Steel Dynamics, Inc (NASDAQ:STLD) Shifts Leadership While Valuation Signals Near-Term Rangebound Price Action

Leadership change and steady cash generation position the company for continued operational stability, while technical momentum and valuation suggest limited immediate upside.

Recent News

On August 4, 2026 the board named Theresa E. Wagler president and CEO effective January 1, 2027; Mark D. Millett will become executive chairman. The company also declared a third-quarter cash dividend of $0.53 per share payable on or about October 9, 2026 to shareholders of record on September 30, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 10.72 indicates no established trend; directional indicators show near-equal pressure with DI+ at 23.48 displaying a dip & reversal (bullish) while DI- at 23.41 also shows a dip & reversal (bearish), a configuration consistent with short-term balance and rangebound price behavior.

MACD sits negative at -2.16 with a peak & reversal pattern and a signal line at -1.94; the MACD below its signal line and declining momentum point to bearish momentum that limits upside pressure in the near term.

MRO reads 10.66 and shows a peak & reversal; the positive MRO indicates price currently sits above the WMDST target and therefore faces downward pressure toward the target level.

RSI at 49.18 with a peak & reversal places momentum near neutral but tilting away from strength; the 12-day EMA at 237.24 shows a peak & reversal while the close at $234.29 trades below the 20-day average $239.32 and the 50-day average $243.83 yet remains above the 200-day average $213.86—this pattern implies short-term weakness against longer-term support.

Price sits near the lower 1x Bollinger band ($233.77) with daily volume (660,022) well below 10-day and 50-day averages, suggesting limited conviction behind recent moves. SuperTrend lower support at $227.63 and the 200-day average provide near-term floors while 20/50-day averages contain upside resistance; beta near 1.1 points to market-like sensitivity rather than idiosyncratic volatility.

Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and margin context: total revenue reached $6,091,557,000 with reported YoY revenue growth of 279.93% and a QoQ decline of 4.91%. Gross margin stands at 15.74% while operating margin registers 12.44%, representing a 37.32% YoY improvement; EBIT margin equals 11.86%, a 33.63% YoY increase and a 12.98% QoQ rise. The EBIT margin sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 12.44% yet above the industry peer median of 9.68%.

Earnings and cash flow: reported EPS equaled $3.69 versus an estimate of $3.67 (EPS surprise +0.54%); net income totaled $534,087,000. Operating cash flow reached $427,936,000 and free cash flow amounted to $304,094,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.91%, which compares favorably to the industry peer mean. Cash and short-term investments total $567,708,000 while the cash conversion ratio at 1.22 and a cash conversion cycle near 85 days reflect solid working-capital dynamics.

Liquidity and leverage: current ratio stands at 3.18, above the industry peer mean of 2.84, and quick ratio equals 1.45 (slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.58). Debt-to-assets measures 24.44% (mildly above the industry peer mean of 22.11%) while debt-to-equity sits at 44.40%, below the industry peer mean of 50.26%. Interest coverage registers 18.47x, stronger than the industry peer mean of 14.48x, indicating ample capacity to service interest costs.

Valuation frame: P/E near 63.30x with forward P/E about 50.06x, price-to-book at 3.56 and an enterprise multiple at 41.45. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued; the mean price target at $255.03 implies roughly 8.9% upside from the $234.29 close, while the target range ($156.53–$377.35) reflects wide analyst dispersion and supports a rangebound view.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-20
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow $ 561.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow $ 427.9 M
 Capital Expenditures $ -123.84 M
 Change In Working Capital $ -335.34 M
 Dividends Paid $ -76.56 M
 Cash Flow Delta $ 11.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow $ 573.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue $ 6.1 B
 Forward Revenue $ 2.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue $ 5.1 B
 Depreciation $ 166.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization $ 173.9 M
 Research and Development —
 Total Operating Expenses $ 5.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit $ 959.0 M
 EBITDA $ 896.5 M
 EBIT $ 722.6 M
 Operating Income $ 757.8 M
 Interest Income —
 Interest Expense $ 39.1 M
 Net Interest Income $ -39.12 M
 Income Before Tax $ 683.5 M
 Tax Provision $ 152.7 M
 Tax Rate 22.3 %
 Net Income $ 534.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations $ 530.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 3.67
 EPS Actual $ 3.69
 EPS Difference $ 0.02
 EPS Surprise 0.545 %
 Forward EPS $ 4.89
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets $ 17.1 B
 Intangible Assets $ 793.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets $ 8.6 B
 Total Current Assets $ 7.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments $ 567.7 M
 Cash $ 567.7 M
 Net Receivables $ 2.4 B
 Inventory $ 4.0 B
 Long-Term Investments $ 547.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable $ 1.5 B
 Short-Term Debt $ 1.3 M
 Total Current Liabilities $ 2.3 B
 Net Debt $ 3.6 B
 Total Debt $ 4.2 B
 Total Liabilities $ 7.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity $ 9.4 B
 Retained Earnings $ 16.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share $ 65.59
 Shares Outstanding 143.610 M
 Revenue Per-Share $ 42.42
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization $ 33.5 B
 Enterprise Value $ 37.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 41.446
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -2.131 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -0.052 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 105.23
mean: 51.176
STLD: 41.446
median: 38.794
low: -29.105
 EV/R 6.1
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.817
 Asset To Liability 2.208
 Debt To Capital 0.307
 Debt To Assets 0.244
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.73 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.498 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.541
STLD: 0.244
mean: 0.221
median: 0.182
low: 0.145
 Debt To Equity 0.444
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.135 %
Debt To Equity YoY 4.086 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.164
mean: 0.503
STLD: 0.444
median: 0.283
low: 0.263
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.561
Price To Book QoQ 24.36 %
Price To Book YoY 65.858 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 20.29
mean: 4.975
STLD: 3.561
median: 1.086
low: 0.119
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 63.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -3.146 %
Price To Earnings YoY -2.19 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.72
mean: 90.288
median: 71.773
STLD: 63.297
low: -53.319
 PE/G Ratio 1.934
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.506
Price To Sales QoQ 9.211 %
Price To Sales YoY 32.086 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.826
mean: 10.053
STLD: 5.506
median: 2.874
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 50.062
Forward PE/G 1.529
Forward P/S 17.368
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.892
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.36
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.638 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 24.152 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.421
STLD: 0.36
mean: 0.221
median: 0.219
low: 0.09
 Receivables Turnover 2.708
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.74 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.479 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.165
STLD: 2.708
mean: 2.5
median: 2.224
low: 1.23
 Inventory Turnover 1.305
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.366 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.179 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.46
STLD: 1.305
mean: 0.887
median: 0.7
low: 0.586
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 33.7
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 85.067
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -7.455 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 6.689 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 162.479
mean: 96.199
median: 95.078
STLD: 85.067
low: 23.513
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.22
 CapEx To Revenue -0.02
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.745
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital $ 13.6 B
 Net Invested Capital $ 13.6 B
 Invested Capital $ 13.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets $ 8.6 B
 Net Working Capital $ 5.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.248
 Current Ratio 3.183
Current Ratio QoQ 1.689 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.757 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.123
STLD: 3.183
mean: 2.844
median: 2.327
low: 1.146
 Quick Ratio 1.454
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.313 %
Quick Ratio YoY 8.849 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.549
mean: 1.58
STLD: 1.454
median: 1.144
low: 0.567
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.665
 Cost Of Debt 0.616 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 18.471
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 12.36 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -20.778 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 34.719
STLD: 18.471
mean: 14.48
median: 9.071
low: -2.715
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.165
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 29.41
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.977
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.143
 Dividend Rate $ 0.53
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.352 %
 Revenue Growth 17.036 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -4.912 %
Revenue Growth YoY 279.929 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.129 %
STLD: 17.036 %
median: 8.436 %
mean: 7.787 %
low: -9.902 %
 Earnings Growth 32.734 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -37.941 %
Earnings Growth YoY -17.303 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 45.098 %
STLD: 32.734 %
median: 18.667 %
mean: 17.632 %
low: -58.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 15.743 %
Gross Margin QoQ 7.358 %
Gross Margin YoY 16.202 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 31.598 %
median: 24.987 %
mean: 24.398 %
STLD: 15.743 %
low: 2.526 %
 EBIT Margin 11.862 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 12.982 %
EBIT Margin YoY 33.626 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 25.135 %
mean: 12.438 %
STLD: 11.862 %
median: 9.676 %
low: 0.077 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.44 %
Return On Sales QoQ 11.6 %
Return On Sales YoY 37.322 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 24.313 %
STLD: 12.44 %
mean: 12.348 %
median: 9.538 %
low: -0.88 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) $ 304.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.907 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 2225.641 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 1195.714 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.874 %
STLD: 0.907 %
median: 0.254 %
mean: -0.338 %
low: -23.699 %
 Free Cash Growth 2841.801 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -3339.406 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -2714.713 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA STLD: 2841.801 %
high: 232.515 %
mean: -14.628 %
median: -21.101 %
low: -229.846 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.569
 Cash Flow Margin 6.207 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.708
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added $ 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.157 %
Return On Assets QoQ 29.651 %
Return On Assets YoY 66.333 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.7 %
STLD: 3.157 %
mean: 1.936 %
median: 1.799 %
low: -4.722 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.874 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.057
Return On Equity QoQ 28.805 %
Return On Equity YoY 68.249 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.08
STLD: 0.057
mean: 0.036
median: 0.027
low: -0.065
 DuPont ROE 5.748 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.128 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 29.526 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 65.783 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.797 %
STLD: 4.128 %
mean: 2.727 %
median: 2.673 %
low: -3.351 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect price action to trade inside a defined range with resistance in the $239–244 area (20/50-day averages) and support near $227–214 (SuperTrend lower and 200-day average). Bearish MACD momentum and a positive MRO suggest downside friction; however, above-average liquidity ratios and strong interest coverage limit extreme downside risk. Short-term setups should focus on mean-reversion between the identified bands rather than breakout-driven trends given low ADX and mixed directional signals.

About Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) produces and recycles steel and metals across the United States. Within its Steel Operations segment, the company manufactures a variety of steel products including hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel, as well as structural beams, bars, and specialty steel items. These products serve industries such as construction, automotive, and transportation. The Metals Recycling Operations segment processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals, offering services in transportation, marketing, and brokerage. This segment handles materials like steel, aluminum, brass, and copper, catering to diverse recycling needs. In its Steel Fabrication Operations, Steel Dynamics produces components for non-residential construction, including steel joists, girders, and trusses. These products support projects ranging from e-commerce warehouses to educational and commercial buildings. Additionally, the Aluminum Operations segment delivers recycled aluminum flat rolled products. Headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana, Steel Dynamics also exports its products, contributing to its expansive reach in the metal production and recycling industry. Founded in 1993, the company continues to maintain a significant presence in the market.



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