OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ:OSPN) Boosts Profitability, Positions For Near-Term Upside

OneSpan shows improving profitability metrics and product expansion while technical momentum suggests modest near-term gains. Valuation by WMDST rates the stock under-valued relative to its fundamentals and cash position.

Recent News

On August 5, 2025 OneSpan announced the acquisition of Nok Nok Labs to add FIDO2 passwordless authentication software to its product suite, expanding its authentication capabilities and product reach.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 25.77 signals emerging trend strength that can sustain directional moves; directional indicators produced a bullish confluence as DI+ showed a dip and reversal while DI- peaked and reversed, both supporting a near-term bullish bias tied to valuation momentum.

MACD reads 0.25 with the signal at 0.27; the MACD experienced a dip and reversal, indicating bullish momentum development, though MACD has not yet crossed above the signal line and therefore momentum confirmation awaits.

MRO stands at 31.38 and sits positive, indicating price above the internal target and suggesting an elevated probability of downward mean reversion; the MRO peak-and-reversal implies downside risk that could trim upside runs.

RSI at 54.89 sits in the neutral-to-healthy range and reversed from a dip, supporting modest upside without overbought stress; this aligns with price action trading just above short- and medium-term averages.

Price closed at $16.23, above the 50-day average ($14.89) and slightly above the 200-day average ($16.07). The 12-day EMA has shown a dip and reversal while the Ichimoku Tenkan line at $15.92 and Senkou span levels place current price above the cloud, providing technical support. Bollinger bands compress between $15.39–$16.46, indicating contained volatility and a tighter trading range.

 


Fundamental Analysis

  • Revenue & Growth: Total revenue $59,843,000 with year-over-year revenue change of -8.01% and quarter-over-quarter change of -254.96% (as reported). Subscription revenue rose, contributing to an increase in annual recurring revenue to $177.8 million reported alongside the recent update.
  • Profitability: Operating income (EBIT) $10,554,000 and operating margin 17.64%. Operating margin improved year-over-year by 14.94% but contracted quarter-over-quarter by 36.52%. The EBIT margin at 17.64% sits below the industry peer mean of 34.25% and industry peer median of 43.47%, indicating margin expansion potential versus peers.
  • Earnings Per Share: Reported EPS $0.34 versus estimate $0.29, a beat of $0.05 or 17.24% (EPS surprise ratio 17.24%). This beat reflects operating leverage and cost structure gains during the period.
  • Cash, Liquidity & Leverage: Cash and short-term investments $92,886,000 with a cash ratio ~0.97 and current ratio 1.77, slightly above the industry peer mean of 1.69. Total debt $9,410,000 yields debt-to-EBITDA 0.72 and debt-to-equity 0.039, reflecting a conservative leverage profile and substantial liquidity to fund growth or M&A.
  • Cash Flow: Operating cash flow $6,217,000 and free cash flow $4,374,000 produce a free cash flow yield near 0.77%, above the reported industry peer mean of 0.53%. Free cash flow growth registered negative movement sequentially, signaling variability in near-term cash conversion that merits monitoring.
  • Valuation: Price-to-earnings at 75.07 and forward P/E ~47.59 sit alongside an enterprise value to revenue multiple of 8.13 and enterprise multiple 37.41. WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the firm’s cash balance, improving subscription metrics, low leverage, and recent product expansion.
MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 105.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 6.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.84 M
 Change In Working Capital -8.77 M
 Dividends Paid -4.61 M
 Cash Flow Delta -12.50 M
 End Period Cash Flow 92.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 59.8 M
 Forward Revenue 23.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 15.9 M
 Depreciation 1.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.5 M
 Research and Development 9.4 M
 Total Operating Expenses 49.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 44.0 M
 EBITDA 13.0 M
 EBIT 10.6 M
 Operating Income 10.6 M
 Interest Income 732.0 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 732.0 K
 Income Before Tax 10.6 M
 Tax Provision 2.2 M
 Tax Rate 21.071 %
 Net Income 8.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 8.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.29
 EPS Actual 0.34
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 17.241 %
 Forward EPS 0.34
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 357.1 M
 Intangible Assets 113.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 128.6 M
 Total Current Assets 169.5 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 92.9 M
 Cash 92.9 M
 Net Receivables 35.1 M
 Inventory 11.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 15.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 15.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 95.6 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 9.4 M
 Total Liabilities 114.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 242.5 M
 Retained Earnings 169.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.34
 Shares Outstanding 38.251 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 570.2 M
 Enterprise Value 486.7 M
 Enterprise Multiple 37.413
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 44.382 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 1.139 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 634.148
mean: 91.227
median: 82.154
OSPN: 37.413
low: -577.222
 EV/R 8.134
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.473
 Asset To Liability 3.116
 Debt To Capital 0.037
 Debt To Assets 0.026
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.237 %
Debt To Assets YoY 199.772 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.095
mean: 0.161
median: 0.098
OSPN: 0.026
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.039
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.701 %
Debt To Equity YoY 174.788 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.008
mean: 0.299
median: 0.176
OSPN: 0.039
low: -0.874
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.351
Price To Book QoQ -10.561 %
Price To Book YoY -13.142 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 34.07
mean: 12.069
median: 10.727
OSPN: 2.351
low: -16.218
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 75.073
Price To Earnings QoQ 112.153 %
Price To Earnings YoY 81.905 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 564.562
mean: 139.074
median: 130.187
OSPN: 75.073
low: -357.639
 PE/G Ratio -1.408
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.529
Price To Sales QoQ -0.629 %
Price To Sales YoY 20.083 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 113.355
median: 48.199
mean: 45.683
OSPN: 9.529
low: 1.219
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 47.586
Forward PE/G -0.892
Forward P/S 24.812
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 7.203
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.173
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.072 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -19.816 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.416
OSPN: 0.173
mean: 0.13
median: 0.129
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 1.851
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 25.353 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.729 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.687
OSPN: 1.851
mean: 1.421
median: 1.257
low: 0.131
 Inventory Turnover 1.413
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.294 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -6.992 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 10.4
OSPN: 1.413
mean: 0.964
median: 0.815
low: 0.018
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.297
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 34.795
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -32.768 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -40.001 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 199.408
OSPN: 34.795
mean: -27.954
median: -36.049
low: -80.145
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.81
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.041
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 242.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 242.5 M
 Invested Capital 242.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 128.6 M
 Net Working Capital 73.9 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.972
 Current Ratio 1.773
Current Ratio QoQ -9.509 %
Current Ratio YoY 15.498 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.787
OSPN: 1.773
mean: 1.695
median: 1.353
low: 0.079
 Quick Ratio 1.654
Quick Ratio QoQ -9.788 %
Quick Ratio YoY 17.951 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 14.4
OSPN: 1.654
mean: 1.486
median: 1.347
low: 0.445
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.723
 Cost Of Debt 3.577 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 25.431
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -40.044 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 12.901 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 181.115
median: 54.034
mean: 37.797
OSPN: 25.431
low: -203.84
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.089
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 77.508
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.81
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.553
 Dividend Rate 0.12
 Dividend Yield 0.008
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 6.977 %
 Revenue Growth -5.56 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -254.961 %
Revenue Growth YoY -8.008 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.808 %
median: 9.099 %
mean: 6.946 %
OSPN: -5.56 %
low: -21.897 %
 Earnings Growth -53.333 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -160.952 %
Earnings Growth YoY 91.11 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
median: 5.491 %
mean: 4.781 %
OSPN: -53.333 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 73.471 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.137 %
Gross Margin YoY 10.958 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.297 %
OSPN: 73.471 %
mean: 72.322 %
median: 68.585 %
low: 33.069 %
 EBIT Margin 17.636 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -36.515 %
EBIT Margin YoY 14.937 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 74.313 %
median: 43.473 %
mean: 34.253 %
OSPN: 17.636 %
low: -124.558 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 17.636 %
Return On Sales QoQ -36.515 %
Return On Sales YoY 14.937 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.082 %
median: 44.901 %
mean: 34.013 %
OSPN: 17.636 %
low: -117.376 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.767 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -83.187 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.936 %
OSPN: 0.767 %
median: 0.694 %
mean: 0.528 %
low: -8.108 %
 Free Cash Growth -84.221 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -150.935 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -15.701 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 278.713 %
median: 25.957 %
mean: 12.182 %
OSPN: -84.221 %
low: -316.997 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.524
 Cash Flow Margin 14.284 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.025
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.415 %
Return On Assets QoQ -44.006 %
Return On Assets YoY 3.916 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 18.439 %
median: 4.609 %
mean: 3.904 %
OSPN: 2.415 %
low: -24.058 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.036 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.034
Return On Equity QoQ -45.188 %
Return On Equity YoY -6.267 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.214
median: 0.079
mean: 0.07
OSPN: 0.034
low: -0.337
 DuPont ROE 3.523 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.435 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -44.453 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -129.189 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.979 %
median: 7.176 %
mean: 5.594 %
OSPN: 3.435 %
low: -13.978 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum tilts modestly bullish: directional indicators and a MACD recovery suggest upside potential, while positive MRO warns of a mean-reversion risk that could blunt rallies. Price trading above the 50-day average with compressed Bollinger bands implies controlled moves rather than wide swings. Fundamental dynamics — an EPS beat, expanding ARR, low leverage, and incremental M&A enhancing product breadth — provide a supportive backdrop for momentum to extend if MACD crosses above its signal and MRO eases. Conversely, persistent weakness in sequential revenue change or a deterioration in cash flow conversion would increase downside pressure. Monitor momentum confirmation and cash-flow cadence over the coming six weeks to gauge whether the current under-valued assessment can translate into sustained price appreciation.

About OneSpan Inc.

OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ:OSPN) develops and markets digital security solutions aimed at enhancing identity verification, authentication, and secure digital agreements globally. The company offers OneSpan Sign, catering to a wide range of e-signature needs from occasional agreements to high-volume transaction processing. OneSpan Cloud Authentication delivers a cloud-based multifactor authentication service, supporting various authentication methods such as biometrics, push notifications, and visual cryptograms, enhancing transaction data security. OneSpan Identity Verification provides banks and financial institutions with robust identity verification services. Additionally, OneSpan’s Mobile Security Suite offers a software development kit designed to safeguard mobile transactions. The Digipass Authenticators range includes diverse authentication devices, while authentication servers deliver strong authentication utilities for secure user and transaction authentication. The Digipass FX1 BIO offers a physical passkey with fingerprint scanning for workforce authentication. OneSpan also provides Virtual Room, blending video collaboration with high-assurance security, and OneSpan Notary, an online solution for organizations with in-house notaries. The OneSpan Trust Vault, a blockchain-based digital storage solution, assists organizations in meeting compliance and regulatory requirements. Founded in 1991 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, OneSpan distributes its solutions through direct sales, distributors, resellers, systems integrators, and OEMs.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.