Aeva Technologies, Inc (NYSE:AEVA) Positions For Dual-Market Growth In Automotive ADAS And AI Data Centers

Aeva’s recent contract and product announcements accelerate a two-pronged commercial narrative while balance-sheet metrics and technical indicators signal a cautious near-term price environment.

Recent News

On June 16, 2026 Aeva announced a development agreement with Bendix to build an L2+ active-safety production solution for commercial vehicles. On August 5, 2026 Aeva reported second-quarter 2026 results while launching an Optical Connectivity business and signing a joint development agreement targeting a hyperscaler deployment beginning H2 2027 with production ramp in 2028; the Q2 materials also note SICK’s Eve-powered industrial sensor and a supplier award.

Technical Analysis

ADX/DI+: ADX at 20.53 indicates an emerging trend strength. Directional indicators show bullish bias because DI+ registered a dip-and-reverse and DI- registered a peak-and-reverse; however DI- (28.36) still exceeds DI+ (19.54), reducing conviction for sustained upside despite the bullish signal.

MACD: MACD sits negative at -1.22 with a dip-and-reverse pattern, signaling improving momentum; MACD remains below the signal line (-0.99), so momentum improvement has not yet produced a bullish crossover and upside remains conditional on further MACD lift.

MRO: MRO at 7.4 registers positive, which implies the current price sits modestly above the internal target and creates mild downward pressure on price until the oscillator turns negative or shrinks toward zero.

RSI and momentum: RSI at 44.77 with a decreasing trend signals weakening short-term momentum and suggests limited immediate buying pressure; the indicator supports a neutral-to-slightly-bearish near-term bias.

Price vs averages and bands: Last close $15.62 sits below short- and mid-term averages (12-day EMA $16.37 decreasing; 26-day EMA $17.69; 50-day avg $19.21) and slightly below the 200-day average ($17.15), indicating price remains beneath key moving-average resistance. Price near the lower half of the 1x Bollinger band range ($14.87–$17.42) suggests limited downside before band support, but high 42-day beta (5.0) warns of sharp intraday moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT at -$78,370,000 and EBITDA at -$76,523,000 produce an EBIT margin of -12.77%, an operating return materially below the industry peer mean of 12.30% and industry peer median of 16.49%; the company’s EBIT margin improved QoQ by +136.88% and improved YoY by +101.55%, but remains deeply negative in absolute terms.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue $6,136,000 with YoY revenue growth -2.01% and QoQ revenue change -117.64% indicate top-line contraction on reported intervals; gross profit $2,189,000 delivers a gross margin of 35.68%, modestly below the industry peer mean gross margin of 39.46%.

Cash, liquidity, and leverage: Cash and short-term investments total $177,889,000, current ratio 7.85 and quick ratio 7.63 reflect ample near-term liquidity. Total debt $102,371,000 produces debt-to-equity 3.72 and debt-to-assets 44.94%, both above the industry peer mean (debt-to-equity mean 0.43; debt-to-assets mean 19.22%) and indicating materially higher leverage relative to peers despite healthy cash reserves.

Cash flow and capital: Operating cash flow negative at -$31,167,000 and free cash flow -$31,352,000 produce a negative free-cash-flow yield of -2.36%, below the industry peer mean free-cash-flow yield of +0.35%. Free-cash-growth shows a short-term uptick of +11.68% but trailing YoY growth registered a large decline per the provided year-over-year figure.

Valuation and per-share metrics: Price-to-book near 48.30x and price-to-sales ~216.71x far exceed the industry peer means (book mean ~9.30x; PS mean ~32.21x). Forward EPS and PE metrics remain negative. The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, reads over-valued given negative operating earnings, very high market multiples, and elevated leverage despite ample cash.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 31.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow -31.17 M
 Capital Expenditures -185.00 K
 Change In Working Capital -8.44 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 12.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 43.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 6.1 M
 Forward Revenue 531.9 K
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.9 M
 Depreciation 2.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 1.8 M
 Research and Development 24.9 M
 Total Operating Expenses 40.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.2 M
 EBITDA -76.52 M
 EBIT -78.37 M
 Operating Income -34.56 M
 Interest Income 893.0 K
 Interest Expense 1.2 M
 Net Interest Income -303.00 K
 Income Before Tax -79.57 M
 Tax Provision 58.0 K
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income -79.62 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -79.62 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.43
 EPS Actual -0.41
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 4.651 %
 Forward EPS -0.40
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 227.8 M
 Intangible Assets 375.0 K
 Net Tangible Assets 27.2 M
 Total Current Assets 203.7 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 177.9 M
 Cash 43.2 M
 Net Receivables 3.7 M
 Inventory 5.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 31.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 7.3 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 26.0 M
 Net Debt 53.7 M
 Total Debt 102.4 M
 Total Liabilities 200.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 27.5 M
 Retained Earnings -871.89 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 0.40
 Shares Outstanding 68.683 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.09
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.3 B
 Enterprise Value 1.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple -16.39
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -43.824 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -43.599 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 302.042
median: 97.5
mean: 95.115
AEVA: -16.39
low: -265.033
 EV/R 204.4
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.274
 Asset To Liability 1.137
 Debt To Capital 0.788
 Debt To Assets 0.449
Debt To Assets QoQ -35.137 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2142.515 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.731
AEVA: 0.449
median: 0.229
mean: 0.192
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 3.719
Debt To Equity QoQ -145.214 %
Debt To Equity YoY -24152.587 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA AEVA: 3.719
high: 2.204
mean: 0.433
median: 0.36
low: -0.8
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 48.301
Price To Book QoQ -164.571 %
Price To Book YoY -672.362 %
Price To Book IPRWA AEVA: 48.301
high: 17.779
mean: 9.305
median: 8.415
low: -2.382
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -47.444
Price To Earnings QoQ 80.278 %
Price To Earnings YoY -4.829 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 454.629
mean: 164.8
median: 139.449
AEVA: -47.444
low: -148.034
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 216.707
Price To Sales QoQ 46.191 %
Price To Sales YoY 19.749 %
Price To Sales IPRWA AEVA: 216.707
high: 91.147
mean: 32.209
median: 31.03
low: 0.798
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -49.475
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 2432.976
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -65.657
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.033
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.569 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -38.932 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.547
mean: 0.178
median: 0.14
AEVA: 0.033
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.713
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.784 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -27.425 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.33
AEVA: 1.713
mean: 1.63
median: 1.607
low: 0.626
 Inventory Turnover 0.675
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.047 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -69.075 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.925
mean: 0.877
median: 0.853
AEVA: 0.675
low: 0.165
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 53.284
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 50.982
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -19.298 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 148.532 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 389.683
mean: 104.41
median: 93.299
AEVA: 50.982
low: -166.342
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.035
 CapEx To Revenue -0.03
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.09
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 124.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 124.4 M
 Invested Capital 124.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 27.2 M
 Net Working Capital 177.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 6.852
 Current Ratio 7.846
Current Ratio QoQ 91.609 %
Current Ratio YoY 1114.141 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 14.857
AEVA: 7.846
mean: 2.69
median: 1.813
low: 0.516
 Quick Ratio 7.626
Quick Ratio QoQ 95.837 %
Quick Ratio YoY 1146.896 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 13.267
AEVA: 7.626
mean: 2.1
median: 1.399
low: 0.332
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -1.338
 Cost Of Debt 0.702 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -65.527
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 129.588 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -98.124 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 190.294
mean: 12.997
median: 7.904
AEVA: -65.527
low: -254.6
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -2.892
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 125.767
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 54.646 %
 Revenue Growth -2.012 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -117.643 %
Revenue Growth YoY -103.162 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 57.54 %
mean: 12.74 %
median: 8.711 %
AEVA: -2.012 %
low: -33.957 %
 Earnings Growth 0.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY -100.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
mean: 21.384 %
median: 10.215 %
AEVA: 0.0 %
low: -168.75 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.675 %
Gross Margin QoQ 15.095 %
Gross Margin YoY -172.281 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.78 %
mean: 39.456 %
median: 38.478 %
AEVA: 35.675 %
low: -57.962 %
 EBIT Margin -1277.216 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 136.877 %
EBIT Margin YoY 101.55 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.361 %
median: 16.493 %
mean: 12.303 %
low: -229.509 %
AEVA: -1277.216 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -563.233 %
Return On Sales QoQ 0.38 %
Return On Sales YoY -11.119 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.361 %
median: 15.494 %
mean: 14.358 %
low: -229.509 %
AEVA: -563.233 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -31.35 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.358 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -22.024 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -24.592 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.95 %
median: 0.384 %
mean: 0.354 %
AEVA: -2.358 %
low: -10.944 %
 Free Cash Growth 11.68 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -37.396 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -6089.744 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 458.586 %
mean: 26.57 %
median: 21.472 %
AEVA: 11.68 %
low: -359.143 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.394
 Cash Flow Margin -1223.517 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.943
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -42.455 %
Return On Assets QoQ 98.443 %
Return On Assets YoY -77.346 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.859 %
median: 1.741 %
mean: 0.622 %
low: -27.727 %
AEVA: -42.455 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -38.83 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -2.892
Return On Equity QoQ -202.605 %
Return On Equity YoY -277.34 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.149
median: 0.045
mean: 0.036
low: -0.481
AEVA: -2.892
 DuPont ROE -1053.25 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -37.791 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 57.417 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -261.88 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.748 %
median: 3.323 %
mean: 2.845 %
low: -14.412 %
AEVA: -37.791 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should track momentum and conviction signals: directional indicators display a tentative bullish tilt but ADX at 20.5 signals only an emerging trend, and MACD still sits below its signal line, limiting upside follow-through. MRO’s positive reading implies modest overvaluation relative to the internal target, while decreasing RSI supports a neutral-to-slightly-bearish bias. Price remains below multiple moving averages and faces overhead resistance around mid-to-high teens (moving-average cluster and the superTrend upper bound), with downside support near the lower Bollinger band. High beta implies elevated short-term volatility; meaningful, sustained upside requires a confirmed MACD crossover and MRO moving toward zero or negative to reduce over-target pressure.

About Aeva Technologies, Inc.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AEVA) is at the forefront of revolutionizing sensing systems with its advanced LiDAR technology. Established in 2017 and headquartered in Mountain View, California, Aeva is dedicated to transforming how machines perceive the world, offering groundbreaking solutions that enhance autonomy and perception across a multitude of sectors globally. Aeva’s proprietary technology leverages frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) to create state-of-the-art 4D LiDAR systems. Their flagship product, Aeries II, is engineered for automotive-grade production, providing unparalleled perception capabilities for passenger vehicles, trucking, and broader mobility applications. This sophisticated system integrates seamlessly with embedded software, delivering precise and reliable data crucial for autonomous driving and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). In addition to Aeries II, Aeva offers Atlas, another 4D LiDAR system that excels in simultaneous velocity and range detection. While primarily designed for the automotive industry, Aeva’s versatile technology is also making significant inroads in industrial automation, consumer electronics, and security sectors. Aeva Technologies is committed to pushing the boundaries of LiDAR innovation, driving forward the capabilities of autonomous systems and reshaping the future of technology across diverse industries.



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