Celestica Inc. (NYSE:CLS) Shows Early Technical Rebound Despite Overvalued Fundamentals

Near-term momentum has shifted toward stabilization while core valuation metrics register as stretched versus peers; the next corporate updates should determine whether momentum sustains or re-prices expectations.

Recent News

On July 6, 2026 Celestica announced the appointment of Steven Dorwart as President, Connectivity and Cloud Solutions, effective July 6. Investment media published a sector note naming Celestica among top supply-chain technology picks in mid-July. Celestica also appears on the AMD Advancing AI agenda for July 23, highlighting its work on scale-up switching tied to AMD’s Helios rack-scale AI platform.

Technical Analysis

ADX stands at 15.6 — no trend — indicating consolidation rather than a clear directional move; that structural calm supports the intro’s stabilization thesis while leaving upside contingent on conviction drivers.

DI+ shows dip & reversal and DI- shows peak & reversal; both patterns read as bullish by indicator rules, but DI- remains higher than DI+, implying bullish reversal signals face residual bearish dominance and therefore limited follow-through unless momentum confirms.

MACD records -11.94 with MACD_trend dip & reversal while the signal line sits at -10.34; the MACD’s dip-and-reversal denotes improving momentum, yet MACD remains below its signal line, so momentum lacks a confirmed bullish crossover and therefore constrains upside relative to valuation expectations.

MRO equals -4.1 with MRO_trend dip & reversal; a negative MRO indicates the price sits below WMDST’s target and implies potential for upward mean reversion, aligning with the observed technical stabilizing signals but offering a moderate—not extreme—price-adjustment potential.

RSI at 47.16 with RSI_trend dip & reversal signals neutral-range recovery rather than overbought strength; this supports a near-term trading range until volume or a decisive momentum crossover validates stronger direction.

Price sits at $335.50, above the 200-day average ($324.16) but below the 50-day average ($365.08) and the super-trend upper band ($351.73); being above the longer-term average yet beneath shorter-term averages matches a consolidation-with-upside-bias profile while valuation remains a cap on sustained gains.

Bollinger bands place the 1× upper at $359.14 and 1× lower at $315.07; current price trading inside these bands and below the 20-day average ($337.10) suggests mean-reversion dynamics dominate short moves. Volume runs below 10-, 50- and 200-day averages, indicating limited conviction behind recent price moves; high 42-day and 52-week betas (3.35 and 3.04) project potential for outsized moves when conviction returns.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $4,047,000,000 with YoY revenue growth of 165.41% and QoQ revenue change of -25.66%; the very strong YoY expansion reflects large-scale contract or timing effects, while the QoQ decline signals seasonality or lumpy project deliveries that keep near-term topline visibility choppy.

EBIT stood at $272,300,000, giving an EBIT margin of 6.73%; this margin sits below the industry peer mean of 15.75% and below the industry peer median of 14.99%, indicating operating profitability underperforms typical peer outcomes even as YoY EBIT margin improved by 39.88%.

Net income reached $212,300,000 and EPS came in at $2.16 versus an estimate of $2.08, an EPS beat of $0.08 or +3.85%. Forward EPS equals $3.77, producing a forward PE of 83.99; the reported trailing PE of 147.36 sits above the industry peer mean of 135.68, while P/B at 17.44 stands meaningfully above the industry peer mean of 7.91—both multiples indicate stretched market pricing relative to peers despite recent earnings beat.

Free cash flow totaled $126,800,000 with a free cash flow yield of 0.35% (above the industry peer mean of 0.25%), but free cash flow year-over-year fell by 61.34% and QoQ declined 23.45%, weakening cash-generation momentum and highlighting a contrast between reported earnings and cash conversion trends.

Liquidity ratios show current ratio 1.26 and quick ratio 0.73, both below the industry peer means (current ratio mean 2.55; quick ratio mean 1.97), reflecting tighter short-term liquidity versus peers. The cash conversion cycle runs 64.13 days, shorter than the industry peer mean of 102.47 days, indicating relatively efficient working-capital turns despite heavier receivables and inventory levels.

Leverage remains modest: debt-to-assets 9.35% and debt-to-EBITDA ~2.48x; debt-to-assets sits well below the industry peer mean of 28.34%, supporting financial flexibility even as capital expenditures and capex-to-revenue carry negative signs in the current period.

Returns measure positively: return on equity 10.12% exceeds the industry peer mean of 4.32%, and return on invested capital improved YoY; these operational returns help justify a premium but do not fully offset stretched valuation multiples. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, a view anchored by elevated PE/PB multiples and compressed recent cash-flow trends despite revenue acceleration and above-peer ROE.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-27
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 595.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 356.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -229.50 M
 Change In Working Capital 87.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -217.60 M
 End Period Cash Flow 378.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.0 B
 Forward Revenue 2.1 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.6 B
 Depreciation 28.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 39.6 M
 Research and Development 41.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 3.8 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 437.2 M
 EBITDA 311.9 M
 EBIT 272.3 M
 Operating Income 267.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 16.0 M
 Net Interest Income -16.00 M
 Income Before Tax 256.3 M
 Tax Provision 44.0 M
 Tax Rate 17.167 %
 Net Income 212.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 212.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.08
 EPS Actual 2.16
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 3.846 %
 Forward EPS 3.77
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 8.3 B
 Intangible Assets 588.6 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.5 B
 Total Current Assets 6.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 378.0 M
 Cash 378.0 M
 Net Receivables 3.2 B
 Inventory 2.7 B
 Long-Term Investments 231.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 3.1 B
 Short-Term Debt 25.9 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.1 B
 Net Debt 394.4 M
 Total Debt 772.4 M
 Total Liabilities 6.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.1 B
 Retained Earnings 513.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 18.25
 Shares Outstanding 114.969 M
 Revenue Per-Share 35.20
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 36.6 B
 Enterprise Value 37.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 118.594
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 25.46 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 76.075 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 364.265
CLS: 118.594
mean: 94.081
median: 79.445
low: -215.509
 EV/R 9.14
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.937
 Asset To Liability 1.341
 Debt To Capital 0.269
 Debt To Assets 0.094
Debt To Assets QoQ -13.135 %
Debt To Assets YoY -42.06 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.98
median: 0.318
mean: 0.284
CLS: 0.094
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.368
Debt To Equity QoQ 5.072 %
Debt To Equity YoY -39.141 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.759
median: 0.821
mean: 0.73
CLS: 0.368
low: -0.773
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 17.441
Price To Book QoQ 12.131 %
Price To Book YoY 159.551 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.798
CLS: 17.441
median: 9.099
mean: 7.914
low: -2.416
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 147.362
Price To Earnings QoQ -7.164 %
Price To Earnings YoY 95.407 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 474.071
CLS: 147.362
mean: 135.675
median: 131.744
low: -220.021
 PE/G Ratio 10.315
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.043
Price To Sales QoQ -4.129 %
Price To Sales YoY 128.939 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 99.122
mean: 22.628
median: 22.531
CLS: 9.043
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 83.991
Forward PE/G 5.879
Forward P/S 19.663
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.235
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.523
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.104 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 16.753 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.534
CLS: 0.523
mean: 0.167
median: 0.153
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.394
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.158 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 10.671 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.612
mean: 1.455
median: 1.439
CLS: 1.394
low: 0.528
 Inventory Turnover 1.485
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.391 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 10.982 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.973
CLS: 1.485
median: 1.009
mean: 1.0
low: 0.128
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 65.45
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 64.132
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -14.143 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -28.866 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 308.893
mean: 102.47
median: 91.076
CLS: 64.132
low: -44.852
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 3.075
 CapEx To Revenue -0.057
 CapEx To Depreciation -7.997
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.9 B
 Invested Capital 2.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.5 B
 Net Working Capital 1.3 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.074
 Current Ratio 1.259
Current Ratio QoQ -12.566 %
Current Ratio YoY -12.133 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 14.867
mean: 2.548
median: 1.714
CLS: 1.259
low: 0.37
 Quick Ratio 0.733
Quick Ratio QoQ -17.146 %
Quick Ratio YoY -13.505 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 13.913
mean: 1.97
median: 1.259
CLS: 0.733
low: 0.247
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.476
 Cost Of Debt 1.711 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 17.019
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -31.686 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 83.012 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 69.571
CLS: 17.019
mean: 8.681
median: 7.828
low: -197.838
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.09
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 70.155
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 14.514 %
 Revenue Growth 10.728 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -25.655 %
Revenue Growth YoY 165.413 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.82 %
CLS: 10.728 %
median: 6.38 %
mean: 6.359 %
low: -56.837 %
 Earnings Growth 14.286 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -178.572 %
Earnings Growth YoY 76.196 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 58.333 %
CLS: 14.286 %
median: 9.278 %
mean: 1.284 %
low: -186.111 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 10.803 %
Gross Margin QoQ -8.835 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.468 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 99.349 %
mean: 39.408 %
median: 36.873 %
CLS: 10.803 %
low: -36.179 %
 EBIT Margin 6.728 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -21.658 %
EBIT Margin YoY 39.875 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 48.781 %
mean: 15.745 %
median: 14.986 %
CLS: 6.728 %
low: -233.527 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 6.615 %
Return On Sales QoQ -24.633 %
Return On Sales YoY 37.526 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 40.821 %
mean: 16.159 %
median: 15.42 %
CLS: 6.615 %
low: -176.472 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 126.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.346 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -23.451 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -61.341 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.592 %
median: 0.483 %
CLS: 0.346 %
mean: 0.248 %
low: -18.584 %
 Free Cash Growth -18.666 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -124.767 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -107.686 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 300.72 %
mean: -9.804 %
CLS: -18.666 %
median: -43.487 %
low: -399.154 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.597
 Cash Flow Margin 11.354 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.164
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.744 %
Return On Assets QoQ -29.114 %
Return On Assets YoY 88.203 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.143 %
CLS: 2.744 %
median: 2.381 %
mean: 1.92 %
low: -18.029 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.565 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.101
Return On Equity QoQ -16.172 %
Return On Equity YoY 82.734 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.162
CLS: 0.101
mean: 0.043
median: 0.04
low: -0.303
 DuPont ROE 9.841 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 7.857 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -15.625 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 102.761 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CLS: 7.857 %
high: 7.335 %
mean: 2.437 %
median: 2.304 %
low: -10.75 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a period of range-bound trading with a modest upside bias driven by improving momentum indicators and MRO signaling potential mean reversion. Key near-term catalysts include the scheduled Q2 report on July 27, 2026 (dateOfNextReport: July 27, 2026) and any operational updates on Connectivity & Cloud Solutions following the leadership change; positive operational detail could validate technical momentum, while weaker cash-flow or margin commentary would likely renew valuation pressure.

High short-term volatility remains likely given elevated betas; absent a confirmed MACD crossover and a pickup in volume, price action will likely oscillate between the 20–50 day average band and the super-trend upper boundary. Monitor momentum confirmation and cash-conversion signals for indications whether the stabilization converts into a more durable advance or re-pricing toward WMDST’s over-valued assessment continues.

About Celestica Inc.

Celestica Inc. (NYSE:CLS) delivers innovative supply chain solutions from its headquarters in Toronto, Canada. Since its inception in 1994, Celestica has expanded its reach across North America, Europe, and Asia, catering to industries such as aerospace and defense, industrial, HealthTech, capital equipment, and communication and enterprise markets. The company organizes its operations into two primary segments: Advanced Technology Solutions and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions. Celestica provides a comprehensive suite of product manufacturing and supply chain services, including design and development, new product introductions, engineering services, and component sourcing. The company’s expertise in electronics manufacturing and assembly, complex mechanical assembly, systems integration, and precision machining sets it apart in the industry. Additionally, Celestica offers logistics, asset management, and after-market repair services. In the realm of hardware platform solutions, Celestica delivers both off-the-shelf and customizable hardware and software design solutions. The company manages entire programs, encompassing design, supply chain, manufacturing, and after-market support, including IT asset disposition and asset management services. Serving original equipment manufacturers, cloud-based entities, hyperscalers, and various service providers, Celestica remains a reliable partner in the dynamic global market.



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