James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) Signals Tactical Upside While Valuation Pressures Reassert

Momentum indicators show renewed buying pressure, but valuation and mean-reversion signals keep upside constrained in the near term.

Recent News

June 25, 2026 — James Hardie announced redemption of US$400 million 5.00% senior unsecured notes. August 20, 2026 — the company entered a Share Purchase Agreement with Holcim Ltd. for the sale of specified European operations. August 28, 2026 — the company published its 2026 sustainability report.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): DI+ completed a dip-and-reversal and signals renewed buying pressure while DI- shows an increase that signals concurrent selling pressure; ADX at 18.81 sits below 20 and indicates no established trend, implying short-term directional contention rather than an extended trend supporting a decisive breakout or breakdown.

MACD: MACD registered a dip-and-reversal and has begun rising, indicating momentum recovery; however MACD (0.56) remains below the signal line (0.79), so momentum improvement lacks the confirming signal-line crossover that typically signals broadening bullish momentum.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 30.95 indicates price currently sits above the modeled target and therefore carries mean-reversion pressure that would tend to limit or retrace recent gains absent stronger confirming momentum.

RSI: RSI at 59.45 completed a dip-and-reversal and sits below overbought territory, which indicates renewed upside momentum without an overbought extreme that would force an immediate pullback.

Price vs moving averages and bands: Last close at $30.39 trades above the 200-day average ($23.19) and the 50-day average ($27.76) and sits near the 20-day average ($29.79) and the upper 1x Bollinger band ($30.50), signaling that price remains in a higher-than-long-term-average posture but faces proximity-driven resistance from short-term volatility bands and the Ichimoku cloud is supportive with price above Tenkan (29.59) and Kijun (28.59).

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT stands at $218,800,000 producing an EBIT margin of 14.84%; quarterly change shows a 91.63% increase QoQ and a -20.85% decline YoY. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean (17.362%) and industry peer median (19.142%), but above the industry peer low. Gross margin at 37.21% slightly exceeds the industry peer mean (35.837%).

Revenue and growth: Total revenue reached $1,474,600,000 with reported revenue growth of 5.04%; revenue growth QoQ registered -61.95% while revenue growth YoY is shown as -168.33% (per supplied figures). Those intra-period swings indicate sizable timing or base effects in recent reporting that compress near-term top-line momentum.

Cash generation and valuation drivers: Operating cash flow registered $344,000,000 and free cash flow reached $254,200,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 1.75%, above the industry peer mean of 1.35%. Free cash flow-to-net-income ratio sits at 243.72%, signaling strong cash conversion relative to reported net income. WMDST’s enterprise multiple sits at 48.45 and forward PE at 56.58; those multiples reflect elevated market expectations relative to current earnings.

Leverage and coverage: Net debt totals $3,986,800,000 and debt-to-EBITDA stands at 11.67x, while interest coverage ratio measures 3.56x. High debt-to-EBITDA indicates leverage materially above typical peer operating cash flow coverage, and coverage near 3.6x provides limited cushion against margin compression.

Other structural metrics: Asset turnover at 0.1085 sits below the industry peer mean (0.26356), while cash conversion cycle of 39.30 days tracks below the industry peer mean of 72.41 days. Return on equity reads 1.60% with a YoY decline of -42.50%.

Valuation summary: The current valuation as determined by WMDST: under-valued. That assessment weighs above-mean free cash flow yield, but also elevated valuation multiples (forward PE ~56.6, enterprise multiple ~48.45) and stretched leverage; the valuation gap reflects the market pricing of future growth and execution risk contrasted with present cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-17
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 344.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 344.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -89.80 M
 Change In Working Capital 40.2 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -22.40 M
 End Period Cash Flow 322.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.5 B
 Forward Revenue 844.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 925.9 M
 Depreciation 168.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 168.8 M
 Research and Development 15.4 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 548.7 M
 EBITDA 387.6 M
 EBIT 218.8 M
 Operating Income 237.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 61.5 M
 Net Interest Income -61.50 M
 Income Before Tax 157.3 M
 Tax Provision 53.0 M
 Tax Rate 33.694 %
 Net Income 104.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 104.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.41
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 13.5 B
 Intangible Assets 8.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.50 B
 Total Current Assets 1.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 289.9 M
 Cash 289.9 M
 Net Receivables 499.6 M
 Inventory 612.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 70.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 699.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 43.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.1 B
 Net Debt 4.0 B
 Total Debt 4.5 B
 Total Liabilities 7.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 6.5 B
 Retained Earnings 1.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 11.27
 Shares Outstanding 580.354 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.54
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 14.5 B
 Enterprise Value 18.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 48.446
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -20.925 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -35.263 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 102.159
median: 69.729
mean: 65.086
JHX: 48.446
low: 18.454
 EV/R 12.734
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.063
 Asset To Liability 1.941
 Debt To Capital 0.409
 Debt To Assets 0.335
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.142 %
Debt To Assets YoY -12.858 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.793
JHX: 0.335
mean: 0.291
median: 0.244
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.691
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.174 %
Debt To Equity YoY -40.232 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.784
JHX: 0.691
median: 0.535
mean: 0.5
low: -1.539
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.224
Price To Book QoQ 17.81 %
Price To Book YoY -65.713 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.015
median: 6.379
mean: 6.283
JHX: 2.224
low: -5.298
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.864
Price To Sales QoQ 14.17 %
Price To Sales YoY -39.344 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 16.307
median: 13.003
mean: 11.68
JHX: 9.864
low: 0.155
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 56.575
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 17.71
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 20.113
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.108
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.237 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -27.56 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.463
median: 0.272
mean: 0.264
JHX: 0.108
low: 0.102
 Receivables Turnover 3.135
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -16.025 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 13.603 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.141
JHX: 3.135
median: 1.587
mean: 1.552
low: 0.974
 Inventory Turnover 1.484
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.682 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -3.787 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.019
mean: 1.735
median: 1.632
JHX: 1.484
low: 0.555
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 29.103
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 39.3
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -3.544 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 20.256 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 179.868
mean: 72.409
median: 52.173
JHX: 39.3
low: 35.679
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.27
 CapEx To Revenue -0.061
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.532
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 10.8 B
 Invested Capital 10.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.50 B
 Net Working Capital 649.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.261
 Current Ratio 1.586
Current Ratio QoQ 0.457 %
Current Ratio YoY -57.827 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.775
mean: 1.641
JHX: 1.586
median: 1.073
low: 0.831
 Quick Ratio 1.034
Quick Ratio QoQ 0.464 %
Quick Ratio YoY -68.725 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.756
mean: 1.114
JHX: 1.034
median: 0.827
low: 0.64
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.667
 Cost Of Debt 0.876 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.558
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 103.907 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -95.993 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 70.864
mean: 19.773
median: 16.81
JHX: 3.558
low: -4.601
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.528
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 54.46
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.426 %
 Revenue Growth 5.036 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -61.952 %
Revenue Growth YoY -168.331 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 49.254 %
mean: 18.62 %
median: 17.507 %
JHX: 5.036 %
low: -10.041 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.21 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.193 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.606 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 51.192 %
JHX: 37.21 %
mean: 35.837 %
median: 35.566 %
low: 10.171 %
 EBIT Margin 14.838 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 91.631 %
EBIT Margin YoY -20.851 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 28.538 %
median: 19.142 %
mean: 17.362 %
JHX: 14.838 %
low: -5.595 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 16.133 %
Return On Sales QoQ 4.185 %
Return On Sales YoY -13.944 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 24.405 %
median: 19.27 %
mean: 17.855 %
JHX: 16.133 %
low: -5.595 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 254.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.748 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 298.178 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 146.544 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.675 %
JHX: 1.748 %
mean: 1.35 %
median: 1.03 %
low: -2.292 %
 Free Cash Growth 376.923 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -980.435 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 345.957 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 384.722 %
JHX: 376.923 %
median: 85.05 %
mean: -39.203 %
low: -743.655 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.437
 Cash Flow Margin 39.76 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.621
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.767 %
Return On Assets QoQ 270.531 %
Return On Assets YoY -26.392 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.089 %
median: 3.945 %
mean: 3.353 %
JHX: 0.767 %
low: -4.305 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.767 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.016
Return On Equity QoQ 259.234 %
Return On Equity YoY -42.502 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.207
mean: 0.069
median: 0.06
JHX: 0.016
low: -0.074
 DuPont ROE 1.609 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.341 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 120.197 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -45.532 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.294 %
median: 6.194 %
mean: 5.68 %
JHX: 1.341 %
low: -2.997 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators have begun to re-accelerate: DI+ dip-and-reversal, MACD recovering (but not yet signal-confirmed), and RSI rising from a dip. Those factors support episodic upside attempts over the next six weeks. Offsetting that bias, MRO at 30.95 indicates the market price sits above the modeled target and therefore invites mean-reversion pressure, while ADX below 20 warns against a sustained trend continuation.

Expect price to trade with upward attempts capped by short-term resistance near the upper Bollinger band and the recent high range, while support clusters align with the 20–50 day averages and Ichimoku levels. Momentum confirmation (MACD crossover above its signal line and rising ADX) would validate a stronger multi-week advance; absent that confirmation, mean-reversion toward WMDST’s target and short-term moving averages remains the higher-probability path.

About James Hardie Industries plc

James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) stands as a global leader in the production of innovative building materials, specializing in fiber cement and fiber gypsum products. With a rich heritage dating back to 1888, the company has evolved into a powerhouse in the construction industry, providing versatile solutions for both residential and commercial applications. Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, James Hardie operates across key markets including North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. The company’s product portfolio includes durable exterior siding, interior linings, and cement-bonded boards, catering to a wide range of construction needs such as cladding, walls, ceilings, and fire protection. Renowned for their resilience and aesthetic appeal, James Hardie’s offerings are favored in both new constructions and renovation projects. James Hardie is committed to sustainability and innovation, continuously advancing its product lines to meet modern construction demands while minimizing environmental impact. Its strategic focus on quality and performance has earned it a reputation for excellence and reliability in the building materials sector. With a global presence and a dedication to customer satisfaction, James Hardie Industries remains at the forefront of transforming spaces with cutting-edge building solutions.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.