Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:TPR) Signals Near-Term Upside While Fundamental Valuation Stays Elevated

Tapestry shows a cluster of bullish technical triggers against a stretched fundamental valuation; near-term momentum could lift price but structural leverage and high multiples limit scope. Technical indicators point to recovery potential, while core margins and cash generation support the company’s cash returns.

Recent News

On May 11, 2026 Tapestry announced a U.S. patent award for its AI platform “Mira,” positioning the company to further scale consumer insights and analytics capabilities. On May 7, 2026 the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.40 per share payable June 22, 2026 (record/ex-dividend on June 5, 2026).

Technical Analysis

Trend strength (ADX/DI+ / DI-): ADX at 13.17 indicates no established trend; both the positive directional index (DI+ 16.90, reported as dip & reversal) and the negative directional index (DI- 21.31, reported as peak & reversal) signal bullish reversals. That combination implies short-term directional momentum tilting upward but without trend strength to sustain a large move.

MACD: MACD sits negative at -0.69 but the MACD trend registers a dip & reversal, denoting a shift toward bullish momentum. MACD remains below its signal line at present, so momentum looks constructive yet not confirmed by a bullish crossover.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO registers -5.53 (peak & reversal), which indicates price sits below model target and suggests potential upward pressure; the negative value points to upside potential while the peak & reversal note signals recent weakening before bottoming.

RSI and momentum breadth: RSI at 46.31 with a decreasing trend implies momentum recently cooled from higher levels and left room for a renewed advance if buying returns.

Price vs averages and bands: Last close $144.19 trades above the 200-day average ($132.54) and slightly above the 50-day ($140.97) and 20-day ($142.55) averages; the 12-day EMA shows a dip & reversal at $141.67. Bollinger band positions (upper ~$146.79, lower ~$138.30) place price near the upper half of the short-term range. Collectively, moving-average alignment plus the EMA reversal supports a modest bullish near-term bias, but ADX indicates limited trend follow-through.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and growth: Trailing total revenue $1,920,600,000 with revenue growth of -23.25% (period) and revenue growth year-over-year -16.43%. Quarter-over-quarter revenue change equals -149.68%, reflecting timing and seasonality effects in the reported period; this contrasts with margin expansion elsewhere in the financials.

Profitability and margins: Gross margin stands at 76.88% while operating margin and EBIT margin register roughly 22.26% and 22.34% respectively. EBIT margin of 22.34% sits at the top of the industry peer range and improved sharply year-over-year (+39.11%) despite a sizable quarter-over-quarter compression (-21.75%). High gross and operating margins underpin strong cash conversion and earnings quality for the period.

Earnings and cash flow: Reported EPS $1.66 exceeded the estimate $1.30 by $0.36, an EPS surprise of 27.69%. Operating cash flow totaled $262,600,000 with free cash flow $225,800,000 and a free cash flow yield of 0.78%. Cash and short-term investments total $1,068,600,000 and the cash conversion ratio equals 1.55, supporting the company’s capacity for shareholder returns.

Leverage and balance sheet: Total debt $3,923,200,000 with net debt $1,330,600,000. Debt-to-equity equals 5.75 (575%), and debt-to-assets near 60.67%, both above the industry peer mean ranges provided; interest coverage remains robust at 32.76. Tangible equity sits constrained ($682,400,000), which inflates return-on-equity metrics (ROE ~50.38%) but also concentrates balance-sheet risk.

Capital allocation and returns: Dividend payout ratio about 23.56% with quarterly dividend $0.40; dividend coverage and cash generation appear sufficient for continuation at current levels. WMDST values the stock as over-valued given elevated multiples (PE ~86.40, price-to-sales ~15.11, enterprise multiple ~65.98) despite healthy margins and cash flow.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.1 B
 Operating Cash Flow 262.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -36.80 M
 Change In Working Capital -159.00 M
 Dividends Paid -81.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -6.80 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.0 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.9 B
 Forward Revenue 549.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 444.1 M
 Depreciation 39.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 53.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.5 B
 EBITDA 483.0 M
 EBIT 429.1 M
 Operating Income 427.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 13.1 M
 Net Interest Income -13.10 M
 Income Before Tax 416.0 M
 Tax Provision 72.2 M
 Tax Rate 17.4 %
 Net Income 343.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 343.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.30
 EPS Actual 1.66
 EPS Difference 0.36
 EPS Surprise 27.692 %
 Forward EPS 1.94
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 6.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -995.20 M
 Total Current Assets 2.7 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.1 B
 Cash 1.0 B
 Net Receivables 305.0 M
 Inventory 843.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 162.5 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 499.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt 1.3 B
 Total Debt 3.9 B
 Total Liabilities 5.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 682.4 M
 Retained Earnings -3.17 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 3.37
 Shares Outstanding 202.300 M
 Revenue Per-Share 9.49
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 29.0 B
 Enterprise Value 31.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 65.984
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 82.463 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 15.525 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 118.416
median: 118.416
mean: 83.575
TPR: 65.984
low: -118.647
 EV/R 16.594
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 9.476
 Asset To Liability 1.118
 Debt To Capital 0.852
 Debt To Assets 0.607
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.47 %
Debt To Assets YoY 7.908 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA TPR: 0.607
high: 0.579
median: 0.302
mean: 0.283
low: 0.033
 Debt To Equity 5.749
Debt To Equity QoQ -19.646 %
Debt To Equity YoY 109.072 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA TPR: 5.749
high: 2.863
median: 0.793
mean: 0.735
low: 0.04
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 42.52
Price To Book QoQ -5.848 %
Price To Book YoY 337.66 %
Price To Book IPRWA TPR: 42.52
high: 11.068
median: 6.241
mean: 5.337
low: 0.55
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 86.403
Price To Earnings QoQ 88.558 %
Price To Earnings YoY 26.875 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 169.783
median: 169.783
mean: 125.689
TPR: 86.403
low: -4.373
 PE/G Ratio -2.257
 Price To Sales (P/S) 15.108
Price To Sales QoQ 51.873 %
Price To Sales YoY 64.955 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 15.228
TPR: 15.108
mean: 8.023
median: 7.797
low: 0.4
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 72.768
Forward PE/G -1.9
Forward P/S 53.585
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.718
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.296
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -23.86 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 35.757 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.444
median: 0.301
mean: 0.298
TPR: 0.296
low: 0.029
 Receivables Turnover 5.974
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -25.1 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 4.277 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.241
TPR: 5.974
mean: 2.265
median: 2.031
low: 1.179
 Inventory Turnover 0.51
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -20.41 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 21.987 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.965
median: 0.887
mean: 0.801
TPR: 0.51
low: 0.371
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 15.275
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 65.507
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -39.325 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -26.606 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 224.067
mean: 106.608
median: 98.132
TPR: 65.507
low: -87.028
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.547
 CapEx To Revenue -0.019
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.934
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.1 B
 Invested Capital 3.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -995.20 M
 Net Working Capital 1.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.724
 Current Ratio 1.841
Current Ratio QoQ 13.238 %
Current Ratio YoY 4.737 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.575
mean: 2.327
median: 2.139
TPR: 1.841
low: 0.249
 Quick Ratio 1.269
Quick Ratio QoQ 15.011 %
Quick Ratio YoY 3.939 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.175
mean: 1.578
median: 1.448
TPR: 1.269
low: 0.142
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 8.123
 Cost Of Debt 0.275 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 32.756
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -20.231 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 98.208 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 96.867
TPR: 32.756
mean: -1.285
median: -8.254
low: -91.0
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.283
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 79.086
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.244
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.236
 Dividend Rate 0.40
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.985 %
 Revenue Growth -23.25 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -149.676 %
Revenue Growth YoY -16.433 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 41.891 %
mean: -3.745 %
median: -9.238 %
TPR: -23.25 %
low: -42.818 %
 Earnings Growth -38.29 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -140.646 %
Earnings Growth YoY -21.052 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 93.436 %
mean: -15.092 %
median: -33.962 %
TPR: -38.29 %
low: -130.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 76.877 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.872 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.028 %
Gross Margin IPRWA TPR: 76.877 %
high: 64.226 %
mean: 46.076 %
median: 40.163 %
low: -19.849 %
 EBIT Margin 22.342 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -21.753 %
EBIT Margin YoY 39.107 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA TPR: 22.342 %
high: 22.311 %
mean: 9.081 %
median: 4.903 %
low: -4.024 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.259 %
Return On Sales QoQ -22.25 %
Return On Sales YoY 38.59 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 22.311 %
TPR: 22.259 %
mean: 9.224 %
median: 4.903 %
low: -3.476 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 225.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.778 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -81.334 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -0.384 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 23.646 %
mean: 1.073 %
TPR: 0.778 %
median: 0.323 %
low: -12.198 %
 Free Cash Growth -78.236 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -106.554 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 2.765 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 410.499 %
median: -26.425 %
mean: -74.217 %
TPR: -78.236 %
low: -734.195 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.657
 Cash Flow Margin 21.78 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.217
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 5.29 %
Return On Assets QoQ -39.237 %
Return On Assets YoY 89.402 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.152 %
TPR: 5.29 %
mean: 2.347 %
median: 1.389 %
low: -6.605 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.598 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.504
Return On Equity QoQ -50.525 %
Return On Equity YoY 270.176 %
Return On Equity IPRWA TPR: 0.504
high: 0.149
mean: 0.049
median: 0.037
low: -0.276
 DuPont ROE 55.741 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 11.585 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -40.629 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 124.342 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.814 %
TPR: 11.585 %
mean: 3.894 %
median: 2.0 %
low: -4.05 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical signals present a near-term bullish tilt: indicator reversals (DI+, MACD trend, 12-day EMA) and price holding above key moving averages support a limited upside window over the next six weeks. Low ADX and a decreasing RSI temper the magnitude of any advance; fundamental over-valuation and elevated leverage constrain sustained rallies. Expect range-bound to modestly higher price action if volume confirms the current reversal signals; downside risk increases if MACD fails to cross above its signal line or if price slips below the 50-day average.

About Tapestry, Inc.

Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:TPR) designs and markets luxury accessories and lifestyle products across North America, Greater China, and other international markets. The company operates through three distinct segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. Tapestry, Inc. offers a wide array of women’s handbags and accessories, including small leather goods like mini handbags, money pieces, and cosmetic cases. Additionally, they provide novelty accessories such as travel items, sketchbooks, and key rings. For men, Tapestry, Inc. develops bag collections, including business cases, backpacks, and messenger bags, alongside small leather goods like wallets and belts. The company also produces footwear, watches, fragrances, sunglasses, and ready-to-wear apparel. Their offerings extend to women’s footwear and fragrances, eyewear, jewelry, and seasonal lifestyle apparel, including outerwear and cold weather accessories. Tapestry, Inc. further diversifies its product range with kids’ items, housewares, and home accessories, such as fashion bedding and tableware. The company distributes its products through retail and outlet stores, brand e-commerce platforms, and third-party distributors, maintaining a strong presence under the Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman brands. Founded in 1941 and headquartered in New York, New York, Tapestry, Inc. continues to expand its global footprint.



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