Modine Manufacturing Company (NYSE:MOD) Accelerates U.S. Data Center Capacity With $100M Investment

Momentum in data‑center demand drives a clear operational buildout while valuation measures signal elevated price risk. Corporate expansion and positive momentum indicators create a bifurcated near‑term outlook.

Recent News

July 29, 2025 — Modine announced a $100 million program to expand U.S. manufacturing capacity for Airedale by Modine™ data‑center cooling products, targeting new and expanded sites including the Dallas area and Grenada, MS, with a 12–18 month timeline. June 24, 2025 — industry press reported Modine’s $38 million expansion at its Grenada, Mississippi facility to boost chiller production and testing capacity. August 8, 2025 — Zacks Equity Research named Modine a Bull of the Day, highlighting the company’s recent operational updates and capacity investments.

Technical Analysis

ADX reads 31.79, indicating a strong directional trend that validates recent momentum rather than sideways action.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 30.87 with a peak & reversal pattern, which signals a bearish read for DI+ (DI+ decreasing). DI‑ stands at 16.15 with a peak & reversal pattern, which signals a bullish read for DI‑ (DI‑ decreasing). Those opposing DI signals create short‑term directional tension beneath the stronger ADX reading.

MACD sits at 6.24 and trends increasing while the MACD signal equals 5.82; the MACD currently crosses above the signal line, producing a bullish momentum signal that supports higher near‑term price pressure.

MRO registers 6.07 and shows a peak & reversal pattern; the positive MRO indicates price trades above the WMDST target and therefore carries heightened mean‑reversion risk toward the target level despite current momentum.

RSI measures 63.65 with a dip & reversal pattern; momentum strength favors further upside but not a clearly overbought extreme, which leaves room for additional advance before technical exhaustion.

Price momentum shows multiple bullish confirmations: the 12‑day EMA at $146.14 trends higher and price closed at $152.48, above the 20‑day average of $142.92 and the 50‑day average of $126.59; the chikou span sits above the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing price leadership on longer frames. Bollinger parameters place the 1x upper band at $151.59 and the 2x upper band at $160.27; price near the 1x upper band signals strength but also proximity to a volatility boundary.

Volume at 736,242 registers below the 10‑day and 50/200‑day averages, suggesting the latest price push lacks broad trading participation, which raises sensitivity to reversal if buying interest fails to reaccelerate.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $682,800,000 for the period ending 2025‑06‑30, while net income reached $51,700,000. YoY revenue growth reads -42.76%, while an alternate revenue growth metric reports 5.50%; treat each metric as reported. EPS actual reached $1.06 against an estimate of $0.92, producing an EPS surprise of +15.22%.

Operating performance shows EBIT of $71,500,000 and EBITDA of $90,500,000. EBIT margin equals 10.47%, which sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 10.67% but above the industry peer median of 9.65%, indicating operating profitability roughly in line with peers. Gross margin measures 24.22%, above the industry peer mean of 21.76%.

Liquidity metrics present a current ratio of 2.06 and a quick ratio of 1.28, both above the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.61 and close to the peer quick ratio mean of 1.48, reflecting a conservative near‑term liquidity posture. Cash and short‑term investments total $124,500,000 while net debt sits at $402,600,000.

Leverage and coverage: debt to assets equals 23.65%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 22.70%, while debt to equity equals 0.52, below the industry peer mean of 0.67. Interest coverage reads 12.33x, below the industry peer mean of 15.08x but still indicating ample coverage of interest expense.

Profitability ROE at 5.06% falls under the industry peer mean of 6.24%, while ROA at 2.47% slightly exceeds the industry peer mean of 2.42%. Asset turnover equals 0.329, marginally below the peer mean of 0.360. Free cash flow registered only $200,000, producing a free cash flow yield near 0.0% and free cash flow growth strongly negative, which creates tension between reported earnings and cash generation.

Valuation displays elevated multiples across metrics: P/E at 90.33x, forward P/E at 78.74x, P/B at 6.12x, and P/S at 9.06x—each above many peer means. The current WMDST valuation labels the stock as over‑valued, a conclusion that aligns with the high multiples and the minimal free cash flow yield. The mean analyst price target at $142.48 sits below the latest close of $152.48, reinforcing valuation pressure from a market‑target perspective.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-18
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 71.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 27.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -27.50 M
 Change In Working Capital -51.60 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 52.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow 124.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 682.8 M
 Forward Revenue 207.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 517.4 M
 Depreciation 19.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 602.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 165.4 M
 EBITDA 90.5 M
 EBIT 71.5 M
 Operating Income 80.5 M
 Interest Income 500.0 K
 Interest Expense 5.8 M
 Net Interest Income -5.30 M
 Income Before Tax 65.7 M
 Tax Provision 14.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.3 %
 Net Income 51.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 51.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.92
 EPS Actual 1.06
 EPS Difference 0.14
 EPS Surprise 15.217 %
 Forward EPS 1.19
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.2 B
 Intangible Assets 467.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 544.5 M
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 124.5 M
 Cash 124.5 M
 Net Receivables 516.6 M
 Inventory 434.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 121.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 340.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 45.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 561.9 M
 Net Debt 402.6 M
 Total Debt 527.1 M
 Total Liabilities 1.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.0 B
 Retained Earnings 894.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.28
 Shares Outstanding 52.500 M
 Revenue Per-Share 13.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.2 B
 Enterprise Value 6.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 72.814
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 32.299 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 30.237 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 95.131
MOD: 72.814
median: 52.235
mean: 50.395
low: -67.628
 EV/R 9.651
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.203
 Asset To Liability 1.842
 Debt To Capital 0.343
 Debt To Assets 0.237
Debt To Assets QoQ 29.294 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1361.867 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.774
median: 0.257
MOD: 0.237
mean: 0.227
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.521
Debt To Equity QoQ 35.209 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1260.245 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.025
median: 0.704
mean: 0.669
MOD: 0.521
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 6.117
Price To Book QoQ 17.315 %
Price To Book YoY -8.204 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.918
MOD: 6.117
mean: 5.71
median: 4.996
low: -0.322
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 90.327
Price To Earnings QoQ 11.646 %
Price To Earnings YoY -6.299 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 293.534
MOD: 90.327
mean: 83.012
median: 76.689
low: -53.717
 PE/G Ratio -16.862
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.061
Price To Sales QoQ 23.574 %
Price To Sales YoY 14.099 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 23.152
MOD: 9.061
mean: 6.167
median: 5.911
low: 0.284
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 78.74
Forward PE/G -14.698
Forward P/S 29.842
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -0.151
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.329
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.644 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -7.441 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.628
mean: 0.36
median: 0.348
MOD: 0.329
low: 0.014
 Receivables Turnover 1.372
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.419 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -10.726 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.98
mean: 1.795
median: 1.728
MOD: 1.372
low: 0.173
 Inventory Turnover 1.334
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.075 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -5.356 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 34.314
mean: 15.996
median: 7.771
MOD: 1.334
low: 0.368
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 66.52
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 80.258
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 3.525 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 8.426 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 187.155
MOD: 80.258
mean: 50.985
median: 50.272
low: -27.376
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.15
 CapEx To Revenue -0.04
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.447
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.5 B
 Invested Capital 1.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 544.5 M
 Net Working Capital 593.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.222
 Current Ratio 2.056
Current Ratio QoQ 15.733 %
Current Ratio YoY 14.378 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.952
MOD: 2.056
mean: 1.61
median: 1.395
low: 0.093
 Quick Ratio 1.282
Quick Ratio QoQ 11.848 %
Quick Ratio YoY 15.619 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.807
mean: 1.477
MOD: 1.282
median: 1.186
low: 0.088
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.824
 Cost Of Debt 1.04 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 12.328
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -9.381 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 24.773 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 49.953
mean: 15.078
MOD: 12.328
median: 7.686
low: -23.759
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.022
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 59.809
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 16.213 %
 Revenue Growth 5.501 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 11.605 %
Revenue Growth YoY -42.764 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 83.442 %
mean: 14.103 %
median: 11.3 %
MOD: 5.501 %
low: -29.363 %
 Earnings Growth -5.357 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -124.642 %
Earnings Growth YoY -115.277 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 192.157 %
mean: 36.948 %
median: 27.757 %
MOD: -5.357 %
low: -129.268 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 24.224 %
Gross Margin QoQ -5.556 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.448 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 53.284 %
MOD: 24.224 %
median: 22.54 %
mean: 21.757 %
low: 1.408 %
 EBIT Margin 10.472 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -5.996 %
EBIT Margin YoY -6.517 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 25.6 %
mean: 10.666 %
MOD: 10.472 %
median: 9.646 %
low: -4.933 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 11.79 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.835 %
Return On Sales YoY 5.249 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.639 %
MOD: 11.79 %
mean: 10.264 %
median: 9.505 %
low: -4.372 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 200.0 K
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.0 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -100.0 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -100.0 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.236 %
mean: 1.093 %
median: 1.028 %
MOD: 0.0 %
low: -18.993 %
 Free Cash Growth -99.262 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 152.1 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -76.287 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 289.595 %
median: 7.663 %
mean: -60.871 %
MOD: -99.262 %
low: -337.942 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.004
 Cash Flow Margin -1.787 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.238
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.47 %
Return On Assets QoQ -6.687 %
Return On Assets YoY -2.909 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.275 %
MOD: 2.47 %
mean: 2.42 %
median: 1.947 %
low: -8.889 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.29 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.051
Return On Equity QoQ -7.102 %
Return On Equity YoY -15.619 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.152
mean: 0.062
median: 0.053
MOD: 0.051
low: -0.23
 DuPont ROE 5.329 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.657 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -14.715 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.935 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.354 %
mean: 5.352 %
median: 4.156 %
MOD: 3.657 %
low: -5.909 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term momentum favors upside: MACD crossed above its signal, ADX signals a strong trend, and short‑term EMAs track higher, suggesting a continued bias toward higher prices while momentum remains supported. Simultaneously, positive MRO and elevated valuation multiples create a heightened probability for mean reversion or tightening consolidation if buying volume fails to strengthen. Low relative volume on recent advances increases sensitivity to profit‑taking that could trigger swift pullbacks to moving‑average support. Traders should monitor momentum confirmation versus evidence of distribution rather than rely on valuation as a timing tool.

About Modine Manufacturing Company

Modine Manufacturing Company (NYSE:MOD) designs and delivers advanced thermal management solutions across a global landscape. Headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin, Modine operates through two primary segments: Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies. The company crafts a wide array of heat transfer products, including heat recovery and round tube plate fin coils, as well as various unit heaters powered by gas, hydronic, electric, and oil. Modine’s product line extends to roof-mounted makeup air units, duct furnaces, and infrared units, serving diverse heating and cooling needs. In the realm of data centers, Modine provides precision air conditioning units, computer room air handlers, and liquid cooling solutions for high-density computing environments. Their expertise also encompasses powertrain cooling products, such as radiators, condensers, and engine cooling modules, alongside battery thermal management systems crucial for modern electric vehicles. With a legacy dating back to 1916, Modine Manufacturing Company maintains a robust presence in markets across the United States, Europe, and Asia, consistently innovating to meet the evolving demands of thermal management in various industries.



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