GDS Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GDS) Shows Mixed Fundamentals but Technical Signals Favor Near‑Term Rebound

GDS reports a firm capital base and a large cash position while margins and leverage present valuation headwinds; technicals point toward a short-term buying bias that could test the current WMDST valuation of over‑valued.

Recent News

On July 28, 2026 the company published its 2025 sustainability report, outlining progress on emissions, energy efficiency and facility upgrades. Multiple Form 6‑K filings since late July disclose corporate governance and voting‑matter updates, including a July 30 filing and additional corporate notices in August and early September.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 13.89 signals no dominant trend; DI+ at 25.95 experienced a peak and reversal, which reads as a bearish shift for directional strength while DI‑ at 22.28 decreasing reads as bullish — the net directional picture remains non‑trending but tilted toward short‑term support.

MACD: MACD sits at -0.06 above its signal line (-0.26), a bullish crossover despite the negative absolute MACD value; that crossover serves as an immediate bullish momentum signal for near‑term price action.

MRO: MRO at -4.69 places price below the regression target, implying upside potential toward the model target level; the MRO reading supports mean‑reversion toward fair value.

RSI: RSI at 48.76 with a peak-and-reversal reads as momentum cooling from a recent high and consolidating near neutral, consistent with a base‑building phase ahead of a directional move.

Price structure and volatility: Price closed at $33.11, near the 20‑day average $31.58 and below the 200‑day average $37.73; 20‑day Bollinger bands sit between $30.26 and $32.90, so recent price action occupies the upper half of the short‑term band and leaves room to retest the 200‑day average on a stronger move. Beta (42‑day 2.27; 52‑week 2.03) indicates above‑average sensitivity to market swings; average volume compares lower than 50‑ and 200‑day norms, suggesting muted conviction in recent moves.

Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT of $458.06M and EBITDA of $1.309B deliver an EBIT margin of 14.83%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 15.06% and below the industry peer median of 16.20%. QoQ EBIT margin change registers -50.26% while YoY change registers +1.18%, indicating volatile quarterly margin compression against modest year‑over‑year improvement.

Revenue and growth: Reported total revenue equals $3.08795B with revenue growth at -8.29%. The provided QoQ and YoY growth figures show significant quarterly contraction but an overall decline year‑over‑year per the data supplied; operating leverage measures high, and operating margin sits at 14.22% with QoQ decline of -47.26%.

Cash flow and liquidity: Cash and short‑term investments total $14.93B with operating cash flow of $1.416B and free cash flow of $166.49M (free cash flow yield ~0.31%). The cash conversion ratio equals 29.97% and the cash ratio at 1.13 supports near‑term liquidity despite meaningful capex of $1.2498B.

Leverage and capital structure: Total debt $47.378B and net debt $24.217B produce debt‑to‑EBITDA of 36.18 and debt‑to‑equity of 161.86%, indicative of elevated leverage relative to profitability. Debt to assets sits at 55.23% but shows slight QoQ and YoY reductions in leverage measures.

Valuation multiples: PE about 9.62x with forward PE elevated due to a low forward EPS; price‑to‑book at 1.86x sits below the industry peer mean of 2.81x and below the industry peer median of 3.55x, while price‑to‑sales at 17.62x stands well above the industry peer mean of 4.49x. Enterprise multiple measures near 66.33, reflecting high enterprise value relative to operating profit. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued given the mix of stretched revenue multiples, elevated leverage, and compressed free cash flow yield.

Earnings and surprises: Reported EPS $3.53 versus an estimate of -$0.34 produced an EPS surprise of approximately +1,138%, reflecting the large positive divergence from the estimate; include this within income metrics while noting operating cash and EBITDA trends above.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow $ 14.9 B
 Operating Cash Flow $ 1.4 B
 Capital Expenditures $ -1.25 B
 Change In Working Capital $ 644.9 M
 Dividends Paid —
 Cash Flow Delta $ 104.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow $ 15.0 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue $ 3.1 B
 Forward Revenue $ 39.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue $ 2.4 B
 Depreciation $ 851.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization $ 851.4 M
 Research and Development $ 7.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses $ 2.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit $ 664.2 M
 EBITDA $ 1.3 B
 EBIT $ 458.1 M
 Operating Income $ 439.2 M
 Interest Income —
 Interest Expense $ 366.8 M
 Net Interest Income $ -366.82 M
 Income Before Tax $ 91.2 M
 Tax Provision $ 213.5 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income $ 835.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations $ 837.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ -0.34
 EPS Actual $ 3.53
 EPS Difference $ 3.87
 EPS Surprise 1138.235 %
 Forward EPS $ 0.03
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets $ 85.8 B
 Intangible Assets $ 5.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets $ 26.9 B
 Total Current Assets $ 23.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments $ 14.9 B
 Cash $ 14.9 B
 Net Receivables $ 2.9 B
 Inventory —
 Long-Term Investments $ 3.2 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable $ 2.4 B
 Short-Term Debt $ 7.5 B
 Total Current Liabilities $ 13.2 B
 Net Debt $ 24.2 B
 Total Debt $ 47.4 B
 Total Liabilities $ 52.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity $ 29.3 B
 Retained Earnings $ -1.61 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share $ 18.26
 Shares Outstanding 1.603 B
 Revenue Per-Share $ 1.93
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization $ 54.4 B
 Enterprise Value $ 86.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 66.33
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 21.123 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 0.558 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 84.669
GDS: 66.33
median: 31.599
mean: 27.748
low: -20.17
 EV/R 28.128
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.931
 Asset To Liability 1.633
 Debt To Capital 0.618
 Debt To Assets 0.552
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.53 %
Debt To Assets YoY -8.497 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.987
GDS: 0.552
mean: 0.231
median: 0.122
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 1.619
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.506 %
Debt To Equity YoY -17.373 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.607
GDS: 1.619
mean: 0.578
median: 0.245
low: -2.553
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.859
Price To Book QoQ -22.514 %
Price To Book YoY -9.061 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.042
median: 3.552
mean: 2.806
GDS: 1.859
low: -0.896
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 9.615
Price To Earnings QoQ 95.546 %
Price To Earnings YoY -113.742 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 172.289
median: 48.462
mean: 42.179
GDS: 9.615
low: -57.023
 PE/G Ratio -0.162
 Price To Sales (P/S) 17.62
Price To Sales QoQ -12.985 %
Price To Sales YoY 2.458 %
Price To Sales IPRWA GDS: 17.62
high: 9.198
median: 4.971
mean: 4.486
low: 0.004
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 4245.466
Forward PE/G -71.725
Forward P/S 4197.979
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 6.56
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.036
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -11.406 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.342 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.542
median: 0.265
mean: 0.255
low: 0.056
GDS: 0.036
 Receivables Turnover 1.063
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.353 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.413 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.77
mean: 1.609
median: 1.312
GDS: 1.063
low: 0.337
 Inventory Turnover —
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ —
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY —
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA —
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 85.827
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -1.987
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -18.611 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY —
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 88.088
median: 44.833
mean: 41.496
GDS: -1.987
low: -71.928
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.3
 CapEx To Revenue -0.405
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.468
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital $ 63.9 B
 Net Invested Capital $ 68.4 B
 Invested Capital $ 68.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets $ 26.9 B
 Net Working Capital $ 10.3 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.135
 Current Ratio 1.783
Current Ratio QoQ -4.444 %
Current Ratio YoY -10.692 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.947
GDS: 1.783
mean: 1.444
median: 1.339
low: 0.179
 Quick Ratio —
Quick Ratio QoQ —
Quick Ratio YoY —
Quick Ratio IPRWA —
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 36.181
 Cost Of Debt 0.465 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.249
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -52.764 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 18.937 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 78.183
median: 44.761
mean: 31.259
GDS: 1.249
low: -11.726
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.173
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 87.814
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio —
 Dividend Payout Ratio —
 Dividend Rate —
 Dividend Yield —
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.966 %
 Revenue Growth -8.29 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -154.382 %
Revenue Growth YoY -227.44 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.845 %
mean: 3.677 %
median: 3.655 %
low: -8.199 %
GDS: -8.29 %
 Earnings Growth -59.191 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -225.647 %
Earnings Growth YoY -47.04 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 57.895 %
median: 22.558 %
mean: 9.339 %
GDS: -59.191 %
low: -93.995 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 21.51 %
Gross Margin QoQ -35.992 %
Gross Margin YoY -9.447 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 76.371 %
median: 32.772 %
mean: 31.444 %
GDS: 21.51 %
low: 2.554 %
 EBIT Margin 14.834 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -50.26 %
EBIT Margin YoY 1.18 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 22.488 %
median: 16.201 %
mean: 15.062 %
GDS: 14.834 %
low: -12.988 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 14.222 %
Return On Sales QoQ -47.26 %
Return On Sales YoY -0.511 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 22.63 %
median: 16.257 %
mean: 14.773 %
GDS: 14.222 %
low: -7.828 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) $ 166.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.306 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -164.693 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -138.202 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.77 %
median: 3.178 %
mean: 2.12 %
GDS: 0.306 %
low: -16.523 %
 Free Cash Growth -151.649 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -106.672 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -304.005 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 413.83 %
mean: 19.57 %
median: -1.853 %
GDS: -151.649 %
low: -410.245 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.199
 Cash Flow Margin 73.564 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.72
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added $ 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.983 %
Return On Assets QoQ -69.548 %
Return On Assets YoY -1134.737 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.083 %
median: 2.885 %
mean: 2.685 %
GDS: 0.983 %
low: -5.649 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.631 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.029
Return On Equity QoQ -69.385 %
Return On Equity YoY -1063.851 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.165
median: 0.073
mean: 0.058
GDS: 0.029
low: -0.144
 DuPont ROE 2.896 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.402 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -67.607 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -20.71 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.216 %
median: 5.486 %
mean: 5.056 %
GDS: 0.402 %
low: -2.122 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short‑term technicals favor a consolidation with upside bias: a bullish MACD crossover, negative MRO indicating mean‑reversion potential, and RSI near neutral suggest the stock can attempt a run toward short‑term resistance near the 50‑day average ($32.27) and the 200‑day average ($37.73) if volume re‑accelerates. Weak ADX limits trending conviction; elevated beta means any broader market strength will amplify moves. On fundamentals, high leverage, thin free cash flow yield, and stretched price‑to‑sales weigh on sustained upside, supporting WMDST’s current over‑valued judgment in the absence of durable margin expansion or rapid deleveraging.

About GDS Holdings Limited

GDS Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GDS) develops and manages high-performance data centers across China, addressing the increasing demand for digital infrastructure. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company provides a wide range of services, including colocation, managed hosting, and cloud solutions. GDS designs state-of-the-art facilities to meet the critical infrastructure requirements of a diverse client base, which includes cloud service providers, major internet companies, financial institutions, and telecommunications firms. GDS delivers robust and scalable data center solutions, ensuring optimal performance, security, and reliability. The company offers critical facilities space, power, and cooling, along with advanced managed services such as network management and disaster recovery. This enables businesses to concentrate on their core operations while facilitating seamless digital transformation. GDS Holdings emphasizes innovation and sustainability, aligning with the rapid technological advancements and environmental considerations of the modern digital economy. The company remains committed to excellence and continues to expand its presence across China, reinforcing its position as a key player in the global data center industry.



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