Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) Set To Consolidate Near Term After Takeover Interest

Commvault demonstrates operational momentum from recent product and partner announcements while takeover inquiries push market attention higher; expect a period of consolidation as participants digest both strategic progress and strategic interest.

Recent News

On April 10, Reuters reported that Commvault is exploring a potential sale after receiving takeover interest from multiple parties, a development that drew immediate market attention.

On April 13, Commvault announced new AI capabilities intended to help enterprises adopt AI while controlling data, agents, and recovery workflows.

On March 24, Commvault and NetApp announced a strategic alliance to deliver integrated data protection and cyber resilience solutions.

On April 15, Commvault expanded its Commvault Flex partner ecosystem to include Hitachi Vantara and NetApp for scalable resilience in hybrid and AI-era deployments.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 24.5 indicates an emerging trend strength rather than a fully developed directional move; momentum shows build but lacks conviction for a sustained breakout.

DI+ sits at 26.2 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, which signals a recent loss of bullish directional pressure; DI- at 15.78 trends lower, which provides some countervailing support but does not negate the DI+ peak signal.

MACD reads 3.87 and rises above its signal line at 2.79, with the MACD trend increasing; that crossover signals bullish momentum on a short-term basis and supports price resilience above short-term moving averages.

MRO registers a small positive 3.13 while trending higher; a positive MRO implies the price stands above the model target and therefore carries modest downside pressure, but the low absolute value suggests limited force behind any retracement.

RSI at 52.1 and rising places momentum near equilibrium with a mild bullish tilt rather than overbought conditions, compatible with range-bound upside attempts rather than an extended rally.

Price closed at $102.78, above the 12-day EMA ($97.02), 20-day average ($96.35), and 50-day average ($86.52), which favors near-term support on pullbacks; the 200-day average ($131.47) remains well overhead and represents a longer-term resistance band. Price currently sits slightly above the 1σ upper Bollinger band ($101.12), indicating a short-term extension within the established volatility envelope.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Commvault reported EPS of $1.28 for the period ending 2026-03-31, beating the estimate of $1.09 by $0.19, a 17.43% EPS surprise; the earnings release dated April 28, 2026, confirms that beat and supports short-term sentiment.

Earnings growth shows mixed timeframes: a headline earnings growth figure of 9.40%, while QoQ earnings growth declined 67.09% and YoY earnings growth fell 1.80%; those intra-period swings reflect timing and compositional effects in reported results rather than uniform acceleration. Revenue growth reads 0.00% with QoQ and YoY revenue growth values reported as -100.00%, which indicates data discontinuities in revenue comparatives and warrants attention when comparing topline trends.

Valuation multiples project elevated price/earnings measures: trailing P/E at 72.09 and forward P/E at 62.86, while WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. PEG stands at 7.67 with a forward PEG of 6.69; the PEG sits below the industry peer mean of 21.65 and below the industry peer median of 13.72, and therefore appears modest relative to those peer central measures.

Cash conversion and liquidity signals remain notable: invested capital registers at -$107,701,000, cash flow margin and cash flow to earnings report as $0.00 in the provided figures, and cost of debt evaluates near 0.104%, indicating a low explicit borrowing cost.

Forward metrics and guidance timing: forward EPS at $1.522 and a next report date of July 28, 2026 create a near-term calendar for further fundamental updates that could re-shape the valuation view already labeled fair-valued by WMDST.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-28
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INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
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COSTS
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PROFITABILITY
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EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 1.09
 EPS Actual $ 1.28
 EPS Difference $ 0.19
 EPS Surprise 17.431 %
 Forward EPS $ 1.52
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
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EQUITY
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VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
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VALUATION
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) —
Price To Book QoQ —
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Price To Book IPRWA —
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 72.086
Price To Earnings QoQ -36.395 %
Price To Earnings YoY -53.41 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 424.635
mean: 104.687
median: 85.219
CVLT: 72.086
low: -13.79
 PE/G Ratio 7.667
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FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 62.862
Forward PE/G 6.686
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EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
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ASSET & SALES
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CASH CYCLE
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Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 93.892
median: 40.666
mean: 38.77
CVLT: 0
low: -58.378
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
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CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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 Invested Capital $ -107.70 M
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LIQUIDITY
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COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
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 Cost Of Debt 0.104 %
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TIMING / LIQUIDITY
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DIVIDENDS
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PERFORMANCE GROWTH
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 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 17.025 %
mean: 3.229 %
median: 1.985 %
CVLT: 0.0 %
low: -10.27 %
 Earnings Growth 9.402 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -67.093 %
Earnings Growth YoY -1.797 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
CVLT: 9.402 %
mean: 2.973 %
median: -5.0 %
low: -114.583 %
MARGINS
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CASH FLOW
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 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
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Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound action as takeover chatter and new-product momentum counterbalance each other. Short-term technical support sits near the super trend lower level at $91.37 and the 20–50 day moving average zone near $86–$96; upside faces resistance from the upper Bollinger and moving-average clusters and longer-term resistance near the 200-day average at $131.47. Signal mix favors consolidation with episodic attempts higher while downside pressure remains contained by short-term averages; volatility may spike around any new strategic developments or official sale process disclosures.

About Commvault Systems, Inc.

CommVault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) develops advanced data protection and management solutions, empowering businesses to enhance their cyber resiliency. Based in Tinton Falls, New Jersey, the company provides a comprehensive suite of offerings that ensure data security, availability, and compliance across various sectors, including finance, healthcare, and technology. CommVault’s flagship solutions include Operational Recovery for seamless data backup and recovery, and Autonomous Recovery for automated disaster and cyber recovery across on-premises, cloud, or hybrid environments. Their Cyber Recovery solutions offer advanced threat detection and scanning, safeguarding data from potential cyber threats. The company also innovates in cloud technology with Cleanroom Recovery, providing a secure, isolated recovery environment, and HyperScale X, a scalable data protection solution that supports the transition to hybrid cloud infrastructures. Cloud Air Gap Protect further enhances security by offering an air-gapped cloud storage solution, aiding digital transformation while minimizing risks. With a strong focus on compliance, CommVault ensures data integrity through robust reporting and auditing capabilities. Since its founding in 1996, CommVault has consistently delivered solutions that help organizations navigate the complexities of today’s digital landscape.



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