Kodiak Gas Services, Inc (NYSE:KGS) Accelerates Margin Expansion And Secures Large Turbine Supply Agreement

Record operational actions and a major turbine supply agreement shift near-term capacity expectations, while valuation metrics indicate stretched multiples relative to fundamentals.

Recent News

On July 8, 2026 Kodiak and Baker Hughes announced a multi-year gas turbine order agreement to support U.S. data center growth, anchored by an initial award enabling roughly 1 GW of capacity with a pathway to 1.8 GW. In July 2026 the company exercised buyout options on operating lease agreements covering about 43,000 horsepower of compression equipment. In early August 2026 the board declared a quarterly cash dividend payable later in the month.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 20.76 signals an emerging trend strength; the directional indicators show DI+ at 17.02 with a peak-and-reversal (bearish) and DI- at 25.28 with a dip-and-reversal (bearish), implying directional pressure favors sellers in the near term and weighs against a sustained breakout.

MACD sits negative at -0.85 with a peak-and-reversal trend, indicating bearish momentum, though the indicator currently sits above its signal line (-1.37), which registers as a short-term bullish crossover signal against the broader weakening momentum.

MRO reads 4.61 and sits positive, indicating the market price stands modestly above the model target and therefore carries incremental downside potential toward that target in the near term.

RSI at 45.11 with a peak-and-reversal denotes fading internal momentum and supports a bias toward consolidation or pullback rather than immediate upside continuation.

Price dynamics show the last close at $60.60 below the 50-day average ($65.00) but above the 200-day average ($53.37), creating a technical picture where shorter-term averages apply downward pressure while longer-term trend remains supported; Bollinger bands place the price inside the 1x standard band, consistent with moderate volatility.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue reached $391,120,000 with EBIT of $123,298,000 and EBITDA of $201,948,000. YoY revenue movement shows a decline of approximately 7.36% while reported revenue growth (raw) appears at 13.12%; EBIT margin stands at 31.52%, a QoQ improvement of roughly 57.14% and a YoY improvement near 2.61%, placing operating profitability above the industry peer mean and median for EBIT margin.

EPS for the period printed $0.55 versus an estimate of $0.71, a negative surprise of about -22.54%, which reduces near-term earnings confidence despite strong operating margins. Cash flow patterns show operating cash flow of $99,465,000 but free cash flow of -$100,744,000 and a free cash flow yield of -1.55%, reflecting material cash outlays related to growth and equipment acquisition.

Liquidity and leverage present mixed signals: current ratio 1.45 and quick ratio 1.15 provide near-term coverage, while total debt at $2,817,494,000 yields a debt-to-EBITDA of ~13.95x and interest coverage near 2.46x, highlighting elevated leverage relative to the industry peer mean interest coverage and raising sensitivity to interest costs and cash conversion.

Valuation multiples appear rich: PE ~117.47x and PS ~16.67x both sit above the industry peer mean values, while P/B at 3.02x sits below the industry peer mean; enterprise multiple near 45.56x aligns slightly above the peer mean. Returns remain modest — ROE ~2.41% and ROA ~1.04% — which, combined with negative free cash flow and high leverage, weigh on valuation support.

WMDST values the stock as over-valued given stretched earnings multiples, negative free cash flow, and elevated leverage despite above-mean operating margins and recently secured power-supply agreements.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 94.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 99.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -200.21 M
 Change In Working Capital -85.49 M
 Dividends Paid -50.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 43.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 137.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 391.1 M
 Forward Revenue 148.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 223.0 M
 Depreciation 78.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 78.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 263.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 168.1 M
 EBITDA 201.9 M
 EBIT 123.3 M
 Operating Income 127.2 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 50.1 M
 Net Interest Income -50.06 M
 Income Before Tax 73.2 M
 Tax Provision 21.1 M
 Tax Rate 28.801 %
 Net Income 52.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 52.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.71
 EPS Actual 0.55
 EPS Difference -0.16
 EPS Surprise -22.535 %
 Forward EPS 0.78
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 5.5 B
 Intangible Assets 942.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Total Current Assets 528.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 137.6 M
 Cash 137.6 M
 Net Receivables 262.7 M
 Inventory 107.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 17.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 97.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 365.0 M
 Net Debt 2.6 B
 Total Debt 2.8 B
 Total Liabilities 3.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.2 B
 Retained Earnings -10.47 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 21.42
 Shares Outstanding 100.919 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.88
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.5 B
 Enterprise Value 9.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 45.556
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -19.561 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 35.165 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 107.267
KGS: 45.556
median: 44.843
mean: 43.104
low: -39.564
 EV/R 23.522
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.545
 Asset To Liability 1.649
 Debt To Capital 0.566
 Debt To Assets 0.512
Debt To Assets QoQ -19.062 %
Debt To Assets YoY -14.031 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.865
KGS: 0.512
mean: 0.34
median: 0.309
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 1.304
Debt To Equity QoQ -46.313 %
Debt To Equity YoY -33.193 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.75
KGS: 1.304
mean: 1.167
median: 0.745
low: 0.0
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.017
Price To Book QoQ -30.269 %
Price To Book YoY 35.707 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.468
mean: 4.748
median: 3.413
KGS: 3.017
low: -0.296
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 117.466
Price To Earnings QoQ 18.076 %
Price To Earnings YoY 74.108 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 302.331
KGS: 117.466
median: 80.738
mean: 71.666
low: -202.033
 PE/G Ratio -17.325
 Price To Sales (P/S) 16.67
Price To Sales QoQ 13.734 %
Price To Sales YoY 81.197 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 25.655
KGS: 16.67
mean: 10.913
median: 9.125
low: 0.524
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 86.529
Forward PE/G -12.762
Forward P/S 44.2
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.927
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.078
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.268 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 6.81 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.46
mean: 0.15
median: 0.145
KGS: 0.078
low: 0.03
 Receivables Turnover 1.561
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.577 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.646 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.739
mean: 1.815
KGS: 1.561
median: 1.399
low: 0.585
 Inventory Turnover 2.114
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.348 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 16.996 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 14.393
mean: 2.69
KGS: 2.114
median: 1.616
low: 0.4
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 58.451
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 68.329
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -4.905 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -19.978 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 289.787
median: 78.168
KGS: 68.329
mean: 64.273
low: -88.914
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.397
 CapEx To Revenue -0.512
 CapEx To Depreciation -2.546
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.9 B
 Invested Capital 4.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Working Capital 163.1 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.377
 Current Ratio 1.447
Current Ratio QoQ 13.345 %
Current Ratio YoY 31.209 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.932
mean: 2.027
median: 2.018
KGS: 1.447
low: 0.162
 Quick Ratio 1.154
Quick Ratio QoQ 16.77 %
Quick Ratio YoY 47.813 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 5.317
median: 1.499
mean: 1.458
KGS: 1.154
low: 0.148
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 13.952
 Cost Of Debt 1.548 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.463
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 73.076 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 13.62 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 25.702
mean: 8.761
median: 5.247
KGS: 2.463
low: -1.804
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.353
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 40.382
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.039
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.962
 Dividend Rate 0.50
 Dividend Yield 0.008
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 22.382 %
 Revenue Growth 13.119 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 238.817 %
Revenue Growth YoY -735.919 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 41.85 %
KGS: 13.119 %
mean: 3.307 %
median: 2.315 %
low: -24.034 %
 Earnings Growth -6.78 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -106.124 %
Earnings Growth YoY -148.592 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 238.462 %
median: 10.345 %
mean: -1.683 %
KGS: -6.78 %
low: -255.556 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 42.983 %
Gross Margin QoQ -3.621 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.901 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.321 %
KGS: 42.983 %
mean: 36.87 %
median: 33.191 %
low: -5.561 %
 EBIT Margin 31.524 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 57.141 %
EBIT Margin YoY 2.611 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 78.229 %
KGS: 31.524 %
mean: 26.608 %
median: 19.752 %
low: -54.293 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 32.521 %
Return On Sales QoQ 4.044 %
Return On Sales YoY -1.263 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 74.843 %
KGS: 32.521 %
mean: 26.04 %
median: 16.652 %
low: -28.155 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -100.74 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.545 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 65.951 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -148.539 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.358 %
mean: 1.121 %
median: 0.763 %
KGS: -1.545 %
low: -12.123 %
 Free Cash Growth 113.495 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -185.191 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -27.763 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 627.16 %
KGS: 113.495 %
mean: 55.084 %
median: 0.393 %
low: -604.506 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.938
 Cash Flow Margin 32.987 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.483
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.04 %
Return On Assets QoQ 157.426 %
Return On Assets YoY 16.071 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.329 %
median: 2.337 %
mean: 2.308 %
KGS: 1.04 %
low: -3.517 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.401 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.024
Return On Equity QoQ 58.224 %
Return On Equity YoY -18.64 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.209
mean: 0.067
median: 0.034
KGS: 0.024
low: -0.147
 DuPont ROE 3.119 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.798 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 18.445 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -5.962 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.567 %
mean: 3.14 %
median: 2.91 %
KGS: 1.798 %
low: -3.654 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should reflect the tension between operational catalysts and technical weakness. The turbine supply agreement and equipment buyouts function as positive capacity and execution catalysts, while directional indicators, negative MACD momentum, and a positive MRO point toward consolidation or correction pressure. Expect limited upside without a sustained pickup in momentum above the 50-day average; volatility likely stays moderate as investors assess integration and cash-flow implications from recent capital deployment and dividend timing.

About Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE:KGS) delivers essential contract compression infrastructure within the U.S. oil and gas industry. Based in The Woodlands, Texas, Kodiak Gas Services, founded in 2010, plays a critical role in enhancing the efficiency of natural gas and oil production, gathering, and transportation. The company divides its operations into two primary segments: Compression Operations and Other Services. Within the Compression Operations segment, Kodiak Gas Services manages both its own and client-owned compression infrastructure. This management ensures the smooth flow and optimal efficiency of energy resources, which is vital for the extraction and movement of oil and natural gas. The Other Services segment provides a broad range of contract services, including station construction, maintenance, overhauls, and additional ancillary services tailored to meet specific client requirements. By offering these services, Kodiak Gas Services ensures the reliability and extended lifespan of its clients’ infrastructure. Kodiak Gas Services remains committed to advancing the capabilities of the oil and gas sector by offering robust solutions that cater to the dynamic needs of energy production and distribution.



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