James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) Signals Near-Term Pullback Before Modest Rebound

Near-term momentum shows waning upside while corporate actions and cash metrics underwrite a constructive valuation gap. Technical momentum suggests a short consolidation ahead of a measured recovery supported by free cash flow and margin resilience.

Recent News

On August 3, 2026 the company and Boise Cascade expanded a U.S. distribution partnership, with Boise Cascade becoming the sole nationwide distributor for James Hardie’s exterior product portfolio effective July 31, 2026. On August 20, 2026 James Hardie filed a current report disclosing a Share Purchase Agreement with Holcim Westbeteiligungs GmbH. On June 25, 2026 the company announced the redemption of senior unsecured notes.

Technical Analysis

ADX sits at 15.45, indicating no established trend; that low strength increases the likelihood that price will consolidate rather than sustain a directional move, aligning with the view of near-term pullback before recovery tied to valuation support.

DI+ at 26.55 shows a peak-and-reversal, a bearish directional signal; DI- at 25.04 shows a dip-and-reversal, which also reads as bearish pressure. Together they underscore weakening trend participation and raise the chance of a transient downside leg that should test support levels implied by longer-term averages.

MACD registered a peak-and-reversal and sits at 0.17 below its signal line at 0.49, a bearish momentum profile. That loss of momentum complements the directional indicators and suggests short-term downside pressure on price action before moving averages can reassert an up bias.

MRO at 21.38 (peak-and-reversal) positions the price above calculated target and therefore signals a likely moderation in price; the oscillator strength implies measurable downside potential rather than a marginal drift.

RSI at 55.7 with a peak-and-reversal indicates momentum rolling over from a neutral zone; the reading supports a pause or pullback rather than an immediate breakout, consistent with the MACD and directional signals.

Price sits at $28.33, below the 12‑day EMA of $29.09 (peak-and-reversal) and near the 20‑day average of $29.34, while remaining above the 200‑day average of $23.46. That structure implies short-term resistance near the 20‑day/12‑day band and longer-term support closer to the 200‑day average; lower-than-10‑day average volume (6.84M vs 9.20M) reduces the conviction behind intraday moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,474,600,000 with reported revenue growth at 5.04%; reported quarter-over-quarter revenue change shows a sharp decline of -61.95% and year-over-year revenue change reads -168.33%. Gross profit reached $548,700,000 producing a gross margin of 37.21%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 35.50% and the industry peer median of 35.57%, which supports a premium over peers on unit profitability.

EBIT of $218,800,000 yields an EBIT margin of 14.84%; that margin sits below the industry peer mean of 17.12% and the industry peer median of 17.83%. EBIT margin rose sharply quarter-over-quarter by 91.63% but fell year-over-year by 20.85%, which signals temporary operational improvement versus the prior quarter while trailing the prior year’s margin performance.

Operating margin of 16.13% and operating income of $237,900,000 register below the industry peer mean operating margin of 17.59% and the industry peer median of 19.27%, indicating room to close the gap if recent operational actions scale as planned.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics: cash and short-term investments equal $289,900,000; current ratio stands at 1.59, marginally below the industry peer mean of 1.68 but above the industry peer median of 1.07. Cash conversion cycle equals 39.3 days, notably shorter than the industry peer mean of 72.76 days and the median of 52.17 days, indicating relatively efficient working-capital turnover.

Leverage: debt-to-assets equals 33.51%, modestly above the industry peer mean of 29.11% and above the peer median of 24.45%; debt-to-equity equals 69.14%, above the industry peer mean of 51.14% and median of 53.54%. Interest coverage approximates 3.56x but declined year-over-year; the capital structure shows elevated leverage versus peers while coverage remains positive.

Cash generation metrics favor valuation: free cash flow totaled $254,200,000 with a free cash flow yield of 1.75%, above the industry peer mean of 1.32% and the median of 1.03%, and free cash to net income at 243.72% points to strong conversion of earnings to cash. Enterprise multiple near 48.45 sits below the industry peer mean of 65.32, while forward P/E of 56.58 sits below the industry peer mean of 87.17, both reflecting market-implied moderation relative to some peers.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued given margin resilience, above-average free cash flow yield versus peers, and a lower enterprise multiple; the valuation case depends on stabilization of recent operational shifts and the successful execution of announced distribution and balance-sheet actions.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-17
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 344.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 344.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -89.80 M
 Change In Working Capital 40.2 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -22.40 M
 End Period Cash Flow 322.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.5 B
 Forward Revenue 844.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 925.9 M
 Depreciation 168.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 168.8 M
 Research and Development 15.4 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 548.7 M
 EBITDA 387.6 M
 EBIT 218.8 M
 Operating Income 237.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 61.5 M
 Net Interest Income -61.50 M
 Income Before Tax 157.3 M
 Tax Provision 53.0 M
 Tax Rate 33.694 %
 Net Income 104.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 104.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.41
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 13.5 B
 Intangible Assets 8.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.50 B
 Total Current Assets 1.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 289.9 M
 Cash 289.9 M
 Net Receivables 499.6 M
 Inventory 612.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 70.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 699.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 43.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.1 B
 Net Debt 4.0 B
 Total Debt 4.5 B
 Total Liabilities 7.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 6.5 B
 Retained Earnings 1.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 11.27
 Shares Outstanding 580.354 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.54
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 14.5 B
 Enterprise Value 18.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 48.446
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -20.925 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -35.263 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 102.159
median: 69.729
mean: 65.315
JHX: 48.446
low: -29.83
 EV/R 12.734
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.063
 Asset To Liability 1.941
 Debt To Capital 0.409
 Debt To Assets 0.335
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.142 %
Debt To Assets YoY -12.858 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.793
JHX: 0.335
mean: 0.291
median: 0.244
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.691
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.174 %
Debt To Equity YoY -40.232 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.784
JHX: 0.691
median: 0.535
mean: 0.511
low: -1.539
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.224
Price To Book QoQ 17.81 %
Price To Book YoY -65.713 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.015
median: 6.379
mean: 6.272
JHX: 2.224
low: -5.298
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.864
Price To Sales QoQ 14.17 %
Price To Sales YoY -39.344 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 16.307
median: 13.003
mean: 11.61
JHX: 9.864
low: 0.155
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 56.575
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 17.71
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 20.113
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.108
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.237 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -27.56 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.528
median: 0.272
mean: 0.265
JHX: 0.108
low: 0.051
 Receivables Turnover 3.135
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -16.025 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 13.603 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.141
JHX: 3.135
median: 1.587
mean: 1.563
low: 0.704
 Inventory Turnover 1.484
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.682 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -3.787 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.019
mean: 1.721
median: 1.632
JHX: 1.484
low: 0.258
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 29.103
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 39.3
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -3.544 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 20.256 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 179.868
mean: 72.759
median: 52.173
JHX: 39.3
low: -3.93
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.27
 CapEx To Revenue -0.061
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.532
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 10.8 B
 Invested Capital 10.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.50 B
 Net Working Capital 649.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.261
 Current Ratio 1.586
Current Ratio QoQ 0.457 %
Current Ratio YoY -57.827 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.629
mean: 1.684
JHX: 1.586
median: 1.073
low: 0.831
 Quick Ratio 1.034
Quick Ratio QoQ 0.464 %
Quick Ratio YoY -68.725 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.576
mean: 1.144
JHX: 1.034
median: 0.827
low: 0.64
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.667
 Cost Of Debt 0.876 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.558
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 103.907 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -95.993 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 70.864
mean: 19.32
median: 16.81
JHX: 3.558
low: -7.157
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.528
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 54.46
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.426 %
 Revenue Growth 5.036 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -61.952 %
Revenue Growth YoY -168.331 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 49.254 %
mean: 18.583 %
median: 17.507 %
JHX: 5.036 %
low: -10.041 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.21 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.193 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.606 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 54.957 %
JHX: 37.21 %
median: 35.566 %
mean: 35.495 %
low: 6.548 %
 EBIT Margin 14.838 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 91.631 %
EBIT Margin YoY -20.851 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 28.538 %
median: 17.832 %
mean: 17.124 %
JHX: 14.838 %
low: -5.595 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 16.133 %
Return On Sales QoQ 4.185 %
Return On Sales YoY -13.944 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 24.405 %
median: 19.27 %
mean: 17.587 %
JHX: 16.133 %
low: -5.595 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 254.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.748 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 298.178 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 146.544 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.675 %
JHX: 1.748 %
mean: 1.323 %
median: 1.03 %
low: -4.289 %
 Free Cash Growth 376.923 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -980.435 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 345.957 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 384.722 %
JHX: 376.923 %
median: 85.05 %
mean: -38.804 %
low: -743.655 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.437
 Cash Flow Margin 39.76 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.621
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.767 %
Return On Assets QoQ 270.531 %
Return On Assets YoY -26.392 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.089 %
median: 3.945 %
mean: 3.306 %
JHX: 0.767 %
low: -5.791 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.767 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.016
Return On Equity QoQ 259.234 %
Return On Equity YoY -42.502 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.207
mean: 0.068
median: 0.056
JHX: 0.016
low: -0.144
 DuPont ROE 1.609 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.341 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 120.197 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -45.532 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.294 %
mean: 5.58 %
median: 5.296 %
JHX: 1.341 %
low: -9.088 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias favors consolidation with a downward tilt: technical momentum indicators parallel each other in signaling a peak-and-reversal, increasing the probability of a pullback toward the 200‑day average or intermediate support bands. Fundamental support—above-peer gross margin and a higher free cash flow yield—limits downside and increases the likelihood of a measured rebound once momentum indicators stabilize. Watch for a shift in MACD back above its signal line or a sustained drop in MRO to zero as early technical inflection signals that would precede a re-acceleration; absent those shifts, expect a range-bound corrective phase that resolves into gradual upside aligned with the valuation gap over six weeks.

About James Hardie Industries plc

James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) stands as a global leader in the production of innovative building materials, specializing in fiber cement and fiber gypsum products. With a rich heritage dating back to 1888, the company has evolved into a powerhouse in the construction industry, providing versatile solutions for both residential and commercial applications. Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, James Hardie operates across key markets including North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. The company’s product portfolio includes durable exterior siding, interior linings, and cement-bonded boards, catering to a wide range of construction needs such as cladding, walls, ceilings, and fire protection. Renowned for their resilience and aesthetic appeal, James Hardie’s offerings are favored in both new constructions and renovation projects. James Hardie is committed to sustainability and innovation, continuously advancing its product lines to meet modern construction demands while minimizing environmental impact. Its strategic focus on quality and performance has earned it a reputation for excellence and reliability in the building materials sector. With a global presence and a dedication to customer satisfaction, James Hardie Industries remains at the forefront of transforming spaces with cutting-edge building solutions.



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