Ellomay Capital Ltd. (NYSE:ELLO) Accelerates Balance Sheet Repair While Growth Faces Short-Term Pressure

Ellomay enters a transitional phase driven by recent shareholder changes and portfolio transactions, while operating and cash metrics signal constrained near-term flexibility.

Recent News

On March 4, 2026 the company announced changes in its principal shareholders and board composition; on May 10, 2026 the company disclosed a final purchase price related to the change in control; late May 2026 filings describe the sale of indirect holdings in Dorad Energy Ltd.; the company also published an update on the implementation of a separation mechanism concerning Ellomay LuzonEnergy Infrastructures Ltd.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging strength reading: ADX at 24.04 signals an emerging trend, but the directional balance currently favors downside—DI+ at 18.77 decreasing while DI- at 33.8 increasing—so the immediate directional bias pressures near-term price lower relative to the current valuation.

MACD sits negative at -0.76 and trends downward with the MACD below its signal (-0.59), indicating continuing bearish momentum that reduces the likelihood of a sustained near-term reversal until the MACD crosses back above its signal line.

MRO registers 4.8 (positive) with a decreasing trajectory; the positive MRO implies price currently sits above the model target and therefore introduces downside potential, reinforcing short-term negative pressure on price relative to WMDST’s valuation.

RSI at 42.71 and trending down indicates weakening buying pressure; the sub-50 reading supports a bearish near-term outlook and increases sensitivity to further downside moves absent a clear momentum reversal.

Price sits below short- and medium-term averages (priceClose $21.11 versus 20-day average $22.65, 50-day $23.99 and 200-day $22.97) and the 12-day EMA trends lower, reinforcing a bearish bias to near-term price action when assessed against the current over-valued status.

Bollinger structure shows the close near the 1x lower band ($21.10), suggesting limited immediate technical cushion and potential for intraday volatility; traders should watch for any MACD crossover or a DI+ dip-and-reverse as technical conditions that could alter the short-term outlook.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue expanded strongly year-over-year: YoY revenue growth of 354.05% and a baseline revenue growth figure of 7.45%, yet operating profitability remains negative. EBIT stands at -$4,802,000 and EBITDA at -$287,000, producing an EBIT margin of -55.42%, far below the industry peer mean and median (industry peer mean EBIT margin 33.11%, median 25.798%). QoQ and YoY deterioration in EBIT margin measure -94.18% QoQ and -151.75% YoY, underscoring acute profit compression versus revenue movement.

Cash generation shows strain: operating cash flow negative at -$1,944,000 and free cash flow at -$14,133,000 (free cash flow yield -4.24%, free cash flow yield YoY change -51.55%). Cash and short-term investments total $83,697,000, and end-period cash equals $83,697,000, providing a liquidity buffer even as free cash flow trends negative.

Leverage remains elevated. Total debt $680,306,000 and net debt $559,418,000 versus market cap $333,312,546 produce a capital structure that registers debt-to-assets at 76.84%, materially above the industry peer mean (42.976%) and debt-to-equity at 5.06 (industry peer mean 3.670). Interest expense $6,116,000 and an interest coverage ratio of -0.79 reflect limited operating coverage of financing costs.

Balance-sheet and efficiency metrics present mixed signals: current ratio 1.40 exceeds the industry peer mean of 0.865, indicating near-term liquidity above peers, while asset turnover at 0.01002 falls well below the industry peer mean (0.09512), signaling low revenue generation from assets despite YoY revenue growth. Book value per share $9.75 pairs with a P/B ratio of 2.48 that sits above the industry peer mean 1.35 and slightly above the industry peer median 2.34.

Valuation context: enterprise value stands at $929,921,546 with an enterprise multiple deeply negative (enterprise multiple -3240.14) driven by negative EBITDA; price-to-sales sits at 38.47, substantially above the industry peer mean of 7.49 and the high of the peer range. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over-valued, reflecting high relative multiples coupled with negative operating profitability and elevated leverage.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-06-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-09-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 87.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow -1.94 M
 Capital Expenditures -12.19 M
 Change In Working Capital -636.00 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -3.92 M
 End Period Cash Flow 83.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 8.7 M
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 9.6 M
 Depreciation 4.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.5 M
 Research and Development 375.0 K
 Total Operating Expenses 11.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit -928.00 K
 EBITDA -287.00 K
 EBIT -4.80 M
 Operating Income -2.70 M
 Interest Income 616.0 K
 Interest Expense 6.1 M
 Net Interest Income -8.71 M
 Income Before Tax -10.92 M
 Tax Provision 1.6 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income -10.44 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -12.22 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 885.4 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 134.4 M
 Total Current Assets 194.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 83.7 M
 Cash 83.7 M
 Net Receivables 8.5 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 16.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 5.4 M
 Short-Term Debt 105.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 138.4 M
 Net Debt 559.4 M
 Total Debt 680.3 M
 Total Liabilities 726.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 134.4 M
 Retained Earnings -24.14 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.75
 Shares Outstanding 13.783 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.63
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 333.3 M
 Enterprise Value 929.9 M
 Enterprise Multiple -3240.145
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 2114.253 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -6335.564 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 100.362
median: 33.812
mean: 33.345
low: -13.125
ELLO: -3240.145
 EV/R 107.319
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 6.589
 Asset To Liability 1.219
 Debt To Capital 0.835
 Debt To Assets 0.768
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.704 %
Debt To Assets YoY -2.041 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA ELLO: 0.768
high: 0.587
median: 0.482
mean: 0.43
low: 0.187
 Debt To Equity 5.062
Debt To Equity QoQ 11.683 %
Debt To Equity YoY 7.083 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 7.013
median: 6.38
ELLO: 5.062
mean: 3.67
low: -5.708
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.48
Price To Book QoQ 0.088 %
Price To Book YoY 35.541 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.788
ELLO: 2.48
median: 2.34
mean: 1.349
low: -2.783
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 38.467
Price To Sales QoQ -88.672 %
Price To Sales YoY 55.642 %
Price To Sales IPRWA ELLO: 38.467
high: 17.165
median: 9.609
mean: 7.49
low: 0.066
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -0.068
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.01
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 682.812 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -20.916 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.136
mean: 0.095
median: 0.09
low: 0.017
ELLO: 0.01
 Receivables Turnover 1.84
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 475.604 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -28.442 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.619
median: 2.448
mean: 2.077
ELLO: 1.84
low: 1.032
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.59
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -13.959
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 58.932
median: 20.441
mean: -0.825
ELLO: -13.959
low: -229.515
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.155
 CapEx To Revenue -1.407
 CapEx To Depreciation -2.7
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 672.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 777.5 M
 Invested Capital 777.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 134.4 M
 Net Working Capital 55.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.605
 Current Ratio 1.403
Current Ratio QoQ 13.024 %
Current Ratio YoY 41.509 %
Current Ratio IPRWA ELLO: 1.403
high: 1.069
median: 0.896
mean: 0.865
low: 0.333
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -2370.404
 Cost Of Debt 0.557 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -0.785
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -53.026 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -129.724 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 9.768
median: 5.988
mean: 4.901
ELLO: -0.785
low: -5.228
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.107
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 63.549
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.967 %
 Revenue Growth 744.542 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -909.813 %
Revenue Growth YoY 35405.103 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA ELLO: 744.542 %
high: 46.325 %
median: 23.037 %
mean: 14.208 %
low: -28.169 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin -10.71 %
Gross Margin QoQ -98.564 %
Gross Margin YoY 19025.0 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 71.704 %
median: 42.73 %
mean: 41.823 %
low: 14.826 %
ELLO: -10.71 %
 EBIT Margin -55.418 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -94.179 %
EBIT Margin YoY -151.75 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 60.241 %
mean: 33.112 %
median: 25.798 %
low: 18.228 %
ELLO: -55.418 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -31.137 %
Return On Sales QoQ -107.246 %
Return On Sales YoY 9.734 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 52.164 %
mean: 27.201 %
median: 26.578 %
low: 1.262 %
ELLO: -31.137 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -14.13 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -4.24 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -67.203 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -51.554 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 0.988 %
median: 0.583 %
mean: -0.5 %
ELLO: -4.24 %
low: -5.462 %
 Free Cash Growth -68.622 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -158.352 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 572.963 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: -12.075 %
median: -46.98 %
ELLO: -68.622 %
mean: -85.046 %
low: -369.729 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.353
 Cash Flow Margin -170.548 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.415
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.208 %
Return On Assets QoQ -22.959 %
Return On Assets YoY -205.687 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.904 %
median: 2.484 %
mean: 2.438 %
low: 0.268 %
ELLO: -1.208 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.643 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.078
Return On Equity QoQ -13.096 %
Return On Equity YoY -216.332 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.831
median: 0.33
mean: 0.233
low: 0.011
ELLO: -0.078
 DuPont ROE -7.593 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.371 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -70.438 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -133.095 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.363 %
median: 5.363 %
mean: 3.627 %
low: 0.744 %
ELLO: -0.371 %

Six-Week Outlook

The technical ensemble and capital structure point to a bearish-biased range over the next six weeks. Directional indicators and a declining MACD signal continued downside pressure while price sits below key moving averages; MRO and RSI add further downside risk. Corporate developments—recent shareholder and board changes plus asset transactions—introduce event risk that may amplify volatility. A visible shift toward constructive price momentum would require a MACD recovery above its signal line or a DI+ dip-and-reverse; absent those signals, expect consolidation under current averages and limited upside relative to the current WMDST valuation.

About Ellomay Capital Ltd.

Ellomay Capital Ltd. (NYSE:ELLO) advances the renewable energy sector with a focus on sustainable power solutions globally. Headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel, the company diversifies its portfolio across solar, hydroelectric, and biogas projects. In Spain, Ellomay Capital manages photovoltaic (PV) plants, including a notable 300 MW facility in Talaván, enhancing the country’s renewable energy contributions. In Israel, the company operates a dual-fuel power plant near Ashkelon and develops a 156 MW pumped storage hydro power plant at Manara Cliff. In the Netherlands, Ellomay Capital bolsters green energy production through anaerobic digestion plants, generating significant volumes of green gas. The company’s expansion into Italy and the United States includes numerous PV projects in Lazio and the Dallas metropolitan area, reflecting its dedication to global clean energy development. Established in 1987, Ellomay Capital has transitioned from its origins as NUR Macroprinters Ltd. into a key player in the renewable energy sector, supporting the shift towards a sustainable future.



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