Gentherm Incorporated (NASDAQ:THRM) Accelerates Buybacks And M&A, Pressuring Near-Term Valuation

Near-term signals favor consolidation with a downside tilt as corporate deal activity and recent medical wins shift growth composition; fundamentals show improving margins but cash-flow stress and high valuation present headwinds.

Recent News

On July 20, 2026 Gentherm announced FDA 510(k) clearance for its ThermAffyx™ Patient Safety System. On July 22, 2026 the company completed acquisition of Innovative Medical Equipment, LLC (ThermaZone®), expanding the medical product portfolio and distribution channels. On September 10, 2026 Gentherm shareholders approved the proposed combination with Modine’s Performance Technologies business, with the transaction expected to close in early October 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 15.57 indicates no established trend; this low strength limits potential for large, sustained directional moves and supports a consolidation-biased outlook tied to valuation pressure.

Directional indicators display bearish bias: DI+ at 23.27 trending down while DI- at 26.23 shows a dip-and-reversal (DI- increasing), a combination that historically signals sellers gaining control and reinforces near-term downside pressure on price.

MACD sits negative at -1.06, below its signal line (-0.56) and trending lower, signaling declining momentum and increasing probability of continued short-term selling pressure relative to recent levels.

MRO registers 3.82 and is decreasing; the positive MRO implies price currently sits above modeled target, favoring a move lower toward equilibrium and adding technical pressure that complements the MACD signal.

RSI at 46.1 and falling reflects weakening internals without reaching oversold territory, consistent with rotational selling and suggesting limited immediate rebound risk absent fresh catalysts.

Price trades below key short-term averages (12-day EMA $37.03, 20-day avg $37.81, 50-day avg $39.80) and sits near the lower Bollinger band (lower 1x $35.75, lower 2x $33.70), which together imply the stock remains under distribution and vulnerable to further pullback while volatility stays moderate.

Ichimoku components (Tenkan $37.09, Kijun $38.86, Senkou A $41.29, Senkou B $40.66) keep price under the cloud, reinforcing bearish technical posture that weighs on the near-term outlook relative to the current valuation.

Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT equals $10,614,000, producing an EBIT margin of 2.55%, which trails the industry peer mean of 10.68% and the industry peer median of 6.36%. QoQ margin change tightened by -2.04% while YoY EBIT margin expanded +45.47%, indicating improving margin leverage versus one year ago but still below peer centroids.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue reached $416,166,000. YoY revenue growth stands at -4.93% while QoQ growth reads +100.04% (as provided), a sequence that reflects recent timing effects and transactional activity rather than steady organic expansion; the reported revenue growth of 5.71% sits marginally above the industry peer mean of 4.16% on the provided composite metric.

Cash flow and balance sheet: Cash and short-term investments total $213,173,000 against total debt of $325,080,000 and reported net debt of $60,085,000. Operating cash flow showed $7,315,000 while free cash flow came in negative at -$1,487,000, producing a free cash flow yield of -0.14% and an abrupt free cash flow decline year-over-year (-86.10%). Current and quick ratios sit at 2.06 and 1.49 respectively, supporting near-term liquidity, but debt-to-EBITDA at 12.93 raises leverage concerns relative to profitability levels.

Returns and margins: Gross margin equals 23.17% while operating margin measures 4.00% and return on equity registers 0.61%, all implying modest conversion of revenue into shareholder returns. Return-on-invested-capital stands low at 0.64% despite YoY improvements noted in the return series.

Valuation and earnings: Reported EPS of $0.75 beat the $0.56 estimate by $0.19, an EPS surprise of +33.93%. Trailing P/E sits at 45.65 while forward P/E approximates 43.22; P/E exceeds the industry peer mean of 41.10, reflecting a multiple premium. Price-to-book at 1.45 falls slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.65 and the industry peer median of 1.49. EV/revenue of 2.79 and an enterprise multiple of 46.22 both suggest a valuation rich relative to current cash-flow generation. The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, rates the stock over-valued.

Net assessment: Improving YoY margin trends and recurring medical product wins (FDA clearance, IME acquisition) support medium-term revenue diversification, but negative free cash flow, elevated debt-to-EBITDA, low returns, and high earnings multiples create a structural disconnect between price and financial cash-generation capacity that underpins the WMDST over-valued determination.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow $ 177.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow $ 7.3 M
 Capital Expenditures $ -8.80 M
 Change In Working Capital $ -14.94 M
 Dividends Paid —
 Cash Flow Delta $ 35.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow $ 213.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue $ 416.2 M
 Forward Revenue $ 588.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue $ 319.7 M
 Depreciation $ 14.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization $ 14.5 M
 Research and Development $ 24.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses $ 399.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit $ 96.4 M
 EBITDA $ 25.1 M
 EBIT $ 10.6 M
 Operating Income $ 16.7 M
 Interest Income —
 Interest Expense $ 3.3 M
 Net Interest Income $ -3.29 M
 Income Before Tax $ 7.3 M
 Tax Provision $ 2.9 M
 Tax Rate 39.7 %
 Net Income $ 4.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations $ 4.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 0.56
 EPS Actual $ 0.75
 EPS Difference $ 0.19
 EPS Surprise 33.929 %
 Forward EPS $ 0.82
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets $ 1.5 B
 Intangible Assets $ 156.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets $ 566.3 M
 Total Current Assets $ 880.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments $ 213.2 M
 Cash $ 213.2 M
 Net Receivables $ 338.9 M
 Inventory $ 244.5 M
 Long-Term Investments $ 43.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable $ 270.4 M
 Short-Term Debt $ 868.0 K
 Total Current Liabilities $ 426.3 M
 Net Debt $ 60.1 M
 Total Debt $ 325.1 M
 Total Liabilities $ 770.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity $ 723.1 M
 Retained Earnings $ 722.7 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share $ 23.58
 Shares Outstanding 30.667 M
 Revenue Per-Share $ 13.57
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization $ 1.0 B
 Enterprise Value $ 1.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 46.217
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 9.395 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -19.681 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 64.556
THRM: 46.217
mean: 26.012
median: 21.535
low: -4.974
 EV/R 2.792
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.065
 Asset To Liability 1.939
 Debt To Capital 0.31
 Debt To Assets 0.218
Debt To Assets QoQ 13.883 %
Debt To Assets YoY 9.694 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.514
THRM: 0.218
median: 0.207
mean: 0.196
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.45
Debt To Equity QoQ 17.794 %
Debt To Equity YoY 16.425 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.46
median: 0.55
mean: 0.523
THRM: 0.45
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.452
Price To Book QoQ 10.932 %
Price To Book YoY 2.236 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.579
mean: 1.651
median: 1.49
THRM: 1.452
low: 0.32
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 45.645
Price To Earnings QoQ 25.397 %
Price To Earnings YoY -96.873 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 84.947
THRM: 45.645
mean: 41.1
median: 34.621
low: -39.387
 PE/G Ratio -4.26
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.523
Price To Sales QoQ 5.92 %
Price To Sales YoY -4.777 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 8.699
mean: 3.217
THRM: 2.523
median: 2.11
low: 0.408
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 43.22
Forward PE/G -4.034
Forward P/S 1.834
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.628
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.285
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.204 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.683 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.437
median: 0.33
mean: 0.297
THRM: 0.285
low: 0.085
 Receivables Turnover 1.289
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.749 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.552 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.706
mean: 1.543
median: 1.426
THRM: 1.289
low: 0.313
 Inventory Turnover 1.275
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.601 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 8.231 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.046
median: 2.35
mean: 1.902
THRM: 1.275
low: 0.302
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 70.814
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 63.749
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.092 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -6.537 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 354.739
mean: 92.336
THRM: 63.749
median: 35.809
low: -84.237
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.917
 CapEx To Revenue -0.021
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.606
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital $ 995.5 M
 Net Invested Capital $ 996.4 M
 Invested Capital $ 996.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets $ 566.3 M
 Net Working Capital $ 453.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.5
 Current Ratio 2.064
Current Ratio QoQ 4.551 %
Current Ratio YoY 2.545 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.547
THRM: 2.064
mean: 2.02
median: 1.314
low: 1.097
 Quick Ratio 1.491
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.58 %
Quick Ratio YoY 10.083 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.269
THRM: 1.491
mean: 1.163
median: 1.044
low: 0.386
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 12.932
 Cost Of Debt 0.607 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.226
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -17.103 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 98.317 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 90.145
mean: 23.203
median: 17.189
THRM: 3.226
low: -26.005
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.017
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 84.241
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio —
 Dividend Payout Ratio —
 Dividend Rate —
 Dividend Yield —
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.398 %
 Revenue Growth 5.705 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 100.035 %
Revenue Growth YoY -4.933 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 29.646 %
median: 5.77 %
THRM: 5.705 %
mean: 4.161 %
low: -20.847 %
 Earnings Growth -10.714 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -115.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY -88.849 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 128.889 %
mean: 27.57 %
median: 20.833 %
THRM: -10.714 %
low: -169.388 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 23.17 %
Gross Margin QoQ -6.175 %
Gross Margin YoY -3.18 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 46.13 %
THRM: 23.17 %
mean: 21.779 %
median: 14.681 %
low: 5.981 %
 EBIT Margin 2.55 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -2.036 %
EBIT Margin YoY 45.465 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 30.639 %
mean: 10.682 %
median: 6.361 %
THRM: 2.55 %
low: 1.186 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.002 %
Return On Sales QoQ -12.352 %
Return On Sales YoY -42.525 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 21.757 %
mean: 9.311 %
median: 5.601 %
THRM: 4.002 %
low: 1.152 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) $ -1.49 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.142 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -87.544 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -103.948 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.542 %
median: 3.731 %
mean: 3.62 %
THRM: -0.142 %
low: -6.473 %
 Free Cash Growth -86.095 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -67.921 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -61.91 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 306.531 %
median: 42.795 %
THRM: -86.095 %
mean: -156.339 %
low: -1186.038 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.336
 Cash Flow Margin -1.695 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -1.596
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added $ 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.302 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1.342 %
Return On Assets YoY 762.857 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.161 %
mean: 1.804 %
median: 1.49 %
THRM: 0.302 %
low: -1.323 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.995 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.006
Return On Equity QoQ 3.735 %
Return On Equity YoY 798.529 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.059
median: 0.04
mean: 0.039
THRM: 0.006
low: -0.053
 DuPont ROE 0.614 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.643 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -2.131 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 12.413 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.649 %
mean: 3.421 %
median: 3.102 %
THRM: 0.643 %
low: 0.287 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-window bias favors consolidation with a downside tilt. Weak ADX reduces likelihood of strong trend continuation, but converging bearish signals—declining MACD below its signal, DI- reversal, price beneath short-term EMAs, and positive but falling MRO—point to further pressure on the stock relative to its current valuation. Corporate catalysts (integration of IME and completion of the Modine Performance Technologies combination) could re-rate sentiment if they materially alter cash flow trajectories, yet absent immediate cash-flow improvement the technical setup suggests range-bound trading with a downside bias while the market digests deal execution and medical commercialization milestones.

About Gentherm Incorporated

Gentherm Incorporated (NASDAQ:THRM) designs and manufactures thermal management and pneumatic comfort technologies for diverse markets, including automotive and medical sectors, both in the United States and internationally. The company segments its operations into Automotive and Medical. In the Automotive segment, Gentherm develops climate comfort systems, such as seat heaters, thermoelectric devices for climate-controlled seating, and steering wheel heaters, enhancing passenger comfort. It integrates electronic components, including electronic control units, and offers climate solutions for various vehicle components like door panels and cupholders. Additionally, Gentherm provides battery performance solutions, encompassing cell connecting devices and battery cable technologies, as well as thermal management products for heating and cooling applications. The company also offers lumbar and massage comfort solutions, automotive cable systems, and valve systems for fuel management and other automotive applications. The Medical segment delivers patient temperature management systems, catering to healthcare needs. Established in 1991 and headquartered in Northville, Michigan, Gentherm continues to serve original equipment manufacturers, tier 1 suppliers, and aftermarket distributors, maintaining a focus on innovative comfort and thermal solutions.



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