Impinj, Inc (NASDAQ:PI) Signals Near-Term Pullback As Overvaluation Persists

Impinj shows stretched valuation metrics against weakening momentum; technicals point toward fading bullish conviction while fundamentals deliver mixed operating resilience and cash strength. Expect price to trade under pressure near term as market reassesses valuation.

Recent News

On March 16, 2026 Impinj announced completion of privately negotiated repurchases of roughly $40.2M aggregate principal of its 1.125% convertible notes due 2027, for total consideration near $47.2M, reducing outstanding convertible debt.

On May 26, 2026 the company confirmed CFO participation in a fireside chat at the Evercore Global TMT Conference (session held June 2, 2026), indicating continued investor outreach.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 21.89 indicates an emerging trend strength rather than a strong directional move; this supports a market environment prone to short-term swings rather than a sustained breakout, consistent with a valuation judged over-valued.

DI+ at 21.28 is decreasing while DI‑ at 27.11 is increasing, a directional configuration that reads as bearish pressure on price momentum.

MACD equals -1.03, the MACD trend is decreasing and the MACD sits below its signal line (signal = 2.25), indicating continuing bearish momentum and absence of a bullish MACD cross.

MRO stands at 19.4 and is decreasing; the positive MRO signals price sits above the model target and implies downside potential as that momentum eases.

RSI at 52.62 with a decreasing trend shows neutral-to-fading momentum rather than oversold or overbought conditions, leaving room for a move lower without immediate technical overshoot.

Price dynamics vs averages: the close at $130.08 sits below the 20-day average ($140.21) and both 12- and 26-day EMAs (12-day EMA $133.87 decreasing; 26-day EMA $136.03), while near the 50-day average ($130.20); these relationships favor additional downside or consolidation beneath shorter-term averages.

Bollinger bands place the 1x lower band at $125.20; the current price remains above that lower band with volume (237,700) well below 10- and 50-day averages, suggesting any near-term declines may unfold on light conviction unless volume expands.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue trends: total revenue equals $92,849,000 with YoY revenue growth of -12.434% and QoQ revenue growth of +77.648%, reflecting a sequential recovery from a weaker prior quarter but lower year-over-year sales.

Profitability: gross margin at 51.756% sits above the industry peer mean of 37.426%, showing strong unit economics on product sales. By contrast, EBIT margin at -0.248% compares unfavorably to the industry peer mean of 17.552%; EBIT margin fell roughly 98.051% QoQ and about 88.168% YoY, pointing to significant sequential and annual compression at the operating-profit level.

Operating margin equals -2.906%, and operating margin QoQ shows a large negative change; operating losses alongside positive gross margin indicate costs and operating leverage depress near-term profits despite healthy product-level margins.

Cash and liquidity: cash and short-term investments total $175,336,000 with a current ratio of 2.68 and quick ratio of 2.01, providing ample short-term liquidity. The cash ratio of 1.39 and operating cash flow of $15,136,000 support runway even with modest negative net income of $-1,139,000.

Leverage and returns: total debt equals $304,198,000 with debt-to-equity of 1.454 and debt-to-EBITDA about 81.60, signaling leverage that dwarfs near-term earnings capacity; return on equity stands negative at -0.544% and return on assets at -0.215%.

Market multiples show elevated investor expectations: P/E at 338.43 and price-to-sales at 55.08; price-target mean equals $147.01 while the 52-week range spans $87.36–$247.06. WMDST previously determined the current valuation as over-valued, a view supported by these stretched multiples versus operating performance.

EPS metrics: reported EPS $0.14 matched the $0.14 estimate (EPS surprise ratio near -1.96%), indicating near-term earnings in line with consensus despite operating compression.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 51.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 15.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.52 M
 Change In Working Capital -2.79 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -3.52 M
 End Period Cash Flow 48.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 92.8 M
 Forward Revenue -437.00 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 44.8 M
 Depreciation 3.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.0 M
 Research and Development 26.9 M
 Total Operating Expenses 95.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 48.1 M
 EBITDA 3.7 M
 EBIT -230.00 K
 Operating Income -2.70 M
 Interest Income -41.00 K
 Interest Expense 757.0 K
 Net Interest Income -798.00 K
 Income Before Tax -987.00 K
 Tax Provision 152.0 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -1.14 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -1.14 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.14
 EPS Actual 0.14
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise -1.96 %
 Forward EPS 0.71
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 545.2 M
 Intangible Assets 30.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 179.0 M
 Total Current Assets 339.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 175.3 M
 Cash 48.2 M
 Net Receivables 70.8 M
 Inventory 85.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 795.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 13.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 96.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 126.5 M
 Net Debt 232.7 M
 Total Debt 304.2 M
 Total Liabilities 336.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 209.2 M
 Retained Earnings -400.16 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.92
 Shares Outstanding 30.222 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.07
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.1 B
 Enterprise Value 5.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 1406.368
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -308.6 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -53.242 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA PI: 1406.368
high: 264.455
median: 77.366
mean: 76.637
low: -120.086
 EV/R 56.467
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.606
 Asset To Liability 1.623
 Debt To Capital 0.592
 Debt To Assets 0.558
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.221 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.74 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.918
PI: 0.558
mean: 0.287
median: 0.27
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 1.454
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.418 %
Debt To Equity YoY -23.143 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.927
PI: 1.454
median: 0.752
mean: 0.683
low: -0.744
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 24.442
Price To Book QoQ -14.059 %
Price To Book YoY -17.407 %
Price To Book IPRWA PI: 24.442
high: 12.718
mean: 6.988
median: 5.432
low: -3.4
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 338.434
Price To Earnings QoQ 6.588 %
Price To Earnings YoY 4.407 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 368.159
PI: 338.434
median: 129.313
mean: 108.313
low: -239.759
 PE/G Ratio -24.537
 Price To Sales (P/S) 55.08
Price To Sales QoQ -4.585 %
Price To Sales YoY 13.722 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 58.848
PI: 55.08
mean: 18.621
median: 17.83
low: -16.685
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 245.391
Forward PE/G -17.791
Forward P/S -10.922
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 29.397
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.175
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.645 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -7.782 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.529
mean: 0.196
median: 0.184
PI: 0.175
low: -0.269
 Receivables Turnover 1.407
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.803 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -6.898 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.691
mean: 1.521
median: 1.44
PI: 1.407
low: 0.105
 Inventory Turnover 0.504
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.2 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 4.4 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.907
median: 1.116
mean: 1.049
PI: 0.504
low: 0.111
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 64.853
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 206.155
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -11.464 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 1.049 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 327.684
PI: 206.155
mean: 97.993
median: 84.663
low: -50.528
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.437
 CapEx To Revenue -0.016
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.443
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 393.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 490.1 M
 Invested Capital 490.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 179.0 M
 Net Working Capital 212.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.386
 Current Ratio 2.681
Current Ratio QoQ 0.444 %
Current Ratio YoY 172.026 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.052
PI: 2.681
mean: 2.226
median: 2.065
low: 0.51
 Quick Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.2 %
Quick Ratio YoY 193.108 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 10.338
PI: 2.01
mean: 1.697
median: 1.305
low: 0.423
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 81.598
 Cost Of Debt 0.232 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -0.304
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -98.314 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -87.207 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 90.3
median: 13.712
mean: 13.412
PI: -0.304
low: -64.179
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.013
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.475
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.562 %
 Revenue Growth -3.338 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 77.648 %
Revenue Growth YoY -12.434 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 58.79 %
mean: 7.134 %
median: 3.949 %
PI: -3.338 %
low: -45.22 %
 Earnings Growth -13.793 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -49.844 %
Earnings Growth YoY -3.451 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 266.667 %
median: 7.071 %
mean: 5.617 %
PI: -13.793 %
low: -153.846 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.756 %
Gross Margin QoQ 2.868 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.532 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 99.615 %
PI: 51.756 %
mean: 37.426 %
median: 37.246 %
low: -6.824 %
 EBIT Margin -0.248 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -98.051 %
EBIT Margin YoY -88.168 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 41.05 %
median: 18.292 %
mean: 17.552 %
PI: -0.248 %
low: -165.118 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -2.906 %
Return On Sales QoQ -525.476 %
Return On Sales YoY 38.645 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 41.836 %
mean: 16.973 %
median: 15.943 %
PI: -2.906 %
low: -165.118 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 13.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.266 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -17.901 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 39.267 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 9.974 %
median: 0.861 %
mean: 0.815 %
PI: 0.266 %
low: -11.909 %
 Free Cash Growth -24.146 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -29.575 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -129.337 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 433.621 %
median: 21.004 %
mean: -17.239 %
PI: -24.146 %
low: -395.065 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -11.956
 Cash Flow Margin -1.782 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.453
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.215 %
Return On Assets QoQ -91.397 %
Return On Assets YoY -61.4 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 13.842 %
mean: 2.539 %
median: 2.123 %
PI: -0.215 %
low: -23.911 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.055 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.005
Return On Equity QoQ -91.72 %
Return On Equity YoY -69.694 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.198
mean: 0.059
median: 0.058
PI: -0.005
low: -0.349
 DuPont ROE -0.564 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.037 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -98.551 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -97.679 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.312 %
median: 3.298 %
mean: 3.179 %
PI: -0.037 %
low: -21.492 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect consolidation with a downside bias over the next six weeks. Technical momentum shows deterioration—MACD negative and below its signal line, DI configuration favors sellers, and short-term EMAs remain above price—while MRO positive implies price sits above model targets and therefore faces downward pressure. Fundamentals offer mixed support: strong gross margins and substantial cash balance temper downside, but negative operating margins and high leverage relative to EBITDA increase sensitivity to any revenue softness. Market activity likely remains rangebound to lower unless a clear MACD cross or strengthening DI+ reverses the current technical setup.

WMDST values the stock as over-valued; valuation multiples and margin dynamics warrant continued caution while monitoring momentum indicators and cash/debt developments for signs of durable change.

About Impinj, Inc.

Impinj, Inc. (NASDAQ:PI) develops a comprehensive cloud connectivity platform that enhances the interaction between physical items and digital systems across various industries. The company’s platform wirelessly connects items and provides valuable data to business and consumer applications. Impinj’s technology includes endpoint integrated circuits (ICs), which are tiny radios-on-a-chip that attach to items, allowing them to be identified and tracked. The platform also features system products such as reader ICs, readers, and gateways, which supply power and enable bidirectional communication with the endpoint ICs. Additionally, Impinj offers software and algorithms that assist partners in addressing enterprise challenges, such as retail self-checkout and loss prevention. Serving a diverse range of sectors, including retail, supply chain, automotive, aviation, banking, healthcare, and more, Impinj collaborates with original equipment manufacturers, device manufacturers, tag service bureaus, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and independent software vendors. Established in 2000, Impinj is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and operates globally, providing innovative solutions that enhance operational efficiency and data-driven decision-making.



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