BJ’s Restaurants, Inc (NASDAQ:BJRI) Accelerates Toward Near-Term Upside On Momentum

BJ's Restaurants shows accelerating technical momentum while fundamentals reflect modest margins and elevated leverage; near-term price action should track momentum with vigilance around overbought signals.

Recent News

April 23, 2026 — BJ’s Restaurant & Brewhouse introduced a Biscoff® Pizookie seasonal dessert. May 27, 2026 — the company announced management participation at investor conferences in June. June 15, 2026 — Monika Saxena named Brand President, effective June 3. June 24, 2026 — BJ’s unveiled an all-new lineup of crispy chicken sandwiches and marketed seasonal menu additions through June.

Technical Analysis

Directional strength: ADX at 48.52 signals a very strong directional trend; DI+ showing a dip-and-reversal and DI- decreasing both point to bullish directional pressure supporting a price bias higher versus the current valuation.

MACD: MACD at 3.62 sits above its signal (2.92) and the MACD trend is increasing, confirming bullish momentum that aligns with the immediate upside implied by the valuation and price-target mean.

Price vs moving averages: The close at $59.38 trades well above the 12-day EMA ($54.36), 26-day EMA ($50.47), 50-day average ($44.83) and 200-day average ($38.96), producing a bullish moving-average structure that supports near-term continuation toward the mean price target of $68.08.

Momentum/Regressive Oscillator: MRO at 42.06 with a dip-and-reversal indicates the price sits above target and carries potential for pullback pressure; that contrasts with momentum indicators and implies any continuation rally should be watched for mean reversion.

RSI and breadth cues: RSI at 68.39 and rising approaches overbought territory; combined with price near the upper Bollinger bands, upside momentum remains intact but faces compression risk if RSI crosses above 70.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top line and margins: Total revenue stood at $358,118,000. YoY revenue change registered a decline of 27.49% while reported trailing revenue growth reads about 0.77%; operating margin runs at 3.45% and EBIT margin at 2.84%, with EBIT margin down 15.34% QoQ and down 33.58% YoY, which reduces near-term earnings leverage relative to the current valuation.

Earnings and per-share metrics: Reported EPS equaled $0.57 versus an estimate of $0.61, an EPS surprise of -6.56%. Trailing P/E sits at 66.46 with forward P/E near 57.85, and forward EPS of $0.65; those multiples reflect limited current earnings against market-priced expectations.

Cash flow and valuation signals: Free cash flow totaled $27,182,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 3.41%, above the industry peer mean of roughly 0.96%; WMDST values the stock as under-valued, with a mean analyst price target of $68.08 versus the close at $59.38.

Liquidity and leverage: Current ratio sits at 0.31, well below the industry peer mean (~0.97) and peer median, indicating constrained near-term liquidity. Total debt equals $462,652,000 and debt-to-EBITDA near 13.95x denotes elevated leverage; interest coverage about 9.35x provides cushion but leverage amplifies sensitivity to operating-margin moves.

Profitability & returns: Return on equity at 2.43% and return on assets at 0.90% remain modest; operating margin QoQ improved slightly (+3.26% QoQ) but operating margin YoY declined 19.28%, reflecting pressure on operating leverage despite menu and beverage initiatives.

Other operational metrics: Asset turnover about 0.36 and inventory turnover above 23x suggest efficient inventory management; net working capital negative at -$133,088,000 supports a low cash ratio (0.12) and tight short-term liquidity profile.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. The mixed fundamental picture—modest margins, constrained liquidity, and elevated leverage—contrasts with positive free cash flow yield and analyst price targets above the market price; valuation depends on margin recovery and leverage reduction to justify multiple expansion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 23.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 43.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.80 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.47 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -1.11 M
 End Period Cash Flow 22.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 358.1 M
 Forward Revenue 136.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 301.0 M
 Depreciation 23.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 23.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 345.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 57.2 M
 EBITDA 33.2 M
 EBIT 10.2 M
 Operating Income 12.4 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.1 M
 Net Interest Income -1.09 M
 Income Before Tax 9.1 M
 Tax Provision 55.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.6 %
 Net Income 9.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 9.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.61
 EPS Actual 0.57
 EPS Difference -0.04
 EPS Surprise -6.557 %
 Forward EPS 0.65
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 999.1 M
 Intangible Assets 4.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 367.9 M
 Total Current Assets 60.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 22.7 M
 Cash 22.7 M
 Net Receivables 14.6 M
 Inventory 12.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 44.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 44.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 193.5 M
 Net Debt 39.3 M
 Total Debt 462.7 M
 Total Liabilities 626.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 372.5 M
 Retained Earnings 299.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.70
 Shares Outstanding 21.050 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 797.4 M
 Enterprise Value 1.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 37.302
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -7.823 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -1.089 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 205.993
mean: 83.649
median: 78.132
BJRI: 37.302
low: -109.403
 EV/R 3.455
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.682
 Asset To Liability 1.595
 Debt To Capital 0.554
 Debt To Assets 0.463
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.182 %
Debt To Assets YoY -6.772 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.622
mean: 0.665
median: 0.625
BJRI: 0.463
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.242
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.33 %
Debt To Equity YoY -8.929 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 12.878
BJRI: 1.242
mean: 0.379
median: 0.371
low: -7.932
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.14
Price To Book QoQ -9.105 %
Price To Book YoY 4.187 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.76
median: 7.253
mean: 2.225
BJRI: 2.14
low: -22.122
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 66.458
Price To Earnings QoQ 7.394 %
Price To Earnings YoY 15.268 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 285.278
median: 108.358
mean: 94.493
BJRI: 66.458
low: -170.635
 PE/G Ratio -4.874
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.227
Price To Sales QoQ -8.234 %
Price To Sales YoY 1.521 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.432
median: 25.858
mean: 22.389
BJRI: 2.227
low: 0.178
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 57.846
Forward PE/G -4.242
Forward P/S 5.86
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -19.207
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.356
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.915 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.286 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.683
BJRI: 0.356
mean: 0.178
median: 0.109
low: 0.078
 Receivables Turnover 26.583
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.173 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 10.123 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 41.741
BJRI: 26.583
mean: 7.483
median: 2.661
low: 1.107
 Inventory Turnover 23.213
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.311 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.263 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 72.564
median: 47.115
mean: 44.933
BJRI: 23.213
low: 0.784
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3.433
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.343
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.501 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 54.396 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 38.929
median: -2.211
BJRI: -5.343
mean: -5.623
low: -124.383
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -2.691
 CapEx To Revenue -0.044
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.687
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 434.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 434.5 M
 Invested Capital 434.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 367.9 M
 Net Working Capital -133.09 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.117
 Current Ratio 0.312
Current Ratio QoQ -21.776 %
Current Ratio YoY -19.895 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.493
mean: 0.966
median: 0.933
BJRI: 0.312
low: 0.26
 Quick Ratio 0.246
Quick Ratio QoQ -25.327 %
Quick Ratio YoY -21.831 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.446
median: 1.066
mean: 1.023
BJRI: 0.246
low: 0.178
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 13.947
 Cost Of Debt 0.169 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 9.354
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -16.889 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -22.727 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 21.267
BJRI: 9.354
mean: 8.783
median: 7.355
low: -13.758
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.189
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 12.743
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.614 %
 Revenue Growth 0.765 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -89.993 %
Revenue Growth YoY -27.488 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.595 %
BJRI: 0.765 %
mean: -4.668 %
median: -7.006 %
low: -26.819 %
 Earnings Growth -13.636 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -100.88 %
Earnings Growth YoY -153.407 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 233.333 %
median: -9.295 %
mean: -10.034 %
BJRI: -13.636 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 15.962 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.833 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.081 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 78.305 %
mean: 41.849 %
median: 39.043 %
BJRI: 15.962 %
low: -0.222 %
 EBIT Margin 2.842 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -15.341 %
EBIT Margin YoY -33.583 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 45.143 %
mean: 24.126 %
median: 22.748 %
BJRI: 2.842 %
low: -24.703 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.454 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.259 %
Return On Sales YoY -19.28 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 44.253 %
mean: 24.13 %
median: 23.583 %
BJRI: 3.454 %
low: -45.058 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 27.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.409 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 294.56 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -315.759 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.154 %
BJRI: 3.409 %
mean: 0.958 %
median: 0.794 %
low: -7.886 %
 Free Cash Growth 264.614 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 147.509 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -249.885 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 371.18 %
BJRI: 264.614 %
mean: 28.916 %
median: 5.617 %
low: -450.0 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 3.009
 Cash Flow Margin 10.216 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.05
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.897 %
Return On Assets QoQ -27.72 %
Return On Assets YoY -31.474 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.852 %
mean: 2.47 %
median: 2.339 %
BJRI: 0.897 %
low: -1.371 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.263 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.024
Return On Equity QoQ -29.771 %
Return On Equity YoY -33.232 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.315
BJRI: 0.024
median: 0.021
mean: 0.012
low: -0.198
 DuPont ROE 2.446 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.328 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 11.441 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -27.657 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.09 %
mean: 6.276 %
median: 5.912 %
BJRI: 2.328 %
low: -2.438 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum dominates the near-term picture: strong ADX, a DI+ dip-and-reverse, MACD above its signal, and price positioned above short- and long-term averages favor continued upside toward the mean price target area around $68.08. Watch RSI nearing overbought and a high positive MRO as potential early warnings of mean reversion; any sustained move above the upper Bollinger band or an ADX persistence above current levels would reinforce continuation. Fundamentals—especially margin recovery and progress on leverage—likely dictate whether momentum sustains beyond the six-week window.

About BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) delivers a distinctive dining experience in the American casual dining sector. Established in 1978 and based in Huntington Beach, California, BJ’s Restaurants have built a reputation for their inviting atmosphere and diverse culinary offerings. The company crafts a menu that includes its signature deep-dish pizzas, a variety of entrees, and their renowned Pizookie dessert. BJ’s places a strong emphasis on quality ingredients and innovative dishes to cater to a wide range of palates. Beyond food, BJ’s Restaurants also brew a selection of handcrafted beers in-house, enhancing the dining experience with unique beverage options. This dedication to craft beer complements their culinary offerings and attracts beer enthusiasts. BJ’s Restaurants consistently expand their presence across the United States, adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining a commitment to exceptional service. The company creates family-friendly environments that appeal to a broad audience, including families, friends, and food lovers. Through their focus on quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction, BJ’s Restaurants continue to thrive in the competitive casual dining landscape.



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