Dillard’s, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) Shows Margin Strength But Technicals Signal Near-Term Pullback

Profitability metrics and an earnings beat reinforce the company's cash and capital position, yet directional indicators and momentum suggest the stock may consolidate near-term.

Recent News

July 29–30, 2026: several broker updates and analyst actions hit the tape, including a rating reduction and fresh analyst commentary; July–August filings show multiple institutional buys and sells reported; August 12–15, 2026: ownership filings from asset managers and a mixed set of analyst notes circulated ahead of the company’s August results.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 19.84 indicates no established trend, while DI+ (21.61) shows a decreasing path and DI- (16.43) shows a dip-and-reversal; those DI readings skew the near-term directional bias toward bearishness despite the weak trend strength.

MACD: MACD at 11.25 with a peak-and-reversal pattern and a signal line at 12.37 constitutes bearish momentum; MACD sits below its signal line, reinforcing short-term momentum loss relative to recent price strength.

MRO: MRO registers positive at 12.39, which indicates price sits above the model target and faces downward pressure; the positive MRO therefore implies a potential corrective move from current levels.

RSI and Momentum: RSI near 54.5 with a peak-and-reversal shows momentum cooling from recent gains rather than a fresh overbought condition, supporting the case for limited upside in the next several sessions.

Price Versus Moving Averages and Bands: the last close at $624.33 sits below the 20‑day average ($633.96) while remaining above the 50‑day ($591.33) and 200‑day ($603.94); the 12‑day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal, and price remains inside the Bollinger bands (upper ~ $646.90, lower ~ $621.02), implying consolidation with resistance near the short-term average and immediate support near the lower band.

Volume & Volatility Context: ten‑day average volume (~194,607) sits above recent daily activity and the 50/200‑day volumes, suggesting episodic attention; 42‑ and 52‑week volatility at ~3% point to relatively subdued realized volatility for a midsize retail name, which increases the likelihood of range-bound action rather than violent breakout moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operating performance: operating (EBIT) margin stands at 8.45%, a QoQ decline of -40.91% but a YoY improvement of +39.02%; EBIT equals $129,270,000 and EBITDA equals $174,030,000, indicating the company retains positive operating leverage despite recent quarter-to-quarter compression.

Earnings and guidance signals: reported EPS equaled $6.26 versus an estimate of $4.21, producing an EPS surprise of +48.69% (difference $2.05); the company filed the relevant operating results on August 13, 2026 (period ending July 31, 2026).

Revenue and growth: total revenue equals $1,530,434,000; sequential revenue growth shows -3.66% while year-over-year revenue growth reads +416.64% per the provided metric — QoQ sales contraction contrasts with the large YoY growth figure reported.

Liquidity and capital structure: cash and short‑term investments total $1,260,771,000 with cash alone at $763,077,000; current ratio equals 3.03 and cash ratio equals 1.43, signaling ample near-term liquidity. Total debt sits at $456,835,000 with debt-to-equity near 21.54% and debt-to-assets at 12.18%, providing cushion for capital flexibility.

Cash flow and returns: operating cash flow recorded -$37,178,000 and free cash flow was negative at -$59,453,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of -0.66%; return on equity registers 4.61% while return on invested capital equals 3.89%, and earnings growth shows -42.83% on the period with a large positive QoQ swing noted in quarterly growth metrics.

Valuation posture: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued; market multiples show a trailing PE around 92.77, a price-to-book near 4.28 and enterprise multiple near 47.50, which underpins the WMDST valuation stance given the combination of stretched multiples and mixed cash‑flow dynamics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-07-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow -37.18 M
 Capital Expenditures -22.27 M
 Change In Working Capital -176.13 M
 Dividends Paid -4.68 M
 Cash Flow Delta -394.58 M
 End Period Cash Flow 763.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.5 B
 Forward Revenue 527.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 909.3 M
 Depreciation 44.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 44.8 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 621.1 M
 EBITDA 174.0 M
 EBIT 129.3 M
 Operating Income 129.3 M
 Interest Income 2.8 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 2.8 M
 Income Before Tax 127.1 M
 Tax Provision 29.8 M
 Tax Rate 23.407 %
 Net Income 97.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 97.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.21
 EPS Actual 6.26
 EPS Difference 2.05
 EPS Surprise 48.694 %
 Forward EPS 8.62
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.7 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 2.1 B
 Total Current Assets 2.7 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 B
 Cash 763.1 M
 Net Receivables 45.4 M
 Inventory 1.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 93.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 794.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 80.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 883.8 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 456.8 M
 Total Liabilities 1.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.1 B
 Retained Earnings 6.7 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 135.79
 Shares Outstanding 15.617 M
 Revenue Per-Share 98.00
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.1 B
 Enterprise Value 8.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 47.495
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 54.107 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 5.956 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 86.211
median: 58.481
mean: 53.26
DDS: 47.495
low: -14.211
 EV/R 5.401
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.768
 Asset To Liability 2.302
 Debt To Capital 0.177
 Debt To Assets 0.122
Debt To Assets QoQ -9.231 %
Debt To Assets YoY -18.552 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.586
median: 0.386
mean: 0.362
DDS: 0.122
low: 0.081
 Debt To Equity 0.215
Debt To Equity QoQ -21.428 %
Debt To Equity YoY -24.988 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.02
median: 1.344
mean: 1.241
DDS: 0.215
low: 0.156
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.277
Price To Book QoQ -5.918 %
Price To Book YoY 19.597 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 16.15
median: 11.048
mean: 9.953
DDS: 4.277
low: -3.775
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 92.77
Price To Earnings QoQ 72.297 %
Price To Earnings YoY -6.578 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 134.448
DDS: 92.77
mean: 78.67
median: 54.652
low: -42.49
 PE/G Ratio -2.166
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.926
Price To Sales QoQ 2.246 %
Price To Sales YoY 32.639 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 11.891
median: 11.332
mean: 7.601
DDS: 5.926
low: 0.162
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 65.776
Forward PE/G -1.536
Forward P/S 17.191
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 11.762
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.388
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.654 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.102 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.631
median: 0.414
mean: 0.406
DDS: 0.388
low: 0.111
 Receivables Turnover 33.103
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.591 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 17.613 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA DDS: 33.103
high: 27.198
median: 23.229
mean: 20.734
low: 0.147
 Inventory Turnover 0.652
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.401 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -8.631 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.4
median: 1.301
mean: 1.217
DDS: 0.652
low: 0.254
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 2.757
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 50.654
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 25.159 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 2.16 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 189.448
DDS: 50.654
median: 30.159
mean: 30.051
low: -4.24
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.851
 CapEx To Revenue -0.015
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.498
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.5 B
 Invested Capital 2.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.1 B
 Net Working Capital 1.8 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.427
 Current Ratio 3.034
Current Ratio QoQ 28.175 %
Current Ratio YoY 13.084 %
Current Ratio IPRWA DDS: 3.034
high: 1.881
mean: 1.246
median: 1.147
low: 0.73
 Quick Ratio 1.582
Quick Ratio QoQ 32.188 %
Quick Ratio YoY 12.146 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA DDS: 1.582
high: 1.109
mean: 0.565
median: 0.559
low: 0.07
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.625
 Cost Of Debt 0.619 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 28.727
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -43.079 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 38.52 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 107.211
mean: 63.409
median: 40.091
DDS: 28.727
low: -27.771
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.091
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 98.345
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 20.851
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.048
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -9.374 %
 Revenue Growth -3.663 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -81.817 %
Revenue Growth YoY 416.643 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 31.102 %
median: 5.983 %
mean: 5.121 %
DDS: -3.663 %
low: -8.328 %
 Earnings Growth -42.831 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 330.419 %
Earnings Growth YoY -25.172 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 464.286 %
mean: 42.367 %
median: -5.435 %
DDS: -42.831 %
low: -470.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 40.582 %
Gross Margin QoQ -10.241 %
Gross Margin YoY 8.089 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 76.845 %
DDS: 40.582 %
mean: 35.394 %
median: 33.671 %
low: 17.827 %
 EBIT Margin 8.447 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -40.914 %
EBIT Margin YoY 39.022 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 22.901 %
median: 13.419 %
mean: 13.063 %
DDS: 8.447 %
low: -6.248 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.447 %
Return On Sales QoQ -40.914 %
Return On Sales YoY 39.022 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 22.901 %
median: 13.09 %
mean: 12.829 %
DDS: 8.447 %
low: -6.521 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -59.45 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.656 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -117.419 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -174.886 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 24.539 %
mean: 1.787 %
median: 1.005 %
DDS: -0.656 %
low: -13.692 %
 Free Cash Growth -117.145 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -244.663 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 62.356 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 387.429 %
median: 72.488 %
mean: -22.776 %
DDS: -117.145 %
low: -1277.226 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.609
 Cash Flow Margin 5.271 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.826
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.477 %
Return On Assets QoQ -62.224 %
Return On Assets YoY 29.078 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.4 %
median: 4.149 %
mean: 3.907 %
DDS: 2.477 %
low: -5.26 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.51 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.046
Return On Equity QoQ -62.765 %
Return On Equity YoY 21.37 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.217
median: 0.126
mean: 0.121
DDS: 0.046
low: -0.183
 DuPont ROE 4.712 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.888 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -43.016 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 32.065 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 15.368 %
median: 11.032 %
mean: 9.486 %
DDS: 3.888 %
low: -2.976 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound behavior with a bias toward consolidation: technical momentum indicators and a positive MRO suggest mean reversion pressure, while the strong EPS beat and robust liquidity provide a floor under the shares. Swing traders should watch for confirmation of renewed momentum above the near‑term moving average cluster or further weakening of directional indicators before anticipating a change in the prevailing consolidation pattern.

About Dillard’s, Inc.

Dillard’s, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) designs and delivers a comprehensive shopping experience through its network of department stores across the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern United States. Established in 1938 and headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas, Dillard’s offers a wide range of high-quality products for the entire family. Customers can find fashion-forward apparel for women, men, and children, along with a curated selection of accessories, cosmetics, and home furnishings. In addition to its retail operations, Dillard’s engages in general contracting construction activities, reflecting its adaptability and growth-oriented mindset. The company emphasizes customer satisfaction by blending the latest fashion trends with timeless styles, ensuring a personalized shopping experience. Dillard’s commitment to quality merchandise and exceptional service has made it a trusted name in American retail. Whether updating a wardrobe or enhancing a living space, Dillard’s serves as a reliable destination for those seeking style and sophistication.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.