Credicorp Ltd. (NYSE:BAP) Sees Cooling Momentum But Maintains Fair-Valued Outlook

Credicorp shows signs of short-term momentum cooling while core valuation metrics point to a fair-valued status; mixed operational results and weaker earnings growth suggest consolidation in the near term.

Recent News

On January 29, 2026 Credicorp’s board set a virtual Annual General Meeting for March 31, 2026 (backup April 7) with a record date of February 13, 2026; agenda items include presentation of 2025 results, appointment of directors, determination of board and committee remuneration, and appointment of external auditors.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 25.44 indicates a meaningful trend strength; DI+ at 27.49 shows a decreasing trend (bearish), while DI- at 21.60 registered a peak-and-reversal (bullish), creating a short-term conflict that favors consolidation rather than a clear breakout.

MACD and signal: MACD sits at 6.44 and is decreasing while the signal line reads 8.40; MACD below its signal line signals waning bullish momentum and a bearish momentum posture for the near-term price path.

Momentum & regression: MRO at 30.56 and decreasing signals the price sits above the model target and implies downside pressure should momentum mean-revert; that condition supports a near-term bias toward price normalisation.

Price vs moving averages and bands: The closing price of $346.38 lies marginally below the 20-day average ($346.61) and well above the 50-day ($325.98) and 200-day ($264.54) averages, while the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal — a short-term bearish cue within a longer-term uptrend. Bollinger bands place the stock between $337.72 (lower 1σ) and $355.50 (upper 1σ), indicating limited immediate volatility expansion.

RSI and volume: RSI at 62.75 and decreasing points to a cooling from recent strength rather than a fresh oversold opportunity. Daily volume (797,319) sits above the 10-day average (587,945), suggesting moves carry conviction but currently align with consolidation risk.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and surprise: Reported EPS of $5.93 missed the estimate of $6.45 by $0.52, an EPS surprise of -8.06%, reflecting near-term earnings pressure that ties directly to the subdued momentum observed technically.

Earnings growth: Trailing metrics show earnings growth at -8.35% (overall), quarter-over-quarter decline of -9.92%, and a year-over-year decline of -68.49%, indicating material recent earnings compression that shapes the valuation conversation.

Revenue trajectory: YoY revenue change registers -38.49% while the point revenue growth figure shows +0.59%; QoQ revenue growth reads 0.00%, implying revenue stagnation with a pronounced year-on-year drop that weighs on near-term EPS recovery expectations.

Valuation multiples and peer context: Trailing P/E equals 52.10, below the industry peer mean of 60.82 and slightly below the industry peer median of 54.32. Forward P/E stands at 33.21, below the industry peer mean (47.97) and below the industry peer median (36.43), which compresses forward valuation relative to peers. PEG at -6.24 lies between the industry peer median (-7.82) and mean (-4.87), reflecting negative growth-adjusted multiples in the peer set.

Capital, liquidity, and cost: Invested capital reported at $-60,612,382,000; cash conversion cycle at 0 days versus an industry peer mean near 13.50 days; cost of debt at 3.95% supports funding adequacy. Forward EPS projects $8.04, carrying a forward earnings multiple that helps justify the current fair-valued designation.

Valuation conclusion: The current valuation as determined by WMDST labels the stock fair-valued; trailing and forward multiples sit below peer means, while pronounced YoY earnings and revenue declines limit re-rating potential absent operational improvement.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
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INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
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COSTS
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PROFITABILITY
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EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 6.45
 EPS Actual $ 5.93
 EPS Difference $ -0.52
 EPS Surprise -8.062 %
 Forward EPS $ 8.04
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
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LIABILITIES
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EQUITY
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VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
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VALUATION
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) —
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Price To Book IPRWA —
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 52.097
Price To Earnings QoQ 32.241 %
Price To Earnings YoY 297.183 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 87.915
mean: 60.822
median: 54.316
BAP: 52.097
low: 37.244
 PE/G Ratio -6.242
 Price To Sales (P/S) —
Price To Sales QoQ —
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Price To Sales IPRWA —
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 33.214
Forward PE/G -3.98
Forward P/S —
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
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ASSET & SALES
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CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 0.0
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ —
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY —
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 83.413
mean: 13.496
low: 10.154
median: 10.154
BAP: 0.0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
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CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital —
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 Invested Capital $ -60.61 B
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LIQUIDITY
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COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA —
 Cost Of Debt 3.948 %
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Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ —
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TIMING / LIQUIDITY
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DIVIDENDS
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PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate —
 Revenue Growth 0.585 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -38.486 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 5.65 %
mean: 2.817 %
median: 0.725 %
BAP: 0.585 %
low: -1.639 %
 Earnings Growth -8.346 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -991.667 %
Earnings Growth YoY -68.489 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 12.184 %
BAP: -8.346 %
mean: -14.875 %
median: -27.174 %
low: -45.133 %
MARGINS
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CASH FLOW
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VALUE & RETURNS
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Six-Week Outlook

Expect consolidation with a modest downside tilt over the next six weeks. Technical signals — MACD below its signal line, a decreasing RSI, and a positive but falling MRO — favour mean reversion from recent levels. Short-term support aligns near the super trend lower at $332.22 and the 20-day average around $346.6; upside remains capped by the upper Bollinger band near $355.5 and the analyst price-target mean at $383.45. Fundamental weakness in YoY earnings and revenue growth argues against a sustained momentum breakout during this window, leaving price action likely range-bound unless fresh operational catalysts emerge.

About Credicorp Ltd.

Credicorp Ltd. (NYSE:BAP) represents a prominent financial services group headquartered in Lima, Peru, with roots tracing back to 1889. The company delivers a comprehensive suite of financial services through its four primary segments: Universal Banking, Insurance and Pensions, Microfinance, and Investment Banking and Equity Management. Within the Universal Banking segment, Credicorp provides a range of services including loans, credit facilities, and deposit accounts for both individual and corporate clients. The Insurance and Pensions division offers extensive insurance coverage, addressing needs in commercial property, transport, life, and health, while also managing private pension funds. The Microfinance segment supports small and microenterprises by providing customized loan solutions and financial management services to foster growth and sustainability. In the Investment Banking and Equity Management sector, Credicorp offers brokerage and investment management services, facilitating capital market transactions and managing mutual funds for a diverse clientele, including corporations and institutional investors. Credicorp’s strategic approach and dedication to service excellence have positioned it as a reliable financial partner, promoting economic growth and financial inclusion both in Peru and internationally.



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