Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Returns To Profitability And Prepares For Contract-Driven Growth

Positive operating cash flow and renewed net income underpin a constructive near-term posture, while technical signals and stretched valuation create mixed momentum for the coming weeks.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.57 indicates no established trend, implying price action may remain range-bound unless momentum indicators push ADX above the 20–25 threshold that signals an emerging trend.

DI+ at 17.05 has crossed below DI-, which stands at 21.59; that move reads as bearish directional pressure and favors downside momentum over the immediate term relative to valuation.

MACD sits at -0.15 after a dip and reversal, while the signal line rests at -0.07. The MACD reversal signals improving momentum, but the negative MACD and its position below the signal line temper that improvement and limit conviction for sustained upside.

MRO at 18.82 has peaked and reversed; that level indicates price currently sits above the model target and faces likely downward pressure absent fresh supportive flows.

RSI of 49.37 shows neutral momentum and a dip and reversal pattern; this suggests the potential for modest upward movement but not a definitive trend extension.

Price behavior places the close at $16.45, crossing above the -1x standard deviation Bollinger band and trading above the 200-day average of $13.95, while the 12-day EMA trends decreasing. That configuration supports short-term resilience around current levels but lacks confirmation of a sustained advance.

Volume at 463,567 trails the 10‑day and 50‑day averages, reducing the market’s conviction behind recent moves and increasing the chance of choppy trading around prevailing technical levels.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue stands at $102,889,000. YoY revenue growth registered at -26.05% while the most recent revenueGrowth metric shows -12.65%, reflecting top-line contraction on both annual and shorter horizons.

Gross margin reached 55.11%, improving by 12.42% YoY, which supports operating leverage even as revenue declined. Operating margin equals 11.48% with an operating margin year-over-year change of -205.57%, and EBIT margin at 11.22% with an EBIT margin year-over-year change of -203.14%—margins remain positive but show material year-over-year variation.

Net income totaled $8,248,000 and operating cash flow produced $11,364,000, while free cash flow recorded a deficit of -$1,680,000. Cash balances sit at $9,228,000 and beginning-to-end period cash flow movement shows a net improvement in liquidity during the period, supporting near-term obligations despite negative free cash flow.

Debt metrics: total debt equals $55,420,000 with debt-to-EBITDA of 3.24 and debt-to-equity of 45.37%; interest coverage sits at 3.50. Those leverage figures indicate manageable coverage but a meaningful leverage load versus earnings in stress scenarios.

Working capital and liquidity ratios show compression: current ratio at 0.67 and quick ratio at 0.26, with net working capital of -$69,381,000. The low current and quick ratios heighten short-term liquidity sensitivity despite improved operating cash flow.

Valuation multiples remain elevated. Price-to-book at 5.77 sits above the industry peer mean of 1.73 and near the industry peer high of 5.82, while forward P/E at 226.55 and enterprise multiple at 43.99 reflect stretched expectations versus historical earnings capacity. WMDST values the stock as over-valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-10
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 16.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 11.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -13.04 M
 Change In Working Capital 24.5 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 16.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 32.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 102.9 M
 Forward Revenue 9.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 46.2 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 91.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 56.7 M
 EBITDA 17.1 M
 EBIT 11.5 M
 Operating Income 11.8 M
 Interest Income -524.00 K
 Interest Expense 3.3 M
 Net Interest Income -3.82 M
 Income Before Tax 8.2 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income 8.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 8.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.07
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 409.5 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 122.2 M
 Total Current Assets 139.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 9.2 M
 Cash 9.2 M
 Net Receivables 18.7 M
 Inventory 86.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 4.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 31.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 209.3 M
 Net Debt 16.8 M
 Total Debt 55.4 M
 Total Liabilities 287.4 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 122.2 M
 Retained Earnings -67.21 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 2.84
 Shares Outstanding 42.978 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.39
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 705.3 M
 Enterprise Value 751.5 M
 Enterprise Multiple 43.987
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 114.308 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -51.06 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 116.188
HNRG: 43.987
median: 32.257
mean: 30.672
low: -55.05
 EV/R 7.304
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.352
 Asset To Liability 1.425
 Debt To Capital 0.312
 Debt To Assets 0.135
Debt To Assets QoQ 41.751 %
Debt To Assets YoY 233.489 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.875
median: 0.478
mean: 0.38
HNRG: 0.135
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.454
Debt To Equity QoQ 49.723 %
Debt To Equity YoY 493.991 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.204
median: 1.386
mean: 1.122
HNRG: 0.454
low: -1.19
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.774
Price To Book QoQ 21.014 %
Price To Book YoY 470.073 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.817
HNRG: 5.774
median: 1.748
mean: 1.727
low: -2.823
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 6.855
Price To Sales QoQ 46.709 %
Price To Sales YoY 94.615 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 53.325
mean: 9.031
median: 7.99
HNRG: 6.855
low: 0.06
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 226.554
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 77.961
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.995
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.265
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -17.197 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 72.268 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.337
HNRG: 0.265
median: 0.092
mean: 0.092
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 6.569
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -21.862 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 20.405 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.033
HNRG: 6.569
mean: 2.281
median: 2.09
low: 0.6
 Inventory Turnover 0.568
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.352 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -13.007 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 23.002
mean: 6.606
median: 6.498
HNRG: 0.568
low: 0.051
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 13.89
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 109.173
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -29.072 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 76.738 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA HNRG: 109.173
high: 81.332
median: 4.142
mean: -10.07
low: -128.225
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.483
 CapEx To Revenue -0.127
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 148.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 148.2 M
 Invested Capital 148.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 122.2 M
 Net Working Capital -69.38 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.044
 Current Ratio 0.668
Current Ratio QoQ 10.552 %
Current Ratio YoY 25.791 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.099
mean: 1.116
median: 0.748
HNRG: 0.668
low: 0.062
 Quick Ratio 0.256
Quick Ratio QoQ 48.082 %
Quick Ratio YoY 57.09 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.73
mean: 0.958
median: 0.652
HNRG: 0.256
low: 0.024
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 3.244
 Cost Of Debt 7.094 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.503
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -14.416 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -217.824 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 53.876
mean: 8.744
median: 3.541
HNRG: 3.503
low: -16.867
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.011
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 51.961
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 11.859 %
 Revenue Growth -12.648 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -150.564 %
Revenue Growth YoY -26.052 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 49.139 %
median: -8.459 %
mean: -8.748 %
HNRG: -12.648 %
low: -36.994 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 55.107 %
Gross Margin QoQ -3.622 %
Gross Margin YoY 12.424 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.166 %
HNRG: 55.107 %
mean: 39.588 %
median: 38.132 %
low: -6.422 %
 EBIT Margin 11.219 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 0.071 %
EBIT Margin YoY -203.144 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 116.328 %
mean: 33.342 %
median: 30.183 %
HNRG: 11.219 %
low: -68.326 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 11.483 %
Return On Sales QoQ 2.426 %
Return On Sales YoY -205.571 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 95.08 %
mean: 25.802 %
median: 22.871 %
HNRG: 11.483 %
low: -20.431 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -1.68 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.238 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -104.901 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -107.362 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.402 %
median: 1.594 %
mean: 1.495 %
HNRG: -0.238 %
low: -11.887 %
 Free Cash Growth -106.286 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -1840.681 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -117.94 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 182.182 %
mean: -7.771 %
median: -19.008 %
HNRG: -106.286 %
low: -264.064 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.204
 Cash Flow Margin -2.276 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.284
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.127 %
Return On Assets QoQ -21.657 %
Return On Assets YoY -223.019 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 9.576 %
HNRG: 2.127 %
mean: 1.506 %
median: 1.172 %
low: -11.591 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.764 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.068
Return On Equity QoQ -21.951 %
Return On Equity YoY -309.235 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.111
HNRG: 0.068
median: 0.037
mean: 0.033
low: -0.277
 DuPont ROE 6.945 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a narrow-to-moderate trading range biased by mixed signals: technicals show no strong trend (ADX <20) with directional indicators favoring downside (DI+ below DI-), while MACD’s reversal and an RSI dip-and-reversal offer limited upside hooks. Price sitting above the 200‑day average provides structural support, but the positive MRO and elevated valuation multiples increase downside risk if momentum fails to firm.

Short-term catalysts to monitor include confirmation of contract negotiations and any material shift in operating cash flow or liquidity. Until clear momentum builds, price action will likely alternate between tests of support near short-term moving averages and brief rallies capped by valuation-sensitive selling.

About Hallador Energy Company

Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) develops and produces steam coal, primarily for electric power generation. Based in Terre Haute, Indiana, Hallador operates key mining facilities including Oaktown Mines 1 and 2, Freelandville Center Pit, and Prosperity Surface mine. These strategically located sites enable efficient service to the Midwest’s energy needs. Beyond coal production, Hallador diversifies its energy offerings through gas exploration activities. The company also manages a logistics transport facility to ensure reliable delivery of energy resources. Established in 1949, Hallador Energy Company has a longstanding presence in the energy sector, adapting to market changes while emphasizing responsible resource management. As the energy industry evolves, Hallador pursues innovative solutions to meet the demand for sustainable energy, maintaining its role as a dependable partner for electric power generation.



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