First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:FR) Projects Near-Term Stabilization Amid Analyst Upgrades

Momentum reads as tentative stabilization after a string of analyst target upgrades and a newly declared quarterly dividend; technicals show range-bound conditions with modest downside pressure while fundamentals underline cash-flow strength against elevated valuation multiples.

Recent News

On Aug 13, 2026 the company’s board declared a common stock dividend of $0.50 per share payable Oct 19, 2026 to holders of record on Sep 30, 2026. A series of analyst price-target raises and reiterated constructive ratings occurred across July–August 2026, including multiple upward revisions by large broker desks through early August.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 10.72 signals no established trend; directional indicators show weakening bullish pressure as DI+ peaked and reversed while DI- experienced a dip-and-reversal—both readings imply recent directional conflict and a bias toward sellers unless trend strength increases.

MACD sits negative at -0.47 with a peak-and-reversal characteristic, signaling bearish momentum, yet the MACD currently trades slightly above its signal line (MACD signal -0.54), which represents a short-lived bullish cross that could limit near-term downside if sustained.

MRO at 3.09 registers positive and increasing, indicating price sits modestly above target and statistical mean reversion pressure exists; the magnitude implies only mild downward potential absent larger momentum shifts.

RSI 45.17 with a peak-and-reversal signal reads below 50 and favors the downside bias created by the directional indicators, consistent with the absence of a clear uptrend.

Price sits near short-term averages: close $61.36 versus 20-day average $61.51 and 200-day average $60.78, but below the 50-day average $63.64—this alignment suggests consolidation around the mid-term mean rather than a directional breakout. Narrow Bollinger band widths and low 42– and 52‑week volatility confirm compressed price action; volume has ticked above recent averages, indicating periodic participation on moves but no persistent trend confirmation.

Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: EPS of $0.58 beat the $0.43 estimate by $0.15, a surprise ratio of 34.88%. Net income for the period registered $77,096,000 and operating income $87,901,000, supporting the reported beat and contributing to modest upward revisions in analyst targets.

Profitability: EBIT of $102,903,000 produces an EBIT margin of 52.79%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 54.43% and materially below the peer median of 62.19%, while the year-over-year change in EBIT margin improved by 20.78% despite a sharp QoQ contraction of -41.45%.

Revenue and flows: Total revenue $194,940,000 reflects negligible year-over-year revenue growth of 0.06% but a steep QoQ decline of -98.30% (seasonality or timing effects likely). Operating cash flow and free cash flow both stand at $113,959,000; free cash flow yield 1.37% modestly exceeds the industry peer mean of 1.13%, reinforcing the company’s capacity to fund distributions and development activity from operating cash.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt $2,584,135,000 produces a debt-to-assets ratio of 44.70%, above the industry peer mean of 40.17%, while debt-to-equity at 93.11% sits below the industry peer mean of 105.91%. Interest coverage registers 4.21×, below the industry peer mean of 5.50×, indicating tighter but adequate near-term coverage of interest expense.

Distribution profile: The dataset shows a dividend rate of $0.51343 and a dividend payout ratio of 88.29% with dividend coverage at 113.27% (coverage above 100% but payout ratio high). The company’s Aug 13, 2026 declaration sets the quarterly payout at $0.50 per share. High payout proportion limits internal reinvestment flexibility despite positive coverage from operating cash.

Valuation: Price multiples sit elevated—trailing P/E ~108.31 and forward P/E ~130.55—yet the trailing P/E falls below the industry peer mean of 122.06 and the peer median of 115.34. Enterprise multiples and price/sales also appear rich on headline figures, but operating profitability, positive free cash flow, and recent analyst upward revisions provide partial fundamental support. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as under-valued, reflecting free-cash-flow strength and dividend mechanics relative to market pricing.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-22
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-21
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow $ 37.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow $ 114.0 M
 Capital Expenditures $ -126.77 M
 Change In Working Capital $ 4.2 M
 Dividends Paid $ -68.07 M
 Cash Flow Delta $ 77.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow $ 114.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue $ 194.9 M
 Forward Revenue $ 39.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue $ 48.0 M
 Depreciation $ 39.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization $ 48.9 M
 Research and Development —
 Total Operating Expenses $ 107.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit $ 147.0 M
 EBITDA $ 153.1 M
 EBIT $ 102.9 M
 Operating Income $ 87.9 M
 Interest Income $ -1.57 M
 Interest Expense $ 24.5 M
 Net Interest Income $ -26.04 M
 Income Before Tax $ 78.4 M
 Tax Provision $ -1.18 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income $ 77.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations $ 79.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 0.43
 EPS Actual $ 0.58
 EPS Difference $ 0.15
 EPS Surprise 34.884 %
 Forward EPS $ 0.47
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets $ 5.8 B
 Intangible Assets —
 Net Tangible Assets $ 2.8 B
 Total Current Assets $ 310.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments $ 46.1 M
 Cash $ 46.1 M
 Net Receivables $ 196.1 M
 Inventory —
 Long-Term Investments $ 222.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable $ 146.2 M
 Short-Term Debt —
 Total Current Liabilities $ 326.9 M
 Net Debt $ 2.5 B
 Total Debt $ 2.6 B
 Total Liabilities $ 2.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity $ 2.8 B
 Retained Earnings $ 317.5 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share $ 20.94
 Shares Outstanding 132.573 M
 Revenue Per-Share $ 1.47
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization $ 8.3 B
 Enterprise Value $ 10.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 70.959
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 60.389 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -0.119 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 86.719
median: 75.377
FR: 70.959
mean: 68.004
low: -48.793
 EV/R 55.74
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.083
 Asset To Liability 1.986
 Debt To Capital 0.482
 Debt To Assets 0.447
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.152 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1.127 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.819
FR: 0.447
mean: 0.402
median: 0.361
low: 0.165
 Debt To Equity 0.931
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.647 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2.18 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.103
mean: 1.059
FR: 0.931
median: 0.679
low: 0.213
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.001
Price To Book QoQ 4.382 %
Price To Book YoY 20.662 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.514
FR: 3.001
median: 2.441
mean: 2.332
low: 0.965
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 108.309
Price To Earnings QoQ 95.615 %
Price To Earnings YoY -7.565 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 138.671
mean: 122.063
median: 115.342
FR: 108.309
low: -37.747
 PE/G Ratio -2.339
 Price To Sales (P/S) 42.721
Price To Sales QoQ 4.991 %
Price To Sales YoY 17.016 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 58.953
median: 54.009
mean: 47.76
FR: 42.721
low: 4.851
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 130.545
Forward PE/G -2.82
Forward P/S 210.289
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -714.019
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.034
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.735 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.087 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.11
mean: 0.036
FR: 0.034
median: 0.024
low: 0.02
 Receivables Turnover 0.993
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.734 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.314 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.504
mean: 1.511
median: 1.392
FR: 0.993
low: 0.825
 Inventory Turnover —
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ —
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY —
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA —
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 91.929
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) —
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ —
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY —
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA —
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -11.694
 CapEx To Revenue -0.65
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.181
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital $ 5.3 B
 Net Invested Capital $ 5.3 B
 Invested Capital $ 5.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets $ 2.8 B
 Net Working Capital $ -16.67 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.141
 Current Ratio 0.949
Current Ratio QoQ 36.629 %
Current Ratio YoY 35.563 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.858
FR: 0.949
median: 0.744
mean: 0.692
low: 0.166
 Quick Ratio —
Quick Ratio QoQ —
Quick Ratio YoY —
Quick Ratio IPRWA —
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 16.875
 Cost Of Debt 0.899 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.206
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -42.967 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 16.015 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 7.905
mean: 5.503
median: 5.459
FR: 4.206
low: -6.653
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.361
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 256.031
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.133
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.883
 Dividend Rate $ 0.51
 Dividend Yield 0.008
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.144 %
 Revenue Growth 0.058 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -98.297 %
Revenue Growth YoY -96.674 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 7.258 %
median: 5.559 %
mean: 3.681 %
FR: 0.058 %
low: -8.234 %
 Earnings Growth -46.296 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -155.744 %
Earnings Growth YoY -377.77 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 63.636 %
median: 8.824 %
mean: 5.722 %
FR: -46.296 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 75.397 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.023 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.837 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.635 %
FR: 75.397 %
median: 74.172 %
mean: 72.705 %
low: 32.085 %
 EBIT Margin 52.787 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -41.447 %
EBIT Margin YoY 20.775 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 82.445 %
median: 62.192 %
mean: 54.431 %
FR: 52.787 %
low: -42.454 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 45.091 %
Return On Sales QoQ 28.865 %
Return On Sales YoY 2.743 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 46.752 %
FR: 45.091 %
mean: 41.006 %
median: 39.568 %
low: 30.168 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) $ 114.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.368 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 22.034 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -28.601 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.98 %
FR: 1.368 %
mean: 1.131 %
median: 1.028 %
low: -0.976 %
 Free Cash Growth 28.199 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -203.665 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -33.38 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 54.139 %
FR: 28.199 %
mean: 6.106 %
median: 4.56 %
low: -54.624 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.478
 Cash Flow Margin 60.611 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.533
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added $ 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.335 %
Return On Assets QoQ -46.536 %
Return On Assets YoY 31.787 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.666 %
FR: 1.335 %
mean: 1.15 %
median: 1.067 %
low: -4.313 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.887 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.028
Return On Equity QoQ -46.464 %
Return On Equity YoY 33.174 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.103
mean: 0.034
FR: 0.028
median: 0.02
low: -0.142
 DuPont ROE 2.787 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.156 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -64.021 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -25.945 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 3.91 %
mean: 2.072 %
median: 1.527 %
FR: 1.156 %
low: 0.457 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect near-term range-bound trading with a bias toward episodic rollovers: technicals show no trend and momentum indicators tip modestly toward the downside, while recent analyst upgrades and the declared dividend add support under price. Low volatility and narrow trading bands suggest moves will require a catalyst to extend; watch for sustained momentum confirmation or a clear directional pickup in ADX and volume to signal trend initiation. Absent that, price likely oscillates around recent averages with limited directional conviction.

About First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:FR) develops, acquires, and manages logistics properties across the United States. As a prominent player in the industrial real estate sector, the company delivers high-quality facilities tailored to the needs of multinational corporations and regional businesses. First Industrial Realty Trust emphasizes strategic investments in 15 key metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs), particularly in supply-constrained, coastal markets. This targeted approach ensures optimal positioning within critical supply chain networks. The company’s portfolio encompasses approximately 69.0 million square feet of industrial space, reflecting its commitment to supporting the logistics and distribution needs of its diverse clientele. Through a fully integrated operating and investing platform, First Industrial Realty Trust combines industry-leading customer service with robust property management, reinforcing its reputation as a trusted partner in the logistics real estate sector.



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