Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) Extends Global Growth Amid Elevated Leverage Pressure

Hilton enters the coming weeks with clear expansion momentum from new openings and corporate partnerships, while balance-sheet leverage and rich multiples create a two-sided near-term picture.

Recent News

On May 11, 2026 Hilton Domestic Operating Company Inc. issued $1.0 billion aggregate principal amount of 5.500% Senior Notes due 2031, with proceeds earmarked for repayment of credit facility borrowings and general corporate purposes.

On May 13, 2026 a new Spark by Hilton property opened near Charlotte Douglas International Airport, adding a 121‑room elevated‑essentials option to Hilton’s portfolio.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.17 indicates no dominant trend; the market lacks a strong directional bias even as momentum indicators register shorter-term strength, which suggests price action may remain range‑oriented while directional signals consolidate.

DI+ at 27.73 with a dip‑and‑reversal reads as bullish; DI‑ at 19.12 with a peak‑and‑reversal also reads as bullish, together implying buying pressure outpaced selling pressure over recent sessions and supporting the near‑term upside bias tied to the company’s expansion narrative.

MACD sits at 6.45 above its signal line at 5.19, and the MACD trend shows a dip‑and‑reversal; the cross above the signal line represents a bullish momentum signal that aligns with other short‑term indicators.

MRO at 29.03 registers positive, indicating price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries a higher probability of downward mean reversion; this condition tempers momentum‑driven upside and connects directly to valuation stretch.

RSI at 60.11 with a dip‑and‑reversal reads as bullish momentum without near‑term overbought extremes, which supports continuation of the recent advance while leaving room before overextension.

Price sits above the 20‑day average ($340.12), 50‑day average ($328.68) and 200‑day average ($295.98); the 12‑day EMA shows an increasing trend. These moving‑average relationships support a positive price bias and dovetail with volume modestly above the 10‑day average, indicating participation behind the move.

Ichimoku components place the Tenkan at $340.62 and Kijun at $333.31 with current price above both, consistent with bullish shorter‑term momentum; Bollinger bands show a tightening 20‑day standard deviation, implying reduced volatility and potential for a breakout or mean reversion move in the coming weeks.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $2.937 billion with an operating income of $678 million and EBIT of $680 million; YoY revenue growth measures +53.67% while overall revenue growth rate shows -4.86% (different period lenses apply), indicating strong year‑over‑year recovery trends alongside quarter‑to‑quarter variability.

EPS delivered $2.01 versus an estimate of $1.97, an EPS surprise of 2.03% (beat of $0.04). Quarterly improvements supported guidance adjustments reflected in company filings.

Margins remain healthy: EBIT margin registers 23.15%, up 20.33% QoQ and up 12.43% YoY; that margin sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 24.19% but above the industry peer median of 22.75%, indicating margin performance near peer central tendency while still trailing the peer average.

Cash flow metrics show operating cash flow of $618 million and free cash flow of $587 million; free cash flow yield equals 0.83%, marginally below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.97%, which signals limited current cash‑return efficiency relative to peers despite positive absolute cash generation.

Leverage constitutes the principal fundamental risk: total debt stands at $13.06 billion with net debt of $11.80 billion and debt‑to‑EBITDA at 17.9x; debt‑to‑assets at 79.7% exceeds the industry peer mean of 65.3%. Interest coverage sits at 4.20x, reflecting adequate interest servicing today but leaving less cushion if operating performance weakens.

Return metrics diverge: return on invested capital at 7.79% shows improvement YoY, while return on equity remains negative at -6.52% reflecting negative book equity. Asset turnover at 0.177 is roughly in line with the industry peer mean of 0.178. Balance‑sheet structure and negative tangible equity require continued free cash generation to normalize leverage ratios over time.

Valuation context: price multiples trade at elevated levels—trailing PE ~155x and forward PE ~114x—above the industry peer mean and median multiples, while the WMDST valuation labels the stock as under‑valued based on the model inputs provided; the high multiples reflect strong growth expectations and low share count, offset by material leverage that compresses downside resilience.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 970.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 618.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -31.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 171.0 M
 Dividends Paid -35.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -351.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 619.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.9 B
 Forward Revenue 1.1 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.1 B
 Depreciation 50.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 50.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 2.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 853.0 M
 EBITDA 730.0 M
 EBIT 680.0 M
 Operating Income 678.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 162.0 M
 Net Interest Income -162.00 M
 Income Before Tax 518.0 M
 Tax Provision 135.0 M
 Tax Rate 26.062 %
 Net Income 385.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 383.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.97
 EPS Actual 2.01
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 2.03 %
 Forward EPS 2.60
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 16.4 B
 Intangible Assets 11.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -17.66 B
 Total Current Assets 2.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 564.0 M
 Cash 564.0 M
 Net Receivables 1.7 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 399.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt 25.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.6 B
 Net Debt 11.8 B
 Total Debt 13.1 B
 Total Liabilities 22.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -5.91 B
 Retained Earnings -1.16 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -25.86
 Shares Outstanding 228.330 M
 Revenue Per-Share 12.86
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 71.1 B
 Enterprise Value 83.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 114.522
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -7.401 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 2.988 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 205.993
HLT: 114.522
mean: 80.525
median: 78.132
low: -109.403
 EV/R 28.465
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -2.775
 Asset To Liability 0.736
 Debt To Capital 1.826
 Debt To Assets 0.797
Debt To Assets QoQ 2.101 %
Debt To Assets YoY 7.622 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.622
HLT: 0.797
mean: 0.652
median: 0.624
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity -2.211
Debt To Equity QoQ -8.999 %
Debt To Equity YoY -18.508 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 12.878
mean: 0.701
median: 0.695
HLT: -2.211
low: -7.932
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -12.042
Price To Book QoQ -3.307 %
Price To Book YoY -4.365 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.76
median: 10.414
mean: 3.994
HLT: -12.042
low: -22.122
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 154.937
Price To Earnings QoQ 10.672 %
Price To Earnings YoY 15.435 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 285.278
HLT: 154.937
median: 108.358
mean: 88.41
low: -170.635
 PE/G Ratio -46.044
 Price To Sales (P/S) 24.211
Price To Sales QoQ 11.383 %
Price To Sales YoY 18.362 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.432
median: 25.858
HLT: 24.211
mean: 22.207
low: 0.178
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 114.47
Forward PE/G -34.018
Forward P/S 62.61
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -2.98
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.177
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.124 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.026 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.683
mean: 0.178
HLT: 0.177
median: 0.109
low: 0.078
 Receivables Turnover 1.741
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.762 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.003 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 51.203
mean: 8.078
median: 3.699
HLT: 1.741
low: 1.107
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 52.414
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 12.259
HLT: 0
mean: -0.665
median: -0.731
low: -10.41
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.646
 CapEx To Revenue -0.011
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.62
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 6.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 6.5 B
 Invested Capital 6.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -17.66 B
 Net Working Capital -1.78 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.124
 Current Ratio 0.608
Current Ratio QoQ -8.452 %
Current Ratio YoY 6.432 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.493
mean: 0.997
median: 0.933
HLT: 0.608
low: 0.26
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.888
 Cost Of Debt 0.901 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.198
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 16.598 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 9.665 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 21.267
mean: 9.29
median: 7.355
HLT: 4.198
low: -13.758
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.097
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 11.0
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.091
 Dividend Rate 0.15
 Dividend Yield 0.0
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -2.319 %
 Revenue Growth -4.859 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 359.263 %
Revenue Growth YoY 53.669 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.595 %
mean: -4.645 %
HLT: -4.859 %
median: -7.006 %
low: -26.819 %
 Earnings Growth -3.365 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -119.966 %
Earnings Growth YoY 48.042 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 233.333 %
HLT: -3.365 %
median: -9.295 %
mean: -10.635 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 29.043 %
Gross Margin QoQ 11.928 %
Gross Margin YoY 12.296 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 78.305 %
mean: 42.974 %
median: 40.371 %
HLT: 29.043 %
low: -0.222 %
 EBIT Margin 23.153 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 20.325 %
EBIT Margin YoY 12.426 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 45.143 %
mean: 24.192 %
HLT: 23.153 %
median: 22.748 %
low: -24.703 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.085 %
Return On Sales QoQ 18.379 %
Return On Sales YoY 12.096 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 44.253 %
median: 24.817 %
mean: 24.203 %
HLT: 23.085 %
low: -45.058 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 587.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.826 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 267.111 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 10.576 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.154 %
mean: 0.973 %
HLT: 0.826 %
median: 0.794 %
low: -7.886 %
 Free Cash Growth 288.742 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -459.637 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -1696.053 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 371.18 %
HLT: 288.742 %
median: 5.617 %
mean: 5.522 %
low: -450.0 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.525
 Cash Flow Margin 15.015 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.145
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.322 %
Return On Assets QoQ 30.596 %
Return On Assets YoY 26.059 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.852 %
mean: 2.482 %
median: 2.339 %
HLT: 2.322 %
low: -1.371 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.749 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.065
Return On Equity QoQ 18.287 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.845 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.315
median: 0.051
mean: 0.021
HLT: -0.065
low: -0.198
 DuPont ROE -6.819 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 7.79 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 31.677 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 29.942 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.09 %
HLT: 7.79 %
mean: 6.137 %
median: 5.912 %
low: -2.438 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical and fundamental signals present a mixed but actionable bias for short‑term traders: momentum indicators and moving averages favor continuation of the recent advance, while the positive MRO flags the stock sits above model target and leverage metrics amplify downside risk if demand softens. Expect a likely range with an upside tilt supported by new openings and corporate partnerships, but monitor any widenings in credit spreads or shifts in operating cash flow that would increase volatility.

Key near‑term items to watch include confirmation of MACD holding above its signal line, MRO movement back toward zero, and volume behavior relative to the 10‑ and 50‑day averages; on the fundamental side, follow cash‑flow prints and debt servicing updates tied to the May senior‑note issuance for signs of balance‑sheet stabilization.

About Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) designs a comprehensive range of hospitality services, maintaining a prominent presence in the global hotel industry. Founded in 1919 and headquartered in McLean, Virginia, Hilton manages and franchises a broad spectrum of hotels and resorts across North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company’s diverse brand portfolio includes luxury accommodations such as Waldorf Astoria and Conrad Hotels & Resorts, as well as lifestyle brands like Canopy and Curio Collection. Hilton offers full-service hospitality through Hilton Hotels & Resorts and DoubleTree by Hilton, while providing more budget-friendly options with Hilton Garden Inn and Hampton by Hilton. The company prioritizes innovation and sustainability, integrating environmentally conscious practices into its operations to enhance guest experiences. Hilton’s commitment to quality service and strategic global expansion ensures its continued influence in the hospitality sector, making it a preferred choice for travelers seeking comfort and reliability.



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