Cimpress plc (NASDAQ:CMPR) Projects Pullback Despite Short-Term Strength In Price Action

Cimpress shows mixed momentum: price sits above key moving averages while directional and momentum indicators point toward a near-term cooling that may compress upside. Fundamentals display margin improvement but capital structure and cash conversion metrics weigh on valuation.

Recent News

On August 21, 2025 the stock’s Relative Strength rating rose to 73, reflecting improved comparative price performance versus the broader market.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX registers 18.26, which indicates no established trend and reduces conviction in breakout scenarios; DI+ at 19.92 shows a peak-and-reversal, a bearish signal under the directional rules; DI- at 14.86 tracks lower, which normally offers bullish bias but cannot override the DI+ peak-and-reversal. Together, directional indicators imply momentum loss despite recent price strength, lowering short-term bullish odds relative to the current valuation.

MACD: MACD reads 0.53 while the signal line sits at 0.65 and the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal; the combination of MACD below its signal line and a declining MACD constitutes bearish momentum and suggests reduced likelihood of a sustained upward move from current levels without a new momentum pickup.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO registers 23.57 and shows a dip-and-reversal pattern; the positive MRO level indicates price sits above target and therefore carries potential to pull back toward target levels. The dip-and-reversal trend in the oscillator signals recent improvement in momentum, but the MRO’s positive reading favors mean reversion risk in the near term.

RSI and Short-Term Price Structure: RSI at 55.02 with a peak-and-reversal trend signals waning buying pressure from recent highs. Price trades at $67.45, above the 20-day average of $65.80, the 50-day average of $64.30, and the 200-day average of $52.32, so moving-average context remains constructive; however, the momentum indicators described above favor a short-term consolidation rather than a clear breakout extension.

Additional technical context: Bollinger upper bands near $70.56 and a super-trend upper level at $71.28 mark nearby resistance; price 12-day EMA shows a dip-and-reversal, aligning with the recent recovery from intraday lows but not yet resolving the bearish momentum signals.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT stands at $52,424,000 and EBIT margin registers 6.07%. EBIT margin improved QoQ by 28.42% and improved YoY by 74.41%, signaling meaningful margin recovery. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 11.25% and below the industry peer median of 12.55%, indicating lower operating efficiency relative to peers despite recent improvement.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue registers $863,277,000 and revenue growth shows a slight decline YoY of -0.71% with QoQ contraction evident; revenue momentum does not match the margin improvement, creating mixed fundamental dynamics for valuation support.

Earnings and estimates: Reported EPS equals $0.30 versus an estimate of $0.28, producing an EPS surprise of +7.14%. Forward EPS stands at $1.4075 with a forward P/E near 40.54, while trailing P/E runs at 202.63; the trailing P/E sits well above the industry peer mean P/E of 27.73, which signals stretched historical earnings multiple relative to peers.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow registers $25,059,000 while free cash flow equals -$18,580,000 and free cash flow yield reads -1.24%. Cash and short-term investments total $200,505,000 against total debt of $1,709,651,000 and net debt near $1,382,339,000; interest coverage sits at 1.87. Current ratio at 0.65 and quick ratio at 0.49 present constrained near-term liquidity relative to typical operating benchmarks.

Capital structure and balance sheet notes: Total equity reads negative $571,256,000 and debt-to-EBITDA stands at 19.20, reflecting heavy leverage relative to earnings. Enterprise multiple registers 33.79 while market capitalization sits near $1.50 billion. WMDST values the stock as over-valued given the combination of elevated multiples, negative book value per share, and constrained cash-flow conversion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 234.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 25.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -43.64 M
 Change In Working Capital -30.06 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -33.48 M
 End Period Cash Flow 200.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 863.3 M
 Forward Revenue 981.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 460.5 M
 Depreciation 32.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 36.6 M
 Research and Development 84.9 M
 Total Operating Expenses 814.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 402.8 M
 EBITDA 89.0 M
 EBIT 52.4 M
 Operating Income 49.3 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 28.1 M
 Net Interest Income -28.07 M
 Income Before Tax 24.4 M
 Tax Provision 17.8 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 7.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 6.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.28
 EPS Actual 0.30
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 7.143 %
 Forward EPS 1.41
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.0 B
 Intangible Assets 986.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -1.56 B
 Total Current Assets 489.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 200.5 M
 Cash 200.5 M
 Net Receivables 78.7 M
 Inventory 119.5 M
 Long-Term Investments 28.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 317.8 M
 Short-Term Debt 9.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 754.6 M
 Net Debt 1.4 B
 Total Debt 1.7 B
 Total Liabilities 2.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -571.26 M
 Retained Earnings 230.7 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -23.16
 Shares Outstanding 24.667 M
 Revenue Per-Share 35.00
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.5 B
 Enterprise Value 3.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 33.789
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -6.158 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 9.769 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 265.872
mean: 34.153
CMPR: 33.789
median: 20.975
low: 18.779
 EV/R 3.485
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -3.442
 Asset To Liability 0.781
 Debt To Capital 1.502
 Debt To Assets 0.869
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.228 %
Debt To Assets YoY 15452.236 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA CMPR: 0.869
high: 0.581
median: 0.433
mean: 0.389
low: 0.03
 Debt To Equity -2.993
Debt To Equity QoQ 2.291 %
Debt To Equity YoY 16121.084 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.68
median: 2.263
mean: 2.188
low: 0.036
CMPR: -2.993
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -2.625
Price To Book QoQ 17.265 %
Price To Book YoY -28.604 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.181
mean: 1.672
median: 1.252
low: 1.09
CMPR: -2.625
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 202.631
Price To Earnings QoQ -545.515 %
Price To Earnings YoY -221.91 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CMPR: 202.631
high: 38.055
mean: 27.733
median: 24.97
low: 19.508
 PE/G Ratio -1.566
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.737
Price To Sales QoQ 15.632 %
Price To Sales YoY -33.395 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 4.737
mean: 2.275
CMPR: 1.737
median: 1.538
low: 0.523
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 40.54
Forward PE/G -0.313
Forward P/S 1.528
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -38.541
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.439
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.942 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.92 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.469
CMPR: 0.439
mean: 0.277
median: 0.246
low: 0.211
 Receivables Turnover 11.744
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.213 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.907 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA CMPR: 11.744
high: 4.018
mean: 3.165
median: 2.689
low: 1.81
 Inventory Turnover 3.964
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.796 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -2.733 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.366
mean: 4.479
CMPR: 3.964
median: 2.747
low: 0.49
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 7.77
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -33.949
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -11.8 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -7.237 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 198.937
mean: 24.844
median: 21.319
low: -24.023
CMPR: -33.949
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.253
 CapEx To Revenue -0.051
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.348
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.0 B
 Invested Capital 1.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.56 B
 Net Working Capital -265.37 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.266
 Current Ratio 0.648
Current Ratio QoQ -2.134 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.538 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.375
mean: 1.685
median: 0.992
low: 0.981
CMPR: 0.648
 Quick Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio QoQ -4.608 %
Quick Ratio YoY 3.452 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.867
mean: 1.112
median: 0.908
low: 0.612
CMPR: 0.49
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 19.201
 Cost Of Debt 1.298 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.868
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 25.646 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 109.375 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 2.792
median: 2.546
mean: 2.351
CMPR: 1.868
low: -0.918
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.017
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 64.931
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.081 %
 Revenue Growth -0.714 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -107.045 %
Revenue Growth YoY -78.494 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 3.642 %
median: 2.815 %
mean: 2.518 %
CMPR: -0.714 %
low: -4.259 %
 Earnings Growth -129.412 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -161.893 %
Earnings Growth YoY 16.016 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 125.0 %
mean: 5.629 %
median: 3.125 %
CMPR: -129.412 %
low: -142.857 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 46.66 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.719 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.735 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 53.884 %
CMPR: 46.66 %
mean: 40.685 %
median: 32.223 %
low: 22.772 %
 EBIT Margin 6.073 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 28.42 %
EBIT Margin YoY 74.411 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 14.39 %
median: 12.549 %
mean: 11.251 %
CMPR: 6.073 %
low: -2.249 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.707 %
Return On Sales QoQ -29.351 %
Return On Sales YoY 63.9 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 14.576 %
median: 12.549 %
mean: 11.595 %
CMPR: 5.707 %
low: -1.961 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -18.58 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.239 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -123.068 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -4.324 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.278 %
median: 1.934 %
mean: 1.925 %
CMPR: -1.239 %
low: -6.697 %
 Free Cash Growth -126.483 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -60.859 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -0.625 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 57.732 %
median: 37.136 %
mean: 4.9 %
CMPR: -126.483 %
low: -159.884 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -2.433
 Cash Flow Margin 1.497 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.692
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.388 %
Return On Assets QoQ -129.483 %
Return On Assets YoY -158.346 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.637 %
mean: 1.762 %
median: 1.317 %
CMPR: 0.388 %
low: -0.847 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.326 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.013
Return On Equity QoQ -130.814 %
Return On Equity YoY -160.828 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.105
mean: 0.055
median: 0.051
CMPR: -0.013
low: -0.016
 DuPont ROE -1.323 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.094 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 26.28 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -123.776 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CMPR: 4.094 %
high: 3.545 %
mean: 2.729 %
median: 2.63 %
low: -0.499 %

Six-Week Outlook

For swing horizons, expect range-bound action with a bias toward short-term consolidation or modest pullback. Price sits above short- and long-term moving averages, which supports mean attraction to the $65–$71 band, but bearish momentum signals from DI+ peak-and-reversal, MACD below its signal line, and a positive MRO that implies price above target argue for limited upside until momentum reverses. Watch volatility contractions near the upper Bollinger band and the $71.28 super-trend level as potential inflection points; absent renewed momentum confirmation, probability favors a corrective phase that could relieve stretched valuation before a higher-probability directional breakout emerges.

About Cimpress plc

Cimpress NV (NASDAQ:CMPR) designs and delivers mass customization solutions for printing and related products on a global scale. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Dundalk, Ireland, the company serves a wide range of customers across North America, Europe, and other regions. Cimpress operates through five primary segments: Vista, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, National Pen, and All Other Businesses. The company offers a diverse portfolio of personalized printing products such as business cards, marketing materials, canvas prints, and large-format signage. Cimpress supports businesses, graphic designers, and individual consumers with a comprehensive array of services that include digital marketing, custom promotional products, and apparel. Its well-known brands, including VistaPrint, VistaCreate, and 99designs by Vista, address the specific needs of small businesses, resellers, and personal customers. Beyond traditional printing services, Cimpress provides digital solutions like website design, hosting, and email marketing, ensuring a comprehensive approach to customer engagement. With a focus on innovation and customer satisfaction, Cimpress continues to shape the personalized printing and marketing solutions industry worldwide.



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