Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) Positions For Near-Term Revaluation As KSM Advances

Seabridge Gold’s corporate restructuring and recent governance filings create conditions for renewed market attention, while project and legal developments will determine the immediate directional bias. Near-term movement will hinge on momentum indicators and KSM-related developments.

Recent News

On June 3, 2026 Seabridge completed the spin-out transaction that created Valor Gold Corp., distributing Valor shares to eligible participants.

On June 9, 2026 the British Columbia Supreme Court issued a decision relating to two petitions challenging the Environmental Assessment Office’s determination that the KSM project had been substantially started.

Between late June and mid‑August the company filed its shareholder reports and interim financial statements, reported annual meeting voting results (June 24), and filed its second‑quarter 2026 Report to Shareholders and MD&A (reported August 13).

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX sits at 18.53, indicating no established trend; both DI+ (29.20) and DI- (23.75) moved in bearish directions (DI+ decreasing; DI- showing a dip-and-reversal that now reads as increased downside pressure), implying directional bias favors sellers absent a pickup in trend strength.

MACD displays a peak-and-reversal pattern with MACD at 1.17 below the signal line at 1.31, signaling bearish momentum and suggesting short‑term momentum has rolled over rather than accelerating higher.

MRO reads 28.23 and shows a dip-and-reversal; because the MRO sits positive, price sits above the model target and carries a potential for mean reversion toward that target, implying a likely moderating of gains in the near term.

RSI at 52.55 with a peak-and-reversal indicates lost upward momentum from recent highs and supports a neutral-to-slightly-bearish short-term stance rather than an overheated condition.

Price versus averages and cloud: price closed $29.92, below the 20‑day average ($32.62) and the 12‑day EMA (peak & reversal), but above the 50‑day average ($28.33) and essentially equal to the 200‑day average ($29.98); this mixed placement favors consolidation with a modest downside bias until short-term averages turn up or price reclaims the 20‑day average.

Volatility and breadth: 42‑day and 52‑week volatility both read 0.04 with a 42‑day beta of 2.25, indicating elevated relative sensitivity to market moves; volume sits slightly below the 10‑day average, suggesting limited conviction behind the latest price attempts.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and cash flow: Q1/Q2 results show net income of -$6,647,000 and EBIT of -$8,168,000 with EBITDA of -$8,149,000; operating cash flow registered -$17,016,000 and free cash flow came in negative at -$26,607,000, indicating ongoing cash use related to development and corporate activity. Cash at quarter end totaled $126,892,000 and cash and short‑term investments totaled $144,648,000.

Per‑share and EPS context: reported EPS of $0.77 versus an estimate of -$0.04 produced an EPS surprise that equates to a 2,025% beat relative to the estimate (EPS difference $0.81), a material upside versus consensus used in the period’s estimate.

Balance sheet and liquidity: current ratio stands at 6.71 (up 28.07% QoQ), reflecting ample short‑term liquidity with total current assets of $231,392,000 versus total current liabilities of $34,493,000. Long‑term obligations include total debt of $559,098,000 and net debt of $430,550,000, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 0.46484 and debt‑to‑assets of 0.31064 (both down QoQ).

Profitability and returns: return on assets registers -0.373% and return on equity -0.553% with earnings growth at -72.73% YoY; QoQ and YoY changes in returns show material declines consistent with negative net income in the latest period.

Valuation metrics: price‑to‑book sits at 2.72, below the industry peer mean of 4.16 and below the peer median of 3.44; price/earnings reads negative and forward P/E remains negative, reflecting current negative or depressed forward earnings expectations. PEG measures at 3.49 and forward PEG at 7.19, indicating elevated multiples relative to near‑term earnings growth assumptions. Free cash flow yield stands negative at -0.812% and free cash flow remains under pressure QoQ.

WMDST valuation: The current valuation as determined by WMDST labels the stock as under‑valued, a conclusion driven by asset scale, project optionality and the balance sheet liquidity despite ongoing operating losses and negative free cash flow.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 117.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow -17.02 M
 Capital Expenditures -22.30 M
 Change In Working Capital -421.00 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 9.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 126.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 19.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.0 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 6.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA -8.15 M
 EBIT -8.17 M
 Operating Income -6.14 M
 Interest Income 971.0 K
 Interest Expense 20.0 K
 Net Interest Income 951.0 K
 Income Before Tax -8.19 M
 Tax Provision -1.54 M
 Tax Rate 18.82 %
 Net Income -6.65 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -6.65 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.04
 EPS Actual 0.77
 EPS Difference 0.81
 EPS Surprise 2025.0 %
 Forward EPS -0.06
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Total Current Assets 231.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 144.6 M
 Cash 126.9 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 22.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 2.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 34.5 M
 Net Debt 430.6 M
 Total Debt 559.1 M
 Total Liabilities 597.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.2 B
 Retained Earnings -277.71 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 11.18
 Shares Outstanding 107.621 M
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.3 B
 Enterprise Value 3.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple -453.018
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 646.909 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -498.935 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 187.475
mean: 48.223
median: 24.106
low: -210.259
SA: -453.018
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.496
 Asset To Liability 3.015
 Debt To Capital 0.317
 Debt To Assets 0.311
Debt To Assets QoQ -8.466 %
Debt To Assets YoY -11.012 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.661
SA: 0.311
mean: 0.117
median: 0.096
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.465
Debt To Equity QoQ -12.839 %
Debt To Equity YoY -16.978 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.763
SA: 0.465
mean: 0.2
median: 0.158
low: -0.514
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.725
Price To Book QoQ -7.136 %
Price To Book YoY 106.417 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.819
mean: 4.165
median: 3.436
SA: 2.725
low: -2.763
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -253.76
Price To Earnings QoQ 260.443 %
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 168.089
median: 44.845
mean: 44.508
low: -165.681
SA: -253.76
 PE/G Ratio 3.489
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -523.04
Forward PE/G 7.192
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 214.941
median: 77.437
mean: 74.026
SA: 0
low: -21.551
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation -1173.789
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.8 B
 Invested Capital 1.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Working Capital 196.9 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 4.194
 Current Ratio 6.708
Current Ratio QoQ 28.07 %
Current Ratio YoY -29.587 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 38.502
SA: 6.708
mean: 2.918
median: 2.632
low: 0.002
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -68.609
 Cost Of Debt 0.0 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -408.4
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 79.764 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -453.334 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 273.0
mean: 73.423
median: 37.736
low: -301.909
SA: -408.4
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.493
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.809 %
 Revenue Growth
Revenue Growth QoQ
Revenue Growth YoY
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth -72.727 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -293.939 %
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 144.444 %
mean: 17.419 %
median: 15.079 %
SA: -72.727 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -26.61 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.812 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -52.846 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -32.837 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.271 %
median: 2.252 %
mean: 1.443 %
SA: -0.812 %
low: -7.734 %
 Free Cash Growth -53.18 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -1673.373 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 11.109 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 172.265 %
median: 9.965 %
mean: 0.854 %
SA: -53.18 %
low: -293.325 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 4.003
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.56
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.373 %
Return On Assets QoQ -85.198 %
Return On Assets YoY -153.902 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 18.394 %
median: 5.448 %
mean: 3.861 %
SA: -0.373 %
low: -12.91 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.463 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.006
Return On Equity QoQ -85.791 %
Return On Equity YoY -152.17 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.183
median: 0.088
mean: 0.067
SA: -0.006
low: -0.309
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.377 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -85.093 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -154.956 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.445 %
median: 7.972 %
mean: 6.311 %
SA: -0.377 %
low: -4.494 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range‑bound to modest downside price action over the next six weeks unless technical momentum indicators reorient. Directional indicators and MACD point toward bearish momentum and the MRO suggests mean reversion risk from current levels. A sustained recovery requires DI+ to stabilize or increase and MACD to dip‑and‑reverse back above its signal line; until then, price likely oscillates between the 50‑day average support near $28 and short‑term resistance near the 20‑day average at $32. Volume and volatility profiles suggest moves may occur with outsized reaction to project or legal headlines tied to KSM developments.

About Seabridge Gold Inc.

Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) acquires and explores mineral properties in North America, with a primary emphasis on gold. The company actively investigates potential deposits of gold, copper, silver, and molybdenum. Seabridge Gold’s portfolio includes several significant projects, such as the KSM Project in British Columbia, which ranks among the world’s largest undeveloped gold projects. Established in 1979 and headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Seabridge Gold focuses on increasing its resource base through exploration and strategic acquisitions. By advancing its projects through various stages of development, the company aims to enhance shareholder value. Seabridge Gold’s commitment to responsible mining practices underscores its operations, ensuring environmental stewardship and community engagement. The company continues to evaluate opportunities to expand its asset base and strengthen its position in the precious metals sector.



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