Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW) Momentum Builds While Fundamentals Signal Overvaluation

Short-term momentum favors the stock, yet WMDST’s valuation classifies Tidewater as over-valued; technical strength may support near-term gains while fundamentals and cash generation constrain upside.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 22.82 indicates an emerging trend; directional indicators show DI+ rising (22.25) while DI- falls (19.36), a bullish directional setup that supports continued short-term price support relative to current valuation.

MACD stands at 0.78 with the MACD line above the signal line (signal = -0.30) and the MACD trend increasing, which constitutes a bullish momentum signal and aligns with the recent move above short-term averages.

MRO registers 21.33 and is increasing; because MRO sits positive, the price sits above WMDST’s target framework and, all else equal, carries pressure toward reversion rather than sustained acceleration from these levels.

RSI at 50.96 and rising places momentum near the mid-point of its range, indicating neither overbought nor oversold immediate conditions while supporting the case for continued consolidation or modest appreciation alongside other bullish signals.

Price sits above near-term averages: 12-day EMA (74.43), 20-day average (73.54) and 50-day average (74.09), and above the 200-day average (67.65). The close at $77.04 exceeds the 1x Bollinger upper band ($76.91), signaling short-term strength but limited room before wider-band resistance.

Ichimoku components present a split picture: price exceeds the Tenkan (73.36) and Kijun (71.03) but remains below the projected cloud (Senkou A 79.25, Senkou B 82.22), so short-term trend strength exists while the cloud caps higher continuation without further momentum expansion.

Volume on the most recent session (472,214) sits below the 10- and 50-day averages, indicating the recent ascent occurred on lighter-than-average participation; the super-trend lower band near $71.76 provides a defined near-term support reference under current price action.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the period totaled $326.2M with YoY revenue growth of -6.91% and QoQ growth of +148.22% (quarter-to-quarter). Gross profit totaled $92.655M and gross margin stood at 28.40%, down modestly YoY.

Operating income and EBIT read $59.096M and $57.77M respectively, producing an EBIT margin of 17.71%. That EBIT margin sits above the industry peer mean (11.41%) but below the industry peer median (20.65%). QoQ the EBIT margin contracted about 14.25%, and YoY it contracted approximately 30.34%.

EPS came in at $0.13 against an estimate of $0.70, an EPS shortfall of $0.57 or roughly -81.43% versus consensus; the reported EPS surprise materially reduced trailing profitability metrics and inflated the trailing PE to 605.65. Forward EPS and forward PE sit at $1.56585 and 46.73 respectively, reflecting analysts’ higher forward earnings expectations versus the depressed trailing result.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics show strength in coverage and short-term liquidity: cash and short-term investments total $552.28M, the current ratio equals 3.33 (up ~14.93% QoQ) and the cash ratio equals 2.05. Net debt reads $102.10M, yielding a debt-to-EBITDA of 6.80 and debt-to-equity of 0.48, indicating modest leverage on a book basis but elevated coverage sensitivity to earnings swings.

Cash flow generation shows operating cash flow of $19.18M and free cash flow of $4.29M; free cash flow yield sits at 0.11% with a very large QoQ contraction in free cash flow yield. Cash flow to earnings equals ~508.84%, reflecting timing and non-cash differences between reported net income and cash conversion.

Returns remain compressed: return on equity approximates 0.45% and return on assets about 0.26%, both down materially YoY. Asset turnover remains low at 0.138, roughly in line with the industry peer mean for asset intensity but down from prior periods.

Valuation context: enterprise value/ revenue (EVR) reads 12.32 and enterprise multiple at 41.73. Market multiples show divergence—trailing PE extremely elevated at ~605.7 (driven by low trailing EPS), while forward PE of ~46.7 implies meaningful earnings recovery priced in. Book multiple (P/B) equals 2.86, below the industry peer mean (4.06). WMDST values the stock as over-valued given the combination of elevated multiples, compressed cash conversion, and reliance on forward earnings to justify current market pricing.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 581.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 19.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.88 M
 Change In Working Capital -70.39 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -26.48 M
 End Period Cash Flow 555.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 326.2 M
 Forward Revenue 1.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 233.6 M
 Depreciation 38.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 38.5 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 267.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 92.7 M
 EBITDA 96.3 M
 EBIT 57.8 M
 Operating Income 59.1 M
 Interest Income 2.2 M
 Interest Expense 16.9 M
 Net Interest Income -14.70 M
 Income Before Tax 40.9 M
 Tax Provision 34.9 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 6.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 6.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.70
 EPS Actual 0.13
 EPS Difference -0.57
 EPS Surprise -81.429 %
 Forward EPS 1.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.3 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.4 B
 Total Current Assets 899.6 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 552.3 M
 Cash 552.3 M
 Net Receivables 299.7 M
 Inventory 29.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 33.5 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 58.2 M
 Short-Term Debt 5.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 269.9 M
 Net Debt 102.1 M
 Total Debt 654.4 M
 Total Liabilities 976.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.4 B
 Retained Earnings -299.02 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 27.52
 Shares Outstanding 49.729 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.9 B
 Enterprise Value 4.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 41.733
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 38.615 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 113.03 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 163.309
median: 46.527
TDW: 41.733
mean: 36.756
low: -109.769
 EV/R 12.315
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.711
 Asset To Liability 2.397
 Debt To Capital 0.324
 Debt To Assets 0.28
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.76 %
Debt To Assets YoY -9.18 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.002
mean: 0.32
median: 0.318
TDW: 0.28
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.478
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.869 %
Debt To Equity YoY -16.266 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 6.1
mean: 1.245
TDW: 0.478
median: 0.443
low: -3.458
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.862
Price To Book QoQ 24.72 %
Price To Book YoY 49.555 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.327
mean: 4.063
median: 3.029
TDW: 2.862
low: -1.624
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 605.651
Price To Earnings QoQ 331.227 %
Price To Earnings YoY 1099.714 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA TDW: 605.651
high: 281.53
median: 94.577
mean: 90.725
low: -114.835
 PE/G Ratio -8.517
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.002
Price To Sales QoQ 29.037 %
Price To Sales YoY 87.823 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 36.094
TDW: 12.002
mean: 10.704
median: 9.113
low: 0.187
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 46.727
Forward PE/G -0.657
Forward P/S 3.93
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.395
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.475 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -14.301 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.431
median: 0.153
mean: 0.147
TDW: 0.138
low: 0.014
 Receivables Turnover 1.115
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.299 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.462 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.97
mean: 2.134
median: 1.51
TDW: 1.115
low: 0.552
 Inventory Turnover 6.881
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.476 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -14.787 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 39.716
TDW: 6.881
mean: 4.638
median: 1.434
low: 0.015
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 81.832
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 71.006
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -6.256 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -4.944 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 283.844
TDW: 71.006
mean: 66.722
median: 60.333
low: -88.487
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.518
 CapEx To Revenue -0.046
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.387
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.0 B
 Invested Capital 2.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.4 B
 Net Working Capital 629.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.046
 Current Ratio 3.333
Current Ratio QoQ 14.932 %
Current Ratio YoY 61.125 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.859
TDW: 3.333
mean: 1.88
median: 1.401
low: 0.13
 Quick Ratio 3.224
Quick Ratio QoQ 16.061 %
Quick Ratio YoY 61.193 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 5.535
TDW: 3.224
mean: 1.372
median: 1.083
low: 0.113
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.798
 Cost Of Debt 1.52 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.42
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -17.805 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -34.06 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 25.845
median: 6.471
mean: 5.66
TDW: 3.42
low: -26.862
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.116
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.789
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.937 %
 Revenue Growth -3.14 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 148.221 %
Revenue Growth YoY -6.908 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 48.677 %
median: -0.965 %
mean: -2.868 %
TDW: -3.14 %
low: -43.885 %
 Earnings Growth -71.111 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 171.106 %
Earnings Growth YoY -482.914 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 350.0 %
mean: 19.961 %
median: -8.571 %
TDW: -71.111 %
low: -400.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 28.402 %
Gross Margin QoQ -2.251 %
Gross Margin YoY -6.79 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 94.558 %
TDW: 28.402 %
median: 23.481 %
mean: 20.773 %
low: -57.055 %
 EBIT Margin 17.709 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -14.246 %
EBIT Margin YoY -30.343 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 96.462 %
median: 20.647 %
TDW: 17.709 %
mean: 11.411 %
low: -86.631 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 18.115 %
Return On Sales QoQ -9.262 %
Return On Sales YoY -28.746 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 96.462 %
TDW: 18.115 %
median: 12.569 %
mean: 10.34 %
low: -59.441 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.11 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -97.669 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -96.904 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 9.108 %
mean: 0.338 %
median: 0.28 %
TDW: 0.11 %
low: -13.958 %
 Free Cash Growth -97.095 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -149.065 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 661.589 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 408.108 %
mean: -69.424 %
median: -87.237 %
TDW: -97.095 %
low: -398.203 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.699
 Cash Flow Margin 9.577 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.088
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.26 %
Return On Assets QoQ -97.33 %
Return On Assets YoY -87.379 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.411 %
median: 1.833 %
mean: 0.761 %
TDW: 0.26 %
low: -10.202 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.79 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.004
Return On Equity QoQ -97.212 %
Return On Equity YoY -88.277 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.25
mean: 0.052
median: 0.033
TDW: 0.004
low: -0.135
 DuPont ROE 0.449 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.714 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -36.985 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -42.79 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.2 %
mean: 2.865 %
median: 2.822 %
TDW: 1.714 %
low: -5.257 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term technical momentum favors continued consolidation or modest upside: MACD above its signal line, rising DI+, and price above short- and long-term averages provide support for further range extension toward the mean analyst target area. Off-setting that, a positive MRO suggests the stock trades above WMDST’s price framework and could attract mean reversion pressure without stronger volume confirmation.

Key technical reference points: the 12/20/50-day averages cluster in the low-to-mid $70s and the super-trend lower band near $71.76 offers nearby support; resistance aligns with the Ichimoku cloud base near $79–$82 and the broader analyst target mean around $98.91. Liquidity and balance-sheet strength reduce immediate solvency risk, but the combination of elevated multiples and the recent EPS shortfall constrains the odds of a sustained breakout absent improvement in cash generation or upside earnings revisions.

About Tidewater Inc.

Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW) delivers offshore support and marine services to the global offshore energy sector. The company manages a diverse fleet of marine service vessels, aiding offshore oil and gas exploration, field development, and production. Tidewater’s operations encompass towing and anchor handling for mobile offshore drilling units, transporting essential supplies and personnel, and supporting offshore construction, seismic, and subsea activities. Additionally, the company contributes to windfarm development and maintenance, offering geotechnical survey support and specialized services like pipe and cable laying. Tidewater’s fleet includes anchor handling towing supply vessels, platform supply vessels, crew boats, utility vessels, and offshore tugs. The company caters to a wide range of clients, including integrated and independent oil and gas companies, foreign government-owned entities, offshore drilling contractors, and firms involved in offshore construction, windfarm development, and well stimulation. Founded in 1956, Tidewater Inc. maintains its headquarters in Houston, Texas, and continues to play a significant role in supporting the offshore energy industry’s operational needs.



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