Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (NYSE:HMC) Poised To Consolidate Near Current Levels As Momentum Softens

Momentum signals show cooling while fundamentals continue to reflect profitable but uneven cash conversion; near-term price action likely to trade sideways as indicators realign.

Recent News

July 30, 2026 — Honda published production, sales and export results for June 2026 detailing unit volumes across regions. August 25, 2026 — Company executives warned U.S.–Canada trade friction could force price adjustments and influence North American plant timing. August 2026 — Reports noted Honda signaled a possible delay to a North American assembly plant pending trade-rule clarity. September 9, 2026 — American Honda announced it will display its swappable Mobile Power Pack e: battery technology at ACI‑NA 2026. September 2026 — Honda and Tohoku University launched a collaborative mobility research center and the company won Red Dot awards for new EV concept work.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 15.02 shows no trend and implies range-bound action; DI+ sits at 35.14 but is decreasing while DI- recorded a peak-and-reversal pattern, indicating recent bullish dominance weakening and a risk of renewed selling pressure as direction remains unresolved.

MACD momentum reads 0.39 and declines below its signal line at 0.46, signaling bearish momentum despite a positive MACD value; that dynamic favors consolidation with downside bias until MACD rises above its signal line.

MRO registers 9.91 and has peak-and-reversal behavior; the positive reading indicates price currently sits above the model target and, combined with the reversal, suggests potential for a modest pullback toward fair-value anchors.

RSI near 58.95 and decreasing points to faded upside momentum while remaining short of overbought territory; RSI behavior supports a sideways-to-mildly-lower near-term profile rather than a strong breakout.

Price structure and overlays: Price closed at $32.42, above the 20‑day average ($32.22), the 50‑day average ($31.03) and the 200‑day average ($28.46), with the 12‑day EMA increasing — indicating the intermediate trend remains higher but short-term momentum shows fatigue. Bollinger bands remain narrow (20‑day stdev $0.61), consistent with low realized intraday volatility and a tightening range.

Volume and volatility: Recent volume around 640,088 trails 10‑day and 50‑day averages and sits well below the 200‑day average, implying weaker conviction behind recent moves. Beta shows low short‑term sensitivity (42‑day 0.27) and moderate annual sensitivity (52‑week 0.98), supporting a measured risk profile for swing timeframes.

Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: Operating margin equals 8.76% and EBIT margin equals 10.30%; EBIT margin improved YoY by 0.79669% while QoQ moved -1.5286%. Gross margin sits at 22.24% with a YoY increase of 0.10912%. EBIT margin at 10.30% sits above the industry peer mean of 4.237% and the industry peer median of 2.219%, while remaining below the industry peer high of 31.412%.

Revenue and growth: Reported total revenue equals $6,061,514,000,000. Trailing revenue growth reads 4.133% while year‑over‑year revenue change shows -12.20054%; quarter‑over‑quarter revenue change measures -53.801% (QoQ). The mix of a modest trailing growth rate and a negative YoY print signals uneven top‑line dynamics during the looked‑back period.

Cash flow and capital allocation: Operating cash flow equals $292,516,000,000 while free cash flow registers negative at -$345,239,000,000 and a free cash flow yield of -3.15669%. Free cash flow growth YoY reads 13.73115% but the absolute negative free cash flow suggests elevated investing or working capital demands. Cash and short‑term investments total $5,502,037,000,000 and the cash conversion ratio measures 2.04, showing strong cash generation relative to reported earnings despite the negative free cash flow figure.

Balance sheet and returns: Total assets equal $34,437,975,000,000 with total equity of $12,361,471,000,000 and an asset‑to‑equity ratio of 2.7859. Return on equity reads 3.65% and return on assets 1.33%; both improved YoY (ROE YoY 1.18836%, ROA YoY 1.04468%) but remain modest in absolute terms.

Valuation benchmarks: Forward EPS sits at $1.24 with a forward P/E of 21.16 and a forward PS of 6.74. Dividend yield equals 1.25% with a payout ratio near 30.26% and a dividend coverage ratio of 3.31. The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, classifies the stock as under‑valued relative to its model outputs.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-10
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 5.1 T
 Operating Cash Flow 292.5 B
 Capital Expenditures -637.75 B
 Change In Working Capital -439.63 B
 Dividends Paid -136.43 B
 Cash Flow Delta 229.6 B
 End Period Cash Flow 5.3 T
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 6.1 T
 Forward Revenue 16.2 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 4.7 T
 Depreciation 173.4 B
 Depreciation and Amortization 173.4 B
 Research and Development 243.3 B
 Total Operating Expenses 5.5 T
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.3 T
 EBITDA 797.9 B
 EBIT 624.6 B
 Operating Income 530.8 B
 Interest Income 49.0 B
 Interest Expense 19.5 B
 Net Interest Income 51.6 B
 Income Before Tax 605.0 B
 Tax Provision 131.2 B
 Tax Rate 21.686 %
 Net Income 450.9 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 605.0 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 1.24
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 34.4 T
 Intangible Assets 782.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 11.6 T
 Total Current Assets 13.3 T
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 5.5 T
 Cash 5.3 T
 Net Receivables 4.3 T
 Inventory 2.6 T
 Long-Term Investments 525.3 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.6 T
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 10.3 T
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities 21.8 T
EQUITY
 Total Equity 12.4 T
 Retained Earnings 9.8 T
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 3.2 K
 Shares Outstanding 3.893 B
 Revenue Per-Share 1.6 K
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 109.4 B
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.786
 Asset To Liability 1.579
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.009
Price To Book QoQ 3.751 %
Price To Book YoY -19.691 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.373
median: 1.557
mean: 1.514
HMC: 0.009
low: -5.433
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.018
Price To Sales QoQ 4.217 %
Price To Sales YoY -25.914 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 55.967
median: 55.967
mean: 50.058
low: 0.257
HMC: 0.018
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 21.157
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 6.741
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -37.515
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.178
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.699 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 1.317 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.434
mean: 0.192
median: 0.189
HMC: 0.178
low: 0.053
 Receivables Turnover 1.41
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.845 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.868 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 50.073
mean: 7.056
median: 6.277
HMC: 1.41
low: 0.762
 Inventory Turnover 1.855
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -15.621 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.024 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.971
HMC: 1.855
mean: 1.672
median: 1.666
low: 0.287
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 64.726
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 78.6
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.341 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -7.166 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 193.127
HMC: 78.6
mean: 10.165
median: -3.931
low: -205.62
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.038
 CapEx To Revenue -0.105
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.679
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 12.4 T
 Net Invested Capital 12.4 T
 Invested Capital 12.4 T
 Net Tangible Assets 11.6 T
 Net Working Capital 3.0 T
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.535
 Current Ratio 1.289
Current Ratio QoQ 0.636 %
Current Ratio YoY -0.545 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.36
median: 1.808
mean: 1.799
HMC: 1.289
low: 0.035
 Quick Ratio 1.041
Quick Ratio QoQ 0.783 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.749 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.695
mean: 1.438
median: 1.369
HMC: 1.041
low: 0.219
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 0.328 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 31.968
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -213.824 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 45.154 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 79.247
HMC: 31.968
mean: 17.277
median: 2.075
low: -84.391
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.051
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.672
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.305
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.303
 Dividend Rate 35.04
 Dividend Yield 1.247
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.771 %
 Revenue Growth 4.133 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -53.801 %
Revenue Growth YoY -1220.054 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 78.201 %
median: 25.866 %
mean: 24.851 %
HMC: 4.133 %
low: -21.094 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 22.24 %
Gross Margin QoQ 247.935 %
Gross Margin YoY 10.912 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 65.477 %
HMC: 22.24 %
mean: 16.572 %
median: 15.992 %
low: -5.839 %
 EBIT Margin 10.304 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -152.86 %
EBIT Margin YoY 79.669 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 31.412 %
HMC: 10.304 %
mean: 4.237 %
median: 2.219 %
low: -243.244 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.756 %
Return On Sales QoQ -150.671 %
Return On Sales YoY 91.514 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 31.065 %
HMC: 8.756 %
mean: 1.558 %
median: -1.08 %
low: -74.218 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -345.24 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield -315.669 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -329.149 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 257.715 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 45.536 %
median: -0.07 %
mean: -0.152 %
low: -55.896 %
HMC: -315.669 %
 Free Cash Growth -348.701 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -927.757 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 1373.115 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 288.987 %
mean: -170.419 %
median: -176.108 %
low: -285.189 %
HMC: -348.701 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.766
 Cash Flow Margin 8.623 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.159
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.327 %
Return On Assets QoQ -149.496 %
Return On Assets YoY 104.468 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.52 %
HMC: 1.327 %
mean: 0.678 %
median: 0.126 %
low: -14.92 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.585 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.036
Return On Equity QoQ -148.472 %
Return On Equity YoY 118.836 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.31
HMC: 0.036
mean: 0.015
median: -0.019
low: -0.311
 DuPont ROE 3.73 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.957 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -178.621 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 107.39 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.778 %
HMC: 3.957 %
mean: 1.133 %
median: 0.523 %
low: -26.943 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a period of consolidation within a defined range as momentum indicators cool and ADX signals a lack of trend. Watch MACD for a crossover above its signal line to indicate a return of bullish momentum; absent that, the positive but peaked MRO and declining RSI favor a mean‑reversion move toward short‑term moving averages. Fundamental headlines — trade‑rule developments, production cadence updates and technology showcases — carry the potential to widen the range; volume increases accompanying any directional break would provide confirmation of conviction. Overall, the near‑term landscape suits position sizing aligned with range trading and monitoring catalyst windows rather than directional extrapolation.

About Honda Motor Co., Ltd.

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (NYSE:HMC) designs and manufactures a comprehensive range of mobility products, including motorcycles, automobiles, and power equipment. Established in 1946 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Honda operates through four primary segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Power Product and Other Businesses. In the Motorcycle Business segment, Honda offers a diverse lineup of motorcycles, from sporty models to practical commuter bikes, as well as off-road vehicles such as ATVs and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment features a variety of passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles, reflecting Honda’s commitment to quality and innovation. Honda’s Financial Services Business segment provides customer-focused financial solutions, including retail lending, leasing, and dealer financing, enhancing accessibility to Honda’s products. The Power Product and Other Businesses segment includes general-purpose engines, lawn mowers, and the advanced HondaJet aircraft, broadening Honda’s product portfolio. With a strong global presence, Honda ensures reliable products and exceptional after-sales services through a network of retail dealers and independent distributors. The company’s ongoing dedication to innovation and sustainability drives its mission to enhance mobility for people worldwide.



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