Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) Signals Modest Rebound Ahead Despite Technical Pressure

Robust cash generation and a WMDST valuation that classifies the stock as under-valued create a cautiously constructive near-term tone for Chord Energy. Recent corporate actions and mixed technicals point to a consolidation phase with asymmetric upside if momentum confirms.

Recent News

Aug 5, 2026 — Chord Energy reported second-quarter 2026 financial and operating results and declared a base dividend. Sep 16, 2026 — Chord announced a divestiture of its non‑operated Marcellus position for $550 million (effective July 1, 2026). Aug 10–Sep 2, 2026 — disclosures show director share sales reported in August and early September.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 19.18 indicates no clear trend. DI+ stands at 26.94 with a decreasing trend, a bearish directional signal; DI- sits at 23.40 with a peak & reversal signal, which signals a reduction in selling pressure. Together these directional readings imply short-term directional conflict and favor consolidation rather than a decisive trend extension.

MACD: MACD shows 1.39 with the MACD signal at 3.00 and the MACD_trend labeled dip & reversal. Momentum appears to be recovering but remains below the signal line, so momentum improvement exists without confirmation of bullish crossover; that limits near-term upside until MACD clears the signal line.

MRO: MRO at 23.02 with a peak & reversal signature remains positive, which traditionally indicates price sits above the model target and bears potential for downward pressure as the oscillator weakens. This raises the prospect of short-term mean reversion pressure absent fresh buying.

RSI: RSI at 53.33 with a dip & reversal trend signals a recent pullback that is starting to recover from neutral territory, consistent with the MACD’s improving but unconfirmed momentum.

Price vs. Moving Averages & Ichimoku: Last close $137.72 sits above the 200‑day average ($122.17) but below the 20‑day average ($147.72) and Tenkan‑Sen ($146.53). Price12day EMA and 26‑day EMA show a dip & reversal pattern; shorter‑term averages place resistance near the mid‑$140s while the 200‑day average provides longer‑term support, implying limited room for steady gains until short averages flip decisively.

Bollinger / Bands / Volatility: Price sits below the 1× lower Bollinger band (lower1x = $142.13), and 42‑day volatility remains low. The band breakdown alongside neutral RSI suggests short windows of volatility-driven mean reversion rather than a sustained breakout.

Fundamental Analysis

Production and revenue: Total revenue for the period registers at $2,172,685,000 with reported revenue per share $38.60 and revenue growth flagged at 30.44% (overall) but revenue growth year‑over‑year at -11.73%.

Profitability: Operating margin stands at 27.87% and EBIT margin at 32.86%. EBIT margin falls below the industry peer mean of 41.272% and industry peer median of 41.983%, while exceeding the industry peer low of 11.353%. QoQ and YoY adjustments: EBIT margin QoQ shows a +3.52666% change and EBIT margin YoY shows -2.22412% change.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow reached $1,116,154,000 and free cash flow $711,936,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 9.77%, well above the industry peer mean of 2.381% (industry peer mean). Cash and short‑term investments total $611,568,000 and the cash ratio equals 0.34656.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt $1,629,558,000 produces debt to EBITDA of 1.45x and debt to assets of 11.88%, below the industry peer mean debt to assets of 19.382%. Interest coverage at 26.78x indicates ample capacity to service interest relative to reported earnings.

Earnings and estimates: Reported EPS $6.44 versus an estimate of $6.52 produced an EPS surprise ratio of -1.23%. Forward EPS sits at $3.88 with a forward PE near 35.36; trailing PE stands at 20.11. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued, supported by an enterprise multiple of 7.40 and a free cash flow yield near 9.77%.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow $ 225.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow $ 1.1 B
 Capital Expenditures $ -404.22 M
 Change In Working Capital $ 224.8 M
 Dividends Paid $ -73.50 M
 Cash Flow Delta $ 385.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow $ 611.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue $ 2.2 B
 Forward Revenue $ 221.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue $ 1.5 B
 Depreciation —
 Depreciation and Amortization —
 Research and Development —
 Total Operating Expenses $ 1.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit $ 635.3 M
 EBITDA $ 1.1 B
 EBIT $ 713.9 M
 Operating Income $ 605.4 M
 Interest Income —
 Interest Expense $ 26.7 M
 Net Interest Income $ -26.66 M
 Income Before Tax $ 687.3 M
 Tax Provision $ 162.1 M
 Tax Rate 23.6 %
 Net Income $ 525.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations $ 525.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 6.52
 EPS Actual $ 6.44
 EPS Difference $ -0.08
 EPS Surprise -1.227 %
 Forward EPS $ 3.88
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets $ 13.7 B
 Intangible Assets —
 Net Tangible Assets $ 8.4 B
 Total Current Assets $ 2.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments $ 611.6 M
 Cash $ 611.6 M
 Net Receivables $ 1.1 B
 Inventory $ 121.4 M
 Long-Term Investments $ 64.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable $ 151.9 M
 Short-Term Debt —
 Total Current Liabilities $ 1.8 B
 Net Debt $ 869.8 M
 Total Debt $ 1.6 B
 Total Liabilities $ 5.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity $ 8.4 B
 Retained Earnings $ 2.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share $ 148.48
 Shares Outstanding 55.197 M
 Revenue Per-Share $ 38.60
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization $ 7.3 B
 Enterprise Value $ 8.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 7.397
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -55.923 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -93.633 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 39.984
mean: 18.045
median: 15.584
CHRD: 7.397
low: -2.194
 EV/R 3.824
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.641
 Asset To Liability 2.559
 Debt To Capital 0.163
 Debt To Assets 0.119
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.655 %
Debt To Assets YoY 36.662 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.422
mean: 0.194
median: 0.151
CHRD: 0.119
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.195
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.874 %
Debt To Equity YoY 44.737 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.23
mean: 0.386
median: 0.259
CHRD: 0.195
low: -0.454
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.872
Price To Book QoQ -0.97 %
Price To Book YoY 19.052 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.928
median: 2.255
mean: 2.149
CHRD: 0.872
low: -0.595
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 20.113
Price To Earnings QoQ -27.169 %
Price To Earnings YoY -65.148 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 69.838
mean: 30.742
median: 26.969
CHRD: 20.113
low: 20.096
 PE/G Ratio 0.488
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.355
Price To Sales QoQ -21.147 %
Price To Sales YoY -33.225 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 53.951
mean: 9.037
median: 8.459
CHRD: 3.355
low: 3.26
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 35.357
Forward PE/G 0.858
Forward P/S 34.024
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 16.111
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.161
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 27.328 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 74.829 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.291
CHRD: 0.161
median: 0.157
mean: 0.139
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 1.961
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 19.082 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 69.914 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.001
median: 2.384
mean: 2.289
CHRD: 1.961
low: 0.096
 Inventory Turnover 13.874
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 15.873 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 41.538 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 43.173
CHRD: 13.874
mean: 3.469
median: 2.549
low: 0.842
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 46.532
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 45.789
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -22.469 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -43.701 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA CHRD: 45.789
high: 44.303
mean: -39.223
median: -54.099
low: -79.827
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 5.565
 CapEx To Revenue -0.186
 CapEx To Depreciation —
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital $ 9.8 B
 Net Invested Capital $ 9.8 B
 Invested Capital $ 9.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets $ 8.4 B
 Net Working Capital $ 390.4 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.347
 Current Ratio 1.221
Current Ratio QoQ 19.235 %
Current Ratio YoY 26.366 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 22.477
median: 1.851
mean: 1.747
CHRD: 1.221
low: 0.004
 Quick Ratio 1.152
Quick Ratio QoQ 19.507 %
Quick Ratio YoY 27.806 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.677
median: 1.677
mean: 1.566
CHRD: 1.152
low: 0.618
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1.451
 Cost Of Debt 1.256 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 26.775
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 488.973 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -258.743 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 83.612
median: 53.224
mean: 41.89
CHRD: 26.775
low: -60.084
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.632
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 8.565
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.145
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.14
 Dividend Rate $ 1.31
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.63 %
 Revenue Growth 30.442 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -28.254 %
Revenue Growth YoY -1172.657 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 70.433 %
CHRD: 30.442 %
median: 25.688 %
mean: 14.443 %
low: -89.777 %
 Earnings Growth 41.228 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -83.911 %
Earnings Growth YoY -174.027 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 70.588 %
median: 48.68 %
CHRD: 41.228 %
mean: 32.267 %
low: -80.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 29.241 %
Gross Margin QoQ 30.593 %
Gross Margin YoY 100.955 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 85.582 %
median: 71.721 %
mean: 61.784 %
CHRD: 29.241 %
low: -50.929 %
 EBIT Margin 32.859 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 352.666 %
EBIT Margin YoY -222.412 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 90.216 %
median: 41.983 %
mean: 41.272 %
CHRD: 32.859 %
low: 11.353 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 27.865 %
Return On Sales QoQ 39.43 %
Return On Sales YoY 136.244 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 77.892 %
median: 40.605 %
mean: 36.639 %
CHRD: 27.865 %
low: 5.971 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) $ 711.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 9.766 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 343.103 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 2281.951 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA CHRD: 9.766 %
high: 5.784 %
median: 4.018 %
mean: 2.381 %
low: -20.508 %
 Free Cash Growth 355.835 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 567.408 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -482.589 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA CHRD: 355.835 %
high: 175.115 %
median: 118.381 %
mean: 74.636 %
low: -388.658 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.356
 Cash Flow Margin 27.912 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.125
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added $ 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.897 %
Return On Assets QoQ 371.792 %
Return On Assets YoY -227.938 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 10.029 %
median: 5.037 %
mean: 4.333 %
CHRD: 3.897 %
low: -7.219 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.973 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.063
Return On Equity QoQ 365.481 %
Return On Equity YoY -230.482 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.102
median: 0.085
mean: 0.075
CHRD: 0.063
low: -0.04
 DuPont ROE 6.403 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.545 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 628.647 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -299.676 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.99 %
median: 6.99 %
mean: 5.908 %
CHRD: 5.545 %
low: -3.276 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation range with asymmetric upside potential if momentum confirms. Short‑term directional signals conflict: ADX indicates no trend, DI+ decreasing signals short‑term selling pressure while DI‑ peak & reversal signals easing selling pressure; MACD shows an improving momentum profile but remains below its signal line. Key technical thresholds lie in the mid‑$140s: sustained trade above the 20‑day average and the Tenkan‑Sen would increase the probability of a test toward the price target mean ($149.12). Conversely, failure to regain those levels should keep the stock pivoting around the $130–$138 area, supported by the 200‑day average near $122. Low realized volatility suggests breakouts require confirmation; the strong free cash flow profile and WMDST’s under‑valued classification provide a fundamental floor, but near‑term price behavior will depend on confirmed momentum signals rather than valuation alone.

About Chord Energy Corporation

Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) develops and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, primarily in the Williston Basin. Based in Houston, Texas, Chord Energy focuses on acquiring and managing energy resources efficiently, utilizing advanced technologies and sustainable practices. The company, formerly known as Oasis Petroleum Inc., rebranded in July 2022 to reflect its commitment to innovation in energy production. Chord Energy’s strategic operations involve leveraging the rich resources of the Williston Basin, ensuring responsible extraction and production processes. The company maintains a robust market presence by selling its products to a diverse customer base, including refiners and marketers, through a well-established network of pipelines and rail facilities. This strategic infrastructure enables Chord Energy to meet the growing demands of the global energy market effectively. By emphasizing expertise and adaptability, Chord Energy positions itself for continued growth and success in the evolving energy industry, focusing on delivering reliable energy solutions while adhering to sustainable practices.



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