Citi Trends, Inc (NASDAQ:CTRN) Poised To Extend Momentum As Sales Accelerate

Citi Trends shows a bias toward continued upward price pressure driven by strong directional momentum and improving operating margins; valuation signals and cash generation present a constructive backdrop for near-term appreciation.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trending environment: ADX at 36.33 signals a robust trend strength while DI+ at 40.67 increasing and DI- at 13.46 decreasing together produce a clear bullish directional picture.

MACD reads 3.98 and climbs above its signal line at 2.20, confirming bullish momentum and a recent momentum crossover that favors continued upside in the near term.

MRO stands at 35.07 and is rising; because MRO is positive, price sits above the model target and faces mean-reverting pressure—this suggests the current rally carries overbought potential despite momentum confirmation.

RSI at 58.41 and climbing sits below overbought territory while indicating sustained buying pressure rather than exhaustion.

Price sits above short-, medium-, and long-term averages: 12-day EMA 56.05, 20-day average 52.72, 50-day average 47.76, and 200-day average 43.06. Price closed at $63.44, above the 1x upper Bollinger band of $61.44 and well inside the 52-week range toward the high of $64.43, showing trend-following strength with limited immediate upside room to the 2x upper band at $70.16.

Ichimoku components place price above the cloud (Senkou A 47.37, Senkou B 48.87) and above Tenkan 54.45 and Kijun 51.22, reinforcing a bullish regime with support aligned in the $51–56 area; SuperTrend lower band at $55.77 provides a proximate technical support reference.

Volume metrics confirm participation: daily volume 214,926 slightly exceeds the 10-day average of 209,683 and materially exceeds 50- and 200-day averages, signaling conviction behind the recent move rather than a thin, unconfirmed spike.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and margins: total revenue $230,858,000 with gross margin 39.95% and operating margin 3.20%; EBIT stands at $8,022,000, producing an EBIT margin of 3.48%. EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 13.49% and below the industry peer median of 16.16%, while remaining above the industry peer low of -9.27%.

Profitability trends show improvement: operating margin QoQ rose 5.76% and EBIT margin YoY improved by 6.41%, signaling incremental operating leverage as cost control and product mix shifts benefit margins.

Cash flow and liquidity: operating cash flow $20,875,000 and free cash flow $15,042,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 4.00%, while free cash to net income stands near 193.99%, indicating cash conversion above reported net income. Cash and short-term investments total $81,100,000 with a current ratio of 1.15 and quick ratio 0.53, reflecting a modest liquidity cushion against current obligations.

Leverage: total debt $226,462,000 produces debt-to-equity 1.81 and debt-to-EBITDA near 17.25, signaling heavy leverage relative to earnings capacity; interest expense remains minimal and interest coverage sits high, but leverage metrics warrant monitoring if earnings or cash flow weaken.

Earnings and estimates: reported EPS $1.08 versus an estimate $0.32, an EPS surprise ratio of 2.375 (approximately a 237.5% beat), with forward EPS $0.59375 and forward PE about 77.64. Trailing PE stands near 41.65 while enterprise multiple measures near 39.70. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as under-valued relative to WMDST’s internal framework.

Working capital and operations: inventory $115,246,000 with days inventory outstanding ~75.38 and days payables outstanding ~70.49; asset turnover 0.477 indicating modest revenue generation per dollar of assets but sitting inside the industry peer range on turnover. Return on equity 6.19% and return on assets 1.60% reflect modest capital returns with year-over-year improvements noted.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-04-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-06-02
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-09-01
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 66.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow 20.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -5.83 M
 Change In Working Capital -5.41 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 15.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 81.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 230.9 M
 Forward Revenue 36.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 138.6 M
 Depreciation 5.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 223.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 92.2 M
 EBITDA 13.1 M
 EBIT 8.0 M
 Operating Income 7.4 M
 Interest Income 647.0 K
 Interest Expense 86.0 K
 Net Interest Income 561.0 K
 Income Before Tax 7.9 M
 Tax Provision 182.0 K
 Tax Rate 2.293 %
 Net Income 7.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 7.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.32
 EPS Actual 1.08
 EPS Difference 0.76
 EPS Surprise 237.5 %
 Forward EPS 0.59
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 496.2 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 125.3 M
 Total Current Assets 213.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 81.1 M
 Cash 81.1 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory 115.2 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 113.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 186.0 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 226.5 M
 Total Liabilities 370.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 125.3 M
 Retained Earnings 288.9 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 15.00
 Shares Outstanding 8.357 M
 Revenue Per-Share 27.63
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 375.9 M
 Enterprise Value 521.2 M
 Enterprise Multiple 39.698
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.708 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -44.575 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 177.335
mean: 50.0
median: 47.746
CTRN: 39.698
low: -78.249
 EV/R 2.258
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.959
 Asset To Liability 1.338
 Debt To Capital 0.644
 Debt To Assets 0.456
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.705 %
Debt To Assets YoY -9.417 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.95
CTRN: 0.456
mean: 0.451
median: 0.437
low: 0.214
 Debt To Equity 1.807
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.892 %
Debt To Equity YoY -11.004 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.366
CTRN: 1.807
mean: 1.117
median: 0.892
low: -2.006
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.999
Price To Book QoQ -6.529 %
Price To Book YoY 61.163 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.078
mean: 4.063
median: 3.382
CTRN: 2.999
low: -3.375
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 41.646
Price To Earnings QoQ -20.832 %
Price To Earnings YoY -70.04 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 136.917
median: 77.251
mean: 74.341
CTRN: 41.646
low: -72.826
 PE/G Ratio 1.539
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.628
Price To Sales QoQ 0.518 %
Price To Sales YoY 62.6 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 12.449
mean: 7.553
median: 7.406
CTRN: 1.628
low: 0.213
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 77.643
Forward PE/G 2.869
Forward P/S 10.177
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 14.429
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.477
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.106 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 6.49 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.516
CTRN: 0.477
mean: 0.288
median: 0.282
low: 0.078
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover 1.212
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.749 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 15.601 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.892
CTRN: 1.212
mean: 0.716
median: 0.694
low: 0.308
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 111.343
median: 69.365
mean: 60.811
low: 23.354
CTRN: 0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 8.557
 CapEx To Revenue -0.025
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.142
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 125.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 125.3 M
 Invested Capital 125.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 125.3 M
 Net Working Capital 27.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.436
 Current Ratio 1.145
Current Ratio QoQ 2.856 %
Current Ratio YoY 2.193 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.042
median: 1.311
mean: 1.249
CTRN: 1.145
low: 0.785
 Quick Ratio 0.525
Quick Ratio QoQ 14.551 %
Quick Ratio YoY 34.743 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.391
CTRN: 0.525
mean: 0.4
median: 0.382
low: 0.068
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.248
 Cost Of Debt 0.038 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 93.279
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 4.109 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 648.596 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA CTRN: 93.279
high: 38.666
mean: 13.908
median: 8.361
low: -58.921
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.127
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 70.492
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.31 %
 Revenue Growth 0.202 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -98.805 %
Revenue Growth YoY -104.517 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 13.262 %
CTRN: 0.202 %
mean: -12.616 %
median: -17.784 %
low: -54.332 %
 Earnings Growth 27.059 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -113.764 %
Earnings Growth YoY -124.369 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 37.785 %
CTRN: 27.059 %
mean: -14.752 %
median: -15.556 %
low: -400.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 39.95 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.123 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.978 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 68.334 %
mean: 42.478 %
median: 40.74 %
CTRN: 39.95 %
low: 23.523 %
 EBIT Margin 3.475 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 2.719 %
EBIT Margin YoY 640.938 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 20.591 %
median: 16.156 %
mean: 13.488 %
CTRN: 3.475 %
low: -9.268 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.195 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.76 %
Return On Sales YoY 581.237 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 20.591 %
median: 16.156 %
mean: 13.516 %
CTRN: 3.195 %
low: -7.857 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 15.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 4.002 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1.754 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -161.836 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.1 %
CTRN: 4.002 %
median: 0.834 %
mean: 0.462 %
low: -12.625 %
 Free Cash Growth 2.494 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -99.862 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -101.659 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 77.641 %
CTRN: 2.494 %
mean: -80.388 %
median: -80.884 %
low: -191.495 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.94
 Cash Flow Margin 10.256 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.053
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.603 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1.136 %
Return On Assets YoY 726.289 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.232 %
median: 3.102 %
mean: 2.982 %
CTRN: 1.603 %
low: -2.73 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.586 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.062
Return On Equity QoQ -2.919 %
Return On Equity YoY 671.322 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.132
CTRN: 0.062
median: 0.057
mean: -0.017
low: -0.241
 DuPont ROE 6.418 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.253 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -2.964 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.645 %
median: 11.692 %
mean: 8.396 %
CTRN: 6.253 %
low: -6.248 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias: bullish. Strong directional indicators (rising DI+, ADX in a strong range) and a bullish MACD crossover create a favorable momentum backdrop for continuation over the coming six weeks, with support structure clustered between $55 and $56 and the Ichimoku base providing additional lean-in support.

Risk elements that could limit near-term upside include a positive and rising MRO—indicating price sits above model targets and therefore an elevated probability of mean reversion—and elevated leverage metrics that reduce margin for error if top-line momentum softens. Trading ranges should favor continuation with periodic consolidation or pullbacks to the $55–$56 support band before testing the 52-week high vicinity.

About Citi Trends, Inc.

Citi Trends, Inc. (NASDAQ:CTRN) delivers affordable fashion and lifestyle products to diverse communities across the United States. Headquartered in Savannah, Georgia, the company traces its roots back to 1946 and has grown into a prominent value retailer. Citi Trends designs a wide array of trendy apparel, accessories, and home goods, catering to men, women, and children of all ages. The company’s product offerings include fashionable sportswear, footwear, and outerwear. Women can find sleepwear and scrubs, while children have access to uniforms and accessories. Beyond clothing, Citi Trends provides a selection of beauty products, handbags, jewelry, and watches, ensuring customers stay in tune with the latest trends. In addition to apparel and accessories, Citi Trends features home and lifestyle products, offering items for the bedroom, bathroom, and kitchen. The retailer embraces the multicultural fabric of the U.S., primarily serving African American communities and other diverse groups, providing an inclusive shopping experience. With a legacy spanning over seven decades, Citi Trends remains committed to making style accessible and affordable for all, without compromising on quality.



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