Steel Dynamics, Inc (NASDAQ:STLD) Builds On Margin Recovery, Valuation Suggests Near-Term Upside

Steel Dynamics shows improving operating leverage and margin expansion while momentum indicators point to a bullish re-acceleration; WMDST’s valuation flags the stock as under-valued relative to recent fundamentals.

Recent News

Aug 14, 2026 — Board declared a third-quarter cash dividend of $0.53 per share, payable to shareholders of record September 30, 2026; Aug 4, 2026 — leadership changes announced with Theresa E. Wagler named President and Chief Executive Officer and an executive chairman role for Mark D. Millett; Aug 7, 2026 — trade court action advanced with steelmakers granted intervention in a CORE duty-related case affecting domestic producers.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 15.45 indicates no established trend, but DI+ at 26.46 increasing while DI- at 24.87 decreasing signals a short-term bullish directional tilt that supports the view of margin-driven upside.

MACD: MACD sits at -2.16 after a dip-and-reversal and has crossed above its signal line (-2.32), a bullish momentum signal that favors further near-term upside continuation.

MRO: MRO reads 22.8 (positive), implying price sits above the regression target and faces mean-reversion pressure that raises the probability of consolidation or a pullback from current levels.

RSI: RSI at 50.96 with a dip-and-reversal indicates regained positive momentum without overbought extremes, aligning with other indicators that point to measured bullishness rather than an extended rally.

Price vs. averages and cloud: Last close $242.06 trades above the 200-day average ($209.65) and marginally above the 50-day average ($241.94), with the 12-day EMA recovering; Ichimoku Tenkan at $237.62 sits below price while Kijun at $245.69 sits above, implying short-term strength inside a broader range defined by the cloud.

Bands and volatility: Price sits near the upper 1x Bollinger band ($244.94) with 20-day volatility subdued, suggesting rallies may meet overhead resistance and that breakouts require volume confirmation versus immediate follow-through.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and profitability: Total revenue $6,091,557,000 with operating income $757,793,000. Operating margin 12.44% (QoQ change +11.6%, YoY change +37.322%) and EBIT margin 11.862% (QoQ +12.982%, YoY +33.626%) reflect material margin expansion supporting the valuation narrative.

Earnings and cash flow: Reported EPS $3.69 versus estimate $3.67, an EPS surprise of +0.545% ($0.02). Net income $534,087,000 and free cash flow $304,094,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 0.907% and a cash conversion ratio of 1.21984, indicating meaningful cash generation relative to reported earnings.

Leverage and liquidity: Total debt $4,182,142,000 with debt-to-equity 0.444 and net debt $3,614,434,000. Interest coverage approximates 18.47x, signaling ample coverage of interest expense given current operating income.

Returns and growth metrics: Return on equity 5.67%, return on assets 3.157%; revenue growth listed at 17.036% with revenue growth YoY shown as 279.929% and revenue growth QoQ -4.912%. Reported earnings growth QoQ -37.941% and earnings growth YoY -17.303%—these period-over-period figures indicate divergent intra-year dynamics that require monitoring across upcoming reports.

Valuation context: P/B at 3.56 sits marginally below the industry peer mean (industry peer mean P/B ~3.60); P/E at 63.30 sits below the industry peer mean P/E ~74.12. Enterprise value metrics show an EVR of 6.10 and enterprise multiple near 41.45. WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the combination of margin expansion, cash generation, and the firm’s current multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-20
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 561.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 427.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -123.84 M
 Change In Working Capital -335.34 M
 Dividends Paid -76.56 M
 Cash Flow Delta 11.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 573.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 6.1 B
 Forward Revenue 1.9 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.1 B
 Depreciation 166.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 173.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 5.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 959.0 M
 EBITDA 896.5 M
 EBIT 722.6 M
 Operating Income 757.8 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 39.1 M
 Net Interest Income -39.12 M
 Income Before Tax 683.5 M
 Tax Provision 152.7 M
 Tax Rate 22.3 %
 Net Income 534.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 530.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.67
 EPS Actual 3.69
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 0.545 %
 Forward EPS 4.74
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 17.1 B
 Intangible Assets 793.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 8.6 B
 Total Current Assets 7.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 567.7 M
 Cash 567.7 M
 Net Receivables 2.4 B
 Inventory 4.0 B
 Long-Term Investments 547.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.5 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.3 M
 Total Current Liabilities 2.3 B
 Net Debt 3.6 B
 Total Debt 4.2 B
 Total Liabilities 7.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 9.4 B
 Retained Earnings 16.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 65.59
 Shares Outstanding 143.610 M
 Revenue Per-Share 42.42
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 33.5 B
 Enterprise Value 37.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 41.446
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -2.131 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -0.052 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 100.762
mean: 41.563
STLD: 41.446
median: 32.446
low: -29.105
 EV/R 6.1
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.817
 Asset To Liability 2.208
 Debt To Capital 0.307
 Debt To Assets 0.244
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.73 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.498 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.453
STLD: 0.244
mean: 0.223
median: 0.179
low: 0.145
 Debt To Equity 0.444
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.135 %
Debt To Equity YoY 4.086 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.375
mean: 0.534
STLD: 0.444
median: 0.27
low: 0.263
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.561
Price To Book QoQ 24.36 %
Price To Book YoY 65.858 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 20.29
mean: 3.599
STLD: 3.561
median: 0.879
low: 0.166
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 63.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -3.146 %
Price To Earnings YoY -2.19 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.72
mean: 74.119
median: 71.773
STLD: 63.297
low: -53.319
 PE/G Ratio 1.934
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.506
Price To Sales QoQ 9.211 %
Price To Sales YoY 32.086 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.721
mean: 6.146
STLD: 5.506
median: 2.874
low: 0.497
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 50.062
Forward PE/G 1.529
Forward P/S 17.368
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.892
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.36
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.638 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 24.152 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.676
STLD: 0.36
mean: 0.223
median: 0.17
low: 0.09
 Receivables Turnover 2.708
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.74 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.479 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.881
mean: 2.781
STLD: 2.708
median: 2.662
low: 1.401
 Inventory Turnover 1.305
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.366 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.179 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.46
STLD: 1.305
mean: 0.93
median: 0.635
low: 0.586
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 33.7
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 85.067
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -7.455 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 6.689 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 162.479
median: 90.885
STLD: 85.067
mean: 83.98
low: 23.513
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.22
 CapEx To Revenue -0.02
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.745
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 13.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 13.6 B
 Invested Capital 13.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 8.6 B
 Net Working Capital 5.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.248
 Current Ratio 3.183
Current Ratio QoQ 1.689 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.757 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.123
STLD: 3.183
mean: 2.691
median: 2.327
low: 1.429
 Quick Ratio 1.454
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.313 %
Quick Ratio YoY 8.849 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.267
STLD: 1.454
median: 1.144
mean: 1.079
low: 0.567
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.665
 Cost Of Debt 0.616 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 18.471
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 12.36 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -20.778 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 34.719
STLD: 18.471
mean: 13.167
median: 7.338
low: -2.715
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.165
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 29.41
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.977
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.143
 Dividend Rate 0.53
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.352 %
 Revenue Growth 17.036 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -4.912 %
Revenue Growth YoY 279.929 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.129 %
STLD: 17.036 %
median: 8.436 %
mean: 8.419 %
low: -9.902 %
 Earnings Growth 32.734 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -37.941 %
Earnings Growth YoY -17.303 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 45.098 %
STLD: 32.734 %
mean: 17.671 %
median: 16.606 %
low: -58.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 15.743 %
Gross Margin QoQ 7.358 %
Gross Margin YoY 16.202 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 28.089 %
median: 24.566 %
mean: 22.814 %
STLD: 15.743 %
low: 2.526 %
 EBIT Margin 11.862 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 12.982 %
EBIT Margin YoY 33.626 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 17.191 %
STLD: 11.862 %
mean: 10.101 %
median: 9.676 %
low: 0.077 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.44 %
Return On Sales QoQ 11.6 %
Return On Sales YoY 37.322 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 16.977 %
STLD: 12.44 %
mean: 10.13 %
median: 9.538 %
low: -0.88 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 304.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.907 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 2225.641 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 1195.714 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.874 %
STLD: 0.907 %
median: 0.143 %
mean: -0.448 %
low: -8.15 %
 Free Cash Growth 2841.801 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -3339.406 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -2714.713 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA STLD: 2841.801 %
high: 232.515 %
mean: -19.963 %
median: -21.101 %
low: -229.846 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.569
 Cash Flow Margin 6.207 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.708
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.157 %
Return On Assets QoQ 29.651 %
Return On Assets YoY 66.333 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.7 %
STLD: 3.157 %
mean: 1.513 %
median: 0.832 %
low: -4.722 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.874 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.057
Return On Equity QoQ 28.805 %
Return On Equity YoY 68.249 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.08
STLD: 0.057
mean: 0.031
median: 0.012
low: -0.026
 DuPont ROE 5.748 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.128 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 29.526 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 65.783 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.797 %
STLD: 4.128 %
mean: 2.164 %
median: 1.05 %
low: -3.351 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias leans positive: the convergence of a MACD dip-and-reversal that has crossed its signal line, DI+ increasing while DI- falls, and price trading above key medium- and long-term averages supports a bullish re-acceleration thesis. Countervailing risk stems from a positive MRO that favors mean reversion and price sitting near the upper Bollinger band, which raises the probability of consolidation before a sustained breakout. Key technical references for monitoring include the super trend lower at $227.63, the 50-day average near $241.94, and the upper 1x Bollinger band near $244.94; leadership and dividend actions announced in August increase the importance of watching volume-confirmed follow-through. Expect range-bound testing and selective directional attempts; evolving margin and cash-flow data in upcoming reports should tilt the outlook if momentum and fundamentals continue to align.

About Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) produces and recycles steel and metals across the United States. Within its Steel Operations segment, the company manufactures a variety of steel products including hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel, as well as structural beams, bars, and specialty steel items. These products serve industries such as construction, automotive, and transportation. The Metals Recycling Operations segment processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals, offering services in transportation, marketing, and brokerage. This segment handles materials like steel, aluminum, brass, and copper, catering to diverse recycling needs. In its Steel Fabrication Operations, Steel Dynamics produces components for non-residential construction, including steel joists, girders, and trusses. These products support projects ranging from e-commerce warehouses to educational and commercial buildings. Additionally, the Aluminum Operations segment delivers recycled aluminum flat rolled products. Headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana, Steel Dynamics also exports its products, contributing to its expansive reach in the metal production and recycling industry. Founded in 1993, the company continues to maintain a significant presence in the market.



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