BJ’s Restaurants, Inc (NASDAQ:BJRI) Projects Near-Term Pullback Before Stabilizing On Revenue Momentum

BJ's Restaurants shows mixed operational momentum: strong year-over-year revenue growth contrasts with compressing margins and technical signs of downside pressure. Near-term movement should track momentum indicators while fundamentals guide valuation.

Recent News

November 6, 2025 — BJ’s rolled out a remixed signature deep-dish pizza nationwide, updating dough, cheese and sauce formulations. November 6, 2025 — Freedom Capital Markets initiated analyst coverage with a Buy call and published a one-year price target range that implies modest upside. November 12, 2025 — Seasonal menu updates added two Pizookie® variants and holiday promotions through January 1, 2026. December 23, 2025 — Analysts noted improving traffic and ongoing margin pressure from food inflation while management continued remodel and prototype efforts.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators. ADX at 17.15 signals no established trend; DI+ peaked and reversed while DI- rises, producing net directional pressure toward sellers. This combination tilts near-term price bias downward and reduces conviction for trend-following moves.

MACD. MACD reads 0.26 below the 0.61 signal line and the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal, indicating bearish momentum and a failure of recent upside to sustain momentum.

MRO. MRO stands at 19.47 with a peak-and-reversal; price sits above the derived target implied by MRO, implying potential mean reversion pressure on the stock.

RSI and volatility. RSI at 54.87 and decreasing suggests momentum waning from neutral levels rather than oversold conditions. Bollinger bands place price between the 1x and 2x lower bands, implying limited near-term downside cushion before broader-support levels near the 52-week low.

Price versus moving averages and cloud. Current close $40.32 sits below the 12-day EMA ($42.75) and 20-day average ($42.69), signaling short-term weakness; price remains above the Ichimoku Senkou A ($39.36) and Senkou B ($35.33), indicating the longer-term baseline still holds but recent momentum favors retracement.

Volume and beta. Intraday volume of ~443k exceeds the 10-day average, suggesting active participation on recent moves, while 42-day beta at 0.56 versus 52-week beta 1.03 suggests recent volatility contraction relative to the full-year profile.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and margins. Total revenue registers $330,157,000 with YoY revenue growth of 40.03%, signaling strong sales recovery. Gross margin at 12.52% declined QoQ by 26.34% but improved YoY by 7.31%. Operating margin stands negative at -0.128% with a QoQ decline of -102.19%, reflecting operating leverage strain despite higher sales.

Profitability and earnings. Net income from continuing operations $465,000 and EPS actual $0.04 beat the estimate $0.03 by $0.01, a 33.33% surprise. EBIT $184,000 and EBITDA $19,495,000 show material divergence between operating profit and cash-based EBITDA. Interest coverage sits at 0.155, indicating limited near-term buffer for interest obligations relative to operating income.

Cash, leverage and liquidity. Cash and short-term investments total $25,431,000 while total debt equals $500,850,000, producing net debt of $64,069,000. Current ratio 0.365 and quick ratio 0.300 reflect below‑one liquidity metrics; cash conversion cycle at -5.83 days supports working-capital efficiency but negative net working capital of -$123,104,000 demands monitoring.

Efficiency and returns. Asset turnover 0.3225 and inventory turnover 23.13 suggest reasonable revenue productivity; return on equity 0.131% and return on assets 0.045% remain near zero, with QoQ and YoY declines across return metrics indicating operational stress on profitability despite revenue gains.

Valuation context. P/E sits at 824.6x while forward P/E reads ~92.3x; EV/Revenue at 3.56 and enterprise multiple near 60.31 reflect elevated multiples relative to typical casual-dining norms. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, given stretched earnings multiples, compressed margins and limited interest coverage that counteract strong YoY revenue growth.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 26.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 25.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -21.46 M
 Change In Working Capital -5.36 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -533.00 K
 End Period Cash Flow 25.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 330.2 M
 Forward Revenue 2.2 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 288.8 M
 Depreciation 19.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 330.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 41.3 M
 EBITDA 19.5 M
 EBIT 184.0 K
 Operating Income -422.00 K
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.2 M
 Net Interest Income -1.18 M
 Income Before Tax -999.00 K
 Tax Provision -1.46 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 465.0 K
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 465.0 K
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.03
 EPS Actual 0.04
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 33.333 %
 Forward EPS 0.59
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.0 B
 Intangible Assets 4.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 351.5 M
 Total Current Assets 70.6 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 25.4 M
 Cash 25.4 M
 Net Receivables 16.1 M
 Inventory 12.5 M
 Long-Term Investments 45.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 45.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 193.7 M
 Net Debt 64.1 M
 Total Debt 500.9 M
 Total Liabilities 665.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 356.2 M
 Retained Earnings 281.9 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 16.78
 Shares Outstanding 21.232 M
 Revenue Per-Share 15.55
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 700.3 M
 Enterprise Value 1.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 60.31
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 105.372 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 21.14 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 189.281
mean: 75.019
median: 68.864
BJRI: 60.31
low: -31.078
 EV/R 3.561
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.869
 Asset To Liability 1.535
 Debt To Capital 0.584
 Debt To Assets 0.49
Debt To Assets QoQ 5.184 %
Debt To Assets YoY 676.871 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.606
median: 0.73
mean: 0.702
BJRI: 0.49
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.406
Debt To Equity QoQ 13.794 %
Debt To Equity YoY 704.958 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 13.542
BJRI: 1.406
median: 0.265
mean: 0.22
low: -13.223
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.966
Price To Book QoQ -8.643 %
Price To Book YoY -3.522 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 33.181
median: 6.391
BJRI: 1.966
mean: 1.052
low: -22.92
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 824.604
Price To Earnings QoQ 1857.798 %
Price To Earnings YoY -420.171 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA BJRI: 824.604
high: 357.224
median: 93.318
mean: 92.708
low: -85.409
 PE/G Ratio -8.601
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.121
Price To Sales QoQ -6.784 %
Price To Sales YoY -9.878 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.539
mean: 17.504
median: 17.023
BJRI: 2.121
low: 0.325
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 92.306
Forward PE/G -0.963
Forward P/S 0.496
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 10.24
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.323
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.792 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.279 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.723
BJRI: 0.323
mean: 0.197
median: 0.164
low: 0.056
 Receivables Turnover 19.426
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.03 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.236 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 44.676
BJRI: 19.426
mean: 9.319
median: 4.611
low: 1.042
 Inventory Turnover 23.133
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.392 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.801 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 66.049
median: 39.341
mean: 38.608
BJRI: 23.133
low: 0.468
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 4.697
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.83
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 106.06 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -9.795 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 77.037
median: 4.037
mean: 2.743
BJRI: -5.83
low: -73.834
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -2.682
 CapEx To Revenue -0.065
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.111
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 445.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 445.7 M
 Invested Capital 445.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 351.5 M
 Net Working Capital -123.10 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.131
 Current Ratio 0.365
Current Ratio QoQ -4.565 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.568 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.125
median: 1.0
mean: 0.993
BJRI: 0.365
low: 0.031
 Quick Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio QoQ -5.174 %
Quick Ratio YoY 6.628 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.071
median: 0.991
mean: 0.93
BJRI: 0.3
low: 0.027
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 25.691
 Cost Of Debt 0.191 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.156
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -99.208 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -111.314 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 45.223
mean: 8.867
median: 5.825
BJRI: 0.156
low: -5.084
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.086
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 14.281
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.311 %
 Revenue Growth -9.694 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -291.392 %
Revenue Growth YoY 40.026 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 15.034 %
median: 2.484 %
mean: 2.035 %
BJRI: -9.694 %
low: -13.106 %
 Earnings Growth -95.876 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -248.86 %
Earnings Growth YoY -18.788 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 114.563 %
mean: 6.118 %
median: 0.94 %
BJRI: -95.876 %
low: -175.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.516 %
Gross Margin QoQ -26.337 %
Gross Margin YoY 7.305 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.593 %
mean: 42.184 %
median: 41.646 %
BJRI: 12.516 %
low: 8.241 %
 EBIT Margin 0.056 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -99.18 %
EBIT Margin YoY -109.894 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 52.4 %
mean: 27.233 %
median: 26.729 %
BJRI: 0.056 %
low: -25.213 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -0.128 %
Return On Sales QoQ -102.186 %
Return On Sales YoY -77.385 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.382 %
mean: 27.463 %
median: 26.729 %
BJRI: -0.128 %
low: -27.119 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 3.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.514 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -89.796 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -48.342 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.115 %
mean: 1.363 %
median: 1.118 %
BJRI: 0.514 %
low: -12.37 %
 Free Cash Growth -91.402 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -79.571 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -109.742 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 271.747 %
mean: 39.797 %
median: 29.31 %
BJRI: -91.402 %
low: -516.758 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 7.748
 Cash Flow Margin 5.041 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 35.789
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.045 %
Return On Assets QoQ -97.928 %
Return On Assets YoY -116.014 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.233 %
mean: 2.912 %
median: 2.639 %
BJRI: 0.045 %
low: -8.455 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.022 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.001
Return On Equity QoQ -97.72 %
Return On Equity YoY -116.838 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.405
median: 0.05
mean: 0.027
BJRI: 0.001
low: -0.352
 DuPont ROE 0.125 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.033 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -99.37 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -100.921 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 20.403 %
mean: 7.152 %
median: 6.625 %
BJRI: 0.033 %
low: -1.956 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a near-term consolidation or modest pullback while technical momentum reverts: DI signals and a MACD peak-and-reversal point to short-term selling pressure, reinforced by MRO showing price above target. If price holds above the Ichimoku cloud support (~$39–$35 range) and on‑balance trend in volume stabilizes, momentum may re-accumulate. Watch for a sustained move above the 12-day EMA (~$42.75) to indicate a return of upward momentum; failure to hold cloud support increases the likelihood of deeper retracement toward the lower price-target band near the 52-week low. Volatility appears muted versus the prior year, so swings should remain measurable and defined for tactical positions.

About BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) delivers a distinctive dining experience in the American casual dining sector. Established in 1978 and based in Huntington Beach, California, BJ’s Restaurants have built a reputation for their inviting atmosphere and diverse culinary offerings. The company crafts a menu that includes its signature deep-dish pizzas, a variety of entrees, and their renowned Pizookie dessert. BJ’s places a strong emphasis on quality ingredients and innovative dishes to cater to a wide range of palates. Beyond food, BJ’s Restaurants also brew a selection of handcrafted beers in-house, enhancing the dining experience with unique beverage options. This dedication to craft beer complements their culinary offerings and attracts beer enthusiasts. BJ’s Restaurants consistently expand their presence across the United States, adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining a commitment to exceptional service. The company creates family-friendly environments that appeal to a broad audience, including families, friends, and food lovers. Through their focus on quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction, BJ’s Restaurants continue to thrive in the competitive casual dining landscape.



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