Freedom Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FRHC) Pursues Kazakhstan Listing While Technical Momentum Peaks

Freedom Holding projects near-term geographic expansion while price momentum shows signs of rolling over; valuation metrics and cash flow strength create a contested setup for the coming weeks.

Recent News

April 14, 2026 — Freedom Holding announced it is considering a listing of its common shares in Kazakhstan under Regulation S, signaling a potential local-market offering. April 9–10, 2026 — coverage noted the company weighing a Kazakhstan offering and highlighted subsidiary activity tied to telecom-focused partnerships and bond underwriting support for regional issuers. February 3, 2026 — media outlets published allegations and scrutiny surrounding management and past practices.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 35.43 indicates a strong underlying trend; paired directional indicators show downside pressure as DI+ exhibits a peak-and-reversal while DI- shows a dip-and-reversal, together signaling bearish directional bias against the trend strength.

MACD registers 5.79 with a peak-and-reversal trend while the signal line sits at 5.42; momentum appears to have peaked and decelerated despite MACD remaining slightly above its signal, implying a transition from upward momentum toward consolidation or pullback.

MRO at 34.56 with a peak-and-reversal signals the price sits above the modeled target and carries elevated potential to correct downward; the magnitude suggests material mean-reversion risk if momentum confirms the rollover.

RSI at 60.55 and rising shows persistent buying pressure but remains below extended overbought territory; rising RSI alongside the MACD peak suggests short-term divergence that supports a cautious near-term outlook for price upside.

Price action sits at $156.70 above the 20-day average ($149.22), 50-day average ($132.48), and 200-day average ($147.77), with the 12-day EMA rising; Ichimoku Tenkan at $148.28 and Kijun at $141.24 lie beneath price, indicating the prevailing multi-timeframe bias remains upward even as momentum signals show a peak.

Bollinger upper boundaries near $155–$161 and a super-trend lower support at $143.68 frame a narrow trading band; volume near recent averages fails to confirm a strong breakout, suggesting consolidation risk despite higher moving averages. The technical picture implies elevated pullback risk that could compress price toward established support while the longer-term moving averages sustain an above-average valuation context.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue reached $615,574,000 with YoY revenue growth of 16.285% and quarter-over-quarter revenue growth of 12.895%, reflecting ongoing top-line expansion. Operating margin at 32.488% outperforms many peers but sits marginally below the industry peer mean operating margin of 33.805%; operating margin declined YoY by 18.386% while improving QoQ by 7.991%.

EBIT at $221,860,000 yields an EBIT margin of 36.041%, slightly below the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 40.104% and near the peer median of 39.015%; EBIT margin rose QoQ by 17.57% but fell YoY by 9.461%, indicating volatile profitability that improved sequentially this fiscal period.

Balance-sheet and cash metrics show $3,140,576,000 in cash and short-term investments, net debt of $1,261,504,000, and a current ratio of 1.2569. Free cash flow totaled $651,726,000 and the free cash flow yield stands at 8.045%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield (negative on average), supporting the WMDST valuation thesis.

Leverage measures present a mixed picture: debt-to-equity at 1.5589 and debt-to-assets at 17.569%; debt-to-EBITDA at 9.4468 signals elevated leverage relative to typical capital-markets peers. Return on equity at 5.465% marginally exceeds the industry peer mean ROE of 5.397%, while return on assets at 0.671% sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 0.946%.

Market multiples diverge: price-to-book at 5.8076 sits well above the industry peer mean of 2.0767 and peer median, while forward P/E at 126.80 far exceeds the industry peer mean forward P/E of 64.00; enterprise multiple at 31.00 falls below the peer mean enterprise multiple of 36.08. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, referencing robust cash generation, positive revenue growth, and free cash flow resilience despite elevated market multiples that reflect a premium for growth and regional expansion risk.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-03-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-06-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.9 B
 Operating Cash Flow 717.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -66.06 M
 Change In Working Capital 643.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 1.6 B
 End Period Cash Flow 3.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 615.6 M
 Forward Revenue 138.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 261.1 M
 Depreciation 8.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 8.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 415.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 354.5 M
 EBITDA 230.2 M
 EBIT 221.9 M
 Operating Income 200.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 127.9 M
 Net Interest Income -127.92 M
 Income Before Tax 93.9 M
 Tax Provision 17.7 M
 Tax Rate 18.9 %
 Net Income 76.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 76.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 1.12
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 12.4 B
 Intangible Assets 115.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Total Current Assets 10.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 3.1 B
 Cash 869.2 M
 Net Receivables 3.0 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 227.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 561.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 1.1 B
 Total Current Liabilities 8.6 B
 Net Debt 1.3 B
 Total Debt 2.2 B
 Total Liabilities 11.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.4 B
 Retained Earnings 1.2 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 22.81
 Shares Outstanding 61.180 M
 Revenue Per-Share 10.06
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 8.1 B
 Enterprise Value 7.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 30.996
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -41.087 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 29.966 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 149.949
median: 51.325
mean: 36.084
FRHC: 30.996
low: -203.508
 EV/R 11.59
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.873
 Asset To Liability 1.127
 Debt To Capital 0.609
 Debt To Assets 0.176
Debt To Assets QoQ 14.508 %
Debt To Assets YoY -27.039 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.663
mean: 0.216
median: 0.213
FRHC: 0.176
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 1.559
Debt To Equity QoQ 19.891 %
Debt To Equity YoY -10.713 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.044
FRHC: 1.559
mean: 0.946
median: 0.725
low: -0.995
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.808
Price To Book QoQ -27.454 %
Price To Book YoY -6.141 %
Price To Book IPRWA FRHC: 5.808
high: 3.345
median: 2.309
mean: 2.077
low: -0.39
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.16
Price To Sales QoQ -28.539 %
Price To Sales YoY -2.693 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 71.015
mean: 26.121
median: 19.609
FRHC: 13.16
low: -61.155
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 126.796
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 58.323
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.277
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.054
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.246 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -15.649 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.3
FRHC: 0.054
mean: 0.043
median: 0.014
low: -0.067
 Receivables Turnover 0.188
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.271 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -39.72 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 10.536
mean: 2.303
median: 0.332
FRHC: 0.188
low: 0.063
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 485.542
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 292.528
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -3.361 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA FRHC: 292.528
high: 106.497
median: -10.75
mean: -233.589
low: -993.436
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.279
 CapEx To Revenue -0.107
 CapEx To Depreciation -7.943
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.5 B
 Invested Capital 3.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Working Capital 2.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.365
 Current Ratio 1.257
Current Ratio QoQ 0.098 %
Current Ratio YoY -6.777 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.476
mean: 2.232
median: 1.74
FRHC: 1.257
low: 0.009
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.447
 Cost Of Debt 5.515 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.734
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 8.981 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -0.88 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 98.413
median: 14.74
mean: 11.345
FRHC: 1.734
low: -57.496
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.078
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 193.014
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 19.585 %
 Revenue Growth 15.952 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 1289.547 %
Revenue Growth YoY 16.285 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 84.981 %
FRHC: 15.952 %
median: 4.854 %
mean: 3.883 %
low: -133.911 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 57.591 %
Gross Margin QoQ 9.775 %
Gross Margin YoY 10.435 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 96.325 %
median: 73.22 %
mean: 62.06 %
FRHC: 57.591 %
low: 13.011 %
 EBIT Margin 36.041 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 17.57 %
EBIT Margin YoY -9.461 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 98.387 %
mean: 40.104 %
median: 39.015 %
FRHC: 36.041 %
low: -78.156 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 32.488 %
Return On Sales QoQ 7.991 %
Return On Sales YoY -18.386 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.618 %
mean: 33.805 %
FRHC: 32.488 %
median: 30.551 %
low: -48.148 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 651.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 8.045 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 72.344 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -776.619 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 21.601 %
FRHC: 8.045 %
mean: -0.476 %
median: -0.536 %
low: -22.099 %
 Free Cash Growth 42.812 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 2953.638 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -153.999 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 297.862 %
FRHC: 42.812 %
median: -22.892 %
mean: -97.016 %
low: -490.706 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 8.549
 Cash Flow Margin 108.779 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 8.784
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.671 %
Return On Assets QoQ 73.834 %
Return On Assets YoY -23.05 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.764 %
mean: 0.946 %
FRHC: 0.671 %
median: 0.514 %
low: -7.906 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.869 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.055
Return On Equity QoQ 72.343 %
Return On Equity YoY -12.039 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.216
FRHC: 0.055
mean: 0.054
median: 0.043
low: -0.198
 DuPont ROE 5.828 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.104 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 35.745 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -161.897 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 19.071 %
FRHC: 5.104 %
mean: 3.858 %
median: 3.589 %
low: -5.155 %

Six-Week Outlook

Probability-weighted path: expect near-term consolidation with heightened risk of a corrective move toward the $143–$148 zone if MACD and MRO continue their peak-and-reversal patterns; sustained above-$147 support would keep the longer-term constructive structure intact. Key catalysts in the window include any formal decision on a Kazakhstan listing and regional subsidiary commercial activity, which could reaccelerate directional conviction. Volatility may remain subdued by 42– and 52-week measures, but momentum indicators favor a period of range-bound trading until one of the listed fundamental catalysts resolves.

About Freedom Holding Corp.

Freedom Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:FRHC) delivers a wide range of financial services through its extensive network of subsidiaries. Based in Almaty, Kazakhstan, the company has established a significant presence in Central Asia, Eastern Europe, the United States, and the Middle East. Freedom Holding provides securities brokerage, market making, and investment banking services tailored to both retail and institutional clients. The company facilitates trading in corporate equity, debt securities, options, futures, and mutual funds, while also engaging in capital markets activities such as underwriting and capital raising through IPOs and debt structuring. In addition to traditional brokerage services, Freedom Holding offers innovative financial solutions, including digital mortgages, business loans, and payment services through its Freedom Box package. The company enhances client engagement with its Tradernet software platform, which offers advanced tools for risk evaluation and security transfers. By focusing on investment research and education, Freedom Holding empowers clients to make informed financial decisions, supporting their growth and stability in the dynamic global markets. The company continues to expand its reach, adapting to the evolving demands of the financial landscape.



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