Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) Accelerates Margin Expansion, Near-Term Price Bias Positive

Dollar General shows improving margin dynamics alongside rising short-term momentum, while valuation metrics signal an under-valued profile that may attract renewed investor focus.

Recent News

Jul 16, 2026 — Dollar General extended its Feeding America partnership with a $1,000,000 donation; Jul 28, 2026 — company invited small businesses to explore vendor opportunities; Aug 12, 2026 — Dollar General contributed $5,000 to support student nutrition in South Alabama; Jul 20, 2026 — the Dollar General Literacy Foundation launched the Yellow Glasses Project with media partners; Aug 28, 2026 — the company announced its EVP and General Counsel’s intent to retire.

Technical Analysis

Directional Indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX registers 14.32, indicating no established trend; DI+ at 29.31 shows a dip & reversal (bullish), while DI- at 24.01 shows a peak & reversal (bullish). Together, these readings imply a bullish directional tilt without a confirmed trend strength, which supports the near-term positive price bias suggested by valuation and momentum.

MACD and Signal Line: MACD reads 1.30 with a dip & reversal (bullish momentum) and sits above the signal line at 0.94, indicating a recent bullish momentum cross that favors further upside continuation in the short run if sustained.

Price Versus Moving Averages & Ichimoku: Closing price at $131.09 sits above the 12-day EMA ($124.94), 26-day EMA ($123.57), 50-day average ($121.61) and 200-day average ($124.67); the 12-day EMA shows a dip & reversal. Price above these averages implies short-term bullish bias aligned with the MACD signal and supports the current under-valued WMDST valuation context.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO stands at 22.46 with a dip & reversal; the positive MRO indicates the price currently sits above the target and carries mean-reversion pressure, creating a counterweight to momentum signals that warrants caution for any extended rally.

RSI: RSI at 56.28 with a dip & reversal registers as modestly bullish momentum rather than overbought, reinforcing the view that upside momentum retains room to run but remains sensitive to reversals given the MRO signal.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Margins: EBIT equals $638,516,000 and operating/EBIT margin reads 5.92%. Margin improved QoQ by 8.05% and improved YoY by 7.23%. Versus the industry peer range, Dollar General’s EBIT margin sits above the industry peer low (1.45%) but below the industry peer mean (9.88%) and median (11.998%), indicating margin progress but remaining below typical peer central measures.

Earnings and Cash Flow: Reported EPS of $2.48 exceeded the $2.01 estimate by $0.47, a 23.38% surprise. Operating cash flow registers $716,188,000 and free cash flow equals $364,583,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 1.40%, which sits above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.465% and below the industry peer high of 1.975% (industry peer mean/median/ranges used where provided).

Leverage & Liquidity: Total debt equals $15,798,401,000 with debt-to-assets at 49.84% and debt-to-equity at 1.786. Interest coverage near 13.52 signals ample coverage. Current ratio stands at 1.17 and quick ratio at 0.253, while cash conversion cycle measures 27.5 days, shorter than the industry peer mean cash conversion cycle where provided.

Growth & Efficiency: Total revenue reached $10,786,965,000 with YoY revenue decline of 1.89% and QoQ revenue contraction of 1.46%. Asset turnover remains 0.344 (slightly below the industry peer mean of 0.388), while return on equity at 5.02% trails the industry peer mean of 7.828% and median of 9.903%.

Valuation Summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Key valuation multiples show a P/E of 58.98 and forward P/E of 64.19, a price-to-book of 2.94 (below the industry peer mean of 7.06), and an enterprise multiple of 44.50 (inside the lower half of the peer enterprise multiple range). The EPS beat, margin expansion QoQ and YoY, and positive operating cash flow support the under-valued assessment, while high leverage metrics and compressing revenue growth represent valuation risks to monitor.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-04-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-27
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.1 B
 Operating Cash Flow 716.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -351.61 M
 Change In Working Capital -87.51 M
 Dividends Paid -130.14 M
 Cash Flow Delta 214.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.4 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 10.8 B
 Forward Revenue 2.8 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 7.4 B
 Depreciation 270.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 270.8 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 10.1 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 3.4 B
 EBITDA 909.3 M
 EBIT 638.5 M
 Operating Income 638.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 47.2 M
 Net Interest Income -47.24 M
 Income Before Tax 591.3 M
 Tax Provision 147.2 M
 Tax Rate 24.9 %
 Net Income 444.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 444.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.01
 EPS Actual 2.48
 EPS Difference 0.47
 EPS Surprise 23.383 %
 Forward EPS 2.06
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 31.7 B
 Intangible Assets 5.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Total Current Assets 8.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.4 B
 Cash 1.4 B
 Net Receivables
 Inventory 6.6 B
 Long-Term Investments 56.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 4.3 B
 Short-Term Debt 13.3 M
 Total Current Liabilities 7.2 B
 Net Debt 3.2 B
 Total Debt 15.8 B
 Total Liabilities 22.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 8.8 B
 Retained Earnings 4.7 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 40.09
 Shares Outstanding 220.587 M
 Revenue Per-Share 48.90
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 26.0 B
 Enterprise Value 40.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 44.501
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -15.602 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 2.476 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 70.906
median: 63.544
mean: 53.83
DG: 44.501
low: 35.024
 EV/R 3.751
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.585
 Asset To Liability 1.387
 Debt To Capital 0.641
 Debt To Assets 0.498
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.826 %
Debt To Assets YoY -9.252 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.549
DG: 0.498
mean: 0.351
median: 0.325
low: 0.304
 Debt To Equity 1.786
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.258 %
Debt To Equity YoY -19.13 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.165
DG: 1.786
mean: 1.085
median: 0.864
low: 0.749
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.943
Price To Book QoQ -19.707 %
Price To Book YoY 14.325 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.901
mean: 7.058
median: 5.647
DG: 2.943
low: 0.398
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 58.983
Price To Earnings QoQ -19.635 %
Price To Earnings YoY 16.525 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 105.986
median: 99.091
mean: 84.973
DG: 58.983
low: -109.011
 PE/G Ratio 16.262
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.412
Price To Sales QoQ -15.621 %
Price To Sales YoY 26.966 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 11.435
median: 9.462
mean: 6.993
DG: 2.412
low: 0.506
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 64.189
Forward PE/G 17.698
Forward P/S 9.712
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -5.987
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.344
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.109 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.467 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.433
mean: 0.388
median: 0.386
DG: 0.344
low: 0.239
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover 1.138
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.663 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.019 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.509
median: 1.467
mean: 1.413
DG: 1.138
low: 0.639
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 27.505
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 44.239
DG: 27.505
mean: 16.233
low: 8.351
median: 8.351
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 8.81
 CapEx To Revenue -0.033
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.298
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 13.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 13.4 B
 Invested Capital 13.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Net Working Capital 1.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.187
 Current Ratio 1.169
Current Ratio QoQ 3.04 %
Current Ratio YoY -5.193 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.098
median: 1.541
mean: 1.323
DG: 1.169
low: 0.932
 Quick Ratio 0.253
Quick Ratio QoQ 12.412 %
Quick Ratio YoY 23.968 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.271
median: 0.935
mean: 0.663
low: 0.297
DG: 0.253
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.373
 Cost Of Debt 0.225 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 13.517
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 18.266 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 51.576 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 111.165
mean: 59.037
median: 42.293
DG: 13.517
low: 0.73
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.097
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 50.459
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.413
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.293
 Dividend Rate 0.59
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.377 %
 Revenue Growth -1.139 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -146.338 %
Revenue Growth YoY -189.263 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA DG: -1.139 %
high: -8.713 %
median: -9.419 %
mean: -13.338 %
low: -38.778 %
 Earnings Growth 3.627 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -92.858 %
Earnings Growth YoY -39.063 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA DG: 3.627 %
high: 1.0 %
mean: -18.937 %
median: -29.918 %
low: -112.15 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 31.617 %
Gross Margin QoQ 3.836 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.112 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 43.101 %
DG: 31.617 %
mean: 31.046 %
median: 29.613 %
low: 29.014 %
 EBIT Margin 5.919 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 8.05 %
EBIT Margin YoY 7.228 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 14.06 %
median: 11.998 %
mean: 9.883 %
DG: 5.919 %
low: 1.452 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.919 %
Return On Sales QoQ 6.533 %
Return On Sales YoY 7.228 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 13.377 %
median: 11.998 %
mean: 9.55 %
DG: 5.919 %
low: 1.452 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 364.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.401 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -24.92 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -50.053 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 1.975 %
DG: 1.401 %
median: 0.912 %
mean: 0.465 %
low: -9.867 %
 Free Cash Growth -37.354 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 137.787 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -801.615 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: -31.902 %
DG: -37.354 %
median: -52.505 %
mean: -66.761 %
low: -123.032 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.821
 Cash Flow Margin 6.495 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.577
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.418 %
Return On Assets QoQ 4.265 %
Return On Assets YoY 12.361 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.179 %
mean: 2.802 %
median: 2.545 %
DG: 1.418 %
low: -0.106 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.611 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.05
Return On Equity QoQ 0.28 %
Return On Equity YoY -1.297 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.103
median: 0.099
mean: 0.078
DG: 0.05
low: -0.003
 DuPont ROE 5.118 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.573 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 0.14 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 8.867 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.956 %
mean: 5.973 %
median: 5.583 %
DG: 3.573 %
low: 0.7 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias favors modest upside: momentum indicators (MACD above its signal and a recovering RSI) plus price above short- and long-term averages provide bullish tilt, but ADX below 20 indicates that trend confirmation remains absent. Countervailing risk arises from a positive MRO that signals mean-reversion potential. Monitor momentum persistence; sustained increases in trend strength would validate continuation, while a deterioration in MACD or RSI alongside MRO pressure would signal higher reversion risk.

About Dollar General Corporation

Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG), headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, develops a wide-reaching network of discount retail stores across the United States. Established in 1939 and rebranded in 1968, Dollar General has grown into a prominent name in the retail sector, particularly in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern regions of the country. The company offers an extensive array of products, emphasizing affordability and convenience for everyday needs. Dollar General’s product offerings include consumables like cleaning supplies, packaged foods, snacks, and health and beauty items, along with pet products. The retailer also provides seasonal goods such as holiday decorations, toys, and gardening supplies. Home essentials, including kitchenware, bedding, and small appliances, feature prominently in their inventory. Additionally, Dollar General caters to apparel needs for all age groups, from infants to adults, offering basic clothing items and accessories. By continually expanding its store presence, Dollar General enhances shopping accessibility in both urban and rural areas. The company remains committed to delivering quality products at competitive prices, reinforcing its role as a reliable and budget-friendly retail destination for diverse consumer needs.



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