Olin Corporation, NYSE:OLN Initiates Merger Integration; Near-Term Financial Pressure Likely

Olin moves into a phase of structural consolidation after a definitive merger agreement, shifting near-term priorities toward integration execution and working capital management.

Recent News

On June 16, 2026 Olin and Huntsman announced an all‑stock merger of equals to form a combined North American chemicals company, described publicly as creating a $12+ billion integrated business and identifying targeted synergies. A related registration statement and shareholder meeting scheduling followed, with filings indicating special meetings for shareholders to consider the transaction.

Technical Analysis

ADX reads 31.56, signaling a strong market trend strength that amplifies directional bias and increases the likelihood that recent momentum persists into the near term.

DI+ at 14.25 with a peak‑and‑reversal indicates bearish directional pressure; that contraction of upside directional force weighs on short‑term price bias relative to recent levels.

DI‑ at 31.27 with a peak‑and‑reversal indicates decreasing downward pressure, which provides some countervailing support to the sell‑side momentum.

MACD sits at -0.90 with a peak‑and‑reversal and remains below its signal line (-0.84), indicating bearish momentum and no bullish MACD crossover at present.

MRO equals -9.17 (negative) with a peak‑and‑reversal; price sits below WMDST’s target, implying upward mean‑reversion potential against the prevailing bearish momentum.

RSI at 38.64 and decreasing reflects below‑neutral momentum and proximity to oversold conditions, increasing the probability of short‑term mean reversion if buying interest returns.

Price trades beneath major moving averages: the 20‑day average at $18.59, 50‑day at $20.63, and 200‑day at $23.19, with the 12‑day EMA trending down — a technical profile consistent with a breakdown phase and resistance clustered near $18.6–$19.2 (20‑day and supertrend upper).

Bollinger bands place the lower 2× band near $17.42 while the close at $17.37 sits below that band, indicating an extreme short‑term deviation from recent volatility bands and a heightened probability of a corrective bounce toward the band center.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,741.9M; YoY revenue growth equals 44.64% while sequential revenue shows a QoQ decline of 303.57%, reflecting significant seasonal or base‑comparison dynamics. Gross profit stands at $170.2M and gross margin at 9.771% (up 24.41% YoY), supporting operating leverage in higher‑margin segments.

EBIT equals $48.1M and EBIT margin reads 2.761%, down 158.20% QoQ but up 21.36% YoY. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 8.117% and slightly below the industry peer median of 2.946%, indicating margin performance closer to the middle of the peer range but trailing the peer average.

EPS came in at $0.07 versus an estimate of $0.10, representing an EPS surprise of -30.0% (EPS undershoot). Forward EPS near $0.198 implies a forward PE of 110.5, while the trailing PE is negative due to a modest net loss of $13.3M; those multiples reflect limited near‑term earnings visibility.

Balance sheet and liquidity: total debt $3,407.5M with net debt $2,851.7M against cash $177.4M. Debt‑to‑assets at 45.80% sits above the industry peer mean of 37.24% and the debt‑to‑EBITDA ratio at ~20.0x indicates high leverage relative to operating cash generation, while interest coverage approx. 1.09 signals constrained headline coverage for interest expense.

Operating cash flow remained small at $7.9M and free cash flow registered negative $21.1M with a free cash flow yield of -0.79%; WMDST notes negative free cash flow and low operating cash generation as near‑term pressure points for funding integration and servicing leverage.

Asset efficiency shows an asset turnover ratio of 0.235 (slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.219), while return on equity and return on assets read roughly -0.78% and -0.18% respectively, with YoY improvements reported in the dataset. Book value per share approximates $15.01 and P/B equals 1.56, marginally above the industry peer mean of 1.21 but well inside the peer range.

Valuation context: enterprise value multiples and EVR sit elevated (EVR ≈ 3.38; enterprise multiple ≈ 34.63) while WMDST currently values the stock as under‑valued given the combination of asset base, identified merger synergies, and the present discounted market pricing; however, leverage and weak free cash flow present tangible valuation risk until integration and cash conversion improve.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 192.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 7.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -29.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -135.90 M
 Dividends Paid -22.80 M
 Cash Flow Delta -14.80 M
 End Period Cash Flow 177.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.7 B
 Forward Revenue -737.54 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.6 B
 Depreciation 122.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 122.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.7 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 170.2 M
 EBITDA 170.2 M
 EBIT 48.1 M
 Operating Income 67.6 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 44.3 M
 Net Interest Income -44.30 M
 Income Before Tax 3.8 M
 Tax Provision 17.1 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income -13.30 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -13.30 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.10
 EPS Actual 0.07
 EPS Difference -0.03
 EPS Surprise -30.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.20
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 7.4 B
 Intangible Assets 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 128.1 M
 Total Current Assets 2.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 177.4 M
 Cash 177.4 M
 Net Receivables 895.6 M
 Inventory 847.2 M
 Long-Term Investments 68.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 910.3 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt 2.9 B
 Total Debt 3.4 B
 Total Liabilities 5.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.7 B
 Retained Earnings 2.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 15.01
 Shares Outstanding 113.980 M
 Revenue Per-Share 15.28
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.7 B
 Enterprise Value 5.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 34.627
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -76.226 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 7.189 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 66.55
mean: 34.973
OLN: 34.627
median: 34.382
low: 10.245
 EV/R 3.383
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.348
 Asset To Liability 1.299
 Debt To Capital 0.666
 Debt To Assets 0.458
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.717 %
Debt To Assets YoY 6.928 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.575
OLN: 0.458
mean: 0.372
median: 0.348
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.991
Debt To Equity QoQ 4.295 %
Debt To Equity YoY 18.66 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.945
OLN: 1.991
mean: 1.389
median: 0.929
low: 0.004
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.556
Price To Book QoQ -10.427 %
Price To Book YoY 25.439 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.084
OLN: 1.556
mean: 1.215
median: 0.948
low: 0.809
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -1168.401
Price To Earnings QoQ 1357.39 %
Price To Earnings YoY -208.898 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 55.498
median: 49.72
mean: 24.943
low: -13.515
OLN: -1168.401
 PE/G Ratio 12.438
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.529
Price To Sales QoQ -19.673 %
Price To Sales YoY 10.718 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 6.738
mean: 1.82
OLN: 1.529
median: 1.309
low: 1.268
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 110.54
Forward PE/G -1.177
Forward P/S -3.165
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -16.343
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.235
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.185 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.606 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.315
OLN: 0.235
median: 0.232
mean: 0.219
low: 0.094
 Receivables Turnover 2.035
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.456 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 13.901 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 14.36
mean: 3.955
OLN: 2.035
median: 2.008
low: 1.526
 Inventory Turnover 1.877
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.375 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 3.953 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA OLN: 1.877
high: 1.558
median: 1.558
mean: 1.134
low: 0.536
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 44.834
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 40.375
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.072 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -24.598 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 177.432
mean: 85.64
median: 48.789
OLN: 40.375
low: -2.025
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.701
 CapEx To Revenue -0.017
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.238
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.7 B
 Invested Capital 4.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 128.1 M
 Net Working Capital 644.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.115
 Current Ratio 1.418
Current Ratio QoQ 4.39 %
Current Ratio YoY -4.147 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.024
mean: 2.646
median: 2.549
OLN: 1.418
low: 1.325
 Quick Ratio 0.869
Quick Ratio QoQ 5.651 %
Quick Ratio YoY -1.788 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.273
mean: 1.672
OLN: 0.869
median: 0.813
low: 0.781
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 20.021
 Cost Of Debt 0.791 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.086
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -162.458 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 27.036 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 17.124
mean: 4.114
median: 2.13
OLN: 1.086
low: -0.196
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.005
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 55.145
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -0.583
 Dividend Payout Ratio -1.714
 Dividend Rate 0.20
 Dividend Yield 0.009
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.18 %
 Revenue Growth 10.038 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -303.569 %
Revenue Growth YoY 44.64 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 17.113 %
median: 14.211 %
mean: 11.761 %
OLN: 10.038 %
low: -2.805 %
 Earnings Growth -93.939 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 93.937 %
Earnings Growth YoY 181.82 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 188.235 %
mean: 30.663 %
median: 22.941 %
OLN: -93.939 %
low: -300.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 9.771 %
Gross Margin QoQ 104.073 %
Gross Margin YoY 24.408 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 35.622 %
mean: 17.298 %
median: 14.732 %
OLN: 9.771 %
low: 6.336 %
 EBIT Margin 2.761 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -158.2 %
EBIT Margin YoY 21.363 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.505 %
mean: 8.117 %
median: 2.946 %
OLN: 2.761 %
low: -1.267 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.881 %
Return On Sales QoQ -188.79 %
Return On Sales YoY 59.843 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.388 %
mean: 6.51 %
OLN: 3.881 %
median: 1.443 %
low: -1.959 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -21.10 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.792 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -74.143 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -110.608 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 15.0 %
median: 5.451 %
mean: 3.153 %
OLN: -0.792 %
low: -4.134 %
 Free Cash Growth -77.14 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -43.162 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -65.408 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 12.16 %
median: -1.099 %
OLN: -77.14 %
mean: -79.593 %
low: -349.569 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.586
 Cash Flow Margin 0.471 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.617
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.18 %
Return On Assets QoQ -84.085 %
Return On Assets YoY 958.824 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 1.922 %
median: -0.084 %
OLN: -0.18 %
mean: -0.237 %
low: -2.848 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.816 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.008
Return On Equity QoQ -83.765 %
Return On Equity YoY 1077.273 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.056
median: -0.002
OLN: -0.008
mean: -0.02
low: -0.147
 DuPont ROE -0.772 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.609 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -154.668 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -4.545 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 13.387 %
mean: 2.714 %
median: 0.615 %
OLN: 0.609 %
low: -0.15 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term: expect consolidation between resistance near the $18.6–$19.2 zone (20‑day average and supertrend upper) and support near the $17.4 area (recent low and lower Bollinger band). ADX indicates strong trend strength, but directional indicators conflict: DI+ contraction signals continued downward pressure while DI‑ contraction reduces that pressure, producing rangebound risk with episodic momentum swings.

Momentum conditions (negative MACD, declining RSI) favor further downside probes before the market re‑prices integration optionality; simultaneous negative free cash flow and elevated leverage increase sensitivity to any integration execution headlines as catalysts for directional moves.

Watch technical mean‑reversion cues: the price sitting below the lower 2× Bollinger band and a negative MRO imply potential for a corrective bounce into the $18–$19 area, but sustained recovery requires a return of positive MACD momentum and improved cash generation metrics in subsequent releases.

About Olin Corporation

Olin Corporation (NYSE:OLN) manufactures and distributes a diverse range of chemical products and ammunition across the globe, including the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Canada. The company operates through three primary segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls, Epoxy, and Winchester. The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment produces essential chemicals such as chlorine, caustic soda, and vinyl chloride monomers, along with a variety of chlorinated organics and solvents. The Epoxy segment delivers products including allylics like epichlorohydrin, aromatics such as bisphenol, and both liquid and solid epoxy resins. In addition to its chemical operations, Olin’s Winchester segment manufactures sporting ammunition for hunters and recreational shooters, law enforcement, and military applications. This segment also provides industrial products for maintenance and construction industries. Olin markets its products through a dedicated sales force, directly reaching industrial customers, retailers, wholesalers, and government entities. Founded in 1892 and headquartered in Clayton, Missouri, Olin Corporation continues to serve a broad array of industries with its comprehensive product offerings.



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