Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) Projects Continued Momentum As Technicals Signal Short-Term Upside

Frontdoor shows constructive technical momentum while fundamentals paint a mixed picture of profitability and high leverage; valuation at WMDST’s assessment sits at fair-valued with near-term upside tempered by cash-flow dynamics.

Recent News

On April 30, 2026 Frontdoor released first-quarter 2026 results and accompanying slides; the company provided Q2 2026 revenue guidance and reiterated full-year 2026 guidance. Analysts and market sites reported that the company raised its Q2 revenue outlook and reaffirmed 2026 guidance, and the company posted investor materials related to the Q1 release.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 16.8 indicates no established trend; price action remains range-bound rather than trending, which aligns with WMDST’s fair-valued stance and argues for monitoring momentum for a decisive directional move.

Directional indicators present a bullish setup: DI+ at 22.26 shows a dip-and-reversal (bullish), while DI- at 16.02 shows a peak-and-reversal (bullish). The combination suggests buying pressure has re-emerged, but the low ADX limits conviction for a sustained trend.

MACD reads 0.39 with a signal line at 0.23 and a dip-and-reverse in MACD — a bullish momentum configuration; MACD sits above its signal line, which constitutes a bullish crossover and supports near-term upward price pressure relative to the current valuation.

MRO at 22.91 sits positive, indicating price currently trades above its modeled target and a moderate mean-reversion risk exists; the positive MRO tempers momentum signals by implying upside may meet downward pressure toward equilibrium.

RSI at 52.61 remains essentially neutral with a recent dip-and-reverse, implying room for further upside before overbought conditions, consistent with the MACD crossover and EMAs.

Price structure favors the bulls in the short run: the close at $65.87 exceeds the 12- and 26-day EMAs ($63.12 and $62.71) and sits above the 20-, 50- and 200-day averages ($62.50, $61.35, $60.55). The close trading above the upper Bollinger band bands suggests recent strength but also increases the probability of short-term reversion toward the mean.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $452.0M for the period; year-over-year revenue growth on the provided YoY line registers -59.985%, while a period revenue growth figure shows 4.388% (both figures reported in the dataset). QoQ revenue growth reads -114.714% on the provided QoQ entry. The mixed growth signals require attention when reconciling quarterly seasonality and reported results.

Profitability shows operating income of $66.0M, EBIT of $70.0M and EBITDA of $90.0M. EBIT margin equals 15.49%, which sits above the industry peer low (9.12%) but below the industry peer mean (23.84%) and median (22.36%), placing margins in the lower half of peer performance while still generating positive operating returns.

Net income reached $41.0M and EPS came in at $0.73 versus an estimate of $0.68, producing an EPS surprise of 7.35% (EPS difference $0.05). Forward EPS of $1.2565 implies an elevated forward P/E of 47.42 on the provided forward numbers.

Leverage remains elevated: total debt $1,184.0M against total equity $231.0M produces debt-to-equity of 5.13 (513%), and debt-to-EBITDA stands at 13.16x; interest coverage sits at ~3.68x. High leverage raises sensitivity to changes in operating cash flow despite healthy cash balances of $603.0M and an ending cash flow balance of $603.0M.

Cash flow metrics show operating cash flow $119.0M, free cash flow $113.0M and a free cash flow yield of 2.70%, while free cash to net income at 2.76x indicates cash conversion above reported net income. Cash conversion cycle sits negative at -34.48 days, indicating quick cash recovery from operations relative to payables.

Valuation context: price-to-earnings stands at 81.44 on trailing data and compares above the industry peer mean (71.04) but below the peer median (84.47); price-to-sales at 9.28 exceeds the industry peer median of 10.32? (dataset shows peer median at 10.32395, so PS is slightly below that median), and price-to-book at 18.15 sits well above the industry peer median of 7.14. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued, reflecting mixed margin performance, elevated leverage, modest free-cash yield, and recent momentum signals.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 566.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 119.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -6.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 49.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 37.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 603.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 452.0 M
 Forward Revenue 244.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 203.0 M
 Depreciation 8.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 20.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 385.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 248.0 M
 EBITDA 90.0 M
 EBIT 70.0 M
 Operating Income 66.0 M
 Interest Income 5.0 M
 Interest Expense 19.0 M
 Net Interest Income -14.00 M
 Income Before Tax 51.0 M
 Tax Provision 10.0 M
 Tax Rate 19.3 %
 Net Income 41.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 41.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.68
 EPS Actual 0.73
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 7.353 %
 Forward EPS 1.26
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.2 B
 Intangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.11 B
 Total Current Assets 661.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 603.0 M
 Cash 603.0 M
 Net Receivables 10.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 18.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 87.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 29.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 451.0 M
 Net Debt 564.0 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 231.0 M
 Retained Earnings 826.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 3.28
 Shares Outstanding 70.527 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.41
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.2 B
 Enterprise Value 4.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 53.041
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -49.376 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 20.355 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 69.629
FTDR: 53.041
median: 49.442
mean: 44.441
low: 4.967
 EV/R 10.561
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 9.368
 Asset To Liability 1.119
 Debt To Capital 0.837
 Debt To Assets 0.547
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.599 %
Debt To Assets YoY -4.331 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.597
FTDR: 0.547
mean: 0.393
low: 0.278
median: 0.278
 Debt To Equity 5.126
Debt To Equity QoQ 4.146 %
Debt To Equity YoY -16.335 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA FTDR: 5.126
high: 3.259
median: 3.259
mean: -14.588
low: -83.118
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 18.15
Price To Book QoQ 7.397 %
Price To Book YoY 10.26 %
Price To Book IPRWA FTDR: 18.15
high: 7.144
median: 7.144
mean: -29.718
low: -170.989
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 81.435
Price To Earnings QoQ -67.503 %
Price To Earnings YoY 18.775 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 101.493
median: 84.474
FTDR: 81.435
mean: 71.042
low: 5.461
 PE/G Ratio 0.375
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.276
Price To Sales QoQ -1.794 %
Price To Sales YoY 20.952 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 10.324
median: 10.324
FTDR: 9.276
mean: 7.582
low: 1.738
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 47.416
Forward PE/G 0.218
Forward P/S 17.166
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 49.722
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.21
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.918 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.427 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.759
mean: 0.228
FTDR: 0.21
low: 0.059
median: 0.059
 Receivables Turnover 45.2
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.388 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 11.671 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 45.2
high: 10.928
median: 10.928
mean: 8.389
low: 2.755
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 2.019
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -34.481
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 10.35 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 8.463 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 32.652
mean: -27.673
FTDR: -34.481
median: -42.346
low: -60.319
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.152
 CapEx To Revenue -0.013
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.75
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.4 B
 Invested Capital 1.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.11 B
 Net Working Capital 210.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.337
 Current Ratio 1.466
Current Ratio QoQ -5.58 %
Current Ratio YoY 9.526 %
Current Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 1.466
high: 1.151
mean: 0.652
median: 0.566
low: 0.463
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 13.156
 Cost Of Debt 1.286 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.684
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 234.928 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 4.477 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 42.818
mean: 12.04
median: 3.831
FTDR: 3.684
low: 3.673
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.131
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 36.5
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.027 %
 Revenue Growth 4.388 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -114.714 %
Revenue Growth YoY -59.985 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 1105.897 %
mean: 222.159 %
FTDR: 4.388 %
median: -1.356 %
low: -2.927 %
 Earnings Growth 217.391 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -354.428 %
Earnings Growth YoY 58.637 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA FTDR: 217.391 %
high: 14.667 %
median: -14.912 %
mean: -100.122 %
low: -427.174 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 54.867 %
Gross Margin QoQ 11.536 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.772 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 56.968 %
FTDR: 54.867 %
mean: 32.048 %
median: 26.125 %
low: 22.955 %
 EBIT Margin 15.487 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 204.802 %
EBIT Margin YoY -1.763 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 43.399 %
mean: 23.841 %
median: 22.364 %
FTDR: 15.487 %
low: 9.119 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 14.602 %
Return On Sales QoQ 216.129 %
Return On Sales YoY -7.377 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.235 %
mean: 23.683 %
median: 22.12 %
FTDR: 14.602 %
low: 9.119 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 113.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.695 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 16.014 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -24.93 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 36.932 %
mean: 9.037 %
FTDR: 2.695 %
median: 1.994 %
low: 1.502 %
 Free Cash Growth 18.947 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -70.299 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -85.86 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 198.562 %
median: 70.834 %
FTDR: 18.947 %
mean: -27.198 %
low: -336.967 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.756
 Cash Flow Margin 13.053 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.439
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.904 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1969.565 %
Return On Assets YoY 8.8 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 26.825 %
mean: 6.047 %
FTDR: 1.904 %
low: 0.73 %
median: 0.73 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.086 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.177
Return On Equity QoQ 2048.789 %
Return On Equity YoY -5.02 %
Return On Equity IPRWA FTDR: 0.177
high: 0.086
median: 0.086
mean: -6.976
low: -34.79
 DuPont ROE 17.337 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.025 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 227.769 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 8.403 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 59.26 %
mean: 13.956 %
FTDR: 4.025 %
median: 2.725 %
low: 1.878 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technicals favor a modest bullish bias over the next six weeks: MACD crossover, EMAs positioned beneath price, and neutral RSI allow room for further gains toward the consensus price target mean ($66.43) and the upper analyst range. However, the positive MRO and price trading near the upper Bollinger band increase the likelihood of short-lived pullbacks that could test $60–$62 support area (200- and 50-day averages). Elevated leverage and compressed free-cash yield suggest material upside will require sustained margin improvement or clearer cash-flow expansion to alter the fair-valued assessment.

About Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) delivers comprehensive home service plans across the United States, safeguarding homeowners from unexpected repair costs. Established in 1971, Frontdoor crafts customizable home warranties that encompass a broad spectrum of essential home systems and appliances, such as electrical, plumbing, HVAC, and major kitchen devices. These service plans provide repair and replacement solutions for over 20 critical home components, ensuring peace of mind for homeowners. In addition to traditional warranties, Frontdoor enhances the homeowner experience with innovative services, including an intuitive app that simplifies home repair and maintenance tasks. Their advanced Streem technology enables homeowners to engage with experts via video chat, facilitating real-time problem-solving and diagnostics. Frontdoor operates under well-known brands like American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark Home Warranty, and Streem. The company remains committed to delivering exceptional service and support, empowering homeowners to maintain and protect their most valuable asset—their home. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, Frontdoor continually evolves its offerings, adapting to the needs of homeowners nationwide.



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