Fabrinet, Inc (NYSE:FN) Posts Strong Margin Gains And Signals Near-Term Upside

Accelerating revenue and materially wider margins position Fabrinet for a short-term recovery in price momentum while valuation metrics remain stretched versus earnings. Institutional accumulation adds an incremental bid beneath the recent trading range.

Recent News

September 3, 2026 — Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio filed a change in beneficial ownership indicating a new stake in Fabrinet; institutional filings show additional Q2 2026 accumulation by several large public plans.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.26 indicates no established trend; price action currently lacks strong directional conviction, so momentum signals will determine short-term bias.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 22.40 with a peak-and-reversal (bearish signal), while DI- at 30.36 is decreasing (bullish signal); the combination produces a conflicted near-term directional picture that favors cautious interpretation.

MACD at -21.00 has dipped and reversed and sits above its signal line (-23.73), representing a bullish MACD cross and indicating a resumption of positive momentum into the near term.

MRO at -20.0 (negative) implies price sits below the model target and therefore carries potential for upward price pressure as mean-reversion unfolds.

RSI at 41.79 with a dip-and-reverse shows recovery from oversold-to-neutral territory, supporting continued short-term buyers if momentum persists.

Short-term price structure: close $398.36 sits essentially at the 20-day average ($398.28) and just below the 12-day EMA ($399.92, dip & reversal), signaling a nascent short-term recovery while remaining below the 50-day ($457.64) and 200-day ($534.13) averages—long-term trend remains below those longer-term means.

Ichimoku cloud places price beneath both Senkou A ($497.19) and Senkou B ($568.12), indicating longer-horizon resistance overhead despite short-term momentum attempts.

Volatility and participation: elevated betas (42-day 3.58; 52-week 2.84) and below-average intraday volume (today: 574,745 vs 10-day avg 694,299 and 50/200-day averages higher) imply outsized directional moves on relatively light participation, increasing risk for false breakouts.

Fundamental Analysis

Top line and profit performance: total revenue $1,315,788,000 and YoY revenue growth of 92.27% with QoQ revenue growth of 16.31% demonstrate strong demand expansion over the last year and quarter. Reported EPS came in at $4.10 versus an estimate of $3.81, an EPS surprise of 7.61%.

Profitability: EBIT $226,559,000 and an EBIT margin of 17.22% improved sharply QoQ (EBIT margin QoQ +74.18%) and YoY (+68.01%). The EBIT margin sits above the industry peer mean of -0.61% and roughly in line with the industry peer median of 16.49%, reflecting superior operating leverage on the revenue advance.

Cash and capital structure: cash and short-term investments $875,055,000 and total debt $4,013,000 (debt-to-assets ~0.10%) supply ample liquidity and negligible leverage; current ratio 2.25 and quick ratio 1.52 support short-term obligations.

Cash flow and capex: operating cash flow $54,967,000 but free cash flow negative at -$37,401,000; free cash flow yield at -0.19% with a strong QoQ lift in free cash flow yield (QoQ +253.70%)—the negative FCF alongside rapid revenue growth points to elevated working capital and capex dynamics during scale-up. Free cash to net income reads -26.86%.

Valuation multiples: trailing P/E ~133.6 and forward P/E ~112.8 indicate a significant earnings multiple premium; price-to-book ~8.00 sits slightly below the industry peer mean P/B of 9.13. High multiples reflect rich expectations for continued margin expansion and growth; WMDST values the stock as fair-valued given that combination and current cash-flow profile.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-17
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-16
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow $ 357.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow $ 55.0 M
 Capital Expenditures $ -92.37 M
 Change In Working Capital $ -57.53 M
 Dividends Paid —
 Cash Flow Delta $ -9.84 M
 End Period Cash Flow $ 347.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue $ 1.3 B
 Forward Revenue $ 461.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue $ 1.2 B
 Depreciation $ 19.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization $ 19.6 M
 Research and Development —
 Total Operating Expenses $ 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit $ 158.1 M
 EBITDA $ 246.2 M
 EBIT $ 226.6 M
 Operating Income $ 134.4 M
 Interest Income $ 7.0 M
 Interest Expense —
 Net Interest Income $ 6.9 M
 Income Before Tax $ 199.7 M
 Tax Provision $ 60.5 M
 Tax Rate 30.272 %
 Net Income $ 139.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations $ 139.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 3.81
 EPS Actual $ 4.10
 EPS Difference $ 0.29
 EPS Surprise 7.612 %
 Forward EPS $ 5.45
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets $ 3.9 B
 Intangible Assets $ 2.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets $ 2.5 B
 Total Current Assets $ 3.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments $ 875.1 M
 Cash $ 346.7 M
 Net Receivables $ 1.0 B
 Inventory $ 1.0 B
 Long-Term Investments $ 21.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable $ 1.0 B
 Short-Term Debt —
 Total Current Liabilities $ 1.4 B
 Net Debt —
 Total Debt $ 4.0 M
 Total Liabilities $ 1.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity $ 2.5 B
 Retained Earnings $ 2.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share $ 68.49
 Shares Outstanding 35.835 M
 Revenue Per-Share $ 36.72
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization $ 19.6 B
 Enterprise Value $ 18.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 76.199
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -47.564 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -15.409 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 302.042
median: 97.5
mean: 93.297
FN: 76.199
low: -254.06
 EV/R 14.256
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.594
 Asset To Liability 2.685
 Debt To Capital 0.002
 Debt To Assets 0.001
Debt To Assets QoQ -18.254 %
Debt To Assets YoY -46.632 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.731
median: 0.229
mean: 0.206
low: 0.001
FN: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.002
Debt To Equity QoQ -14.583 %
Debt To Equity YoY -40.58 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.204
mean: 0.448
median: 0.36
FN: 0.002
low: -0.8
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 7.998
Price To Book QoQ -12.106 %
Price To Book YoY 49.427 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.779
mean: 9.126
median: 8.415
FN: 7.998
low: -2.382
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 133.599
Price To Earnings QoQ -15.091 %
Price To Earnings YoY 11.976 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 454.629
mean: 142.221
FN: 133.599
median: 108.536
low: -148.034
 PE/G Ratio 13.079
 Price To Sales (P/S) 14.918
Price To Sales QoQ -13.622 %
Price To Sales YoY 27.936 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 91.147
mean: 31.776
median: 31.03
FN: 14.918
low: 0.118
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 112.817
Forward PE/G 11.044
Forward P/S 42.573
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 10.616
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.355
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.024 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 6.252 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.574
FN: 0.355
mean: 0.171
median: 0.14
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.366
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.806 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.404 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.33
median: 1.607
mean: 1.587
FN: 1.366
low: 0.353
 Inventory Turnover 1.22
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.475 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -14.982 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.153
FN: 1.22
mean: 0.871
median: 0.82
low: 0.165
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 66.801
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 68.185
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 3.726 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -0.219 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 389.683
mean: 105.162
median: 93.299
FN: 68.185
low: -166.342
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.749
 CapEx To Revenue -0.07
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.71
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital $ 2.5 B
 Net Invested Capital $ 2.5 B
 Invested Capital $ 2.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets $ 2.5 B
 Net Working Capital $ 1.8 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.624
 Current Ratio 2.253
Current Ratio QoQ -11.623 %
Current Ratio YoY -24.888 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 14.857
mean: 2.651
FN: 2.253
median: 1.813
low: 0.516
 Quick Ratio 1.525
Quick Ratio QoQ -14.868 %
Quick Ratio YoY -33.181 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 14.373
mean: 2.13
FN: 1.525
median: 1.399
low: 0.332
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.016
 Cost Of Debt 0.0 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio —
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ —
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY —
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA —
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.036
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 79.517
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio —
 Dividend Payout Ratio —
 Dividend Rate —
 Dividend Yield —
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 11.456 %
 Revenue Growth 8.358 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 16.309 %
Revenue Growth YoY 92.271 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 71.255 %
mean: 12.679 %
median: 8.503 %
FN: 8.358 %
low: -33.957 %
 Earnings Growth 10.215 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -4.657 %
Earnings Growth YoY -357.434 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
median: 23.404 %
mean: 21.467 %
FN: 10.215 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.012 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.052 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.815 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 98.113 %
mean: 41.437 %
median: 38.478 %
FN: 12.012 %
low: -57.962 %
 EBIT Margin 17.219 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 74.176 %
EBIT Margin YoY 68.007 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 54.087 %
FN: 17.219 %
median: 16.488 %
mean: -0.607 %
low: -486.583 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.212 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.298 %
Return On Sales YoY 4.236 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 35.194 %
median: 15.494 %
mean: 15.101 %
FN: 10.212 %
low: -229.509 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) $ -37.40 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.191 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 253.704 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -554.762 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.872 %
mean: 0.522 %
median: 0.431 %
FN: -0.191 %
low: -16.267 %
 Free Cash Growth 231.51 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 113.22 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -356.737 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 458.586 %
FN: 231.51 %
mean: 21.754 %
median: 16.009 %
low: -359.143 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.269
 Cash Flow Margin 3.875 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.366
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added $ 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.754 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1.597 %
Return On Assets YoY 17.312 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.859 %
FN: 3.754 %
median: 1.741 %
mean: 0.517 %
low: -27.727 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 9.032 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.057
Return On Equity QoQ 4.436 %
Return On Equity YoY 28.955 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.149
FN: 0.057
median: 0.045
mean: 0.036
low: -0.481
 DuPont ROE 5.853 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.437 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 32.449 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 46.295 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.748 %
FN: 6.437 %
median: 3.323 %
mean: 2.685 %
low: -14.412 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term bias: constructive. Technical momentum indicators (MACD cross, negative MRO implying overshoot below target, and RSI recovering from a dip) favor a short-term tilt toward higher prices, while directional indicators remain conflicted and ADX signals no established trend. Institutional accumulation reported in early September provides a supportive backdrop for swings above the $386–$400 region, yet price remains below longer-term moving averages and the Ichimoku cloud, which limits sustained follow-through without renewed volume.

Risk profile: elevated beta and compressed volume increase the chance of sharp reversals; negative free cash flow and stretched earnings multiples amplify sensitivity to any guidance or execution miss. Monitor momentum confirmation and participation before treating short-term gains as durable.

About Fabrinet

Fabrinet (NYSE:FN) delivers advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services to a broad spectrum of industries across North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. Established in 1999 and headquartered in George Town, the Cayman Islands, Fabrinet provides comprehensive manufacturing solutions, including process design, engineering, supply chain management, and testing. The company produces a range of optical and electro-mechanical components, such as reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, and modulators, essential for managing complex data communications over fiber optic networks. Fabrinet’s offerings also include transceivers, tunable lasers, and high-speed active optical cables, which are vital for data centers and computing clusters. Beyond telecommunications, Fabrinet serves the semiconductor, biotechnology, and medical device industries with advanced laser technologies and precision sensors. The company designs and fabricates custom optical components like crystals, lenses, and mirrors, tailored to the specific needs of original equipment manufacturers. Leveraging its expertise in precision manufacturing and optical engineering, Fabrinet remains a trusted partner for industries seeking high-quality, reliable solutions in a connected world.



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