Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Advances Financing And Accelerates Turtle Creek Commissioning

Hallador shows strengthened project financing and operational momentum while fundamental metrics continue to reflect negative profitability and tight liquidity; technicals present conflicting near-term signals with a bearish tilt.

Recent News

July 27, 2026 — Company scheduled its Q2 2026 conference call for August 10, 2026 to discuss results and project updates. September 17, 2026 — Hallador announced it closed a $600 million senior secured term loan on September 15, 2026 and holds commitments that could expand the facilities up to $675 million to fund the Turtle Creek gas project, expected to cost under $800 million. The company stated the Facilities will fund turbine purchase, refurbishment, development and repay a portion of existing debt.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show tension: the ADX at 15.54 registers no dominant trend, DI+ registered a dip-and-reversal (bullish signal) while DI- increased (bearish signal), producing a short-term tug between buying interest and selling pressure. This dynamic reduces conviction in breakout scenarios and favors range-bound outcomes unless a clear ADX rise emerges.

MACD sits negative at -0.22 and trends downward with the MACD below its signal line (-0.08), which signals bearish momentum and weak near-term follow-through for upside attempts. That bearish MACD momentum offsets the DI+ reversal and limits sustained rallies without a momentum reversal.

MRO reads 12.79 (positive) and recently peaked then reversed; the positive MRO indicates the market price sits above the model target and therefore carries a propensity to pull back toward that target, supporting a downside bias absent fresh bullish catalysts.

RSI at 46.79 with a dip-and-reversal pattern suggests buyers re-entered from oversold pressures, offering short-lived support; juxtaposed with MACD and MRO, RSI’s bounce provides tactical relief rather than a confirmed momentum shift.

Price sits below the 20-day ($15.73), 50-day ($15.70) and markedly below the 200-day average ($17.53), with the 12-day EMA trending down — a configuration that favors sellers on failed rallies. The super-trend upper at $15.96 and the 1x Bollinger lower band near $14.75 frame a near-term trading range; recent volume ran above the 10- and 50-day averages, signifying conviction behind recent moves. Beta readings (42-day 1.93; 52-week 1.52) imply above-market volatility for short-term swings.

Fundamental Analysis

Profitability remains negative: EBIT at $(13,151,000) and EBITDA at $(3,014,000) translate to an EBIT margin of -12.96%. That margin improved quarter-over-quarter by roughly 15.2% but stayed materially weaker versus the prior-year comparison (YoY change shows a large decline). Operating margin mirrors this pattern at -12.46% with a QoQ improvement near +16.7% yet large YoY deterioration.

EPS missed expectations: EPS actual of $(0.32) fell short of the estimate $(0.10) by $(0.22), representing a -220% surprise ratio, reflecting the continued net loss of $(15.235) million for the period. Free cash flow remained negative at $(50.15) million, producing a free cash flow yield of approximately -6.48% and signaling cash consumption during the reporting period.

Liquidity and working-capital metrics remain tight: current ratio at 0.72 and quick ratio at 0.24 indicate constrained near-term liquidity versus the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.42. Cash and short-term investments totaled $28.98 million against total current liabilities of $208.69 million, yielding negative net working capital of $(58.69) million.

Balance-sheet leverage stays modest on several measures: total debt of $47.71 million produces debt-to-assets of 10.2%, below the industry peer mean of 36.3%, and debt-to-equity near 0.25, which leaves headroom for project financing but does not offset the cash-burn profile while project capex progresses.

Revenue and margins: total revenue reached $101.51 million while gross margin held at 37.72%, slightly below the industry peer mean gross margin of 45.02%. Revenue growth registered near flat YoY (roughly -0.3%), with a stronger sequential QoQ increase; asset turnover remains low at 0.22, though slightly above the provided peer mean of 0.1228, indicating relatively low capital efficiency.

Valuation from WMDST: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Market multiples reflect mixed signals: P/B at 4.07 sits above the industry peer mean and median, while P/S at 7.62 remains below the industry peer mean of 9.76; trailing P/E registers negative due to losses while forward P/E sits at ~107.6, indicating high forward multiple sensitivity to earnings recovery assumptions.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-10
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-09
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 43.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -23.89 M
 Capital Expenditures -26.26 M
 Change In Working Capital 9.3 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -8.43 M
 End Period Cash Flow 34.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 101.5 M
 Forward Revenue -12.89 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 63.2 M
 Depreciation 10.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 10.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 114.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 38.3 M
 EBITDA -3.01 M
 EBIT -13.15 M
 Operating Income -12.64 M
 Interest Income 279.0 K
 Interest Expense 3.2 M
 Net Interest Income -3.50 M
 Income Before Tax -16.40 M
 Tax Provision -1.16 M
 Tax Rate 7.098 %
 Net Income -15.23 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -15.23 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.10
 EPS Actual -0.32
 EPS Difference -0.22
 EPS Surprise -220.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.16
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 468.0 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 190.3 M
 Total Current Assets 150.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 29.0 M
 Cash 29.0 M
 Net Receivables 14.4 M
 Inventory 99.2 M
 Long-Term Investments 7.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 31.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 208.7 M
 Net Debt 10.2 M
 Total Debt 47.7 M
 Total Liabilities 277.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 190.3 M
 Retained Earnings -68.12 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 4.04
 Shares Outstanding 47.144 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.15
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 773.7 M
 Enterprise Value 792.4 M
 Enterprise Multiple -262.919
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -255.546 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -697.722 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 78.323
mean: 27.985
median: 26.789
low: -3.108
HNRG: -262.919
 EV/R 7.807
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.459
 Asset To Liability 1.685
 Debt To Capital 0.2
 Debt To Assets 0.102
Debt To Assets QoQ 637.021 %
Debt To Assets YoY -24.68 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.964
median: 0.381
mean: 0.363
HNRG: 0.102
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.251
Debt To Equity QoQ 730.275 %
Debt To Equity YoY -44.751 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.553
mean: 1.063
median: 0.772
HNRG: 0.251
low: -1.291
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.065
Price To Book QoQ 4.195 %
Price To Book YoY -29.599 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.046
HNRG: 4.065
median: 2.255
mean: 2.073
low: -0.595
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -51.286
Price To Earnings QoQ -42.736 %
Price To Earnings YoY -159.773 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 137.544
median: 58.059
mean: 57.984
low: -17.083
HNRG: -51.286
 PE/G Ratio -0.75
 Price To Sales (P/S) 7.622
Price To Sales QoQ -3.243 %
Price To Sales YoY 11.191 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 53.951
mean: 9.758
median: 8.459
HNRG: 7.622
low: 0.043
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 107.567
Forward PE/G 1.572
Forward P/S -60.018
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -386.226
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.221
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.824 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -16.528 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.291
HNRG: 0.221
median: 0.145
mean: 0.123
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 8.621
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.02 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 31.233 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA HNRG: 8.621
high: 7.569
mean: 2.51
median: 2.277
low: 0.096
 Inventory Turnover 0.651
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.23 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 14.705 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 13.874
mean: 4.949
median: 3.926
HNRG: 0.651
low: 0.148
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 10.584
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 121.026
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -27.9 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 10.857 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA HNRG: 121.026
high: 83.305
median: -2.826
mean: -30.801
low: -143.978
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.729
 CapEx To Revenue -0.259
 CapEx To Depreciation -2.591
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 229.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 229.5 M
 Invested Capital 229.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 190.3 M
 Net Working Capital -58.69 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.139
 Current Ratio 0.719
Current Ratio QoQ -9.6 %
Current Ratio YoY 7.526 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 13.853
mean: 1.419
median: 1.008
HNRG: 0.719
low: 0.004
 Quick Ratio 0.244
Quick Ratio QoQ -17.409 %
Quick Ratio YoY -4.818 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.517
mean: 1.149
median: 0.943
HNRG: 0.244
low: 0.047
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -15.829
 Cost Of Debt 11.193 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -4.049
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 144.166 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -215.579 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 53.224
mean: 13.386
median: 5.856
HNRG: -4.049
low: -30.302
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.013
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 39.799
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.327 %
 Revenue Growth -0.297 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 121.642 %
Revenue Growth YoY -97.652 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 129.596 %
median: 25.276 %
mean: 13.843 %
HNRG: -0.297 %
low: -89.777 %
 Earnings Growth 68.421 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -103.421 %
Earnings Growth YoY -493.428 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 225.0 %
HNRG: 68.421 %
mean: 5.241 %
median: -5.051 %
low: -168.831 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.721 %
Gross Margin QoQ -10.327 %
Gross Margin YoY -31.55 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 85.582 %
median: 49.987 %
mean: 45.022 %
HNRG: 37.721 %
low: 4.164 %
 EBIT Margin -12.956 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 115.216 %
EBIT Margin YoY -215.483 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 95.642 %
median: 41.983 %
mean: 37.075 %
low: 2.958 %
HNRG: -12.956 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -12.456 %
Return On Sales QoQ 116.701 %
Return On Sales YoY -208.473 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 95.642 %
median: 40.605 %
mean: 33.361 %
low: 2.849 %
HNRG: -12.456 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -50.15 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -6.482 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -505.632 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 2623.529 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 17.176 %
mean: 2.764 %
median: 2.566 %
HNRG: -6.482 %
low: -9.613 %
 Free Cash Growth -491.338 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 178.596 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 362.279 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 1077.9 %
mean: 89.424 %
median: 85.157 %
low: -427.439 %
HNRG: -491.338 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 3.292
 Cash Flow Margin -2.599 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.173
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.05
 Return On Assets (ROA) -3.324 %
Return On Assets QoQ 52.757 %
Return On Assets YoY -256.276 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 11.486 %
mean: 2.653 %
median: 1.414 %
HNRG: -3.324 %
low: -7.219 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -5.071 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.08
Return On Equity QoQ 76.533 %
Return On Equity YoY -218.543 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.209
mean: 0.05
median: 0.042
HNRG: -0.08
low: -0.112
 DuPont ROE -7.696 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -5.323 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 88.225 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.422 %
mean: 3.861 %
median: 3.275 %
low: -3.276 %
HNRG: -5.323 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias leans bearish. Negative and falling MACD plus a positive MRO that favors mean reversion create a primary downside tendency, while the DI+ dip-and-reversal and RSI bounce provide tactical support on pullbacks. Price staying under the 20/50-day averages and the 200-day average acting as a larger resistance add guardrails to upside attempts. The company’s recently closed term loan facilities and the stated pathway to fund Turtle Creek reduce financing uncertainty, yet fundamentals—negative operating results, negative free cash flow, and tight liquidity metrics—sustain downside vulnerability until operating cash flow and margins convert positive or project financing materially reduces net cash burn. Swing traders should expect elevated volatility, defined intraday ranges near $14.75–$16.70, and prioritize momentum confirmation before assuming directional bias.

About Hallador Energy Company

Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) develops and produces steam coal, primarily for electric power generation. Based in Terre Haute, Indiana, Hallador operates key mining facilities including Oaktown Mines 1 and 2, Freelandville Center Pit, and Prosperity Surface mine. These strategically located sites enable efficient service to the Midwest’s energy needs. Beyond coal production, Hallador diversifies its energy offerings through gas exploration activities. The company also manages a logistics transport facility to ensure reliable delivery of energy resources. Established in 1949, Hallador Energy Company has a longstanding presence in the energy sector, adapting to market changes while emphasizing responsible resource management. As the energy industry evolves, Hallador pursues innovative solutions to meet the demand for sustainable energy, maintaining its role as a dependable partner for electric power generation.



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