Bill Holdings, Inc (NYSE:BILL) Attracts Activists, Buyback Likely To Lift Valuation

Activist investors and a newly authorized $300 million repurchase program thrust BILL into the spotlight, while core metrics show strong gross margins and improving cash generation alongside compressed operating profitability.

Recent News

On September 4, 2025 Starboard Value disclosed an ~8–8.5% stake and signaled plans to nominate directors; Starboard formally nominated four candidates on September 8. On September 9, Elliott Investment Management reported a stake of roughly 5%, making it a second activist in the stock. BILL announced a $300 million share repurchase program on August 27, 2025. An analyst upgrade and insider share sale appeared in late June.

Technical Analysis

ADX stands at 43.56, indicating very strong trend strength; that strength increases sensitivity to catalysts such as activist nominations and repurchase execution, raising the probability of sizable near-term moves.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 37.64 with a peak-and-reversal (bearish) and DI- at 12.08 with a peak-and-reversal (bullish); that combination signals directional contention, where trend strength may amplify whichever side gains momentum after governance or buyback news.

MACD reads 2.27 with the MACD line increasing and above the 1.94 signal line, a bullish momentum crossover that supports further upside pressure in the near term.

MRO sits at 9.17 and trends higher; a positive MRO implies price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries modest reversion risk rather than strong continuation risk.

RSI at 56.8 and rising reflects mild bullish momentum without overbought conditions, consistent with price trading above its 12-day EMA ($51.46) and 20-day average ($51.55) while still below the 200-day average ($55.88).

Price slightly exceeds the 1x Bollinger upper band ($53.44) and trades just above the price12dayEMA; short-term support aligns near the SuperTrend lower level at $49.21, while the 200-day average near $55.88 serves as the next meaningful resistance level.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue registered $383,349,000 with YoY revenue growth of 9.83%, and gross margin remained strong at 80.80%, underpinning high incremental profitability on additional sales.

Operating margin measured -5.80% with operating income of -$22,249,000 and net income of -$7,072,000; EBIT totaled $1,292,000 producing an EBIT margin of 0.337%, which sits well below the industry peer mean of 34.28% and the industry peer median of 43.47%.

EPS came in at $0.53 versus an estimate of $0.41, an EPS surprise of 29.27%, showing reported per-share profitability on a non-GAAP basis despite a small GAAP net loss.

Free cash flow reached $68,479,000 and free cash flow yield stood at 1.50%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.53%, providing practical funding capacity for the $300 million repurchase program given $2,218,456,000 in cash and short-term investments on the balance sheet.

Leverage metrics highlight total debt of $1,772,842,000 and debt-to-EBITDA of 76.49; debt-to-equity at 0.45 shows moderate leverage on a book basis but elevated debt-to-EBITDA reflects low current earnings coverage.

QoQ and YoY dynamics: operating margin improved QoQ by 278.60% while operating margin YoY contracted by 258.93% (both figures expressed as provided), and asset turnover shows modest positive movement with asset turnover QoQ +4.90% and YoY +3.65%.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued. The valuation case rests on a high gross margin structure and above-peer free cash flow yield combined with sizeable cash reserves enabling share repurchases; offsetting that case, EBIT and operating margins trail the industry peer mean and median materially and leverage versus EBITDA appears stretched given current earnings.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-27
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 83.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.34 M
 Change In Working Capital 4.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 379.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.6 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 383.3 M
 Forward Revenue -722.42 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 73.6 M
 Depreciation 3.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 21.9 M
 Research and Development 90.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 405.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 309.8 M
 EBITDA 23.2 M
 EBIT 1.3 M
 Operating Income -22.25 M
 Interest Income 24.5 M
 Interest Expense 4.4 M
 Net Interest Income 20.2 M
 Income Before Tax -3.07 M
 Tax Provision 4.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -7.07 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -7.07 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.41
 EPS Actual 0.53
 EPS Difference 0.12
 EPS Surprise 29.268 %
 Forward EPS 0.52
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 10.1 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Total Current Assets 7.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.2 B
 Cash 1.0 B
 Net Receivables 32.3 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 33.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 16.3 M
 Short-Term Debt 213.4 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.6 B
 Net Debt 676.1 M
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 6.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.9 B
 Retained Earnings -1.51 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 38.00
 Shares Outstanding 103.012 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.72
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.6 B
 Enterprise Value 4.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 177.594
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -41.868 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 73.266 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 634.148
BILL: 177.594
mean: 91.157
median: 82.154
low: -577.222
 EV/R 10.738
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.571
 Asset To Liability 1.636
 Debt To Capital 0.312
 Debt To Assets 0.176
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.339 %
Debt To Assets YoY 12305.634 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.095
BILL: 0.176
mean: 0.161
median: 0.098
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.453
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.172 %
Debt To Equity YoY 14324.841 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.008
BILL: 0.453
mean: 0.299
median: 0.176
low: -0.874
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.166
Price To Book QoQ -14.472 %
Price To Book YoY -12.8 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 34.07
mean: 12.076
median: 10.727
BILL: 1.166
low: -16.218
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 83.116
Price To Earnings QoQ -19.073 %
Price To Earnings YoY -8.566 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 564.562
mean: 139.108
median: 130.187
BILL: 83.116
low: -357.639
 PE/G Ratio 13.853
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.9
Price To Sales QoQ -19.18 %
Price To Sales YoY -25.99 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 113.355
median: 48.199
mean: 45.704
BILL: 11.9
low: 1.219
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 90.548
Forward PE/G 15.091
Forward P/S -6.315
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -17.607
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.039
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.904 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.647 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.416
mean: 0.13
median: 0.129
BILL: 0.039
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 12.994
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.795 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.536 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA BILL: 12.994
high: 4.366
mean: 1.421
median: 1.257
low: 0.131
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 7.022
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.145
 CapEx To Revenue -0.04
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.853
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Working Capital 2.7 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.483
 Current Ratio 1.578
Current Ratio QoQ -6.848 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.5 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.787
mean: 1.695
BILL: 1.578
median: 1.353
low: 0.079
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 76.488
 Cost Of Debt 0.194 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.296
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -125.921 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -88.302 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 181.115
median: 54.034
mean: 37.81
BILL: 0.296
low: -372.737
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.004
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 17.374
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.478 %
 Revenue Growth 7.016 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -686.622 %
Revenue Growth YoY 9.831 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.808 %
median: 9.099 %
BILL: 7.016 %
mean: 6.945 %
low: -21.897 %
 Earnings Growth 6.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -156.001 %
Earnings Growth YoY -220.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
BILL: 6.0 %
median: 5.491 %
mean: 4.775 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 80.804 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.533 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.276 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.297 %
BILL: 80.804 %
mean: 72.317 %
median: 68.585 %
low: 33.069 %
 EBIT Margin 0.337 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -121.983 %
EBIT Margin YoY -90.772 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 74.313 %
median: 43.473 %
mean: 34.276 %
BILL: 0.337 %
low: -124.558 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -5.804 %
Return On Sales QoQ 278.604 %
Return On Sales YoY -258.927 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.082 %
median: 44.901 %
mean: 34.04 %
BILL: -5.804 %
low: -117.376 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 68.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.501 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -12.529 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 13.454 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.936 %
BILL: 1.501 %
median: 0.694 %
mean: 0.528 %
low: -13.154 %
 Free Cash Growth -24.353 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -178.682 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -239.136 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 278.713 %
median: 25.957 %
mean: 12.202 %
BILL: -24.353 %
low: -316.997 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -9.683
 Cash Flow Margin 4.207 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -2.28
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.072 %
Return On Assets QoQ -40.0 %
Return On Assets YoY -186.747 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 14.05 %
median: 4.609 %
mean: 3.677 %
BILL: -0.072 %
low: -24.058 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.024 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.002
Return On Equity QoQ -39.465 %
Return On Equity YoY -198.37 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.214
median: 0.079
mean: 0.07
BILL: -0.002
low: -0.337
 DuPont ROE -0.182 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.018 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -123.077 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.258 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.534 %
median: 7.176 %
mean: 5.543 %
BILL: 0.018 %
low: -13.655 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect elevated volatility as activist filings, board nominations, and execution of the $300M repurchase program interact with modest bullish momentum signals. Momentum indicators (MACD crossover, rising RSI, price above short-term averages) favor near-term upside toward the 200-day average and analyst target dispersion, but a positive MRO warns of limited upside without follow-through. News flow—acceptance of nominees, buyback cadence, or additional activist actions—likely dictates directional conviction; absent a clear governance resolution, price may oscillate between the short-term support band near $49 and resistance near $56–$56.

About Bill Holdings, Inc.

BILL Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BILL) designs comprehensive financial technology solutions tailored for small and midsize businesses worldwide. Based in San Jose, California, the company develops a robust platform that streamlines accounts payable and receivable processes, enhancing business transactions and connectivity with suppliers and customers. BILL Holdings leverages automation to eliminate traditional expense reports and optimize cash flow management, thereby increasing operational efficiency. Their cloud-based payments and spend management tools deliver a seamless user experience, supported by extensive onboarding, implementation, and ongoing support services. By integrating advanced artificial intelligence, BILL Holdings’ platform strengthens relationships between suppliers and clients, making it an essential tool for accounting firms, financial institutions, and software companies. Since its founding in 2006, the company has consistently advanced its offerings, rebranding from Bill.com Holdings, Inc. to BILL Holdings, Inc. in February 2023, to better reflect its innovative approach and growth in the dynamic fintech industry.



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