T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMUS) Poised To Sustain Margin Strength Amid Capital Discipline

T-Mobile enters the coming weeks with resilient cash generation and above-peer margins, while revenue contraction and elevated leverage pressure near-term upside. The mix suggests valuation support despite technical signals favoring caution.

Recent News

May 14, 2026 — T‑Mobile joined AT&T and Verizon in a planned joint venture to expand satellite-enabled direct-to-device coverage and address dead zones in underserved areas. May 28, 2026 — T‑Mobile announced network sponsorship and promotional activity around the USGA. June 15, 2026 — the company declared a quarterly cash dividend. June 25, 2026 — T‑Mobile completed a nationwide Hometown Grants initiative transforming 500 communities. July 23, 2026 — carrier promotions surfaced for new flagship devices, including trade-in offers tied to new plans.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show low trend strength: ADX at 18.63 signals no established directional trend. That lack of trend reduces conviction for directional breakouts and favors range-sensitive setups in the near term.

DI+ at 26.00 has peaked and reversed while DI- at 26.45 shows a dip-and-reversal; both readings align with a bearish directional bias for immediate price action. Those directional moves increase the probability of downward pressure unless DI+ re-accelerates above its recent peak.

MACD sits at 0.18 beneath its signal line at 0.42, with a peak-and-reversal pattern visible in the MACD trend. That configuration signals weakening bullish momentum and supports a near-term bearish tilt to price momentum.

MRO at 4.18 (peak-and-reversal) registers positive, indicating price currently sits slightly above the model target and therefore carries a modest downside potential. RSI at 48.91 with a peak-and-reversal pattern corroborates momentum fatigue rather than oversold strength.

Price relationships add tactical context: last close $180.09 trades below the 20-day average $186.45, 50-day average $184.56, and 200-day average $198.74, and remains under the ichimoku Tenkan ($184.41) and Kijun ($182.25). The position below multiple moving averages and ichimoku lines reinforces near-term resistance around $184–$199 and leaves the lower Bollinger band near $179 as an immediate reference for intraday support.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top line: total revenue $22,791,000,000 declined 2.16% year-over-year and dropped 72.87% quarter-over-quarter, indicating weak top-line momentum this quarter and a notable seasonal or timing effect in revenue recognition.

Profitability: operating margin 24.09% and EBIT margin 23.62% remain above the industry peer mean of 21.88% (industry peer median 22.08%), supporting relative operating efficiency. EBIT margin improved QoQ by 25.03% while slipping YoY by 4.05 percentage points, a profile consistent with cost control offsetting weaker revenue.

Cash flow and valuation inputs: operating cash flow $6,175,000,000 and free cash flow $4,313,000,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 2.13%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 1.21%. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, with free cash generation and above-peer margins providing the primary valuation support.

Capital structure: total debt $119,439,000,000 produces a debt-to-EBITDA of 13.55 and debt-to-equity of 2.12, both indicating material leverage relative to typical peer medians. Interest coverage at 5.10 remains positive and above the industry peer mean, but high absolute leverage elevates sensitivity to interest and cash-flow swings.

Market multiples: trailing PE equals 62.90, above the industry peer mean of 56.21; price-to-book sits at 3.59, marginally above the industry peer mean of 3.54. PEG sits near the industry peer mean. Those elevated multiples reflect growth expectations embedded in price despite recent revenue softness.

Earnings and per-share metrics: reported EPS $2.99 beat the estimate $2.60 by $0.39, a 15% surprise, supporting near-term fundamentals-driven sentiment. Return on equity 5.76% and return on assets 1.51% improved QoQ but remain modest in absolute terms given the equity base and intangibles.

Valuation summary: WMDST’s valuation as under-valued rests on above-peer margin performance and a free cash flow yield above the industry peer mean, balanced against elevated leverage and slowing revenue growth. The net effect produces a constructive fundamental floor with constrained upside until revenue momentum stabilizes.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.9 B
 Operating Cash Flow 6.2 B
 Capital Expenditures -3.19 B
 Change In Working Capital -886.00 M
 Dividends Paid -1.10 B
 Cash Flow Delta -734.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.2 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 22.8 B
 Forward Revenue 6.8 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 8.0 B
 Depreciation 3.4 B
 Depreciation and Amortization 3.4 B
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 17.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 14.8 B
 EBITDA 8.8 B
 EBIT 5.4 B
 Operating Income 5.5 B
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.1 B
 Net Interest Income -1.05 B
 Income Before Tax 4.3 B
 Tax Provision 1.1 B
 Tax Rate 25.2 %
 Net Income 3.2 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 3.2 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.60
 EPS Actual 2.99
 EPS Difference 0.39
 EPS Surprise 15.0 %
 Forward EPS 3.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 213.6 B
 Intangible Assets 115.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -58.88 B
 Total Current Assets 21.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.8 B
 Cash 2.8 B
 Net Receivables 5.2 B
 Inventory 2.2 B
 Long-Term Investments 10.0 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 4.3 B
 Short-Term Debt 6.1 B
 Total Current Liabilities 23.6 B
 Net Debt 81.8 B
 Total Debt 119.4 B
 Total Liabilities 157.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 56.3 B
 Retained Earnings 24.7 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 52.35
 Shares Outstanding 1.075 B
 Revenue Per-Share 21.20
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 202.2 B
 Enterprise Value 318.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 36.154
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -12.539 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -20.997 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 72.007
TMUS: 36.154
mean: 22.313
median: 22.162
low: -24.639
 EV/R 13.987
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.795
 Asset To Liability 1.358
 Debt To Capital 0.68
 Debt To Assets 0.559
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.953 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.908 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.687
TMUS: 0.559
mean: 0.383
median: 0.382
low: 0.063
 Debt To Equity 2.123
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.143 %
Debt To Equity YoY 10.06 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.729
TMUS: 2.123
mean: 1.585
median: 1.578
low: 0.292
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.593
Price To Book QoQ -8.958 %
Price To Book YoY -19.996 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.984
TMUS: 3.593
mean: 3.536
median: 3.516
low: 2.974
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 62.904
Price To Earnings QoQ -29.688 %
Price To Earnings YoY -24.614 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 381.602
TMUS: 62.904
mean: 56.212
low: 54.565
median: 54.565
 PE/G Ratio 7.92
 Price To Sales (P/S) 8.87
Price To Sales QoQ -7.059 %
Price To Sales YoY -31.697 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 61.205
TMUS: 8.87
mean: 6.477
low: 6.389
median: 6.389
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 53.012
Forward PE/G 6.675
Forward P/S 29.913
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -17.054
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.106
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.056 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.623 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.132
median: 0.132
mean: 0.132
TMUS: 0.106
low: 0.011
 Receivables Turnover 4.507
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.005 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -4.126 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA TMUS: 4.507
high: 2.156
mean: 0.989
median: 0.985
low: 0.014
 Inventory Turnover 3.556
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.685 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -12.57 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA TMUS: 3.556
high: 3.076
median: 3.076
mean: 3.07
low: 0.973
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 20.245
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -2.368
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -674.427 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -72.242 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 3122.209
TMUS: -2.368
mean: -20.166
low: -20.977
median: -20.977
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -12.768
 CapEx To Revenue -0.14
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.928
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 134.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 140.9 B
 Invested Capital 140.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -58.88 B
 Net Working Capital -1.78 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.12
 Current Ratio 0.924
Current Ratio QoQ -14.991 %
Current Ratio YoY -23.7 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.782
TMUS: 0.924
mean: 0.722
low: 0.714
median: 0.714
 Quick Ratio 0.831
Quick Ratio QoQ -14.558 %
Quick Ratio YoY -26.756 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.314
TMUS: 0.831
mean: 0.661
low: 0.656
median: 0.656
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 13.546
 Cost Of Debt 0.656 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.102
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 20.517 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -9.566 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA TMUS: 5.102
high: 4.497
median: 4.497
mean: 0.081
low: -1306.328
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.262
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 45.966
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.942
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.34
 Dividend Rate 1.02
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.519 %
 Revenue Growth -1.368 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -72.868 %
Revenue Growth YoY -216.129 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 2.821 %
mean: 1.788 %
median: 1.785 %
TMUS: -1.368 %
low: -47.129 %
 Earnings Growth 7.942 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -61.716 %
Earnings Growth YoY -21.195 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA TMUS: 7.942 %
high: 6.818 %
median: 6.818 %
mean: 6.615 %
low: -42.857 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 64.754 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.782 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.525 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 71.819 %
TMUS: 64.754 %
mean: 63.381 %
median: 63.329 %
low: 32.069 %
 EBIT Margin 23.619 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 25.034 %
EBIT Margin YoY -4.054 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA TMUS: 23.619 %
high: 22.079 %
median: 22.079 %
mean: 21.878 %
low: -297.03 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 24.088 %
Return On Sales QoQ 23.769 %
Return On Sales YoY -2.355 %
Return On Sales IPRWA TMUS: 24.088 %
high: 22.843 %
median: 22.843 %
mean: 22.638 %
low: -297.51 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.3 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.134 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 2.893 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 55.994 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA TMUS: 2.134 %
high: 1.957 %
mean: 1.21 %
median: 0.588 %
low: -5.895 %
 Free Cash Growth -5.686 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -151.97 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -56.8 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 766.738 %
TMUS: -5.686 %
mean: -665.761 %
low: -1389.277 %
median: -1389.277 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.332
 Cash Flow Margin 27.094 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.906
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.513 %
Return On Assets QoQ 31.109 %
Return On Assets YoY 0.332 %
Return On Assets IPRWA TMUS: 1.513 %
high: 1.331 %
median: 1.331 %
mean: 1.313 %
low: -3.259 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.833 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.058
Return On Equity QoQ 28.476 %
Return On Equity YoY 9.179 %
Return On Equity IPRWA TMUS: 0.058
high: 0.056
median: 0.056
mean: 0.055
low: -0.15
 DuPont ROE 5.777 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.858 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 23.723 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 5.112 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 3.584 %
median: 3.584 %
mean: 3.553 %
TMUS: 2.858 %
low: -3.325 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound to modestly bearish price action for swing traders. Technical signals—MACD below its signal, DI+/DI- reversal, price under short- and long-term averages, and MRO indicating price above target—weigh toward downside risk near term. Key technical references: immediate support near the lower Bollinger band at $179 and short-term resistance clustered between the 50-day average $184.56 and the 200-day average $198.74; the super trend upper sits near $191.45 as an additional resistance marker.

Fundamentals provide a stabilizing counterweight: solid operating margins and positive free cash flow yield reduce the probability of a sustained collapse, but high leverage and sharply negative QoQ revenue change keep directional conviction low. Traders should monitor any pickup in DI+ or a MACD cross above its signal line for a meaningful shift in momentum; absent that, expect consolidation inside the $171–$199 structural range with heightened sensitivity to company announcements and short-term device-promotion cadence.

About T-Mobile US, Inc.

T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMUS) delivers mobile communications services across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company provides voice, messaging, and data services to a diverse customer base, including postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale segments. T-Mobile US, Inc. distributes a variety of wireless devices such as smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband routers, and other mobile communication devices. Additionally, the company offers financing options through equipment installment plans and provides reinsurance for device insurance policies and extended warranty contracts. Through its JUMP! On Demand program, T-Mobile facilitates device leasing. The company also extends High Speed Internet services to its customers. Operating under the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brands, the company utilizes owned and operated retail stores, a dedicated app, customer care channels, and websites for distribution. T-Mobile US, Inc. also supplies devices to dealers and third-party distributors for resale. Founded in 1994, the company maintains its headquarters in Bellevue, Washington, and functions as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.



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