Science Applications International Corporation (NYSE:SAIC) Strengthens Near-Term Outlook After Multiple Contract Awards

SAIC shows a cautiously constructive near-term profile: recent contract activity supports revenue momentum while technical momentum indicators point to a short-term consolidation. Fundamentals reveal operating cash strength but elevated leverage that shapes valuation sensitivity.

Recent News

July–September 2026: SAIC won multiple federal task orders and delivery orders across defense and civilian agencies, including a NASA SEWP task order awarded in early August and several FPDS-listed awards reported in July and late August that range from low‑single‑million to mid‑hundred‑million dollars; these wins add funded backlog and near-term funded work.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 32.22 signals a strong trend environment. DI+ shows a peak-and-reverse, which reads as bearish pressure; DI- also shows a peak-and-reverse, which reads as bullish pressure. That juxtaposition indicates a contested directional environment where trend strength exists but directional conviction faces opposing forces, increasing the likelihood of short-term range compression around current levels.

MACD: MACD at 1.90 sits below the signal line at 2.45 and the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal, which indicates bearish momentum. That bearish momentum raises the probability of short-term downside pressure despite the broader trend strength signaled by ADX.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 28.89 registers positive, which indicates the current price sits above the model target and therefore carries a bias toward decreasing pressure. The magnitude suggests a material, not minimal, potential for mean reversion toward modeled value.

RSI and Price Structure: RSI at 59.33 with a peak-and-reversal denotes recent loss of upward momentum while remaining below overbought extremes. Price closed at $126.20, slightly below the 20‑day average ($127.15) but above the 50‑day ($120.65) and 200‑day ($103.88) averages, indicating short-term weakness against intact medium‑to‑longer term support. Bollinger band widths remain narrow (20‑day stdev $0.95), consistent with lower realized volatility and a higher chance of rangebound action until a decisive momentum shift occurs.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top‑line and earnings: Total revenue stands at $1.88B and net income at $102M for the period ending 2026‑07‑31. Reported EPS actual of $3.01 exceeded the estimate of $2.31, producing an EPS surprise of +30.30%, which supports near-term sentiment and the company’s ability to convert contracts into above‑expected earnings.

Profitability and margins: Operating (EBIT) margin equals 8.09%; that margin declined QoQ by -13.43% but improved YoY by +2.89%, indicating quarter-to-quarter compression with a small year-over-year uplift. Gross margin sits at 12.71% and operating leverage measures suggest sensitivity of operating income to revenue changes.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow reached $146M and free cash flow $131M; free cash flow yield equals 2.65%. Cash and short‑term investments total $126M while the cash conversion cycle of 13.62 days reflects efficient working capital turnover. The company generated positive cashflow but maintains modest cash relative to total debt.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt totals $2.705B with net debt $2.359B. Debt‑to‑EBITDA registers approximately 14.16x and debt‑to‑equity about 188.37%, while interest coverage approximates 4.61x. High leverage metrics raise sensitivity to margin swings and place incremental value on cash generation stability when assessing valuation risk.

Valuation context: Price/earnings stands near 38.85x with forward PE ~37.86x and price/ book ~3.44x. WMDST values the stock relative to the current mean price target of $141.50; that mean sits above the $126.20 close, implying potential valuation upside contingent on sustained margin recovery and deleveraging through cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-07-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-31
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 117.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 146.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -30.00 M
 Dividends Paid -16.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 17.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 134.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.9 B
 Forward Revenue 559.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.6 B
 Depreciation 39.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 39.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.7 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 239.0 M
 EBITDA 191.0 M
 EBIT 152.0 M
 Operating Income 152.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 33.0 M
 Net Interest Income -33.00 M
 Income Before Tax 119.0 M
 Tax Provision 17.0 M
 Tax Rate 14.286 %
 Net Income 102.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 102.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.31
 EPS Actual 3.01
 EPS Difference 0.70
 EPS Surprise 30.303 %
 Forward EPS 2.87
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 5.4 B
 Intangible Assets 3.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets -2.20 B
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 126.0 M
 Cash 126.0 M
 Net Receivables 996.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 172.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 597.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 33.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.1 B
 Net Debt 2.4 B
 Total Debt 2.7 B
 Total Liabilities 4.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.4 B
 Retained Earnings 1.4 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 33.97
 Shares Outstanding 42.277 M
 Revenue Per-Share 44.47
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.9 B
 Enterprise Value 7.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 39.387
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 27.276 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -10.788 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 4.002
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.776
 Asset To Liability 1.36
 Debt To Capital 0.653
 Debt To Assets 0.499
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.463 %
Debt To Assets YoY 6.105 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity 1.884
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.206 %
Debt To Equity YoY 16.874 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.443
Price To Book QoQ 17.198 %
Price To Book YoY -1.178 %
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 38.851
Price To Earnings QoQ 30.343 %
Price To Earnings YoY 22.661 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio -5.704
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.63
Price To Sales QoQ 19.905 %
Price To Sales YoY -11.978 %
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 37.86
Forward PE/G -5.559
Forward P/S 8.839
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 10.708
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.349
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.997 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.828 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover 1.92
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.568 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.384 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 47.518
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 13.623
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 41.78 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -20.071 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 8.664
 CapEx To Revenue -0.008
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.385
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.9 B
 Invested Capital 3.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -2.20 B
 Net Working Capital 217.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.119
 Current Ratio 1.204
Current Ratio QoQ 4.161 %
Current Ratio YoY 44.739 %
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.162
 Cost Of Debt 1.052 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.606
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -14.607 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 2.725 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.066
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 33.895
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.375
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.157
 Dividend Rate 0.38
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.592 %
 Revenue Growth -1.364 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -115.302 %
Revenue Growth YoY -76.295 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth -6.811 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -129.254 %
Earnings Growth YoY -107.647 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.713 %
Gross Margin QoQ -2.687 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.599 %
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 8.085 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -13.428 %
EBIT Margin YoY 2.889 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.085 %
Return On Sales QoQ -13.907 %
Return On Sales YoY 2.889 %
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 131.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.65 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -6.128 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 21.783 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth 11.017 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -120.866 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -55.932 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.284
 Cash Flow Margin 3.723 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.686
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.896 %
Return On Assets QoQ -11.855 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.263 %
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.485 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.071
Return On Equity QoQ -12.113 %
Return On Equity YoY -15.158 %
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE 7.136 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.323 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -7.976 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 15.262 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term directional bias leans toward consolidation with a downside tilt. Short‑term momentum indicators (MACD below its signal line; RSI peaking and reversing; positive MRO) favor mean reversion from current levels even as ADX signals trend strength. Contract awards and a sizable backlog provide revenue support, but elevated leverage and recent QoQ margin compression maintain valuation sensitivity. Expect price behavior to track a narrow range absent a clear momentum re-acceleration or a material operational update that shifts margin or cashflow expectations.

About Science Applications International Corporation

Science Applications International Corporation (NYSE:SAIC) delivers technical, engineering, and enterprise information technology (IT) services primarily within the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of services, including IT modernization, digital engineering, and artificial intelligence solutions. SAIC supports the design, construction, modification, integration, and maintenance of weapon systems and provides extensive end-to-end IT infrastructure services. These services encompass design, development, integration, deployment, management, operations, sustainment, and security. Additionally, SAIC offers training, simulation, and ground vehicle support, which involves integrating, modifying, upgrading, and sustaining ground vehicles for the nation’s armed forces. SAIC serves a diverse clientele, including the U.S. Army, Navy, Air Force, and other Department of Defense entities, as well as federal civilian agencies, health services, and space industries. The company also collaborates with joint commands and the Space Force. Established in 1969, Science Applications International Corporation, formerly known as SAIC Gemini, Inc., rebranded in September 2013 and maintains its headquarters in Reston, Virginia.



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