue $909,692,000 with YoY revenue growth of 46.36% demonstrates material top-line acceleration; quarterly revenue change shows smaller sequential movement. Gross profit $111,291,000 and gross margin 12.23% lag the industry peer mean gross margin of 39.93% (industry peer mean), indicating lower conversion of revenue to gross profit versus peers.

Operating metrics: EBIT $93,236,000 and an EBIT margin of 10.25% compare below the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 17.02% and industry peer median 17.44%, reflecting tighter operating leverage relative to peers. QoQ EBIT margin improved by 3.54% even as EBIT margin fell YoY by 9.16%.

Reported EPS $2.42 missed the estimate $2.55 by $0.13, an EPS surprise of -5.10%. Forward EPS $2.7675 and forward PE 84.83 imply elevated forward valuation versus current fundamentals; WMDST values the stock as over-valued.

Cash and liquidity provide a buffer: cash and short-term investments $934,244,000, cash ratio 115.36%, current ratio 299.92%, and quick ratio 228.17% show ample short-term coverage. Total debt $5,471,000 produces debt-to-assets 0.19%, well below the industry peer mean 26.24% (industry peer mean), signaling minimal leverage risk.

Capital efficiency: asset turnover 0.3338 exceeds the industry peer mean 0.1904 (industry peer mean), showing stronger revenue generation per dollar of assets. Return on assets 3.20% tops the industry peer mean 1.79% (industry peer mean), while return on equity 4.40% remains modest. Free cash flow $4,459,000 and free cash flow yield 0.04% trail profitability, and free cash flow metrics show recent QoQ compression.

Valuation note: price multiples present a stretched picture—P/E ~119.31, P/B ~5.35 (below the industry peer mean P/B 6.09), and enterprise multiple ~90.08—consistent with WMDST’s over-valued determination. Strong revenue growth and production partnerships support the premium, but margin and cash-flow metrics constrain the valuation justification.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-17
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 306.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 55.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -50.63 M
 Change In Working Capital -52.94 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -480.00 K
 End Period Cash Flow 306.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 909.7 M
 Forward Revenue 257.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 798.4 M
 Depreciation 14.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 14.2 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 820.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 111.3 M
 EBITDA 107.4 M
 EBIT 93.2 M
 Operating Income 89.1 M
 Interest Income 7.8 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 7.8 M
 Income Before Tax 93.2 M
 Tax Provision 6.0 M
 Tax Rate 6.466 %
 Net Income 87.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 87.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.55
 EPS Actual 2.42
 EPS Difference -0.13
 EPS Surprise -5.098 %
 Forward EPS 2.77
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.8 B
 Intangible Assets 2.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.0 B
 Total Current Assets 2.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 934.2 M
 Cash 306.4 M
 Net Receivables 758.9 M
 Inventory 581.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 623.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 637.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 809.8 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 5.5 M
 Total Liabilities 849.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.0 B
 Retained Earnings 2.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 55.47
 Shares Outstanding 35.728 M
 Revenue Per-Share 25.46
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 10.6 B
 Enterprise Value 9.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 90.079
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 40.576 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 21.413 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 259.951
FN: 90.079
mean: 66.892
median: 63.645
low: -219.031
 EV/R 10.639
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.429
 Asset To Liability 3.333
 Debt To Capital 0.003
 Debt To Assets 0.002
Debt To Assets QoQ -11.468 %
Debt To Assets YoY 66.379 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.807
median: 0.296
mean: 0.262
low: 0.006
FN: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.003
Debt To Equity QoQ -8.0 %
Debt To Equity YoY 78.065 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.066
median: 0.7
mean: 0.653
FN: 0.003
low: -0.922
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.352
Price To Book QoQ 39.168 %
Price To Book YoY 15.603 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.125
mean: 6.088
FN: 5.352
median: 4.517
low: -7.517
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 119.311
Price To Earnings QoQ 46.869 %
Price To Earnings YoY 28.584 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 287.529
FN: 119.311
mean: 88.944
median: 86.196
low: -168.539
 PE/G Ratio -30.068
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.66
Price To Sales QoQ 38.589 %
Price To Sales YoY 8.668 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 42.058
mean: 15.289
median: 13.0
FN: 11.66
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 84.827
Forward PE/G -21.378
Forward P/S 41.137
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.85
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.334
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.184 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 1.376 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.479
FN: 0.334
mean: 0.19
median: 0.187
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.284
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.455 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.242 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.906
mean: 1.51
median: 1.38
FN: 1.284
low: 0.267
 Inventory Turnover 1.436
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.827 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.36 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.529
FN: 1.436
median: 1.08
mean: 1.019
low: 0.063
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 71.078
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 68.334
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 0.209 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -8.351 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 272.391
mean: 101.94
median: 88.157
FN: 68.334
low: -85.228
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.562
 CapEx To Revenue -0.056
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.563
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.0 B
 Invested Capital 2.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.0 B
 Net Working Capital 1.6 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.154
 Current Ratio 2.999
Current Ratio QoQ -9.796 %
Current Ratio YoY -16.86 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.762
FN: 2.999
mean: 2.161
median: 2.016
low: 0.034
 Quick Ratio 2.282
Quick Ratio QoQ -10.09 %
Quick Ratio YoY -17.84 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.334
FN: 2.282
mean: 1.64
median: 1.456
low: 0.201
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.051
 Cost Of Debt 0.0 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.083
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 68.688
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 8.099 %
 Revenue Growth 4.347 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -5.108 %
Revenue Growth YoY 46.364 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 79.411 %
mean: 10.144 %
median: 9.582 %
FN: 4.347 %
low: -43.951 %
 Earnings Growth -3.968 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 15.081 %
Earnings Growth YoY -574.074 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
median: 26.316 %
mean: 19.627 %
FN: -3.968 %
low: -133.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.234 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.377 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.318 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 98.998 %
mean: 39.934 %
median: 36.34 %
FN: 12.234 %
low: -49.356 %
 EBIT Margin 10.249 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 3.536 %
EBIT Margin YoY -9.164 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 123.871 %
median: 17.436 %
mean: 17.015 %
FN: 10.249 %
low: -211.309 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.797 %
Return On Sales QoQ -1.03 %
Return On Sales YoY -13.17 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.501 %
median: 16.406 %
mean: 16.376 %
FN: 9.797 %
low: -352.254 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.042 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -93.215 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -95.167 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.857 %
mean: 1.049 %
median: 0.912 %
FN: 0.042 %
low: -16.248 %
 Free Cash Growth -90.174 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 74.519 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 367.344 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 364.739 %
median: 50.564 %
mean: 30.979 %
FN: -90.174 %
low: -329.708 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.051
 Cash Flow Margin 7.402 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.772
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.2 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1.587 %
Return On Assets YoY -9.681 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 17.834 %
FN: 3.2 %
median: 2.058 %
mean: 1.793 %
low: -36.426 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.612 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.044
Return On Equity QoQ 3.238 %
Return On Equity YoY -5.254 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.433
mean: 0.05
median: 0.049
FN: 0.044
low: -0.489
 DuPont ROE 4.485 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.4 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 3.238 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -146.448 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.434 %
FN: 4.4 %
mean: 3.148 %
median: 3.068 %
low: -15.502 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term action should hinge on momentum confirmation: directional indicators favor upside while MACD and RSI trends warn of fading momentum, implying a high-probability period of consolidation around the $360–$380 neighborhood. Production wins and robust YoY revenue growth underpin upside catalysts; however, compressed free cash flow and below-peer margins increase sensitivity to any negative execution news. Expect oscillation between consolidation and attempt at follow-through rallies over six weeks; renewed volume-driven breakouts would validate upside, while loss of directional support (measured by DI+ weakening below DI-) would increase the likelihood of wider retracement.

About Fabrinet

Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) delivers advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services to a broad spectrum of industries across North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. Established in 1999 and headquartered in George Town, the Cayman Islands, Fabrinet provides comprehensive manufacturing solutions, including process design, engineering, supply chain management, and testing. The company produces a range of optical and electro-mechanical components, such as reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, and modulators, essential for managing complex data communications over fiber optic networks. Fabrinet’s offerings also include transceivers, tunable lasers, and high-speed active optical cables, which are vital for data centers and computing clusters. Beyond telecommunications, Fabrinet serves the semiconductor, biotechnology, and medical device industries with advanced laser technologies and precision sensors. The company designs and fabricates custom optical components like crystals, lenses, and mirrors, tailored to the specific needs of original equipment manufacturers. Leveraging its expertise in precision manufacturing and optical engineering, Fabrinet remains a trusted partner for industries seeking high-quality, reliable solutions in a connected world.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.