James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) Poised To Extend Near-Term Upside Momentum

Price action and momentum indicators favor continued upward movement while fundamentals show mixed cash-flow and leverage dynamics that frame a value recovery case. Technical momentum supports a near-term bullish bias.

Recent News

May 15, 2026 — James Hardie appointed Rob Sindel as an independent non‑executive director effective June 1, 2026. June 23, 2026 — David Weekley Homes named James Hardie a 2026 National Preferred Partner. June 26, 2026 — Company announced redemption activity for a tranche of senior notes. July 2, 2026 — Proxy materials/AGM notice published setting the annual meeting for August 20–21, 2026. The company continues to disclose ongoing class‑action litigation scheduled for trial in early July 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX at 21.46 signals an emerging trend environment rather than a strong one, so momentum remains workable but not overextended.

DI+ shows a dip‑and‑reversal and DI‑ trends downward; that combination reads as bullish directional pressure and supports further near‑term upside against the current valuation backdrop.

MACD sits positive at 0.95 with the MACD signal at 0.70 and a MACD trend described as a dip‑and‑reversal; the MACD has crossed above its signal line, a bullish momentum confirmation that favors continuation of the current rally.

MRO registers -7.51 (negative, dip‑and‑reversal), indicating price sits below model target and therefore carries potential to rise toward that target; strength of that potential remains moderate given the MRO magnitude.

RSI at 60.5 and rising signals upward momentum without classical overbought extremes, which supports room to run while monitoring any move above typical overbought thresholds.

Price sits above key averages: the 12‑day EMA at $27.55 (increasing), the 20‑day average $26.94, the 50‑day average $25.29 and well above the 200‑day average $22.14; being above short and long averages reinforces a bullish near‑term bias and aligns with the valuation case for recovery.

Price matches the upper Bollinger boundary at roughly $30.23 (upper 2× band), which denotes a stretched intraday level and creates a short‑term reference for potential consolidation; volume of ~12.2M exceeds the 10‑day and 200‑day averages, confirming higher participation in the move.

Ichimoku values place price above Tenkan‑Sen ($27.58) and Kijun‑Sen ($27.30) with Senkou spans forming a higher cloud reference, supporting bullish momentum; SuperTrend lower at $27.75 offers a technical support reference beneath current price.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT stands at $108.7M and EBITDA at $271.7M. EBIT margin sits at 7.743%, below the industry peer mean of 14.805% and below the industry peer median of 15.925%, while above the industry peer low. QoQ, EBIT margin contracted by 45.518%; YoY, EBIT margin expanded by 116.769% (reported). Operating margin measures 15.485% and return on sales mirrors that level, reflecting operational leverage despite margin compression quarter‑over‑quarter.

Top line and growth: Total revenue equals $1,403.9M. Reported revenue growth reads 13.236%; reported revenue growth year‑over‑year value in the dataset equals 593.347% (as provided). Earnings growth on the dataset shows 25.0% year‑over‑year, while earnings growth QoQ shows a sharp negative swing (‑107.353% QoQ), indicating quarter‑to‑quarter volatility in profitability.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow totals $134.4M; free cash flow stands at $53.3M, giving a free cash flow yield of ~0.44%. The cash conversion cycle approximates 40.7 days. Current ratio at 1.58 and quick ratio at 1.03 indicate available near‑term liquidity but not ample excess.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt $4,785.7M with net debt $4,265.8M produces debt to equity ~0.745 and debt to assets ~0.3496. Debt to EBITDA measures 17.61x and interest coverage ≈1.74x, highlighting meaningful leverage and constrained interest coverage that pressurizes cash flow flexibility.

Valuation multiples: Trailing P/E ~69.7x, forward P/E ~58.09x, price‑to‑book ~1.89x, price‑to‑sales ~8.64x, enterprise multiple ~61.27x, and EVR ~11.86. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued; the valuation signal reflects a view that current price does not fully incorporate an anticipated normalization of operating margins and cash conversion improvements given the company’s revenue base and asset footprint.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-19
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-18
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 374.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 134.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -81.10 M
 Change In Working Capital -116.40 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -30.50 M
 End Period Cash Flow 344.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.4 B
 Forward Revenue 2.8 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 880.5 M
 Depreciation 163.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 163.0 M
 Research and Development 16.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 523.4 M
 EBITDA 271.7 M
 EBIT 108.7 M
 Operating Income 217.4 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 62.3 M
 Net Interest Income -62.30 M
 Income Before Tax 46.4 M
 Tax Provision 17.9 M
 Tax Rate 38.578 %
 Net Income 28.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 28.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.30
 EPS Actual 0.30
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise 1.34 %
 Forward EPS 0.40
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 13.7 B
 Intangible Assets 8.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.70 B
 Total Current Assets 1.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 269.2 M
 Cash 269.2 M
 Net Receivables 441.0 M
 Inventory 635.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 27.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 351.4 M
 Short-Term Debt 43.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.2 B
 Net Debt 4.3 B
 Total Debt 4.8 B
 Total Liabilities 7.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 6.4 B
 Retained Earnings 1.8 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 11.08
 Shares Outstanding 580.174 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.42
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 12.1 B
 Enterprise Value 16.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 61.266
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 14.936 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -51.553 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 138.618
median: 94.801
mean: 85.104
JHX: 61.266
low: -55.76
 EV/R 11.857
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.13
 Asset To Liability 1.885
 Debt To Capital 0.427
 Debt To Assets 0.35
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.735 %
Debt To Assets YoY 51.734 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.78
JHX: 0.35
mean: 0.308
median: 0.248
low: 0.006
 Debt To Equity 0.745
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.01 %
Debt To Equity YoY 33.601 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.744
JHX: 0.745
median: 0.537
mean: 0.521
low: -1.447
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.888
Price To Book QoQ -5.235 %
Price To Book YoY -63.755 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 14.269
mean: 6.186
median: 6.129
JHX: 1.888
low: -5.69
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 69.688
Price To Earnings QoQ -23.885 %
Price To Earnings YoY -4.216 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 348.684
mean: 127.597
median: 114.109
JHX: 69.688
low: -106.741
 PE/G Ratio 2.788
 Price To Sales (P/S) 8.64
Price To Sales QoQ -15.935 %
Price To Sales YoY -25.441 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.824
median: 13.489
mean: 13.271
JHX: 8.64
low: 0.198
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 58.089
Forward PE/G 2.324
Forward P/S 4.576
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -2.894
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.102
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.804 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -46.71 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.474
mean: 0.229
median: 0.225
JHX: 0.102
low: 0.047
 Receivables Turnover 3.734
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.994 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.204 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA JHX: 3.734
high: 2.956
mean: 1.52
median: 1.419
low: 0.718
 Inventory Turnover 1.353
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.426 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -21.195 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.875
mean: 1.566
median: 1.44
JHX: 1.353
low: 0.179
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 24.439
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 40.744
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 77.589 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 20.357 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 198.937
mean: 79.917
median: 63.399
JHX: 40.744
low: 2.167
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.097
 CapEx To Revenue -0.058
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.498
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.0 B
 Invested Capital 11.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.70 B
 Net Working Capital 669.4 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.233
 Current Ratio 1.578
Current Ratio QoQ 2.28 %
Current Ratio YoY -24.856 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.721
mean: 1.802
JHX: 1.578
median: 1.095
low: 0.779
 Quick Ratio 1.029
Quick Ratio QoQ 8.854 %
Quick Ratio YoY -38.452 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.762
mean: 1.211
JHX: 1.029
median: 0.854
low: 0.619
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.614
 Cost Of Debt 0.793 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.745
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -35.041 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -90.446 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 51.538
median: 13.3
mean: 12.596
JHX: 1.745
low: -20.842
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.194
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 58.708
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.84 %
 Revenue Growth 13.236 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -426.412 %
Revenue Growth YoY 593.347 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.602 %
JHX: 13.236 %
mean: 0.971 %
median: 0.039 %
low: -35.007 %
 Earnings Growth 25.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -107.353 %
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 60.902 %
JHX: 25.0 %
mean: 4.194 %
median: -6.923 %
low: -75.893 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.282 %
Gross Margin QoQ 3.129 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.846 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 56.662 %
JHX: 37.282 %
mean: 34.819 %
median: 34.775 %
low: 9.553 %
 EBIT Margin 7.743 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -45.518 %
EBIT Margin YoY 116.769 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 26.893 %
median: 15.925 %
mean: 14.805 %
JHX: 7.743 %
low: -21.828 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 15.485 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.541 %
Return On Sales YoY 333.511 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 24.317 %
median: 15.618 %
JHX: 15.485 %
mean: 14.78 %
low: -12.238 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 53.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.439 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -40.595 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -12.024 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.62 %
median: 0.555 %
JHX: 0.439 %
mean: 0.061 %
low: -9.739 %
 Free Cash Growth -42.811 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -86.098 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -38.553 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 336.077 %
JHX: -42.811 %
median: -48.508 %
mean: -69.753 %
low: -416.974 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.87
 Cash Flow Margin -15.97 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -7.867
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.207 %
Return On Assets QoQ -58.012 %
Return On Assets YoY -75.93 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.228 %
median: 2.646 %
mean: 2.335 %
JHX: 0.207 %
low: -5.798 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.867 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.004
Return On Equity QoQ -58.659 %
Return On Equity YoY -77.987 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.205
median: 0.045
mean: 0.044
JHX: 0.004
low: -0.17
 DuPont ROE 0.445 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.609 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -38.732 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -22.321 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.77 %
mean: 3.822 %
median: 3.814 %
JHX: 0.609 %
low: -6.723 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term: Technical momentum and elevated volume favor continued upside attempts; MACD cross, rising RSI, and price above short‑ and long‑term averages create a constructive intraday and swing environment. Watch technical reference levels: upside space near the $30.23 upper Bollinger band and shorter‑term resistance defined by recent intra‑day highs; support references include SuperTrend lower at $27.75 and the 12‑day EMA near $27.55.

Risk profile: High leverage (debt/EBITDA ~17.6x) and modest free cash flow yield temper conviction in extended rallies; legal proceedings and upcoming AGM timelines create event risk that could amplify volatility. Elevated 42‑day beta (~1.82) signals above‑market sensitivity to broader moves.

Conclusion: A confluence of bullish technical signals supports a near‑term positive bias while fundamentals frame a recovery case centered on margin and cash‑flow improvement; the enterprise’s leverage and coverage metrics constitute the primary risk vector to monitor during the next six weeks.

About James Hardie Industries plc

James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE:JHX) stands as a global leader in the production of innovative building materials, specializing in fiber cement and fiber gypsum products. With a rich heritage dating back to 1888, the company has evolved into a powerhouse in the construction industry, providing versatile solutions for both residential and commercial applications. Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, James Hardie operates across key markets including North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe. The company’s product portfolio includes durable exterior siding, interior linings, and cement-bonded boards, catering to a wide range of construction needs such as cladding, walls, ceilings, and fire protection. Renowned for their resilience and aesthetic appeal, James Hardie’s offerings are favored in both new constructions and renovation projects. James Hardie is committed to sustainability and innovation, continuously advancing its product lines to meet modern construction demands while minimizing environmental impact. Its strategic focus on quality and performance has earned it a reputation for excellence and reliability in the building materials sector. With a global presence and a dedication to customer satisfaction, James Hardie Industries remains at the forefront of transforming spaces with cutting-edge building solutions.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.