Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc (NYSE:UVE) Strengthens Capital Base And Signals Near-Term Upside Momentum

Universal Insurance Holdings shows improving capital flexibility and earnings beat that align with a modestly bullish technical posture; fundamentals indicate durable cash flow and low leverage while short-term momentum requires confirmation.

Recent News

May 28, 2026 — Universal completed its combined 2026–2027 reinsurance program, adding multi-year coverage and $352 million of incremental multi-year protection. June 16, 2026 — the company issued $100 million of 7.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2031 and executed redemptions of near-term 5.625% debt. June 22, 2026 — a rating agency assigned a BBB rating to the 2031 notes with a Stable outlook.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators present mixed signals. ADX at 15.73 denotes no established trend; DI+ at 25.07 trending down reads as bearish pressure while DI– has completed a peak-and-reverse, which reads as bullish pressure—together these suggest range-bound behavior with competing directional forces affecting near-term price action.

MACD sits at 0.46 with a dip-and-reversal pattern, indicating improving momentum, but the MACD line remains below its 0.60 signal line, so a bullish momentum confirmation awaits a crossover.

MRO registers 23.69 and is decreasing. The positive MRO indicates price currently sits above the model target, implying potential downward pressure until momentum or valuation signals reduce that premium; the declining MRO lessens the immediate strength of that overvaluation signal.

RSI at 56.12 with a dip-and-reversal shows renewed buying interest without overbought conditions; the RSI supports continuation of the recent recovery but offers limited conviction for an extended breakout.

Price sits above the 200‑day average ($35.78) and marginally above short-term averages (20‑day $43.05; 12‑day EMA $42.92), reflecting intermediate bullish bias. Ichimoku components place price near the Tenkan/Kijun zone (Tenkan 43.41, Kijun 40.84), indicating short-term resistance above and support below. Bollinger bands place the close ($43.29) between the 1‑sigma range, near the upper band, consistent with contained upward pressure rather than a strong breakout.

Volume remains below recent averages (today: 110,378 vs 10‑day avg 167,797 and 50/200‑day averages above 197k), reducing conviction behind price moves and increasing the likelihood of consolidation unless volume picks up to confirm momentum.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and operating performance: EBIT equals $81,144,000 and the EBIT margin sits at 19.00%, marginally below the industry peer mean of 20.91% and slightly below the peer median of 19.25%, indicating near‑peer operating efficiency. QoQ EBIT margin rose by 2.29% and YoY expanded by 59.01%, reflecting meaningful margin improvement over the last year.

Bottom‑line and earnings quality: Reported EPS of $1.84 exceeded the $1.43 estimate by $0.41, an EPS surprise of +28.67%. Net income totaled $59,188,000 and cash flow metrics show operating cash flow of $101,077,000 with free cash flow of $100,175,000; free cash flow to net income sits at 169.25%, indicating high cash conversion of reported earnings.

Growth rates: Total revenue of $427,033,000 declined YoY by 3.63% and QoQ by 3.03%, while earnings growth shows a QoQ improvement of +2.12% but a YoY decline of -45.14%. The pattern suggests near‑term stabilization in earnings despite modest revenue contraction.

Balance sheet and leverage: Total assets $3,306,164,000 with total equity $637,155,000 produce asset‑to‑equity of 5.19 and debt to assets of 2.96%, noticeably below the industry peer mean debt‑to‑assets of 6.10%, signaling conservative leverage. Interest coverage stands at 53.07, indicating ample capacity to service interest expense.

Valuation and market metrics: P/E equals 20.98 with a forward P/E of 33.97; both sit below the industry peer mean P/E and forward P/E. Price-to-book sits at 1.69, below the industry peer mean of 2.35 and the peer median of 2.09. Free cash flow yield runs at 9.32%, well above the industry peer mean of 3.24%, reflecting strong cash return relative to market value.

Capital actions and liquidity: Cash and short‑term investments total $703,841,000 and the company completed refinancing activity, issuing $100 million of 2031 notes and redeeming near‑term paper, which extends debt maturity and preserves liquidity. Dividend payout ratio remains modest at 7.46% with a dividend yield around 0.41%.

Valuation conclusion: The current valuation as determined by WMDST views the stock as under‑valued, driven by strong cash generation, low leverage, and P/B and free‑cash metrics that sit below peer averages while free cash flow yield exceeds peer averages.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 598.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 101.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -902.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 41.9 M
 Dividends Paid -4.41 M
 Cash Flow Delta 2.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 600.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 427.0 M
 Forward Revenue 56.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 347.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT 81.1 M
 Operating Income
 Interest Income -466.00 K
 Interest Expense 1.5 M
 Net Interest Income -2.00 M
 Income Before Tax 79.6 M
 Tax Provision 20.4 M
 Tax Rate 25.657 %
 Net Income 59.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 59.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.43
 EPS Actual 1.84
 EPS Difference 0.41
 EPS Surprise 28.671 %
 Forward EPS 1.12
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.3 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 637.2 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 703.8 M
 Cash 532.2 M
 Net Receivables 262.4 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 627.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 97.9 M
 Total Liabilities 2.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 637.2 M
 Retained Earnings 861.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 22.89
 Shares Outstanding 27.830 M
 Revenue Per-Share 15.34
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.1 B
 Enterprise Value 468.4 M
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 1.097
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.189
 Asset To Liability 1.239
 Debt To Capital 0.133
 Debt To Assets 0.03
Debt To Assets QoQ -18.255 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.865 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.135
median: 0.062
mean: 0.061
UVE: 0.03
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 0.154
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.454 %
Debt To Equity YoY -30.292 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.603
mean: 0.251
median: 0.244
UVE: 0.154
low: 0.011
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.686
Price To Book QoQ 5.856 %
Price To Book YoY 13.014 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.924
mean: 2.348
median: 2.089
UVE: 1.686
low: 0.285
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 20.982
Price To Earnings QoQ 25.712 %
Price To Earnings YoY 1.93 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 74.319
mean: 40.396
median: 38.765
UVE: 20.982
low: 12.893
 PE/G Ratio -2.623
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.516
Price To Sales QoQ 6.304 %
Price To Sales YoY 47.382 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 17.773
mean: 5.61
median: 5.195
UVE: 2.516
low: 1.475
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 33.966
Forward PE/G -4.246
Forward P/S 19.026
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.292
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.141
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.171 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.225 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.275
UVE: 0.141
mean: 0.116
median: 0.087
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 1.581
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 17.784 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 99.226 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.94
UVE: 1.581
mean: 0.72
median: 0.581
low: 0.103
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 57.728
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.002
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 735.0 M
 Net Invested Capital 735.0 M
 Invested Capital 735.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 637.2 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.069 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 53.07
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 2.932 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 58.82 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 103.374
UVE: 53.07
mean: 32.853
median: 27.705
low: -51.472
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 13.412
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.075
 Dividend Rate 0.16
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 19.382 %
 Revenue Growth -3.52 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -303.233 %
Revenue Growth YoY -363.473 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 23.705 %
median: 6.069 %
mean: 4.542 %
UVE: -3.52 %
low: -8.981 %
 Earnings Growth -8.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 2.119 %
Earnings Growth YoY -45.142 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 114.286 %
mean: 4.926 %
median: -2.308 %
UVE: -8.0 %
low: -50.8 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 19.002 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 2.293 %
EBIT Margin YoY 59.013 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 45.417 %
mean: 20.914 %
median: 19.249 %
UVE: 19.002 %
low: 6.954 %
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 100.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 9.323 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -43.329 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -39.489 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.897 %
UVE: 9.323 %
mean: 3.242 %
median: 2.829 %
low: -4.064 %
 Free Cash Growth -34.63 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -106.752 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -19.979 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 827.586 %
mean: 1.058 %
median: -19.401 %
UVE: -34.63 %
low: -767.445 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.692
 Cash Flow Margin 132.69 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 9.573
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.948 %
Return On Assets QoQ 0.62 %
Return On Assets YoY 66.212 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.201 %
UVE: 1.948 %
mean: 1.836 %
median: 1.545 %
low: -2.187 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.093
Return On Equity QoQ 0.043 %
Return On Equity YoY 21.187 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.14
UVE: 0.093
mean: 0.069
median: 0.067
low: -0.087
 DuPont ROE 9.687 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.203 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 1.497 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 26.687 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.67 %
UVE: 8.203 %
mean: 5.764 %
median: 5.447 %
low: 0.798 %

Six-Week Outlook

Price action should remain range‑bound absent confirmation from momentum indicators. Near‑term upside requires a MACD crossover above its signal line and a return of volume to at least recent averages; such confirmation would align momentum with the intermediate bullish posture from price over the 200‑day average. Downside risk centers on the positive MRO (price above model target) and thin volume, which increase the chance of a pullback toward short‑term support near $41.30 (super trend lower) or the 50‑day average. Fundamental resilience—high cash reserves, low leverage, and a successful reinsurance placement—reduces tail risk for six‑week horizon scenarios, while revenue contraction and mixed earnings growth keep the path to sustained rallies conditional on momentum confirmation.

About Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) develops and markets a range of personal residential insurance products across the United States. The company underwrites policies for homeowners, renters, condo unit owners, and provides coverage for dwelling/fire risks. It also offers allied lines, covering additional structures, personal property, liability, and personal articles. Universal Insurance Holdings manages the entire insurance process, from policy administration and underwriting to claims payments and actuarial consulting. It advises on reinsurance negotiations and manages reinsurance programs for its insurance entities. Through Clovered.com, a digital agency, the company facilitates direct-to-consumer online solutions, utilizing digital applications for claims adjustments and partnering with various carriers. Universal Insurance Holdings distributes its products via a network of independent agents, enhancing its reach and accessibility. Originally incorporated in 1990 and headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company rebranded from Universal Heights, Inc. to its current name in January 2001.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.