M-tron Industries, Inc (NYSE:MPTI) Secures Defense Contracts, Poised For Near-Term Revenue Acceleration

M-tron shows operational momentum from new defense awards while technical indicators point to a fragile, early-stage bullish shift; fundamentals and WMDST valuation keep upside constrained.

Recent News

On August 18, 2026 M-tron announced a $4.5 million production order from a major U.S. defense prime supporting a long-duration air-defense program. On June 30, 2026 the company disclosed additional production contracts totaling roughly $4.0 million tied to aerospace and electronic warfare programs. The company also presented at investor conferences across June–August 2026, underscoring contract wins and backlog expansion.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI- — ADX at 23.58 signals an emerging directional move; DI+ shows a dip & reversal and DI- shows a peak & reversal, both patterns indicate recent bullish directional shifts despite DI- currently above DI+.

MACD — MACD reads -2.19 with a dip & reversal trend, indicating bullish momentum recovery from a trough; MACD remains below its signal line (-2.07), so momentum recovery has not yet produced a classic bullish cross.

MRO — MRO at 10.03 (positive) indicates price sits above the model target and therefore carries potential downward pressure; the MRO’s dip & reversal suggests momentum is reasserting, which tempers the immediate down-pressure but does not remove it.

RSI — RSI at 45.08 with a dip & reversal shows regained buying momentum off a dip while remaining below neutral, implying limited short-term upside until RSI clears 50.

Price vs Moving Averages / Bands — Last close $77.03 sits near the 12-day EMA $77.23 and the 20-day average $76.97, below the 50-day average $82.54 and above the 200-day average $71.77. Bollinger bands compress (1x upper $79.87 / lower $74.08), suggesting low volatility; immediate upside faces the super-trend upper band around $82.26 as resistance, while the 2x lower band near $71.18 and the 200-day average provide support levels.

Volume & Volatility — Recent volume (63,535) trails short- and long-term averages, and 42-/52-week volatility at ~3% signals muted intraday swings; low volume weakens the conviction behind the early bullish indicators.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability — Gross margin stands at 41.21% while operating/EBIT margin sits at 11.38%. Operating margin fell QoQ by approximately -36.0% and YoY by -18.05%, placing current EBIT margin below the industry peer mean (20.48%) and below the industry peer median (18.07%). These margin contractions weigh on valuation despite a healthy gross margin base.

Income & EPS — Reported EPS $0.43 versus an estimate $0.59 produced an EPS shortfall of -27.12%, reducing the near-term earnings narrative; forward EPS sits at $0.73 and forward PE at 112.59, while trailing PE exceeds 194, reflecting elevated multiples relative to operating performance.

Growth — Reported total revenue $15,109,000 with revenue growth figures mixed: the available QoQ revenue change registers roughly -9.52% and YoY revenue change shows -33.33%, indicating recent top-line contraction on a yearly basis despite contract-driven backlog improvements reported in corporate releases.

Liquidity & Leverage — Cash and short-term investments total $96,245,000, current ratio 16.63 and cash ratio 13.58, while total debt remains negligible at $132,000 (debt-to-equity ~0.00111). The balance sheet’s cash-rich position and near-zero leverage materially reduce solvency risk and provide funding flexibility for contract fulfillment.

Cash Flow & Returns — Operating cash flow $3,704,000 and free cash flow $2,767,000 yield a free-cash-flow yield near 0.76%, below the industry peer mean (about 1.30%). Return on equity and return on assets sit at roughly 1.58% and 1.82% respectively, both compressed versus typical peer expectations.

Valuation — The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over-valued. High trailing and forward multiples (PE ~194.6; forward PE ~112.6), elevated PS ratio (~24.07) and low free-cash-flow yield do not reconcile with recent YoY revenue declines and an EPS miss, even as a strong cash position and near-zero debt cushion operational risk.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 52.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 3.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -937.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 32.0 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 44.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow 96.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 15.1 M
 Forward Revenue 6.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 8.9 M
 Depreciation 311.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 311.0 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 13.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 6.2 M
 EBITDA 2.0 M
 EBIT 1.7 M
 Operating Income 1.7 M
 Interest Income 690.0 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 690.0 K
 Income Before Tax 2.4 M
 Tax Provision 573.0 K
 Tax Rate 23.5 %
 Net Income 1.9 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.9 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.59
 EPS Actual 0.43
 EPS Difference -0.16
 EPS Surprise -27.119 %
 Forward EPS 0.73
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 125.9 M
 Intangible Assets 40.0 K
 Net Tangible Assets 118.7 M
 Total Current Assets 117.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 96.2 M
 Cash 96.2 M
 Net Receivables 8.2 M
 Inventory 10.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 354.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 2.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 7.1 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 132.0 K
 Total Liabilities 7.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 118.7 M
 Retained Earnings 24.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 27.32
 Shares Outstanding 4.346 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.48
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 363.6 M
 Enterprise Value 267.5 M
 Enterprise Multiple 131.775
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 113.485 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 146.475 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA MPTI: 131.775
high: 119.825
median: 77.914
mean: 74.693
low: -34.498
 EV/R 17.705
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.061
 Asset To Liability 17.443
 Debt To Capital 0.001
 Debt To Assets 0.001
Debt To Assets QoQ -34.783 %
Debt To Assets YoY -78.079 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.37
median: 0.31
mean: 0.253
low: 0.004
MPTI: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.001
Debt To Equity QoQ -36.571 %
Debt To Equity YoY -79.67 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.052
median: 0.586
mean: 0.583
MPTI: 0.001
low: -0.022
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.063
Price To Book QoQ -3.379 %
Price To Book YoY -16.93 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.067
mean: 4.499
median: 3.889
MPTI: 3.063
low: -0.583
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 194.573
Price To Earnings QoQ 100.819 %
Price To Earnings YoY 133.694 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA MPTI: 194.573
high: 135.576
median: 111.728
mean: 107.175
low: -116.964
 PE/G Ratio -5.432
 Price To Sales (P/S) 24.066
Price To Sales QoQ 52.622 %
Price To Sales YoY 149.021 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 52.134
MPTI: 24.066
mean: 18.784
median: 16.263
low: 0.331
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 112.588
Forward PE/G -3.143
Forward P/S 56.838
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -11.852
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.147
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -25.969 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -57.067 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.532
mean: 0.167
MPTI: 0.147
median: 0.124
low: 0.023
 Receivables Turnover 1.854
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.999 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -9.404 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.927
MPTI: 1.854
mean: 1.619
median: 1.549
low: 0.156
 Inventory Turnover 0.837
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.515 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 3.222 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.565
mean: 0.995
median: 0.897
MPTI: 0.837
low: 0.169
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.212
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 143.31
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 0.422 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 4.152 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 420.794
MPTI: 143.31
median: 98.357
mean: 96.435
low: -80.169
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.136
 CapEx To Revenue -0.062
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.013
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 118.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 118.7 M
 Invested Capital 118.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 118.7 M
 Net Working Capital 110.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 13.579
 Current Ratio 16.63
Current Ratio QoQ 41.39 %
Current Ratio YoY 145.368 %
Current Ratio IPRWA MPTI: 16.63
high: 11.517
mean: 1.312
median: 1.075
low: 0.896
 Quick Ratio 15.094
Quick Ratio QoQ 49.902 %
Quick Ratio YoY 212.291 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA MPTI: 15.094
high: 11.416
mean: 0.892
median: 0.737
low: 0.663
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.065
 Cost Of Debt 37.073 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 27.286
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -34.138 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -6.779 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA MPTI: 27.286
high: 26.234
mean: 13.613
median: 12.614
low: -47.107
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.243
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 25.626
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 58.818 %
 Revenue Growth 2.88 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -9.519 %
Revenue Growth YoY -33.333 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 55.868 %
mean: 7.632 %
median: 6.267 %
MPTI: 2.88 %
low: 1.807 %
 Earnings Growth -35.821 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 10.822 %
Earnings Growth YoY 568.676 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 86.747 %
mean: 13.389 %
median: 6.091 %
MPTI: -35.821 %
low: -80.412 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 41.207 %
Gross Margin QoQ -8.225 %
Gross Margin YoY -5.506 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 66.956 %
mean: 45.484 %
median: 41.771 %
MPTI: 41.207 %
low: -6.802 %
 EBIT Margin 11.377 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -35.984 %
EBIT Margin YoY -18.051 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 25.556 %
mean: 20.483 %
median: 18.071 %
MPTI: 11.377 %
low: -110.265 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 11.377 %
Return On Sales QoQ -35.984 %
Return On Sales YoY -18.051 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.836 %
mean: 21.222 %
median: 20.796 %
MPTI: 11.377 %
low: -203.3 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 2.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.761 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 5.841 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -52.198 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.804 %
median: 1.296 %
mean: 1.295 %
MPTI: 0.761 %
low: -7.796 %
 Free Cash Growth 66.086 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -330.908 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -33.979 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 466.116 %
mean: 95.274 %
median: 90.49 %
MPTI: 66.086 %
low: -660.059 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.48
 Cash Flow Margin 11.377 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.919
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.822 %
Return On Assets QoQ -43.661 %
Return On Assets YoY -54.767 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.11 %
mean: 2.515 %
median: 2.329 %
MPTI: 1.822 %
low: -14.097 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.446 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.016
Return On Equity QoQ -51.82 %
Return On Equity YoY -64.852 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.349
mean: 0.057
median: 0.035
MPTI: 0.016
low: -0.262
 DuPont ROE 1.95 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.108 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -62.881 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -73.25 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.467 %
mean: 3.817 %
median: 2.907 %
MPTI: 1.108 %
low: -6.496 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical setup favors a cautious, range-biased advance: emerging ADX plus DI+/DI- dip/peak reversals and a MACD recovery suggest upside potential if momentum confirms a bullish MACD-signal cross. Near-term upside would likely test resistance near $82 (50-day average / super-trend upper). Failure to confirm momentum would expose support near $74 (20-day lower band) and the stronger $71 area (200-day average / 2x lower band). Low volume and a positive MRO imply the stock trades above modeled targets, so expect volatility around these technical pivots until clearer confirmation or a material fundamental update arrives.

About M-tron Industries, Inc.

M-tron Industries, Inc. (NYSE:MPTI) designs, manufactures, and markets advanced frequency and spectrum control products globally. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, M-tron Industries crafts a diverse range of products including radio frequency, microwave, and millimeter wave filters. The company’s offerings also encompass cavity, crystal, ceramic, lumped element, and switched filters. They produce high-performance oscillators such as OCXOs, TCXOs, VCXOs, and integrated PLL OCXOs, as well as low jitter and harsh environment oscillators. Additionally, they develop crystal resonators, integrated microwave assemblies, and solid-state power amplifier products. M-tron Industries serves a broad array of sectors, providing crucial components for commercial and military aerospace, defense, space, avionics, and other industries. Founded in 1965, the company leverages decades of expertise to meet the demanding requirements of its diverse clientele.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.