Douglas Emmett, Inc (NYSE:DEI) Signals Near-Term Weakness Despite Under-Valued Valuation

Douglas Emmett shows mixed momentum: short-term technicals tilt toward pressure while underlying cash flows and WMDST’s valuation classify the stock as under-valued. Fundamentals reveal solid operating margins but elevated leverage that frames risk versus reward over the coming weeks.

Recent News

On September 5, 2025, Douglas Emmett’s Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share, payable October 15, 2025 to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025; the company reiterated its focus on its coastal office and multifamily portfolio in the release.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 22.67 signals an emerging trend strength. DI+ at 25.07 shows a decreasing trend, and DI- at 17.84 shows an increasing trend; both directional moves point toward net bearish directional pressure that strengthens the case for near-term downside bias.

MACD: MACD sits at 0.22 while the signal line reads 0.28 and the MACD trend declines; MACD below the signal line and falling indicates bearish momentum that weighs on short-term upside potential.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -6.13 with a peak & reversal pattern; the negative reading implies price sits below the target model and therefore carries an element of upside potential, even as the peak & reversal dynamic signals recent momentum exhaustion.

RSI: RSI at 55.68 and decreasing indicates fading bullish momentum without oversold conditions; the current level leaves room for further downside before extreme oversold signals arrive.

Price vs Moving Averages and Bands: The close at $16.09 sits below the 20-day average ($16.42) — a near-term bearish sign — while remaining above the 50-day ($15.61) and 200-day ($15.76) averages, which supports a constructive intermediate bias consistent with the WMDST under-valued assessment. Bollinger bounds tighten (20-day stdev $0.29), implying constrained short-term volatility; failure to regain the 20-day average would favor consolidation toward the lower band.

Ichimoku and EMAs: Tenkan-Sen at $16.48 exceeds Kijun-Sen at $15.74, which registers a short-term bullish crossover in the Ichimoku framework, but price12-day EMA shows a peak & reversal; the combination implies short-lived bullish impulses may struggle against prevailing bearish momentum from MACD and DI signals.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT margin registers 19.915%, above the industry peer mean of 2.915% and median of 3.499%, indicating relative operating efficiency. Operating margin stands at 18.082% and gross margin at 63.242%, both materially positive and supportive of the WMDST valuation despite recent compressions: EBIT margin declined QoQ by 52.135% and YoY by 23.744%.

Revenue and earnings: Total revenue $252,434,000 with YoY revenue growth of 8.182% but a steep QoQ revenue contraction of -86.659%. EPS actual reported at -$0.04 versus an estimate of -$0.06, a $0.02 beat that represents a 33.33% positive surprise, reflecting modest earnings resilience within a negative EPS base.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow $81,291,000 and end-period cash flow $426,918,000; free cash flow $8,186,000 with a free cash flow yield of 0.322%. Current ratio 3.27, above the industry peer mean of 2.699, signals ample short-term liquidity, and cash ratio 2.256 further confirms strong immediate coverage of obligations.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt $5,573,536,000 and debt-to-equity 2.79, above the industry peer mean of 0.8036 and median of 0.7087; debt-to-EBITDA sits at 36.67, while interest coverage equals 0.769 (below the industry peer mean of 3.132). Elevated leverage and subpar interest coverage elevate refinancing and rate-sensitivity risk, constraining the margin of safety despite healthy operating margins.

Other signals: Return on equity -0.292% and return on assets -0.061% reflect negative net income, while revenue per share $1.5076 and asset turnover at 2.656% signal the business remains capital intensive. Dividend rate $0.19 per share produces a dividend yield of 1.253% and a negative dividend coverage ratio, indicating distributions occur amid earnings shortfalls.

Valuation summary: Enterprise multiple 50.59 and EVR 30.46 suggest valuation metrics that require careful context; WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a view driven by operating margins, healthy cash balances, and long-term asset quality but moderated by heavy leverage and weak interest coverage.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 525.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 81.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -73.11 M
 Change In Working Capital -8.31 M
 Dividends Paid -31.81 M
 Cash Flow Delta -98.81 M
 End Period Cash Flow 426.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 252.4 M
 Forward Revenue 86.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 92.8 M
 Depreciation 101.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 100.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 206.8 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 159.6 M
 EBITDA 152.0 M
 EBIT 50.3 M
 Operating Income 45.6 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 65.3 M
 Net Interest Income -65.33 M
 Income Before Tax -15.06 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income -5.83 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -15.06 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.06
 EPS Actual -0.04
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 33.333 %
 Forward EPS -0.05
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 9.4 B
 Intangible Assets 7.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.0 B
 Total Current Assets 618.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 426.9 M
 Cash 426.9 M
 Net Receivables 122.1 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 89.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 189.2 M
 Net Debt 5.1 B
 Total Debt 5.6 B
 Total Liabilities 5.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.0 B
 Retained Earnings -1.42 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 11.94
 Shares Outstanding 167.446 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.51
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.5 B
 Enterprise Value 7.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 50.586
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 33.323 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 210.136 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 238.55
mean: 115.551
median: 82.24
DEI: 50.586
low: -179.209
 EV/R 30.458
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.719
 Asset To Liability 1.615
 Debt To Capital 0.736
 Debt To Assets 0.591
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.227 %
Debt To Assets YoY 573.99 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.375
DEI: 0.591
mean: 0.25
median: 0.237
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 2.788
Debt To Equity QoQ 1.047 %
Debt To Equity YoY 619.561 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.977
DEI: 2.788
mean: 0.804
median: 0.709
low: -3.247
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.272
Price To Book QoQ 1.526 %
Price To Book YoY 18.219 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.182
median: 4.285
mean: 3.992
DEI: 1.272
low: -2.853
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -379.038
Price To Earnings QoQ -0.944 %
Price To Earnings YoY -263.585 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 419.789
median: 102.729
mean: 98.296
low: -315.506
DEI: -379.038
 PE/G Ratio 3.249
 Price To Sales (P/S) 10.07
Price To Sales QoQ -1.17 %
Price To Sales YoY 6.347 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 56.407
mean: 19.473
median: 11.644
DEI: 10.07
low: -20.267
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -309.563
Forward PE/G 2.653
Forward P/S 29.55
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -145.395
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.027
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.226 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.75 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.591
mean: 0.197
median: 0.117
DEI: 0.027
low: -0.002
 Receivables Turnover 2.058
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.233 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.547 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 26.371
mean: 3.528
median: 3.078
DEI: 2.058
low: -0.296
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 44.333
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.588
 CapEx To Revenue -0.29
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.719
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 7.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 7.6 B
 Invested Capital 7.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.0 B
 Net Working Capital 429.1 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.256
 Current Ratio 3.268
Current Ratio QoQ -12.971 %
Current Ratio YoY -36.117 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 10.81
DEI: 3.268
mean: 2.699
median: 1.741
low: 0.503
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 36.67
 Cost Of Debt 0.92 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.769
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -55.83 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -34.121 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 21.15
mean: 3.132
median: 1.478
DEI: 0.769
low: -31.139
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.448
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 97.006
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -0.183
 Dividend Payout Ratio -5.452
 Dividend Rate 0.19
 Dividend Yield 0.013
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.508 %
 Revenue Growth 0.357 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -86.659 %
Revenue Growth YoY 8.182 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 52.762 %
mean: 10.833 %
median: 9.473 %
DEI: 0.357 %
low: -51.859 %
 Earnings Growth -116.667 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -138.889 %
Earnings Growth YoY -683.335 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 154.545 %
median: -2.439 %
mean: -35.104 %
DEI: -116.667 %
low: -350.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 63.242 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.762 %
Gross Margin YoY -4.448 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 78.523 %
DEI: 63.242 %
mean: 48.201 %
median: 42.909 %
low: -18.975 %
 EBIT Margin 19.915 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -52.135 %
EBIT Margin YoY -23.744 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 53.427 %
DEI: 19.915 %
median: 3.499 %
mean: 2.915 %
low: -48.814 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 18.082 %
Return On Sales QoQ -56.541 %
Return On Sales YoY -30.763 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 31.66 %
DEI: 18.082 %
median: 3.499 %
mean: 2.339 %
low: -49.625 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 8.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.322 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -88.666 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -82.23 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 13.37 %
DEI: 0.322 %
mean: 0.217 %
median: 0.01 %
low: -46.283 %
 Free Cash Growth -88.758 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -88.837 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 84.582 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 248.718 %
DEI: -88.758 %
median: -97.213 %
mean: -108.905 %
low: -390.106 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.403
 Cash Flow Margin 33.579 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -14.527
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.061 %
Return On Assets QoQ -114.558 %
Return On Assets YoY -153.982 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.964 %
mean: 0.395 %
median: 0.208 %
DEI: -0.061 %
low: -4.613 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.544 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.003
Return On Equity QoQ -115.013 %
Return On Equity YoY -158.052 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.055
mean: 0.011
median: 0.004
DEI: -0.003
low: -0.165
 DuPont ROE -0.288 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect near-term consolidation with a downside tilt: short-term indicators (DI+, DI-, MACD, and declining RSI) favor pressure toward the 20-day average and the super-trend lower at $15.85. Offsetting that bias, MRO’s negative reading and price sitting above the 50- and 200-day averages leave room for intermittent rebounds that could attract short-term buyers testing the WMDST valuation gap. Monitor for a MACD cross above the signal line and stabilization of DI+ (reversal to increasing) as the technical conditions that would materially reduce near-term bearish pressure; sustained deterioration in interest coverage or further widening of debt-to-EBITDA should increase downside risk to the operational narrative.

About Douglas Emmett, Inc.

Douglas Emmett, Inc. (NYSE:DEI) develops and manages a substantial portfolio of high-quality office and multifamily properties. As a fully integrated real estate investment trust (REIT), the company concentrates its efforts in the prime coastal submarkets of Los Angeles and Honolulu. Douglas Emmett strategically acquires and maintains a significant share of top-tier office spaces and premier residential communities, targeting areas with limited supply, upscale executive housing, and essential lifestyle amenities. By focusing on these key locations, the company aims to provide high-demand properties that cater to the needs of discerning tenants. Douglas Emmett’s extensive experience and commitment to quality ensure that its properties meet the highest standards, contributing to the vibrant business and residential landscapes of these sought-after regions.



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