Ryder System, Inc (NYSE:R) Positions For Cash-Driven Upside As Operational Momentum Builds

Ryder enters the coming weeks with strong free-cash-flow expansion and above‑peer operating margins, while short-term technicals signal cautious near‑term pressure. The balance between elevated leverage and cash generation will shape price action ahead.

Recent News

July 21, 2026 — Ryder launched the Ryder Vehicle Assurance Program, offering a free 60‑day limited warranty on DOT‑verified used commercial vehicles through year‑end to bolster retail used‑truck demand and buyer confidence.

July 9, 2026 — The board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.01 per share, payable September 18, 2026, marking the company’s 200th consecutive quarterly cash dividend and an 11% increase versus the prior quarterly rate.

Aug 4, 2026 — CEO John Diez scheduled a presentation at Deutsche Bank’s Chicago Industrials Summit in mid‑August; Ryder also received a top‑10 industry ranking on TIME’s inaugural “America’s Best Companies 2026” list.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 28.11 indicates a strong trend strength; this suggests the present directional forces carry conviction and can sustain near‑term moves. The ADX reading supports using momentum context when sizing risk around the valuation signal.

DI+ at 10.53, decreasing, signals worsening upside directional pressure; DI‑ at 25.12, dip & reversal, indicates increasing downside directional pressure. Together these directional indicators point to near‑term bearish directional bias that can amplify short swings away from intrinsic value.

MACD at -3.66, decreasing and below its signal line (-1.86), confirms bearish momentum; this implies short‑term trend continuation that may delay any immediate recovery toward the WMDST valuation level.

MRO at -4.53 (negative) signals the market price sits below the model target and normally implies mean‑reversion potential; the negative MRO offsets some bearish momentum by suggesting price has room to move higher toward intrinsic value if catalysts arrive.

RSI 47.14, decreasing, sits near neutral territory and does not indicate oversold conditions; absent a decisive oversold reading, rebounds may require positive fundamental headlines or a momentum shift to attract follow‑through.

Price sits below the 20‑day ($256.89) and 50‑day ($263.57) averages while holding above the 200‑day average ($222.19); the 12‑day EMA (price 12‑day EMA $254.02, trend decreasing) shows short‑term resistance. The gap to short MAs implies near‑term downside pressure, while the 200‑day support underpins longer‑term valuation resilience.

Price closed at $246.18, just below the 1× lower Bollinger band ($248.70), a configuration that often precedes short corrective bounces but requires confirmation given prevailing negative momentum.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $3,354,000,000 for the period, with operating revenue growth guidance maintained at 3% for full‑year 2026 per company guidance. GAAP EPS from continuing operations registered at $3.40 in the quarter, while comparable (non‑GAAP) EPS of $3.73 exceeded the consensus estimate of $3.69 by $0.04 (a +1.08% surprise). Full‑year comparable EPS guidance tightened to a $14.40–$14.80 range.

Profitability: EBIT of $282,000,000 produces an EBIT margin of 8.41%, above the industry peer mean of 7.00% and the peer median of 7.423%. QoQ, EBIT margin expanded ~22.73%; YoY, EBIT margin declined ~6.31%. Operating margin sits at 8.26% with a QoQ increase of ~14.68% and a YoY decline of ~6.66%, indicating recent operating leverage gains offset by year‑over‑year pressure in margin mix.

Cash flow and capital: Free cash flow of $272,000,000 and a free‑cash‑flow yield of 2.79% materially exceed the industry peer mean yield of ~1.00%, reflecting improved cash conversion. Operating cash flow reached $677,000,000 and non‑GAAP free cash flow widened versus the prior year, supporting the dividend increase and continued share repurchases stated by management.

Leverage: Total debt of $8,453,000,000 and net debt near $7,238,000,000 produce a debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~294% per the provided metrics, which sits meaningfully above the industry peer mean of ~138% and median of ~136%. The company’s release reported a debt‑to‑equity of 259% as of June 30, 2026, and management targets a long‑term debt‑to‑equity band near 250–300%, highlighting elevated but managed leverage.

Returns: Return on equity at 4.62% and return on assets at 0.82% remain subdued relative to historical cyclical peaks, though QoQ ROE improved ~41.98% and RoA improved ~44.39%, signaling recent operating improvement. Earnings growth stands strong (earnings growth ~46.85%), with YoY earnings growth of ~34.01% supporting mid‑cycle recovery narratives.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued. Supporting evidence includes an EV/Revenue multiple (enterprise value $17,985,010,321; EVR ~5.36) and a free‑cash‑flow yield above the industry peer mean. Elevated leverage and a PE of ~68.17 versus forward PE ~55.64 reflect rich near‑term market multiples; however, the company’s guidance for higher comparable EPS and improved cash flow forms the basis for the WMDST under‑valued conclusion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 182.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 677.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -405.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -85.00 M
 Dividends Paid -35.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 37.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 219.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.4 B
 Forward Revenue 1.1 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.7 B
 Depreciation 520.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 556.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.1 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 667.0 M
 EBITDA 838.0 M
 EBIT 282.0 M
 Operating Income 277.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 97.0 M
 Net Interest Income -97.00 M
 Income Before Tax 185.0 M
 Tax Provision 52.0 M
 Tax Rate 28.2 %
 Net Income 133.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 133.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.69
 EPS Actual 3.73
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 1.084 %
 Forward EPS 4.43
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 16.1 B
 Intangible Assets 1.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Total Current Assets 2.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 219.0 M
 Cash 219.0 M
 Net Receivables 1.8 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 1.4 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 734.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 2.0 B
 Total Current Liabilities 3.9 B
 Net Debt 7.2 B
 Total Debt 8.5 B
 Total Liabilities 13.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.9 B
 Retained Earnings 2.4 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 75.08
 Shares Outstanding 38.347 M
 Revenue Per-Share 87.46
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.8 B
 Enterprise Value 18.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 21.462
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 0.603 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 29.275 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 173.635
median: 57.669
mean: 54.525
R: 21.462
low: -15.168
 EV/R 5.362
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.588
 Asset To Liability 1.218
 Debt To Capital 0.746
 Debt To Assets 0.525
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.191 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.778 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.875
R: 0.525
median: 0.402
mean: 0.359
low: 0.08
 Debt To Equity 2.936
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.736 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3.492 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA R: 2.936
high: 2.049
mean: 1.384
median: 1.357
low: 0.166
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.387
Price To Book QoQ 20.702 %
Price To Book YoY 48.774 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.397
median: 6.111
mean: 5.853
R: 3.387
low: -4.223
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 68.173
Price To Earnings QoQ -16.459 %
Price To Earnings YoY 42.611 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 138.415
mean: 78.606
R: 68.173
median: 61.477
low: 9.443
 PE/G Ratio 1.455
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.907
Price To Sales QoQ 13.759 %
Price To Sales YoY 32.399 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 10.328
mean: 4.707
median: 4.032
R: 2.907
low: 0.724
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 55.645
Forward PE/G 1.188
Forward P/S 9.16
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.527
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.208
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.868 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.111 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.856
mean: 0.36
median: 0.319
low: 0.258
R: 0.208
 Receivables Turnover 1.945
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.125 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.936 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.694
mean: 2.075
median: 2.043
R: 1.945
low: 1.334
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 46.904
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 20.613
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -12.427 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 32.066
median: 27.305
mean: 25.378
R: 20.613
low: 10.553
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -2.401
 CapEx To Revenue -0.121
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.779
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 10.3 B
 Invested Capital 10.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Working Capital -1.40 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.056
 Current Ratio 0.646
Current Ratio QoQ -4.742 %
Current Ratio YoY -20.844 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.825
mean: 1.296
median: 1.255
low: 0.789
R: 0.646
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 10.087
 Cost Of Debt 0.812 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.907
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 31.163 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 3.684 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 54.34
mean: 12.531
median: 5.275
R: 2.907
low: -5.18
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.161
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 26.29
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.8
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.263
 Dividend Rate 0.91
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.857 %
 Revenue Growth 6.883 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -547.82 %
Revenue Growth YoY 359.786 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.849 %
mean: 9.981 %
median: 7.697 %
R: 6.883 %
low: 4.196 %
 Earnings Growth 46.85 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -260.182 %
Earnings Growth YoY 34.014 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 68.317 %
R: 46.85 %
mean: 37.98 %
median: 19.259 %
low: -223.077 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 19.887 %
Gross Margin QoQ 2.977 %
Gross Margin YoY -3.969 %
Gross Margin IPRWA R: 19.887 %
high: 16.633 %
mean: 13.034 %
median: 13.007 %
low: 9.711 %
 EBIT Margin 8.408 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 22.727 %
EBIT Margin YoY -6.307 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 11.423 %
R: 8.408 %
median: 7.423 %
mean: 7.0 %
low: -1.483 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.259 %
Return On Sales QoQ 14.676 %
Return On Sales YoY -6.657 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 12.314 %
R: 8.259 %
median: 7.423 %
mean: 6.858 %
low: 0.676 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 272.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.789 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 43.393 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 209.889 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.601 %
R: 2.789 %
mean: 0.996 %
median: 0.744 %
low: -1.661 %
 Free Cash Growth 74.359 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -236.062 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -237.664 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 151.389 %
R: 74.359 %
median: 4.349 %
mean: -4.708 %
low: -173.623 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.045
 Cash Flow Margin 18.903 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.767
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.823 %
Return On Assets QoQ 44.386 %
Return On Assets YoY 3.262 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.369 %
mean: 1.705 %
median: 1.649 %
R: 0.823 %
low: -0.563 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.322 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.046
Return On Equity QoQ 41.979 %
Return On Equity YoY 8.4 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.126
mean: 0.054
median: 0.05
R: 0.046
low: -0.011
 DuPont ROE 4.636 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.961 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 22.105 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 3.211 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.31 %
mean: 3.527 %
median: 2.945 %
R: 1.961 %
low: -0.781 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect short‑term price pressure given bearish directional indicators (DI+, DI‑), a falling MACD, and the stock trading below key short‑term moving averages. That pressure may persist until momentum indicators stabilize or positive catalysts appear. Offsetting the technical weakness, negative MRO and a free‑cash‑flow profile above peer means create a plausible near‑term bounce scenario if management headlines, used‑vehicle demand improvements, or clearer guidance upgrades surface. Traders should watch for a MACD inflection above its signal line or a DI+ stabilization as confirmation that buyers engage toward the WMDST valuation level.

About Ryder System, Inc.

Ryder System, Inc. (NYSE:R) delivers comprehensive logistics and transportation solutions on a global scale. The company operates through three primary segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS). The FMS segment provides full-service leasing, flexible maintenance options, and commercial vehicle rental services. It also offers contract or transactional maintenance services for trucks, tractors, and trailers, along with access to diesel fuel and fuel management services. Additionally, Ryder sells used vehicles via retail centers and its online platform. In the DTS segment, Ryder provides equipment, maintenance, and driver services, along with administrative support. This segment also handles routing, scheduling, fleet sizing, and safety compliance, supported by technology and communication systems. The SCS segment manages distribution networks and facilities, coordinates warehousing and transportation, and handles international shipping logistics. It offers just-in-time replenishment, transportation management, and brokerage services, including shipment optimization and delivery confirmation. Ryder also provides e-commerce and last-mile delivery services. Founded in 1933, Ryder System, Inc. is headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.