PAR Technology Corporation (NYSE:PAR) Enters Strong Downtrend With Potential Short-Term Rebound

PAR Technology shows a pronounced bearish technical profile while fundamentals signal cash coverage and recurring-revenue growth that complicate near-term valuation. The balance between heavy momentum downside and signs of oversold pressure defines the immediate outlook.

Recent News

On January 15, 2026 PAR agreed to exchange approximately $17.1 million of convertible senior notes for common stock and a small cash payment for accrued interest, reducing outstanding convertible principal. On February 3, 2026 PAR announced that Jack’s Family Restaurants selected its unified platform to power guest experiences across all locations. On February 28, 2026 at least one research house lowered its price target on the stock, triggering a gap down in pre-market trading.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 43.67 registers a very strong trend. DI- (37.59) with a dip & reversal indicates dominant bearish directional pressure; DI+ at 15.15 (increasing) provides a countervailing but currently insufficient bullish push relative to the stronger DI- reading.

MACD: MACD sits at -2.93 with a peak & reversal, which signals bearish momentum; however MACD currently trades above its signal line (-3.02), creating a short-duration bullish crossover that may produce a transient pause or small bounce within the broader downtrend.

MRO: MRO at -33.53 indicates the price sits materially below the model target, implying upward mean-reversion potential; that pressure may produce bounces but does not by itself negate the prevailing bearish momentum.

RSI and volatility: RSI of 34.91 with a dip & reversal signals near-oversold conditions and susceptibility to a short-term relief rally. Elevated short-term beta (42-day beta 3.01) and a 42-day volatility of 6% point to outsized moves compared with the 52-week baseline.

Price vs moving averages and bands: Last close $16.39 lies well below the 20-day ($21.00), 50-day ($29.95) and 200-day ($45.62) averages, and below the lower Bollinger band metrics (lower 2x stddev $17.16), underscoring an out-of-step price that aligns with the strong ADX and bearish MACD trend. Ichimoku components show cloud levels (Senkou A $37.12, Senkou B $36.09) far above the price, reinforcing a bearish regime.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT equals -$16,989,000, producing an EBIT margin of -14.26% (YoY change -16.89%). Operating margin registers -14.81%. Both margins sit well below the industry peer mean and median for EBIT margin, indicating materially lower profitability relative to peers (industry peer mean for EBIT margin 33.99%, median 20.68%).

Revenue and growth: Reported total revenue $119,183,000 with revenue growth flag at 6.03% but revenue growth YoY shown as -74.67% in the dataset; the QoQ and YoY margin contractions and revenue line items require careful reconciliation when modeling forward cash flows.

Cash, leverage, and liquidity: Cash and short-term investments equal $93,006,000 and operating cash flow stands at $8,392,000 with free cash flow $5,192,000. Current ratio 1.70 and quick ratio 1.51 indicate near-term liquidity coverage. Total debt $402,347,000 produces net debt $300,968,000; debt-to-equity 0.48 and debt-to-assets 0.292 imply moderate leverage, while interest coverage remains negative given operating losses.

Earnings and market multiples: EPS actual $0.06 versus estimate $0.03, an EPS surprise of 100%. PE ratio sits at 714.40 and forward PE near 672.17—extreme multiples reflecting depressed trailing earnings and small forward earnings expectations. Price-to-book 2.08 versus industry peer mean near 8.94 shows the stock trades below peer mean on P/B but other multiples indicate valuation dislocation. WMDST values the stock as over-valued given the combination of negative margins, extreme trailing multiples and current price relative to fundamentals.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 102.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 8.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -3.20 M
 Change In Working Capital 5.3 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 106.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 119.2 M
 Forward Revenue -22.96 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 70.0 M
 Depreciation 9.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 12.5 M
 Research and Development 19.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 136.8 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 49.2 M
 EBITDA -4.52 M
 EBIT -16.99 M
 Operating Income -17.65 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.5 M
 Net Interest Income -1.47 M
 Income Before Tax -18.45 M
 Tax Provision -277.00 K
 Tax Rate 1.501 %
 Net Income -18.18 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -18.18 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.03
 EPS Actual 0.06
 EPS Difference 0.03
 EPS Surprise 100.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.34
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.4 B
 Intangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -277.39 M
 Total Current Assets 227.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 93.0 M
 Cash 92.5 M
 Net Receivables 70.5 M
 Inventory 25.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 12.5 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 32.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 19.9 M
 Total Current Liabilities 133.9 M
 Net Debt 301.0 M
 Total Debt 402.3 M
 Total Liabilities 539.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 838.0 M
 Retained Earnings -343.51 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 20.65
 Shares Outstanding 40.591 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.94
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.7 B
 Enterprise Value 2.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple -453.57
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 4.591 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 41.569 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 329.205
mean: 97.596
median: 95.447
low: -218.656
PAR: -453.57
 EV/R 17.194
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.644
 Asset To Liability 2.554
 Debt To Capital 0.324
 Debt To Assets 0.292
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.558 %
Debt To Assets YoY 17287.5 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.923
median: 0.356
mean: 0.303
PAR: 0.292
low: 0.007
 Debt To Equity 0.48
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.039 %
Debt To Equity YoY 15189.809 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.011
median: 2.386
mean: 1.532
PAR: 0.48
low: -2.088
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.076
Price To Book QoQ -25.857 %
Price To Book YoY -29.662 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.066
median: 9.007
mean: 8.943
PAR: 2.076
low: -6.772
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 714.398
Price To Earnings QoQ -67.093 %
Price To Earnings YoY -214.161 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA PAR: 714.398
high: 324.496
median: 130.431
mean: 121.378
low: -292.051
 PE/G Ratio 7.144
 Price To Sales (P/S) 14.598
Price To Sales QoQ -31.791 %
Price To Sales YoY -30.918 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 74.756
median: 56.608
mean: 38.879
PAR: 14.598
low: 0.551
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 672.171
Forward PE/G 6.722
Forward P/S -337.41
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.507
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.086
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.193 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.797 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.496
median: 0.155
mean: 0.15
PAR: 0.086
low: 0.012
 Receivables Turnover 1.668
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.632 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -4.732 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 11.368
mean: 2.232
median: 2.041
PAR: 1.668
low: 0.088
 Inventory Turnover 2.647
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.148 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 21.789 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 45.423
mean: 5.287
median: 5.264
PAR: 2.647
low: 0.292
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 54.696
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 41.536
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 0.852 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 15.837 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 197.089
PAR: 41.536
mean: 8.85
median: 1.532
low: -157.517
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.279
 CapEx To Revenue -0.027
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.352
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.2 B
 Invested Capital 1.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -277.39 M
 Net Working Capital 93.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.695
 Current Ratio 1.696
Current Ratio QoQ -0.273 %
Current Ratio YoY -20.27 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.28
PAR: 1.696
mean: 1.286
median: 1.122
low: 0.118
 Quick Ratio 1.506
Quick Ratio QoQ 1.218 %
Quick Ratio YoY -21.088 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 5.554
PAR: 1.506
mean: 0.982
median: 0.892
low: 0.617
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -89.054
 Cost Of Debt 0.36 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -11.597
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -12.628 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 138.794 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 98.083
median: 27.876
mean: 21.794
PAR: -11.597
low: -67.657
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.064
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 52.439
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.032 %
 Revenue Growth 6.031 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -26.702 %
Revenue Growth YoY -74.666 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 51.745 %
PAR: 6.031 %
median: 5.767 %
mean: 3.759 %
low: -41.658 %
 Earnings Growth 100.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -125.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY -264.285 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 300.0 %
PAR: 100.0 %
median: 5.542 %
mean: -3.608 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 41.294 %
Gross Margin QoQ -8.974 %
Gross Margin YoY -7.152 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.505 %
median: 77.282 %
mean: 63.911 %
PAR: 41.294 %
low: -50.144 %
 EBIT Margin -14.255 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -14.261 %
EBIT Margin YoY -16.885 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 112.717 %
mean: 33.985 %
median: 20.683 %
PAR: -14.255 %
low: -116.648 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -14.812 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.799 %
Return On Sales YoY -13.638 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 67.836 %
mean: 30.389 %
median: 18.878 %
PAR: -14.812 %
low: -116.648 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 5.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.298 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -183.008 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -13.873 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.909 %
median: 1.031 %
mean: 0.973 %
PAR: 0.298 %
low: -14.742 %
 Free Cash Growth -160.072 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 197.338 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 9.857 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 298.25 %
mean: 34.813 %
median: 20.71 %
PAR: -160.072 %
low: -422.717 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.286
 Cash Flow Margin -7.193 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.472
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.313 %
Return On Assets QoQ -13.448 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.031 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 13.698 %
mean: 3.884 %
median: 2.29 %
PAR: -1.313 %
low: -12.964 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -1.366 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.022
Return On Equity QoQ -11.433 %
Return On Equity YoY -24.24 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.294
median: 0.044
mean: 0.042
PAR: -0.022
low: -0.242
 DuPont ROE -2.142 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -1.359 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 15.267 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -112.047 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 15.138 %
mean: 7.638 %
median: 4.236 %
PAR: -1.359 %
low: -6.709 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should remain dominated by the strong bearish trend indicated by ADX and the price sitting below all major averages; expect high volatility with potential short-lived relief rallies fueled by negative MRO and an RSI reversal. Continued weakness or additional negative headlines would likely keep price under pressure, while sustained improvement requires momentum to push price back above the 12- to 20-day EMA region and reduce ADX strength. Monitor convertible-note exchanges and analyst revisions for directional catalysts that can materially affect liquidity and sentiment over the next six weeks.

About PAR Technology Corporation

PAR Technology Corporation (NYSE:PAR) designs and delivers omnichannel cloud-based hardware and software solutions tailored for the restaurant and retail sectors globally. Within its Restaurant/Retail segment, PAR Technology offers PUNCHH, a robust customer loyalty and engagement platform, and MENU, an eCommerce solution for restaurant brands. The company also develops BRINK POS, an open cloud point-of-sale system, and PAR PAYMENT SERVICES, which facilitates electronic payment processing for businesses. Additionally, DATA CENTRAL provides a back-office solution utilizing business intelligence and automation. PAR Technology manufactures a range of Point-of-Sale hardware, including wireless headsets for drive-thru operations, kitchen display systems, payment devices, cash drawers, printers, and other peripherals. The company supports its products with services such as hardware repair, installation, training, and technical support. In its Government segment, PAR Technology delivers intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions, alongside mission systems operations and maintenance. The company provides systems engineering support, satellite ground system operations, and information technology infrastructure services to the United States Department of Defense and other federal agencies. Founded in 1968, PAR Technology Corporation maintains its headquarters in New Hartford, New York.



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