Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (NYSE:FIS) Signals Near-Term Bearish Pressure Despite Valuation Edge

Momentum indicators and moving-average placement point toward near-term downside pressure, while mixed cash generation and leverage frame a valuation that WMDST classifies as under-valued.

Recent News

On September 30, 2025 UBS upgraded FIS to a Buy and set a price target near $82.00; Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained an Outperform on October 1, 2025 while trimming its target to $85.00. Several outlets reported analyst coverage changes and target adjustments across late September and early October 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 19.17 indicates no established trend, reducing conviction for directional moves. DI+ sits at 25.24 with a peak-and-reversal reading, which reads as bearish; DI- at 22.02 shows a dip-and-reversal, reinforcing the bearish directional signal. Together, directional indicators favor near-term downside pressure relative to current valuation levels.

MACD: MACD equals -$0.38 with a peak-and-reversal trend, indicating bearish momentum; despite that, MACD currently sits above its signal line (-$0.63), which produces a short-lived bullish cross signal. The opposing signals imply momentum exhaustion with potential for volatility around the present price.

MRO: MRO at -18.55 shows price below WMDST’s target framework, implying mean reversion potential that could push price higher relative to target; the MRO trend registers a peak-and-reversal, signaling that prior momentum toward targets weakened and short-term movement may remain choppy.

RSI: RSI at 42.37 with a peak-and-reversal trend indicates loss of bullish momentum and room to drift lower before reaching oversold thresholds; this aligns with directional indicators suggesting downward bias.

Price Versus Averages & Bands: Last close $65.81 sits below the 20-day ($67.00), 50-day ($67.83), and 200-day ($74.16) averages, a configuration that biases price action toward the downside versus longer-term levels. Price traded marginally below the 1x Bollinger lower band ($65.95), suggesting short-term weakness with compressed volatility (20-day stdev $1.06). Ichimoku components (Senkou A $71.87 / Senkou B $74.73) place price beneath the cloud, reinforcing near-term bearish placement relative to longer-term support/resistance bands.

Volatility & Volume: 42-day beta 0.79 and 52-week beta 0.61 indicate below-market volatility; 10-day average volume (3,175,884) closely matches recent daily print (3,215,345), implying current moves occur on average activity rather than stretched volume surges.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT margin equals 9.52%, contracting QoQ by -22.26% and YoY by -35.10%. Operating margin stands at 15.60% with QoQ improvement of 27.39% and YoY improvement of 6.35%, pointing to operational leverage in core activities but material compression at the EBIT line versus peers; the company’s EBIT margin sits well below the industry peer mean (52.07%) and median (62.64%), indicating margin underperformance relative to those benchmarks.

Earnings & Cash: GAAP EPS reported $1.36 versus an estimate of $1.36, producing an EPS surprise of 0.09%. Net income registered a loss of $470,000,000 while operating income totaled $408,000,000. Free cash flow reached $372,000,000, yielding a free-cash-flow yield of 0.90% and free-cash-flow growth of 66.07% on the provided scale; operating cash flow equaled $590,000,000. Cash conversion metrics show strain: cash conversion ratio -84.99% and cash flow margin -1.95%.

Balance Sheet & Leverage: Total debt $12,972,000,000 with net debt $12,324,000,000 and debt-to-EBITDA roughly 17.79x. Debt-to-equity near 0.92x and debt-to-assets 38.87% indicate meaningful leverage on the balance sheet. Interest coverage at 2.26x contracted QoQ and YoY, reflecting elevated interest burden relative to operating earnings.

Growth & Efficiency: Revenue totaled $2,616,000,000 with revenue growth at 3.32% and revenue growth YoY listed at 271.97%; asset turnover low at 0.079 with modest QoQ and YoY upticks. Return on equity -3.32% and return on assets -1.42% remain negative, while earnings growth on the provided basis sits at 12.40% (note QoQ and YoY earnings growth figures display contraction patterns).

Valuation: Price-to-earnings equals 58.41x with forward PE about 54.83x; enterprise multiple reads 73.92x and EV/Revenue ratio about 20.60. Book value per share $27.12 and price targets range widely (mean $59.63, low $42.73, high $97.39). The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as under-valued, framed by positive free-cash-flow generation but offset by elevated leverage and compressed EBIT margins versus the industry peer mean and median.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 805.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 590.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -218.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -336.00 M
 Dividends Paid -212.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -224.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 581.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.6 B
 Forward Revenue -1.04 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.7 B
 Depreciation 480.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 480.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 2.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 952.0 M
 EBITDA 729.0 M
 EBIT 249.0 M
 Operating Income 408.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 110.0 M
 Net Interest Income -110.00 M
 Income Before Tax 139.0 M
 Tax Provision 10.0 M
 Tax Rate 7.194 %
 Net Income -470.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -470.00 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.36
 EPS Actual 1.36
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise 0.09 %
 Forward EPS 1.43
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 33.4 B
 Intangible Assets 21.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.22 B
 Total Current Assets 4.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 581.0 M
 Cash 581.0 M
 Net Receivables 2.1 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 1.8 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 270.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 4.0 B
 Total Current Liabilities 7.4 B
 Net Debt 12.3 B
 Total Debt 13.0 B
 Total Liabilities 19.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 14.2 B
 Retained Earnings -23.07 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 27.12
 Shares Outstanding 522.395 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 41.5 B
 Enterprise Value 53.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 73.921
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 11.337 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 51.727 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 101.924
median: 101.924
mean: 90.865
FIS: 73.921
low: -9.204
 EV/R 20.6
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.356
 Asset To Liability 1.738
 Debt To Capital 0.478
 Debt To Assets 0.389
Debt To Assets QoQ 5.611 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2226.152 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.66
FIS: 0.389
mean: 0.256
median: 0.251
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.916
Debt To Equity QoQ 14.108 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2598.438 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.918
FIS: 0.916
mean: 0.838
median: 0.665
low: 0.009
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.929
Price To Book QoQ 11.487 %
Price To Book YoY 23.719 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 24.006
median: 17.882
mean: 16.094
FIS: 2.929
low: -4.235
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 58.41
Price To Earnings QoQ -6.066 %
Price To Earnings YoY 8.125 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 135.569
median: 117.995
mean: 111.412
FIS: 58.41
low: -7.875
 PE/G Ratio 4.712
 Price To Sales (P/S) 15.863
Price To Sales QoQ 1.489 %
Price To Sales YoY -2.11 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 24.115
mean: 18.256
FIS: 15.863
median: 15.044
low: 0.147
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 54.832
Forward PE/G 4.423
Forward P/S -39.992
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -5.931
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.079
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.96 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 11.863 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.245
median: 0.105
mean: 0.104
FIS: 0.079
low: 0.026
 Receivables Turnover 1.31
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.829 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -11.603 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 34.98
median: 3.608
mean: 3.043
FIS: 1.31
low: 0.171
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 69.676
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -0.85
 CapEx To Revenue -0.083
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.454
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 23.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 27.1 B
 Invested Capital 27.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.22 B
 Net Working Capital -3.08 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.078
 Current Ratio 0.587
Current Ratio QoQ -7.481 %
Current Ratio YoY -56.47 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.462
median: 1.115
mean: 1.096
low: 0.872
FIS: 0.587
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.794
 Cost Of Debt 0.815 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.264
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -41.583 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -73.332 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 16.822
median: 11.472
mean: 8.81
FIS: 2.264
low: -0.912
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.007
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 12.31
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -2.217
 Dividend Payout Ratio -0.451
 Dividend Rate 0.41
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.62 %
 Revenue Growth 3.318 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -228.704 %
Revenue Growth YoY 271.973 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 18.315 %
median: 6.025 %
mean: 4.161 %
FIS: 3.318 %
low: -46.239 %
 Earnings Growth 12.397 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -191.349 %
Earnings Growth YoY -47.55 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 126.549 %
FIS: 12.397 %
median: 7.971 %
mean: 6.24 %
low: -60.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 36.391 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.825 %
Gross Margin YoY -4.756 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 80.604 %
median: 80.604 %
mean: 72.333 %
FIS: 36.391 %
low: 2.909 %
 EBIT Margin 9.518 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -22.258 %
EBIT Margin YoY -35.097 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 62.643 %
median: 62.643 %
mean: 52.065 %
FIS: 9.518 %
low: -3.199 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 15.596 %
Return On Sales QoQ 27.387 %
Return On Sales YoY 6.348 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 66.772 %
median: 66.772 %
mean: 54.66 %
FIS: 15.596 %
low: -13.969 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 372.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.896 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 58.304 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -0.444 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.257 %
mean: 1.136 %
median: 0.934 %
FIS: 0.896 %
low: 0.582 %
 Free Cash Growth 66.071 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -206.07 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -99.264 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 278.914 %
FIS: 66.071 %
mean: 58.94 %
median: 44.437 %
low: -143.503 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.791
 Cash Flow Margin -1.95 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.109
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.42 %
Return On Assets QoQ -714.719 %
Return On Assets YoY -305.797 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.467 %
median: 5.467 %
mean: 4.387 %
low: 0.249 %
FIS: -1.42 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.96 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.033
Return On Equity QoQ -749.119 %
Return On Equity YoY -332.609 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.204
median: 0.14
mean: 0.128
FIS: -0.033
low: -0.074
 DuPont ROE -3.216 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.854 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 15.25 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -105.047 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.347 %
median: 8.429 %
mean: 7.399 %
FIS: 0.854 %
low: -0.054 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators and average placement point to a higher probability of continued near-term softening in price, with directional indicators and moving-average positioning favoring downside consolidation. Divergent MACD and MRO readings suggest episodes of mean-reversion rallies within a broader sideways-to-lower range. Elevated leverage and compressed EBIT margin provide fundamental friction, limiting the durability of any short-lived upward momentum. Traders should expect choppy price action with bias toward downside pressure unless momentum indicators re-assert bullish configurations or operating profitability shows clear sequential recovery.

About Fidelity National Information Services, Inc.

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (NYSE:FIS) is a global leader in financial technology solutions, dedicated to empowering financial institutions, businesses, and developers with cutting-edge tools and services. Headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, FIS has been at the forefront of innovation since its inception in 1968. The company operates through three primary segments: Banking Solutions, Capital Market Solutions, and Corporate and Other. FIS delivers a comprehensive suite of services, including core processing and ancillary applications, mobile and online banking, as well as robust fraud, risk management, and compliance solutions. Their expertise extends to card and retail payment systems, electronic funds transfer, and network services, catering to the diverse needs of the financial sector. In the realm of capital markets, FIS provides advanced trading, asset management, and lending solutions, supporting leveraged and syndicated loan markets. Their treasury and risk management offerings further enhance operational efficiency for clients worldwide. With a commitment to driving digital transformation, FIS continues to shape the future of finance by delivering innovative, secure, and efficient solutions tailored to the evolving needs of the industry.



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