Steel Dynamics, Inc (NASDAQ:STLD) Accelerates Aluminum Ramp And Leadership Transition Boosting H2 Momentum

Operational throughput and a planned CEO succession create a clearer path for accelerating aluminum and coated-product volume in the second half of 2026. Near-term price action will hinge on execution against capacity milestones and how markets digest a compact technical setup.

Recent News

Aug. 4, 2026 — Board announced a CEO succession plan naming Theresa E. Wagler as President and Chief Executive Officer effective Jan. 1, 2027, with Mark D. Millett transitioning to Executive Chairman; several senior leadership reorganizations take effect Sept. 1, 2026. The board declared a $0.53 per-share cash dividend with record date June 30, 2026 and payment on or about July 10, 2026. Multiple Form 8‑K and 10‑Q filings followed the quarter, and public Form 4 activity showed concentrated insider transactions in mid‑summer.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 11.37 indicates no established directional trend; the market lacks strong trend strength and favors range-bound behavior in the near term.

DI+ sits at 25.11 and DI‑ at 23.12, with both directional indicators decreasing; the marginally higher DI+ amid a decreasing DI+ trend signals weakening bullish pressure rather than an accelerating bid.

MACD reads -1.88 versus a -2.04 signal line; the MACD currently sits just above its signal line (a brief bullish cross), but the MACD trend registers a peak‑and‑reversal, which signals bearish momentum dominance in recent sessions.

MRO equals 15.13 and is positive, indicating the current price sits above the model target and carries measurable downside pressure from a momentum/regression perspective.

RSI at 49.87 and decreasing shows momentum fading from neutral territory toward the downside; momentum indicators no longer support an immediate breakout thesis.

Price behavior relative to moving averages: last close $238.23 sits above the 200‑day average ($212.48) but below the 50‑day average ($243.20). The 12‑day EMA shows a peak‑and‑reversal and the 20‑day average ($238.77) aligns with current price, pointing to short‑term resistance near the $240–$244 band.

Bollinger bands place one‑sigma resistance at $243.74 and one‑sigma support at $233.80; current price sits near the middle of the band set. Ichimoku midlines (Tenkan $240.46, Kijun $244.51, Senkou A $247.96, Senkou B $252.22) cluster above price and mark the $244–$252 area as layered resistance. SuperTrend lower support sits at $227.63 and provides a defined short‑term floor.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue reached $6,091,557,000 for the period ending 2026‑06‑30 with YoY revenue growth reported at 279.93% and a point estimate revenue growth of 17.04% (reported). Net income from continuing operations totaled $530,785,000 and EPS came in at $3.69 versus an estimate of $3.67, producing an EPS surprise of +0.545% (beat of $0.02). Adjusted EBITDA measured $896,506,000 and EBIT totaled $722,584,000. The company highlighted record shipments and operational progress in recent public filings.

Margins and cash flow: EBIT margin equals 11.86%, improving QoQ by 12.98% and YoY by 33.63% as reported. Gross margin stands at 15.74% and operating margin at 12.44%, both showing sequential and yearly improvement. Free cash flow measured $304,094,000, representing a free cash flow yield of ~0.91%; free cash flow growth shows a YoY contraction of -27.15% in the supplied series while sequential changes indicate volatility in cash conversion.

Balance sheet and leverage: total debt $4,182,142,000 with net debt roughly $3,614,434,000; debt/EBITDA equals 4.66 and debt/equity equals 0.444. Interest coverage stands at 18.47x, indicating ample earnings buffer against interest expense. Liquidity metrics include cash and short‑term investments $567,708,000, current ratio 3.18, and quick ratio 1.45.

Returns and efficiency: return on equity registers 5.67% with a YoY lift of ~68.25%; return on assets 3.16% rose materially year over year. Asset turnover equals 0.36 and improved QoQ and YoY in the supplied data. Book value per share sits at $65.59 and shares outstanding total 143,610,058.

Relative to peers where industry peer mean figures exist: EBIT margin (11.86%) sits below the industry peer mean (40.33%); P/B ratio at 3.56 sits slightly above the industry peer mean of 3.26; P/E approximately 63.30 sits below the industry peer mean of 76.88. The enterprise multiple near 41.45 sits marginally below the industry peer mean of 42.32. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: fair‑valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-20
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 561.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 427.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -123.84 M
 Change In Working Capital -335.34 M
 Dividends Paid -76.56 M
 Cash Flow Delta 11.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 573.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 6.1 B
 Forward Revenue 2.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.1 B
 Depreciation 166.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 173.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 5.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 959.0 M
 EBITDA 896.5 M
 EBIT 722.6 M
 Operating Income 757.8 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 39.1 M
 Net Interest Income -39.12 M
 Income Before Tax 683.5 M
 Tax Provision 152.7 M
 Tax Rate 22.3 %
 Net Income 534.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 530.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.67
 EPS Actual 3.69
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 0.545 %
 Forward EPS 4.89
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 17.1 B
 Intangible Assets 793.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 8.6 B
 Total Current Assets 7.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 567.7 M
 Cash 567.7 M
 Net Receivables 2.4 B
 Inventory 4.0 B
 Long-Term Investments 547.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.5 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.3 M
 Total Current Liabilities 2.3 B
 Net Debt 3.6 B
 Total Debt 4.2 B
 Total Liabilities 7.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 9.4 B
 Retained Earnings 16.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 65.59
 Shares Outstanding 143.610 M
 Revenue Per-Share 42.42
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 33.5 B
 Enterprise Value 37.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 41.446
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -2.131 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -0.052 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 207.032
mean: 42.316
STLD: 41.446
median: 37.643
low: -159.463
 EV/R 6.1
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.817
 Asset To Liability 2.208
 Debt To Capital 0.307
 Debt To Assets 0.244
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.73 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.498 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.561
STLD: 0.244
median: 0.171
mean: 0.154
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.444
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.135 %
Debt To Equity YoY 4.086 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.375
STLD: 0.444
mean: 0.335
median: 0.302
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.561
Price To Book QoQ 24.36 %
Price To Book YoY 65.858 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.776
STLD: 3.561
mean: 3.259
median: 2.859
low: 0.004
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 63.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -3.146 %
Price To Earnings YoY -2.19 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.72
median: 82.305
mean: 76.882
STLD: 63.297
low: -237.383
 PE/G Ratio 1.934
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.506
Price To Sales QoQ 9.211 %
Price To Sales YoY 32.086 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 132.249
mean: 25.737
median: 19.721
STLD: 5.506
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 50.062
Forward PE/G 1.529
Forward P/S 17.368
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.892
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.36
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.638 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 24.152 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.421
STLD: 0.36
mean: 0.137
median: 0.111
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 2.708
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.74 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.479 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 14.224
mean: 4.728
median: 3.183
STLD: 2.708
low: 0.33
 Inventory Turnover 1.305
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.366 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.179 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.007
STLD: 1.305
mean: 0.94
median: 0.86
low: 0.337
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 33.7
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 85.067
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -7.455 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 6.689 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 270.86
STLD: 85.067
median: 74.431
mean: 60.13
low: -247.679
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.22
 CapEx To Revenue -0.02
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.745
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 13.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 13.6 B
 Invested Capital 13.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 8.6 B
 Net Working Capital 5.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.248
 Current Ratio 3.183
Current Ratio QoQ 1.689 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.757 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 14.206
STLD: 3.183
mean: 2.73
median: 2.066
low: 0.343
 Quick Ratio 1.454
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.313 %
Quick Ratio YoY 8.849 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 11.663
mean: 2.003
STLD: 1.454
median: 1.144
low: 0.255
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.665
 Cost Of Debt 0.616 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 18.471
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 12.36 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -20.778 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 98.656
median: 21.316
STLD: 18.471
mean: 17.698
low: -83.043
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.165
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 29.41
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.977
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.143
 Dividend Rate 0.53
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.352 %
 Revenue Growth 17.036 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -4.912 %
Revenue Growth YoY 279.929 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 39.419 %
STLD: 17.036 %
median: 3.076 %
mean: 0.858 %
low: -53.525 %
 Earnings Growth 32.734 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -37.941 %
Earnings Growth YoY -17.303 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 140.0 %
STLD: 32.734 %
median: 11.628 %
mean: 2.918 %
low: -162.963 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 15.743 %
Gross Margin QoQ 7.358 %
Gross Margin YoY 16.202 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 77.638 %
mean: 46.286 %
median: 40.658 %
STLD: 15.743 %
low: 0.755 %
 EBIT Margin 11.862 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 12.982 %
EBIT Margin YoY 33.626 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 121.894 %
mean: 40.33 %
median: 35.501 %
STLD: 11.862 %
low: -88.08 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.44 %
Return On Sales QoQ 11.6 %
Return On Sales YoY 37.322 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 38.095 %
median: 28.24 %
STLD: 12.44 %
low: -16.224 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 304.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.907 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 2225.641 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 1195.714 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.024 %
median: 1.053 %
STLD: 0.907 %
mean: 0.014 %
low: -14.153 %
 Free Cash Growth 2841.801 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -3339.406 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -2714.713 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA STLD: 2841.801 %
high: 190.698 %
median: 24.199 %
mean: 8.017 %
low: -398.55 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.569
 Cash Flow Margin 6.207 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.708
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.157 %
Return On Assets QoQ 29.651 %
Return On Assets YoY 66.333 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 10.518 %
STLD: 3.157 %
mean: 2.788 %
median: 2.752 %
low: -12.373 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.874 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.057
Return On Equity QoQ 28.805 %
Return On Equity YoY 68.249 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.195
STLD: 0.057
median: 0.049
mean: 0.043
low: -0.216
 DuPont ROE 5.748 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.128 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 29.526 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 65.783 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 13.512 %
median: 4.581 %
STLD: 4.128 %
mean: 4.094 %
low: -5.244 %

Six-Week Outlook

Execution on the aluminum ramp and the qualification of the third cold mill represent the primary fundamental catalysts for the next six weeks; market reaction will track reported progress and confirmation of higher utilization. Technically, expect range‑bound trading between short‑term resistance near $243–$244 (50‑day average and one‑sigma Bollinger upper) and support near $227–$228 (SuperTrend lower), with a deeper technical floor at the 200‑day average near $212 if broader weakness unfolds.

Confluence of a low ADX, a peak‑and‑reversal MACD, positive MRO, and a falling RSI favors limited upside momentum and a bias toward consolidation or modest pullback absent fresh operational beats (aluminum qualification, meaningful backlog conversion). Watch for any re‑acceleration in DI+ or a sustained MACD re‑acceleration above its signal line as the earliest technical evidence that short‑term momentum may reassert to the upside.

About Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) produces and recycles steel and metals across the United States. Within its Steel Operations segment, the company manufactures a variety of steel products including hot rolled, cold rolled, and coated steel, as well as structural beams, bars, and specialty steel items. These products serve industries such as construction, automotive, and transportation. The Metals Recycling Operations segment processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals, offering services in transportation, marketing, and brokerage. This segment handles materials like steel, aluminum, brass, and copper, catering to diverse recycling needs. In its Steel Fabrication Operations, Steel Dynamics produces components for non-residential construction, including steel joists, girders, and trusses. These products support projects ranging from e-commerce warehouses to educational and commercial buildings. Additionally, the Aluminum Operations segment delivers recycled aluminum flat rolled products. Headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana, Steel Dynamics also exports its products, contributing to its expansive reach in the metal production and recycling industry. Founded in 1993, the company continues to maintain a significant presence in the market.



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