CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD) Signals Momentum Weakening; Pullback Likely

CrowdStrike’s recent product and partner announcements underscore continued AI and cloud focus, but technical momentum shows a clear loss of short-term upside, increasing the probability of a near-term correction relative to current valuation.

Recent News

June 3, 2026 — CrowdStrike reported fiscal results and announced a four-for-one stock split with split-adjusted trading expected to begin July 2, 2026. June 16–17, 2026 — the company expanded Falcon AI’s gateway ecosystem and detailed new AI- and cloud-focused innovations with AWS, and announced Project QuiltWorks expansion to harden frontier-AI attack surfaces. July 15, 2026 — CrowdStrike appointed AJ Shipley as Chief Product Officer. July 22, 2026 — CrowdStrike and Cerebras announced a strategic partnership to power Falcon AIDR.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX at 34.86 indicates a strong directional trend. DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal (bearish) while DI- sits at 16.63 and remains increasing (bearish). Together, a strong ADX with a falling DI+ and rising DI- signals sellers gaining control and raises downside risk versus the present valuation.

MACD: MACD at 6.17 sits below its signal line at 8.29 and displays a peak-and-reversal, indicating bearish momentum; no bullish MACD cross recently materialized, reinforcing short-term downside bias.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 25.39 registers positive, which indicates the price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries a bias toward a price decrease; the magnitude suggests non-trivial corrective potential relative to current levels.

RSI: RSI at 60.91 with a decreasing trend shows momentum softening while remaining above neutral; the reading supports momentum loss rather than a decisive breakout to the upside.

Price Structure & Breadth: The last close at $183.42 sits below the 20-day average ($196.03) but above the 50-day ($176.98) and 200-day ($130.90), indicating short-term weakness within a longer-term advance. Price lies between the 1x and 2x lower Bollinger bands (lower 1x = $186.85, lower 2x = $177.66), adding room for a corrective move toward the 50-day average. Short-term volatility remains elevated (42-day beta 1.85 versus 52-week beta 1.45) while volume (6.36M) runs below 10-/50-/200-day averages, reducing conviction in directional moves until volume normalizes.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Growth: Total revenue stands at $1,385,629,000 with YoY revenue growth of 44.97% and QoQ growth of 6.68%, confirming robust top-line expansion that supports premium multiple justification.

Profitability: Gross margin at 75.30% sits above the industry peer mean of 71.59%, demonstrating strong product-level economics. Operating income recorded negative $30,600,000 and operating margin stands at -2.21%; EBIT equals $45,179,000 for an EBIT margin of 3.26%. EBIT margin declined QoQ by 34.90% and declined YoY by 143.26%, signaling near-term margin pressure despite positive gross margins.

Earnings & Cash Flow: Reported EPS of $0.28 exceeded the estimate of $0.27 by $0.01, an EPS surprise ratio of 3.70%. Operating cash flow totaled $590,937,000 and free cash flow reached $470,742,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.35%, which falls below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.87%.

Leverage & Liquidity: Cash and short-term investments total $4,552,801,000 while total debt totals $821,343,000; the cash ratio equals 1.11 and current ratio 1.53 (current ratio down QoQ -13.65% and YoY -17.21%). Debt-to-EBITDA sits at 6.17, indicating elevated leverage relative to operating earnings despite modest absolute debt levels.

Valuation Multiples: Price/sales at 96.14x, price/book 28.75x (above the industry peer mean of 9.96x and median 10.76x), and P/E at 475.76x. Enterprise value to revenue sits at 93.44 and enterprise multiple at 972.73. Forward P/E near 273.34x and forward PS 26.85x reflect compressed forward profitability expectations. These multiples, combined with free cash flow yield below peer mean, drive the WMDST valuation.

WMDST Valuation: The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over-valued. Premium multiples reflect strong revenue growth and high gross margin, but operating margin deterioration, modest free cash flow yield relative to peers, and elevated leverage to EBITDA dilute valuation support.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-04-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-06-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-09-02
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 5.3 B
 Operating Cash Flow 590.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -120.19 M
 Change In Working Capital 102.3 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -598.89 M
 End Period Cash Flow 4.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.4 B
 Forward Revenue 5.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 342.3 M
 Depreciation 75.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 87.9 M
 Research and Development 408.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.0 B
 EBITDA 133.1 M
 EBIT 45.2 M
 Operating Income -30.60 M
 Interest Income 40.5 M
 Interest Expense 6.1 M
 Net Interest Income 34.4 M
 Income Before Tax 39.1 M
 Tax Provision -6.90 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 27.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 46.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.27
 EPS Actual 0.28
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 3.704 %
 Forward EPS 0.39
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 11.3 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.1 B
 Total Current Assets 6.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 4.6 B
 Cash 4.6 B
 Net Receivables 933.9 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 469.5 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 54.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 4.1 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 821.3 M
 Total Liabilities 6.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.6 B
 Retained Earnings -1.26 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 18.21
 Shares Outstanding 1.018 B
 Revenue Per-Share 5.44
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 133.2 B
 Enterprise Value 129.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 972.729
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 29.967 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -118.815 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA CRWD: 972.729
high: 920.935
mean: 180.001
median: 68.756
low: -246.135
 EV/R 93.442
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.432
 Asset To Liability 1.709
 Debt To Capital 0.151
 Debt To Assets 0.073
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.474 %
Debt To Assets YoY -19.076 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.755
median: 0.393
mean: 0.369
CRWD: 0.073
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.177
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.287 %
Debt To Equity YoY -22.119 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.622
median: 0.613
mean: 0.59
CRWD: 0.177
low: -1.569
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 28.746
Price To Book QoQ 14.312 %
Price To Book YoY -3.361 %
Price To Book IPRWA CRWD: 28.746
high: 16.13
median: 10.755
mean: 9.962
low: -10.151
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 475.758
Price To Earnings QoQ 21.23 %
Price To Earnings YoY -15.73 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CRWD: 475.758
high: 321.173
mean: 92.621
median: 88.787
low: -196.279
 PE/G Ratio -266.382
 Price To Sales (P/S) 96.135
Price To Sales QoQ 12.688 %
Price To Sales YoY 3.339 %
Price To Sales IPRWA CRWD: 96.135
high: 54.952
mean: 29.694
median: 28.124
low: 2.232
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 273.338
Forward PE/G -153.045
Forward P/S 26.855
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -5.028
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.124
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.04 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -2.139 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.368
CRWD: 0.124
mean: 0.106
median: 0.084
low: 0.048
 Receivables Turnover 1.207
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.812 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 5.967 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.24
median: 1.818
mean: 1.75
CRWD: 1.207
low: 0.46
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 75.592
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 97.13
mean: 58.726
median: 53.784
CRWD: 0
low: -56.99
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.634
 CapEx To Revenue -0.087
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.592
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.4 B
 Invested Capital 5.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.1 B
 Net Working Capital 2.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.106
 Current Ratio 1.531
Current Ratio QoQ -13.652 %
Current Ratio YoY -17.214 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.221
CRWD: 1.531
mean: 1.135
median: 1.115
low: 0.314
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.171
 Cost Of Debt 0.448 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.387
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -14.689 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -159.64 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 54.688
mean: 8.56
CRWD: 7.387
median: 4.731
low: -7.182
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.144
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.353
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.654 %
 Revenue Growth 6.148 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 6.681 %
Revenue Growth YoY 44.966 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 15.729 %
median: 11.6 %
mean: 6.949 %
CRWD: 6.148 %
low: -13.038 %
 Earnings Growth -1.786 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -110.716 %
Earnings Growth YoY -93.868 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.142 %
mean: 19.898 %
median: 4.912 %
CRWD: -1.786 %
low: -166.667 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 75.298 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.082 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.035 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.951 %
CRWD: 75.298 %
mean: 71.589 %
median: 67.555 %
low: 63.318 %
 EBIT Margin 3.261 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -34.897 %
EBIT Margin YoY -143.261 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 35.488 %
median: 29.524 %
mean: 21.43 %
CRWD: 3.261 %
low: -21.178 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -2.208 %
Return On Sales QoQ -309.091 %
Return On Sales YoY -70.708 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 36.254 %
median: 29.524 %
mean: 20.897 %
CRWD: -2.208 %
low: -23.448 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 470.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.353 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 3.824 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 28.832 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.322 %
mean: 0.865 %
median: 0.478 %
CRWD: 0.353 %
low: -3.884 %
 Free Cash Growth 24.486 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -9.852 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 47.001 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 258.401 %
CRWD: 24.486 %
mean: -24.943 %
median: -30.039 %
low: -162.367 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 16.949
 Cash Flow Margin 8.35 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.166
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.248 %
Return On Assets QoQ -56.028 %
Return On Assets YoY -119.605 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.741 %
median: 1.698 %
mean: 1.472 %
CRWD: 0.248 %
low: -3.342 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.631 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.006
Return On Equity QoQ -55.332 %
Return On Equity YoY -118.754 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.154
median: 0.115
mean: 0.065
CRWD: 0.006
low: -0.177
 DuPont ROE 0.613 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.615 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -181.135 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -60.728 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 17.018 %
median: 3.266 %
mean: 2.782 %
CRWD: -0.615 %
low: -10.126 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators converge toward a near-term corrective phase: ADX confirms trend strength while DI+ peak-and-reversal, rising DI-, a bearish MACD configuration, positive MRO, and a falling RSI all bias toward downside pressure over the next six weeks. Price sits below the 20-day average and between the 1x and 2x lower Bollinger bands, so a corrective re-test of the 50-day average (~$177) remains plausible. Offsets include strong YoY revenue growth (≈45%) and high gross margin, which keep medium-term structural support intact; a sustained recovery in volume accompanied by a MACD cross above its signal line and a rising RSI would shift the near-term technical picture back toward upside conviction.

About CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD) develops cutting-edge cybersecurity solutions designed to protect organizations from advanced cyber threats. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, the company has established itself as a key player in the cybersecurity sector, serving a diverse range of clients globally. CrowdStrike’s flagship product, the Falcon platform, delivers a comprehensive suite of cloud-native technologies that secure endpoints, cloud workloads, and identities. This platform addresses various security needs, including managed security services, vulnerability management, IT operations, and identity protection. By leveraging advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning, CrowdStrike enables real-time threat detection and response, ensuring robust protection against cyber attacks. Beyond its core platform, CrowdStrike provides additional services such as threat intelligence, data protection, and security orchestration. The company’s emphasis on automation and AI-driven processes allows clients to efficiently manage and mitigate risks, adapting to the ever-evolving landscape of cyber threats. CrowdStrike’s dedication to innovation and quality has solidified its reputation in the cybersecurity industry, empowering organizations worldwide to safeguard their digital assets with confidence.



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