Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) Pins Near-Term Rebound While Valuation Stays Fair

Commercial Metals shows mixed technical momentum with range-bound mechanics, while fundamentals reflect improving margins, elevated leverage, and a WMDST fair-valued verdict.

Recent News

On June 24, 2026 the board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable July 15 with a record date of July 6. On August 5, 2026 the company hosted an Investor Day and simultaneously increased its share repurchase authorization by $600 million while outlining long-term financial targets.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX registers 14.58, indicating no dominant trend; DI+ shows a dip-and-reverse (bullish signal) while DI- sits at 24.81 and is increasing (bearish signal). The mix of a recent buying-pressure uptick and rising negative directional pressure points to countervailing forces that favor range-bound trading rather than a sustained directional breakout.

MACD: MACD at -0.83 sits below the signal line (-0.53) with a decreasing MACD_trend, reflecting ongoing bearish momentum and a lack of immediate bullish crossover.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO equals -19.89 and the MRO_trend decreases; the negative reading implies the price currently sits below the model target (catch-up potential), but the declining MRO reduces the near-term magnitude of that potential.

RSI: RSI reads 47.24 with a decreasing trend, consistent with mild selling pressure and momentum that has not reached oversold extremes.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Last close $64.50 sits beneath the 20-day average ($67.42), 50-day average ($68.55) and 200-day average ($69.77); the 12-day EMA trends down. Price trades below the 1x lower Bollinger band ($65.24), indicating a short-term downside overshoot while volume on the session (~3.21M) runs well above the 10-day average (~1.18M), signaling elevated participation on the move.

Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and Margins: Trailing total revenue equals $2,483,245,000 with revenue growth of 16.47% (recent period) and revenue growth YoY of 8.81%; sequential revenue climbed ~28.84% QoQ. Gross margin stands at 18.33% and operating margin at 9.376%, while EBIT margin equals 9.224%—EBIT margin rose ~30.52% QoQ and ~54.79% YoY, reflecting stronger per-unit metal margins and operational leverage.

Profitability and EPS: Reported EPS came in at $1.73 versus an estimate of $1.71, an EPS surprise of ~1.17%. EBITDA totals $336,466,000 and EBIT equals $229,044,000; operating cash flow reached $232,567,000 with free cash flow of $76,426,000 and a free cash flow yield near 0.96%.

Balance Sheet and Leverage: Total debt equals $3,400,485,000 with net debt ~$2,840,726,000; debt-to-EBITDA registers about 10.1x and debt-to-assets at ~34.71%. Interest coverage sits near 5.70x. The current ratio equals 2.33 and quick ratio 1.54, providing working-capital cushion even as leverage measures remain elevated relative to operating cash generation.

Capital Allocation & Returns: Dividend per share carries a $0.20 quarterly rate (dividend yield ~0.28%) with a dividend payout ratio ~12.81% and dividend coverage ~7.81x. Return on equity equals 3.818% and return on assets ~1.788%, both improving sequentially but still modest in absolute terms. Book value per share stands at $40.94.

Valuation Context: Price/earnings reads ~41.4x trailing and forward P/E ~39.5x; price/book ~1.75x. Enterprise multiple equals ~32.0. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued given the combination of improving margins, restrained cash conversion on a large capital base, and elevated leverage that compresses implied upside relative to peers.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-05-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-06-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-09-24
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 503.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 232.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -156.14 M
 Change In Working Capital -58.75 M
 Dividends Paid -22.16 M
 Cash Flow Delta 59.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 563.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.5 B
 Forward Revenue 724.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.0 B
 Depreciation 107.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 107.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 2.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 455.1 M
 EBITDA 336.5 M
 EBIT 229.0 M
 Operating Income 232.8 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 40.2 M
 Net Interest Income -40.20 M
 Income Before Tax 188.8 M
 Tax Provision 15.8 M
 Tax Rate 8.4 %
 Net Income 173.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 173.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.71
 EPS Actual 1.73
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 1.17 %
 Forward EPS 1.82
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 9.8 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.9 B
 Total Current Assets 3.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 559.8 M
 Cash 559.8 M
 Net Receivables 1.4 B
 Inventory 1.2 B
 Long-Term Investments 404.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 458.5 M
 Short-Term Debt 88.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt 2.8 B
 Total Debt 3.4 B
 Total Liabilities 5.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.5 B
 Retained Earnings 4.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 40.94
 Shares Outstanding 110.695 M
 Revenue Per-Share 22.43
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 7.9 B
 Enterprise Value 10.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 32.003
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -23.331 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 7.223 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 139.052
mean: 45.314
CMC: 32.003
median: 28.546
low: -159.016
 EV/R 4.336
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.162
 Asset To Liability 1.861
 Debt To Capital 0.429
 Debt To Assets 0.347
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.294 %
Debt To Assets YoY 80.604 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.586
CMC: 0.347
mean: 0.121
median: 0.115
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.75
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.676 %
Debt To Equity YoY 128.723 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.133
CMC: 0.75
mean: 0.199
median: 0.159
low: -0.023
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.749
Price To Book QoQ 0.057 %
Price To Book YoY 35.186 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.682
mean: 4.022
median: 3.043
CMC: 1.749
low: 0.026
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 41.395
Price To Earnings QoQ -30.825 %
Price To Earnings YoY -35.199 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 139.141
median: 43.282
mean: 42.784
CMC: 41.395
low: -283.997
 PE/G Ratio 0.842
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.192
Price To Sales QoQ -11.645 %
Price To Sales YoY 21.624 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 54.606
median: 17.532
mean: 15.667
CMC: 3.192
low: 1.513
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 39.495
Forward PE/G 0.804
Forward P/S 11.246
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.158
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.257
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.142 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -13.101 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.461
CMC: 0.257
median: 0.169
mean: 0.166
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 1.86
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.122 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 3.332 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 17.276
median: 6.062
mean: 5.77
CMC: 1.86
low: 1.183
 Inventory Turnover 1.751
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.164 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 0.976 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.94
CMC: 1.751
mean: 1.056
median: 0.977
low: 0.396
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.053
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 85.721
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.531 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -3.741 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 209.579
CMC: 85.721
median: 80.674
mean: 68.251
low: -2255.903
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.258
 CapEx To Revenue -0.063
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.454
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 7.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 7.9 B
 Invested Capital 7.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.9 B
 Net Working Capital 2.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.376
 Current Ratio 2.326
Current Ratio QoQ -2.439 %
Current Ratio YoY -18.606 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 51.968
mean: 2.993
median: 2.568
CMC: 2.326
low: 0.343
 Quick Ratio 1.538
Quick Ratio QoQ -0.647 %
Quick Ratio YoY -23.185 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.766
median: 1.948
mean: 1.851
CMC: 1.538
low: 0.255
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 10.106
 Cost Of Debt 1.034 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.697
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 54.753 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -48.585 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 141.714
mean: 56.891
median: 46.139
CMC: 5.697
low: -212.703
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.095
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.923
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.808
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.128
 Dividend Rate 0.20
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.455 %
 Revenue Growth 16.474 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 2884.42 %
Revenue Growth YoY 8.811 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 59.005 %
CMC: 16.474 %
mean: -1.373 %
median: -4.079 %
low: -61.626 %
 Earnings Growth 49.138 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -232.96 %
Earnings Growth YoY -73.384 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 100.0 %
CMC: 49.138 %
mean: -9.974 %
median: -27.586 %
low: -120.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 18.328 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.737 %
Gross Margin YoY 23.437 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.003 %
median: 54.865 %
mean: 41.161 %
CMC: 18.328 %
low: 0.249 %
 EBIT Margin 9.224 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 30.522 %
EBIT Margin YoY 54.791 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 69.517 %
median: 49.591 %
mean: 35.525 %
CMC: 9.224 %
low: -61.713 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.376 %
Return On Sales QoQ 29.182 %
Return On Sales YoY 57.342 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 60.141 %
median: 50.999 %
mean: 35.322 %
CMC: 9.376 %
low: -10.068 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 76.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.964 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 70.318 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -21.306 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.554 %
median: 2.056 %
mean: 1.303 %
CMC: 0.964 %
low: -7.827 %
 Free Cash Growth 75.394 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -268.787 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -134.166 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 155.065 %
CMC: 75.394 %
mean: -16.311 %
median: -20.991 %
low: -214.37 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.442
 Cash Flow Margin 5.695 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.817
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.788 %
Return On Assets QoQ 80.789 %
Return On Assets YoY 47.16 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 11.146 %
median: 3.819 %
mean: 3.187 %
CMC: 1.788 %
low: -15.56 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.757 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.038
Return On Equity QoQ 80.862 %
Return On Equity YoY 88.172 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.117
median: 0.056
mean: 0.052
CMC: 0.038
low: -0.278
 DuPont ROE 3.871 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.646 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 60.851 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 57.594 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.567 %
mean: 5.36 %
median: 5.116 %
CMC: 2.646 %
low: -8.735 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound action with short-term resistance near the mid-to-high $60s (50/200-day averages and super-trend region) and support in the low-to-mid $60s (recent session lows and lower Bollinger band). Watch for a MACD cross above its signal line and a shift in DI- from increasing to decreasing; those technical changes would signal a meaningful rotation of intramarket momentum. Conversely, sustained failure to reclaim the 20–50 day averages on declining volume would favor continued consolidation. Monitor MRO moving toward zero from the negative side as confirmation that price catch-up potential has materialized; also track any changes in debt-to-EBITDA or free cash flow trends disclosed in company filings, which would materially affect the near-term valuation narrative.

About Commercial Metals Company

Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) manufactures, recycles, and fabricates a diverse array of metal products, serving a global market. Headquartered in Irving, Texas, the company operates through three main segments: North America Steel Group, Europe Steel Group, and Emerging Businesses Group. Commercial Metals Company processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals to steel mills, foundries, and specialty manufacturers. Its extensive product range includes finished long steel products such as reinforcing bars, merchant bars, and light structural sections, as well as semi-finished billets for rerolling and forging. In the construction industry, Commercial Metals Company plays a crucial role by supplying fabricated rebar used for reinforcing concrete in various structures, including commercial buildings and infrastructure projects like highways and bridges. The company also provides construction-related products and equipment for sale and rent, targeting concrete installers and other businesses. With a history dating back to 1915, Commercial Metals Company continues to expand its offerings, catering to sectors such as energy and military with specialized products like strength bars and armor plates. The company’s strategic presence in the United States, Poland, China, and other regions underscores its commitment to delivering high-quality metal solutions worldwide.



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